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Lifevantage Corp (LFVN)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 FY25 revenue was $58.44M (+21.1% YoY) driven by robust MindBody GLP-1 demand but came in below S&P Global consensus $60.96M; diluted adjusted EPS was $0.26, beating consensus $0.145 as gross margin expanded 210 bps to 81.0% and adjusted EBITDA margin reached 11.0% . Estimates from S&P Global: Revenue $60.96M*, EPS $0.145*.
- Regionally, Americas revenue rose 29.5% (U.S. +31.4%), while Asia/Pacific & Europe declined 7.2% (-4.7% ex-FX), with international GLP-1 rollout starting mid-March and customer access beginning April 25 .
- Management reduced FY25 revenue guidance to $228–$235M (from $235–$245M) on international uncertainty, but maintained adjusted EBITDA ($21–$24M) and adjusted EPS ($0.72–$0.88) and expects a 22–24% tax rate, signaling profit discipline despite the top-line trim .
- Key near-term catalysts: high subscription attach (≈85% of MindBody new customers on subscription), growing stack adoption with Protandim/Liquid Collagen, and global expansion; stock support could come from profit guidance retention and improving margin trajectory .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- MindBody GLP-1 momentum: “Third quarter results were strong… reflecting robust demand for our MindBody GLP-1 System,” with U.S. revenue +31% and supply chain stabilization (“out-of-stock and logistic issues… are now behind us”) .
- Margin improvement and profitability: Gross margin expanded 210 bps to 81.0% YoY; adjusted EBITDA grew 27% YoY to $6.4M (11% margin), aided by favorable mix and lower obsolescence/variance costs .
- Durable behavior: About 85% of MindBody new customers came in on subscription; stack purchases rising (≈55% MindBody standalone, 45% with another product) supporting ARPA and retention .
What Went Wrong
- Top-line vs estimates and international softness: Revenue missed consensus ($58.44M vs $60.96M*), and Asia/Pacific & Europe declined 7.2% YoY (≈4.7% cc), with management citing lingering uncertainty around international ramp . Estimates from S&P Global.
- Sequential active account dip in Americas: Americas active accounts fell to 109k in March from 115k in December, attributed to stock-out/backlog dynamics impacting customer attrition .
- Incentive intensity still elevated YoY: Commissions and incentives were 44.8% of revenue (up from 40.9% YoY), though improved sequentially by 320 bps vs Q2; adjusted SG&A also increased YoY with higher variable/stock comp .
Financial Results
Quarterly P&L and Margin Metrics
Estimates vs Actuals (Q3 FY25)
Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment (Region) Revenue
KPIs (Engagement and Accounts)
Sequential Americas active accounts: Q1 92,000 → Q2 115,000 → Q3 109,000 (sequential downtick tied to prior stock-outs) .
Guidance Changes
Management cited international ramp uncertainty (timing/magnitude) as the reason for lowering revenue while keeping profit guardrails intact .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Third quarter results were strong… reflecting robust demand for our MindBody GLP-1 System™… international expansion was a key focus… launch of MB System™ into Japan… and consultants in Australia, New Zealand, Europe, the UK, Mexico, and Thailand” — Steve Fife, CEO .
- “Gross margin was 81%… improvement due to product mix… lower inventory obsolescence and variance expenses… Commissions… 44.8%… down 320 bps sequentially” — Carl Aure, CFO .
- “About 85% of the people coming in on MindBody… were on a subscription… positioning as a lifestyle product… not a magic pill” — Steve Fife .
- “Stack revenue… 55% MindBody standalone, 45% with another product (Protandim Nrf2 or Liquid Collagen)… helps ARPA and stickiness” — Steve Fife .
- “We anticipate FY25 revenue $228–$235M… reiterating adjusted EBITDA $21–$24M and adjusted EPS $0.72–$0.88” — Carl Aure .
Q&A Highlights
- Subscriptions and sequential active accounts: Despite a slight sequential dip in active accounts, subscription rates increased; ~85% of new MindBody purchasers were on subscription, supporting durability .
- Mix shift toward stacks: ~45% of MindBody purchases included another product (Protandim or Collagen), boosting ARPA and retention .
- Guidance trim rationale: Revenue guidance was reduced due to remaining “chop and uncertainty” in international markets; supply chain “noise… behind us,” bookings stabilized in Q3 .
- Americas active accounts: Dropped to 109k from 115k sequentially, driven mainly by customer attrition linked to prior stock-outs; consultants were flat sequentially .
- Education/messaging: Field pivoting from “quick weight loss” to sustainable, lifestyle framing; updated clinical shows 200%+ GLP-1 increase (U.S. and international formulas) underpinning positioning .
Estimates Context
- EPS beat: $0.26 vs $0.145*; Revenue miss: $58.44M vs $60.96M* (two estimates for both metrics). Adjusted profitability remained in-line to better despite top-line softness relative to estimates . Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Implications: Street likely lifts FY25 profit mix assumptions (margin resilience) but trims revenue trajectory pending evidence of international GLP-1 uptake and continued subscription conversion.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- MindBody GLP-1 is driving double-digit growth and mix upgrades; U.S. +31% with margins expanding to 81.0% gross and 11% adjusted EBITDA, supporting a profit-led narrative even as sales normalize post-launch .
- High-quality revenue mix: ~85% of MindBody new customers on subscription and rising stack attach should sustain LTV and lower churn, a supportive setup for medium-term multiple expansion .
- Guidance recalibration is top-line focused; maintaining adjusted EBITDA/EPS points to disciplined OpEx and incentive normalization (commissions down 320 bps sequentially), limiting downside to earnings power .
- International is the swing factor: launches began late Q3 with broader customer access from April 25; near-term uncertainty remains, but early Japan constant-currency growth (+2.7%) is a constructive datapoint .
- Capital returns intact: dividend increased to $0.045/share with $19.3M remaining on repurchase authorization, supported by $22.5M cash and no debt at quarter-end .
- Watch KPIs: Americas active accounts sequential dip tied to stock-out/backlog timing; monitoring Q4 re-acceleration will be critical to validate subscription-led compounding .
- Trading setup: Expect debate to center on international ramp and sustainability of elevated subscription/stack metrics; retention and repeat rate disclosures (plus Q4 momentum) are likely stock movers .
Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.