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Lifevantage Corp (LFVN)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 FY25 revenue was $58.44M (+21.1% YoY) driven by robust MindBody GLP-1 demand but came in below S&P Global consensus $60.96M; diluted adjusted EPS was $0.26, beating consensus $0.145 as gross margin expanded 210 bps to 81.0% and adjusted EBITDA margin reached 11.0% . Estimates from S&P Global: Revenue $60.96M*, EPS $0.145*.
  • Regionally, Americas revenue rose 29.5% (U.S. +31.4%), while Asia/Pacific & Europe declined 7.2% (-4.7% ex-FX), with international GLP-1 rollout starting mid-March and customer access beginning April 25 .
  • Management reduced FY25 revenue guidance to $228–$235M (from $235–$245M) on international uncertainty, but maintained adjusted EBITDA ($21–$24M) and adjusted EPS ($0.72–$0.88) and expects a 22–24% tax rate, signaling profit discipline despite the top-line trim .
  • Key near-term catalysts: high subscription attach (≈85% of MindBody new customers on subscription), growing stack adoption with Protandim/Liquid Collagen, and global expansion; stock support could come from profit guidance retention and improving margin trajectory .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • MindBody GLP-1 momentum: “Third quarter results were strong… reflecting robust demand for our MindBody GLP-1 System,” with U.S. revenue +31% and supply chain stabilization (“out-of-stock and logistic issues… are now behind us”) .
  • Margin improvement and profitability: Gross margin expanded 210 bps to 81.0% YoY; adjusted EBITDA grew 27% YoY to $6.4M (11% margin), aided by favorable mix and lower obsolescence/variance costs .
  • Durable behavior: About 85% of MindBody new customers came in on subscription; stack purchases rising (≈55% MindBody standalone, 45% with another product) supporting ARPA and retention .

What Went Wrong

  • Top-line vs estimates and international softness: Revenue missed consensus ($58.44M vs $60.96M*), and Asia/Pacific & Europe declined 7.2% YoY (≈4.7% cc), with management citing lingering uncertainty around international ramp . Estimates from S&P Global.
  • Sequential active account dip in Americas: Americas active accounts fell to 109k in March from 115k in December, attributed to stock-out/backlog dynamics impacting customer attrition .
  • Incentive intensity still elevated YoY: Commissions and incentives were 44.8% of revenue (up from 40.9% YoY), though improved sequentially by 320 bps vs Q2; adjusted SG&A also increased YoY with higher variable/stock comp .

Financial Results

Quarterly P&L and Margin Metrics

MetricQ1 FY25Q2 FY25Q3 FY25
Revenue ($M)$47.214 $67.8 $58.440
YoY Revenue Growth(8.1%) 31.3% 21.1%
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.15 $0.22 $0.26
Gross Margin (%)79.9% 80.5% 81.0%
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$4.428 $6.5 $6.427
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)9.4% 9.6% 11.0%
Commissions & Incentives (% Rev)43.0% 48.0% 44.8%
Adjusted SG&A (% Rev)31.1% 26.7% 29.1%

Estimates vs Actuals (Q3 FY25)

MetricConsensusActualSurprise
Revenue ($M)$60.9565*$58.440 —2.5M (miss)
Primary EPS ($)$0.145*$0.26 +$0.115 (beat)
# Estimates (Rev / EPS)2 / 2*

Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment (Region) Revenue

Region ($M)Q1 FY25Q2 FY25Q3 FY25
Americas$36.892 $57.2 $48.201
Asia/Pacific & Europe$10.322 $10.6 $10.239
Total$47.214 $67.8 $58.440

KPIs (Engagement and Accounts)

KPIQ3 FY25YoY Change
Active Independent Consultants (Total)52,000 +3,000 (+6.1%)
- Americas35,000 (67%) +4,000 (+12.9%)
- APAC & Europe17,000 (33%) (1,000) (−5.6%)
Active Customers (Total)88,000 +10,000 (+12.8%)
- Americas74,000 (84%) +12,000 (+19.4%)
- APAC & Europe14,000 (16%) (2,000) (−12.5%)
Total Active Accounts140,000 +13,000 (+10.2%)

Sequential Americas active accounts: Q1 92,000 → Q2 115,000 → Q3 109,000 (sequential downtick tied to prior stock-outs) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY25$235M–$245M $228M–$235M Lowered
Adjusted EBITDAFY25$21M–$24M $21M–$24M Maintained
Adjusted EPSFY25$0.72–$0.88 $0.72–$0.88 Maintained
Tax RateFY25≈22%–24% ≈22%–24% Maintained
DividendNext pay date$0.04/sh declared for Mar 17, 2025 $0.045/sh payable Jun 13, 2025 Raised QoQ

Management cited international ramp uncertainty (timing/magnitude) as the reason for lowering revenue while keeping profit guardrails intact .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ1 FY25 (prev-2)Q2 FY25 (prev-1)Q3 FY25 (current)Trend
MindBody GLP-1 productLaunch with 140% avg GLP-1 increase; record demand; sold out; pricing monthly bundles Demand sustained; backlog cleared mid-Dec; capacity improved Core growth driver; 200%+ avg GLP-1 in latest clinical; U.S. +31% Strengthening
Supply chainInitial sell-outs/backorders Inventory stabilized; capacity up “Issues… resolved and behind us” Improving
International rolloutPlan Mar/Apr launches Preparing for Mar launch MB launched Mar 15 to JP (cust/consultants), consultants in other markets; customers live Apr 25 Progressing
Subscriptions & stacksPositioned as lifestyle monthly system Subscriptions >70% overall; MindBody higher; >50% new joiners on subscription ~85% of MindBody new customers on subscription; 45% paired with Protandim/Collagen Increasing
Incentives/commissions43.0% of revenue 48.0% (elevated) 44.8%, down 320 bps seq. Normalizing
Active accountsTotal 123k; down YoY Americas +25% seq.; 115k in Dec Total 140k; Americas 109k seq. dip on stock-out dynamics Volatile seq., up YoY
Brand/digital/influencersEVOLVE plan enhancements Social sellers/brand awareness push Global Convention, Drive ERA incentives Expanding

Management Commentary

  • “Third quarter results were strong… reflecting robust demand for our MindBody GLP-1 System™… international expansion was a key focus… launch of MB System™ into Japan… and consultants in Australia, New Zealand, Europe, the UK, Mexico, and Thailand” — Steve Fife, CEO .
  • “Gross margin was 81%… improvement due to product mix… lower inventory obsolescence and variance expenses… Commissions… 44.8%… down 320 bps sequentially” — Carl Aure, CFO .
  • “About 85% of the people coming in on MindBody… were on a subscription… positioning as a lifestyle product… not a magic pill” — Steve Fife .
  • “Stack revenue… 55% MindBody standalone, 45% with another product (Protandim Nrf2 or Liquid Collagen)… helps ARPA and stickiness” — Steve Fife .
  • “We anticipate FY25 revenue $228–$235M… reiterating adjusted EBITDA $21–$24M and adjusted EPS $0.72–$0.88” — Carl Aure .

Q&A Highlights

  • Subscriptions and sequential active accounts: Despite a slight sequential dip in active accounts, subscription rates increased; ~85% of new MindBody purchasers were on subscription, supporting durability .
  • Mix shift toward stacks: ~45% of MindBody purchases included another product (Protandim or Collagen), boosting ARPA and retention .
  • Guidance trim rationale: Revenue guidance was reduced due to remaining “chop and uncertainty” in international markets; supply chain “noise… behind us,” bookings stabilized in Q3 .
  • Americas active accounts: Dropped to 109k from 115k sequentially, driven mainly by customer attrition linked to prior stock-outs; consultants were flat sequentially .
  • Education/messaging: Field pivoting from “quick weight loss” to sustainable, lifestyle framing; updated clinical shows 200%+ GLP-1 increase (U.S. and international formulas) underpinning positioning .

Estimates Context

  • EPS beat: $0.26 vs $0.145*; Revenue miss: $58.44M vs $60.96M* (two estimates for both metrics). Adjusted profitability remained in-line to better despite top-line softness relative to estimates . Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Implications: Street likely lifts FY25 profit mix assumptions (margin resilience) but trims revenue trajectory pending evidence of international GLP-1 uptake and continued subscription conversion.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • MindBody GLP-1 is driving double-digit growth and mix upgrades; U.S. +31% with margins expanding to 81.0% gross and 11% adjusted EBITDA, supporting a profit-led narrative even as sales normalize post-launch .
  • High-quality revenue mix: ~85% of MindBody new customers on subscription and rising stack attach should sustain LTV and lower churn, a supportive setup for medium-term multiple expansion .
  • Guidance recalibration is top-line focused; maintaining adjusted EBITDA/EPS points to disciplined OpEx and incentive normalization (commissions down 320 bps sequentially), limiting downside to earnings power .
  • International is the swing factor: launches began late Q3 with broader customer access from April 25; near-term uncertainty remains, but early Japan constant-currency growth (+2.7%) is a constructive datapoint .
  • Capital returns intact: dividend increased to $0.045/share with $19.3M remaining on repurchase authorization, supported by $22.5M cash and no debt at quarter-end .
  • Watch KPIs: Americas active accounts sequential dip tied to stock-out/backlog timing; monitoring Q4 re-acceleration will be critical to validate subscription-led compounding .
  • Trading setup: Expect debate to center on international ramp and sustainability of elevated subscription/stack metrics; retention and repeat rate disclosures (plus Q4 momentum) are likely stock movers .

Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.