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L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES, INC. /DE/ (LHX)·Q1 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2026 results and transcript are not yet available in SEC/IR sources; no 8‑K Item 2.02 or earnings call transcript was found for the 2026 window, so this recap anchors on prior-quarter trends (Q1–Q3 2025) and current Wall Street consensus for Q1 2026.*
- L3Harris delivered solid momentum through 2025: revenue grew from $5.13B (Q1) to $5.66B (Q3) with adjusted segment operating margin holding at 15.6–15.9% and non‑GAAP EPS of $2.41 → $2.70 .
- Guidance was raised in Q2 2025: FY revenue to ~$21.75B (from $21.4–$21.7B), non‑GAAP EPS to $10.40–$10.60 (from $10.30–$10.50), and adjusted FCF to ~$2.65B, despite a tax‑rate headwind of ~$0.30 at the midpoint .
- Consensus for Q1 2026 stands at ~$5.40B revenue and ~$2.69 EPS, with EBITDA near ~$0.98B, setting the bar for the upcoming print.*
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “We delivered another strong quarter… eighth consecutive quarter of year‑over‑year adjusted segment operating margin expansion” (Q3 2025), with revenue up 7% (+10% organically) and non‑GAAP EPS $2.70 .
- Record orders and book‑to‑bill: $8.3B and 1.5x in Q2 2025, broad‑based across segments, supporting backlog growth and visibility .
- Aerojet Rocketdyne posted double‑digit organic growth and margin expansion (13.3% in Q2; 12.7% in Q3) on missile and munitions volume ramps; SAS and IMS improved margins via LHX NeXt savings and asset monetization .
What Went Wrong
- Cash generation softness in Q3 2025: CFO $546M (‑30% YoY) and adjusted FCF $449M (‑38%) on customer payment delays; strongest cash generation expected in Q4 .
- SAS margin pressure in early 2025 from challenges on classified development programs (Q1: 10.9%, down 140 bps); Q2 SAS margin down 30 bps on mix despite operational improvements .
- Tax reform raised the effective tax rate on non‑GAAP income to 13.5–14.5% (from 11–12%), trimming FY non‑GAAP EPS guidance by ~$0.30 at the midpoint .
Financial Results
Headline financials vs trajectory and Q1 2026 consensus
Segment revenues and margins (trajectory)
KPIs
Note: No Q1 2026 8‑K or transcript was found in the 2026 window; results are not yet reported .
Consensus values (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered another strong quarter… eighth consecutive quarter of year‑over‑year adjusted segment operating margin expansion” (CEO, Q3 2025) .
- “We posted our highest organic growth in six quarters and achieved a record book‑to‑bill of 1.5x” (CEO, Q2 2025) .
- “Monetization of legacy end‑of‑life assets and LHX NeXt cost savings drove margin expansion” (CFO, Q2 2025) .
- “Golden Dome aligns with our investments in missile warning/tracking and solid rocket motor capacity; we’re ready to deliver” (CEO/CFO, Q2 2025) .
- “Mission Networks is in our sweet spot—telecom infrastructure upgrades across thousands of sites” (CEO, Q1 2025) .
Q&A Highlights
- Awards and backlog: all segments >1.0 book‑to‑bill in Q2; AR nearly 2.0x; backlog expected to grow through year‑end .
- SAS program challenges: tens of millions of negative EACs on legacy fixed‑price development programs nearing completion; margin recovery expected as risk burns down .
- International radios/programs: confidence in Europe driven by interoperability and resilience; multi‑year modernization programs .
- Contracting posture: faster awards without taking outsized risk; mix of cost‑plus for development and fixed‑price for production .
- Tax reform: raised non‑GAAP ETR to 13.5–14.5%, ~$(0.30) EPS headwind at midpoint, offset by stronger H1 performance .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus for Q1 2026: Revenue ~$5.40B*, EPS ~$2.69*, EBITDA ~$0.98B*, with 10 revenue and 11 EPS estimates.*
- Implications: With FY 2025 margin stability and segment mix momentum (CS international, SAS mission networks, AR missiles), consensus embeds ongoing execution; sensitivity sits in SAS mix recovery and AR capacity ramps versus tax‑rate headwinds .
Consensus values (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q1 2026 print is pending; benchmark expectations at ~$5.40B revenue and ~$2.69 EPS.*
- Watch SAS margin progression and program mix—Q2/Q3 operational performance improved despite earlier classified development headwinds .
- AR missile capacity and awards remain a secular driver; double‑digit organic growth and mid‑12% margins bolster consolidated performance .
- CS remains a margin anchor (mid‑20s%) on resilient comms and software‑defined radios; international wins support growth .
- Tax‑rate headwind is real but guided; overall FY 2025 EPS and FCF were raised and share count lowered, supporting per‑share metrics .
- Cash generation cadence is back‑end weighted; Q3 delays were timing‑related and Q4 was expected to be strongest .
- Policy/contracting reforms (commercial models, faster awards) and Golden Dome architecture decisions are potential multi‑year catalysts across SAS and AR .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*