LS
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corp (LUCK)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 FY2025 revenue increased 0.7% year over year to $339.9M, while Same Store Revenue fell 5.6%; net income was $13.3M and Adjusted EBITDA was $117.3M .
- Results missed Wall Street consensus: revenue $339.9M vs $358.3M consensus (Miss), EPS $0.051 vs $0.231 consensus (Miss), EBITDA $117.3M vs $137.2M consensus (Miss). Values with asterisks are from S&P Global consensus; see Estimates Context for details.*
- Management suspended guidance amid macro uncertainty; capex down ~20% YTD, with continued share repurchases ($47M for 4.5M shares) and a $0.055 dividend declared .
- CEO highlighted corporate events softness in tech-aligned markets (California/Seattle) but cited pockets of strength (Boston, New Jersey, Miami) and strong momentum into summer with the Summer Season Pass program ; the pass surpassed 200,000 members and $10.3M in sales by mid-June (waterparks: 32,000 passes; $3.2M) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Food sales grew by high-single digits; Retail and Leagues remained stable, supporting total revenue growth despite event softness .
- Regional resilience: management noted recent positive comps in Boston, New Jersey, and Miami, indicating localized demand strength .
- Summer Season Pass momentum provides traffic and mix benefits into Q4; >200,000 members and >$10.3M sales to date, plus waterparks sold 32,000 passes for >$3.2M .
What Went Wrong
- Corporate events headwinds drove Same Store Revenue down 5.6% YoY; the weakness was most pronounced in tech-aligned markets (California, Seattle) .
- Profitability compressed: net income fell to $13.3M from $23.8M YoY; Adjusted EBITDA declined to $117.3M from $122.8M; Adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 34.5% from 36.4% .
- Cost pressure and higher interest burden: location operating costs increased YoY to $92.6M; interest expense remained elevated at $49.4M in the quarter .
Financial Results
Consolidated Performance vs Prior Periods
Segment Revenue Mix (YoY)
KPIs and Operating Metrics
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: We were unable to locate an earnings call transcript; the company hosted a webcast on May 8, 2025 .
Management Commentary
- CEO (Thomas Shannon): “Retail and Leagues businesses remained stable, Food sales grew by high single digits, while our Corporate Events business declined... Softness... most pronounced in tech-aligned markets... We have seen encouraging signs... Boston, New Jersey and Miami... positive comps.”
- CFO (Bobby Lavan): “Maintaining a disciplined approach to expense management... prioritize only high-return capital investments. Capital expenditures are down 20% year-to-date... we anticipate this trend will continue into next year.”
- Strategic posture: Strong focus on Summer Season Pass to drive traffic; entering season with three water parks including Shipwreck Island and contributions from seven family entertainment centers acquired this year .
Q&A Highlights
- No transcript was available in our document set; the company hosted a webcast on May 8, 2025, but the Q&A content is not accessible here .
Estimates Context
- Outcome: Revenue Miss; EPS Miss; EBITDA Miss (note: consensus EBITDA definitions may differ from company Adjusted EBITDA).
- Values with asterisks are from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Corporate events weakness remains the principal headwind; tech-aligned markets are soft, pressuring comps and margins .
- Despite event softness, Food & Beverage growth and stable Retail/Leagues helped lift total revenue slightly YoY, indicating resilient core demand .
- Profitability compressed; watch location operating costs and elevated interest expense ($49.4M in Q3), which constrain earnings power near term .
- Capital allocation remains active: $47M buybacks (4.5M shares) and a $0.055 dividend; authorization remaining ~$92M provides flexibility .
- Guidance suspension introduces uncertainty; near-term estimate risk skewed downward after revenue/EPS/EBITDA misses vs consensus.*
- Summer Season Pass traction (>200k members; >$10.3M) and waterpark pass sales (>32k; >$3.2M) are catalysts to drive traffic/mix into summer .
- Balance sheet liquidity adequate (cash + revolver capacity ~$392M) despite net debt of ~$1.216B; monitor leverage and interest rate exposure .
Appendix: Full Document Citations
- Q3 FY2025 8-K, press release and exhibits:
- Q2 FY2025 10-Q:
- Summer Season Pass 8-K press release (June 16, 2025):
Values marked with asterisks were retrieved from S&P Global.