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MASCO CORP /DE/ (MAS)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Masco delivered a clean beat: Q2 revenue $2.051B vs $1.994B consensus and adjusted EPS $1.30 vs $1.08 consensus; operating margin expanded to 20.1% on cost productivity and favorable price-cost, partially offset by lower volume . Estimates marked with * are from S&P Global.*
- Segment divergence persisted: Plumbing grew 5% with adjusted margin up to 21.0%, while Decorative Architectural declined 12% (down ~4% ex-divestiture) amid soft DIY demand; Pro paint grew mid-single digits .
- Management restored 2025 guidance, lowering adjusted EPS to $3.90–$4.10 (from prior $4.20–$4.45) given enacted tariffs but expects mitigation via pricing, cost actions, and sourcing to largely offset in-year tariff costs; total company operating margin guided ~17% .
- Strategic/tactical levers: accelerated supply chain diversification (China exposure reduced 45% since 2018), disciplined pricing, and capital allocation with at least $450M earmarked for buybacks/M&A in 2025; Q2 buybacks were $101M .
- Near-term catalysts/risks: continued Pro paint share gains with Home Depot, Behr’s AI-driven ChatHUE color selection, and tariff cadence; watch Q3 working capital normalization and copper tariff clarity .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Margin expansion and EPS growth: “we expanded adjusted operating profit margin by 100 basis points to 20.1 percent, and we grew adjusted earnings per share by 8 percent to $1.30” — CEO Jon Nudi .
- Plumbing strength: North America Plumbing up 5% in local currency, e-commerce and trade channels “particularly strong,” with adjusted segment margin at 21.0% (+110 bps) .
- Pro paint resilience and strategy: Pro up mid-single digits; management emphasized partnership with Home Depot and sustained share gains, noting +70% Pro growth since 2020 .
- Innovation/AI: Behr launched ChatHUE with Google Cloud to reduce color-selection friction, supporting demand stimulation and brand leadership .
- Cost discipline: SG&A down $27M YoY in Q2, aided by divestiture and non-repeating cost favorability, boosting operating leverage .
What Went Wrong
- DIY paint softness: DIY down high-single digits as existing-home sales sit at a three-decade low; Decorative Architectural segment down 12% (ex-divestiture down ~4%) .
- Tariff and commodity headwinds: 2025 in-year tariff impact ~$140M before mitigation (mostly H2), with additional Q3 drag from a temporary 145% China tariff window flowing through inventory .
- Working capital pressure: LTM working capital at 20.1%; management expects ~17.5% by year-end but highlighted tariff-driven inflation and shorter payable terms as current drags .
Financial Results
Quarterly Performance
Q2 2025 Actual vs Consensus
Values with * are retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Breakdown
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Note: Q1’25 guidance was suspended due to tariff uncertainty and is superseded by Q2’25 restored guidance .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are restoring our financial guidance for 2025… We anticipate our full year adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $3.90 to $4.10.” — Jon Nudi, President & CEO .
- “Operating profit increased 4% to $413 million… driven by cost productivity initiatives, favorable SG&A, and a positive price-cost relationship, partially offset by lower volume.” — CFO Rick Westenberg .
- “Pro paint… grew mid-single digits… we think there’s a lot more room to run… partnership with The Home Depot continues to result in growth.” — CEO Jon Nudi .
- “Annualized cost impact of incremental tariffs is approximately $210M… 2025 in-year impact ~$140M before mitigation… mitigation will largely offset direct cost impacts.” — CFO Rick Westenberg .
- “Delta Faucet… leading in e-commerce… staying ahead as AI changes consumer search.” — CEO Jon Nudi .
Q&A Highlights
- Capital allocation: ≥$450M 2025 deployment, with remaining post-H1 likely to buybacks absent M&A; H1 repurchases ~$230M .
- Pricing realization and elasticity: Plumbing price benefits (~3% in Q2; mid-single-digit full-year), with some second-half volume moderation and minor Q2 pre-buy .
- Tariff cadence: Temporary 145% China tariff window (Apr–May) flowing through Q3 inventory; mitigation split across pricing and cost actions; sourcing footprint accelerates into 2026 .
- Working capital drivers: Tariff-related inflation, pricing impacting nominal balances, shorter payable terms; YE ~17.5% target .
- E-commerce differentiation: Delta’s talent/capabilities driving outperformance despite broader channel pressure .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 beat: Revenue $2.051B vs $1.994B consensus*; adjusted EPS $1.30 vs $1.08 consensus* .
- Forward setup: Street sees Q3 2025 EPS ~$1.03* and revenue ~$1.94B*, with potential upward revisions on sustained margin execution and Pro strength. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q2 print was high quality: broad-based margin execution delivered double-digit operating margin expansion and an EPS beat despite top-line pressure in DIY .
- Segment mix matters: overweight to Plumbing and growing Pro paint partially insulates from cyclical DIY softness; sustained share gains with Home Depot are strategic .
- Tariff risk is now quantified and actively mitigated; expect second-half headwinds but management aims for dollar-for-dollar offset in 2025 .
- Guidance reset reduces risk: EPS range now reflects enacted tariffs; monitor cadence of copper/reciprocal tariffs and sourcing progress for 2026 uplift .
- Working capital normalization is a near-term cash flow catalyst as tariff-driven balances ease toward ~17.5% by YE .
- Behr’s ChatHUE AI is a differentiated demand enabler; watch for adoption metrics and conversion impacts in coming quarters .
- Trading lens: Favor near-term on estimate revisions and margin durability; medium-term thesis hinges on tariff landscape, Pro paint share gains, and plumbing innovation/e-commerce scaling .
Notes on non-GAAP: Adjusted results exclude rationalization charges and apply a normalized 24.5% tax rate; Q2 adjusted EPS $1.30 vs GAAP $1.28; reconciliations provided in Exhibit A .