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MASCO CORP /DE/ (MAS)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Masco delivered a clean beat: Q2 revenue $2.051B vs $1.994B consensus and adjusted EPS $1.30 vs $1.08 consensus; operating margin expanded to 20.1% on cost productivity and favorable price-cost, partially offset by lower volume . Estimates marked with * are from S&P Global.*
  • Segment divergence persisted: Plumbing grew 5% with adjusted margin up to 21.0%, while Decorative Architectural declined 12% (down ~4% ex-divestiture) amid soft DIY demand; Pro paint grew mid-single digits .
  • Management restored 2025 guidance, lowering adjusted EPS to $3.90–$4.10 (from prior $4.20–$4.45) given enacted tariffs but expects mitigation via pricing, cost actions, and sourcing to largely offset in-year tariff costs; total company operating margin guided ~17% .
  • Strategic/tactical levers: accelerated supply chain diversification (China exposure reduced 45% since 2018), disciplined pricing, and capital allocation with at least $450M earmarked for buybacks/M&A in 2025; Q2 buybacks were $101M .
  • Near-term catalysts/risks: continued Pro paint share gains with Home Depot, Behr’s AI-driven ChatHUE color selection, and tariff cadence; watch Q3 working capital normalization and copper tariff clarity .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Margin expansion and EPS growth: “we expanded adjusted operating profit margin by 100 basis points to 20.1 percent, and we grew adjusted earnings per share by 8 percent to $1.30” — CEO Jon Nudi .
  • Plumbing strength: North America Plumbing up 5% in local currency, e-commerce and trade channels “particularly strong,” with adjusted segment margin at 21.0% (+110 bps) .
  • Pro paint resilience and strategy: Pro up mid-single digits; management emphasized partnership with Home Depot and sustained share gains, noting +70% Pro growth since 2020 .
  • Innovation/AI: Behr launched ChatHUE with Google Cloud to reduce color-selection friction, supporting demand stimulation and brand leadership .
  • Cost discipline: SG&A down $27M YoY in Q2, aided by divestiture and non-repeating cost favorability, boosting operating leverage .

What Went Wrong

  • DIY paint softness: DIY down high-single digits as existing-home sales sit at a three-decade low; Decorative Architectural segment down 12% (ex-divestiture down ~4%) .
  • Tariff and commodity headwinds: 2025 in-year tariff impact ~$140M before mitigation (mostly H2), with additional Q3 drag from a temporary 145% China tariff window flowing through inventory .
  • Working capital pressure: LTM working capital at 20.1%; management expects ~17.5% by year-end but highlighted tariff-driven inflation and shorter payable terms as current drags .

Financial Results

Quarterly Performance

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.828 $1.801 $2.051
Gross Margin %34.7% 35.8% 37.6%
Operating Margin %15.9% 15.9% 20.1%
Diluted EPS (GAAP) ($)$0.85 $0.87 $1.28
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.89 $0.87 $1.30

Q2 2025 Actual vs Consensus

MetricQ2 2025 ActualQ2 2025 Consensus
Revenue ($USD Billions)$2.051 $1.994*
Adjusted EPS ($)$1.30 $1.08*

Values with * are retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment Breakdown

Segment MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Plumbing Net Sales ($USD Billions)$1.253 $1.185 $1.312
Plumbing Operating Margin % (Adj)19.9% 18.5% 21.0%
Decorative Net Sales ($USD Billions)$0.838 $0.617 $0.738
Decorative Operating Margin % (Adj)20.8% 15.6% 21.3%

KPIs

KPIQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Liquidity ($USD Billions)$1.634 $1.246 $1.344
Cash & Cash Investments ($USD Billions)$0.634 $0.377 $0.390
Share Repurchases ($USD Millions)$268 $130 $101
Dividend per Share Declared ($)$0.31 $0.31 $0.31
Working Capital as % of Sales (LTM)15.1% 18.7% 20.1%
Gross Debt / EBITDA (x)2.0x 2.0x 2.0x

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted EPSFY2025$4.20–$4.45 (Q4’24) $3.90–$4.10 (Q2’25) Lowered
GAAP EPSFY2025Not provided$3.87–$4.07 (Q2’25) New
Total Co. Operating MarginFY2025Not provided~17% New
Tax RateFY2025~24.5% (baseline) 24.5% Maintained
Avg. Diluted SharesFY2025Not provided~211M New
Plumbing SalesFY2025Not providedUp low-single digits (price > volume) New
Plumbing MarginFY2025Not provided~18.5% New
Decorative SalesFY2025Not providedDown low-double digits; mid-single digits ex-divestiture New
Decorative MarginFY2025Not provided~18% New
Capital AllocationFY2025Returned $1.0B in FY’24 ≥$450M to buybacks/M&A; capex ~$175M; dividend $1.24/sh New specificity
Working Capital % of SalesFY2025 YENot provided~17.5% expected by year-end New
Tariff Impact (in-year)FY2025Not quantified~$140M before mitigation; largely offset expected New

Note: Q1’25 guidance was suspended due to tariff uncertainty and is superseded by Q2’25 restored guidance .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’24 & Q1’25)Current Period (Q2’25)Trend
Tariffs/MacroQ4’24 guided including China tariffs; Q1’25 withheld guidance due to uncertainty Annualized impact ~$210M; 2025 in-year ~$140M before mitigation; offset via pricing/cost/sourcing; temporary 145% China tariff window impacts Q3 Visibility improved; quantified offsets; still volatile
Pricing & MitigationEarly pricing actions; cost savings emphasized Low- to mid-single-digit pricing benefit in Plumbing; dollar-for-dollar offset goal Pricing remains key lever
Pro vs DIY PaintQ1: Pro up mid-single digits; DIY down high-single digits Continuation: Pro up mid-single digits; DIY soft on low existing-home sales Pro strength; DIY headwinds persist
Plumbing DemandQ1: NA plumbing up modestly NA plumbing +5% LC; strong e-com & trade; some pre-buy ahead of tariffs Strengthening with minor timing effects
Supply Chain & SourcingChina exposure reduced 45% since 2018; ongoing diversification Further acceleration of resourcing; end state not quantified; resilient multi-country footprint Accelerating diversification
AI/Tech InitiativesN/ABehr launched ChatHUE with Google Cloud AI to enhance color selection New digital demand enabler
E-commerceN/ADelta outperformance in e-commerce; building capabilities to stay ahead amid AI-driven search shifts Structural growth channel
Working CapitalQ4’24: 15.1% of sales Q2 LTM 20.1%; YE target ~17.5%; tariffs influencing receivables/inventory/payables cadence Elevated short-term; normalization targeted
Regional TrendsQ1: Int’l flat LC Europe stable; China challenged; NA down 3% LC excluding divestiture Mixed, with China drag
Regulatory/LegalQ4’24 referenced tariffs; guidance included Copper tariffs uncertainty; awaiting composition (HS codes) before quantification Ongoing policy risk

Management Commentary

  • “We are restoring our financial guidance for 2025… We anticipate our full year adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $3.90 to $4.10.” — Jon Nudi, President & CEO .
  • “Operating profit increased 4% to $413 million… driven by cost productivity initiatives, favorable SG&A, and a positive price-cost relationship, partially offset by lower volume.” — CFO Rick Westenberg .
  • “Pro paint… grew mid-single digits… we think there’s a lot more room to run… partnership with The Home Depot continues to result in growth.” — CEO Jon Nudi .
  • “Annualized cost impact of incremental tariffs is approximately $210M… 2025 in-year impact ~$140M before mitigation… mitigation will largely offset direct cost impacts.” — CFO Rick Westenberg .
  • “Delta Faucet… leading in e-commerce… staying ahead as AI changes consumer search.” — CEO Jon Nudi .

Q&A Highlights

  • Capital allocation: ≥$450M 2025 deployment, with remaining post-H1 likely to buybacks absent M&A; H1 repurchases ~$230M .
  • Pricing realization and elasticity: Plumbing price benefits (~3% in Q2; mid-single-digit full-year), with some second-half volume moderation and minor Q2 pre-buy .
  • Tariff cadence: Temporary 145% China tariff window (Apr–May) flowing through Q3 inventory; mitigation split across pricing and cost actions; sourcing footprint accelerates into 2026 .
  • Working capital drivers: Tariff-related inflation, pricing impacting nominal balances, shorter payable terms; YE ~17.5% target .
  • E-commerce differentiation: Delta’s talent/capabilities driving outperformance despite broader channel pressure .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 beat: Revenue $2.051B vs $1.994B consensus*; adjusted EPS $1.30 vs $1.08 consensus* .
  • Forward setup: Street sees Q3 2025 EPS ~$1.03* and revenue ~$1.94B*, with potential upward revisions on sustained margin execution and Pro strength. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Q2 print was high quality: broad-based margin execution delivered double-digit operating margin expansion and an EPS beat despite top-line pressure in DIY .
  • Segment mix matters: overweight to Plumbing and growing Pro paint partially insulates from cyclical DIY softness; sustained share gains with Home Depot are strategic .
  • Tariff risk is now quantified and actively mitigated; expect second-half headwinds but management aims for dollar-for-dollar offset in 2025 .
  • Guidance reset reduces risk: EPS range now reflects enacted tariffs; monitor cadence of copper/reciprocal tariffs and sourcing progress for 2026 uplift .
  • Working capital normalization is a near-term cash flow catalyst as tariff-driven balances ease toward ~17.5% by YE .
  • Behr’s ChatHUE AI is a differentiated demand enabler; watch for adoption metrics and conversion impacts in coming quarters .
  • Trading lens: Favor near-term on estimate revisions and margin durability; medium-term thesis hinges on tariff landscape, Pro paint share gains, and plumbing innovation/e-commerce scaling .

Notes on non-GAAP: Adjusted results exclude rationalization charges and apply a normalized 24.5% tax rate; Q2 adjusted EPS $1.30 vs GAAP $1.28; reconciliations provided in Exhibit A .