MasterCraft Boat - Earnings Call - Q4 2025
August 27, 2025
Transcript
Speaker 5
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. fiscal fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in the listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you would need to press star one one on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advise your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Scott Kent, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead, sir.
Speaker 2
Thank you, Operator, and welcome, everyone. Thank you for joining us today as we discuss MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.'s fiscal fourth quarter and full-year performance for 2025. As a reminder, today's call is being webcast live and will also be archived on our website for future listening. With me on this morning's call is Brad Nelson, Chief Executive Officer. We will begin with an overview of our operational performance. After that, I will discuss our financial performance. Brad will then provide some closing remarks before we open the call for questions. Before we begin, we would like to remind participants that the information contained in this call is current only as of today, August 27, 2025. The company assumes no obligation to update any statements, including forward-looking statements. Statements that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements and subject to a safe harbor disclaimer in today's press release.
Additionally, on this conference call, we will discuss non-GAAP measures that include or exclude items not indicative of our ongoing operations. For each non-GAAP measure, we will also provide the most directly comparable GAAP measure in today's press release, which includes a reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to our GAAP results. There is also a slide deck summarizing our financial results in the investor section of our website. As a reminder, unless otherwise noted, the following commentary is made on a continuing operations basis, and all references to specific quarters and periods will be on a fiscal basis. With that, I will turn the call over to Brad.
Speaker 4
Thank you, Scott, and good morning, everyone. We close fiscal 2025 with a strong fourth quarter, outperforming expectations in what remains a challenging geopolitical and retail environment. This performance was driven by robust demand for ultra-premium products and disciplined cost control. Q4 net sales increased $25 million, or 46% year over year, and adjusted EBITDA rose nearly $8 million. I would like to thank each of our team members and dealers for their dedication and execution as we continue to navigate through this dynamic industry cycle. From the outset of the year, our priorities were clear: to control what is most meaningful, such as optimizing channel inventory, championing innovation, and positioning us for the next upcycle. We have strengthened dealer health, advanced new product and brand initiatives, returned capital to shareholders, and maintained a strong balance sheet by maximizing earnings and cash flow.
We recall that our initial guidance range for fiscal 2025 reflected the uncertain demand environment. We carefully planned for multiple scenarios. Over the course of the year, the marine industry faced continued pressure from macroeconomic uncertainty, persistent elevated interest rates, and a volatile trade environment. Consumer sentiment stayed cautious, and unit retail performance for our brands ended within the lower end of our projected range. Even so, our operational execution allowed us to deliver results near the high end of our original earnings guidance. Despite recent headwinds and low cycle volumes, we maintained focus on our strategic and operational priorities. Across our MasterCraft and Crest brands, we removed more than 900 units from dealer inventories near the high end of our targeted range. Our production discipline delivered the largest Q3 to Q4 field inventory reduction in our history, excluding the pandemic. These actions strengthened dealer health.
We also expanded distribution in key markets. Our MasterCraft brand launched its flagship X-Star product in fiscal 2025, once again establishing our leadership in the ultra-premium ski-wake category, creating a positive halo effect across the lineup. Our team is already preparing another major premium launch for model year 2026, which we will detail later. At the least, our premium pontoon brand made progress in its first full year, contributing modest incremental volume as production ramped in our Owosso, Michigan facility, where Crest has successfully operated for nearly 70 years. We've stayed disciplined in our capital allocation approach. Fiscal 2025 free cash flow was $29 million, despite low cycle volumes.
This cash flow, in addition to the $26 million proceeds from the sale of our Merritt Island facility, enabled us to fully repay all outstanding debt, strengthen our balance sheet, and reduce interest expense, while deploying nearly $10 million to our share repurchase program. As a result, net cash and investments grew by more than $42 million to $79 million, leaving us debt-free with one of the strongest balance sheets in the industry. This gives us the resilience to withstand a prolonged down cycle while continuing to invest in product innovation, channel development, and operational excellence. We are well positioned for long-term growth. Looking ahead to fiscal 2026, we're expecting some uncertainty to continue, and we are prepared for a range of demand and inventory scenarios. Consistent across the leisure sector, we are partnering with our dealers to fine-tune inventories, which may result in some modest restocking in 2026.
Additionally, we expect retail units in our markets to decline 5 to 10% in fiscal 2026. Our cost control discipline and tight working capital management should allow us to generate positive free cash flow again this year, underscoring the flexibility of our variable operating model. Over the longer term, we see favorable underlying secular trends across the industry. Our brands are well positioned in key markets, and demographic and migration patterns continue to favor boating-friendly, high-income states. Interest in outdoor recreation remains strong across all age groups, benefiting all of our product lines and brands. MasterCraft remains the top-selling brand in the high-margin ski-wake space, a testament to our brand strength, strong dealers, and loyal customers. The category wins premium, and our product innovation strategy supports sustained leadership. In our pontoon segment, we continue to refine our Crest lineup to expand our market reach and presence over the long term.
This positions us well to weather short-term industry and macro headwinds, including elevated interest rates and inventory levels across the category, and capitalize on the next market recovery. Our new ultra-premium Belize product brings a new level of customer and dealer base, offering a differentiated pontoon experience. Despite near-term market challenges, our segments have outperformed the broader pontoon boat market over the past decade, and our brands are positioned for long-term growth. Our strong balance sheet supports ongoing investment in innovation, selective and disciplined M&A, and continued shareholder return. We expect share repurchases in fiscal 2026 to exceed last year's levels. Innovation continues to be the lifeblood of the MasterCraft brand.
Our broader model year 2026 lineup includes a range of new features and enhancements, such as our advanced stern thruster with proportional control for effortless maneuvering, Meridian Audio for a premium on-water listening experience, and keyless ignition for safe, convenient startups. Building on the momentum of last year's successful X-Star launch, we are excited to announce the all-new redesigned MasterCraft X family. This cornerstone of the MasterCraft legacy has been re-engineered, delivering more power, precision, and presence than ever before, combining elite performance with refined luxury. In July, we again sponsored the American Century Championship in Lake Tahoe, showcasing the X-Star 23 and X-Star 25, which was met with strong dealer and consumer response. Crest's new Conquest series and Conquest SE expand and enhance our value offering in pontoons.
For model year 2026, we are expanding the Belize family with the launch of our new Halo series, twin engine configurations, and broader customization options, along with expanded dealer coverage. With that, I'll turn it back to Scott to review the financials.
Speaker 2
Thanks, Brad. In Q4, net sales were $79.5 million, up $25 million, or 46% year over year, driven by favorable mix, higher volumes, and lower dealer incentives. Gross margins improved 740 basis points to 23.2%. Adjusted net income rose to $6.6 million, or $0.40 per share, up from $0.04 per share last year. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $8 million to $9.5 million. Turning to our full-year fiscal 2025 financial results, we concluded with net sales of $284.2 million, a decrease of $38 million, or 12% from the prior year. This was primarily due to the planned reduction in unit sales volume, partially offset by favorable mix and options. For the year, our gross margin was 20% compared to the prior year of 22.2%. These margins were primarily the result of lower cost absorption and price adjustments, partially offset by favorable mix and options.
Operating expenses were $45.6 million for the year, an increase of $1.5 million when compared to the prior year due to the return of variable compensation and commercial launch activities. We continue to tightly manage discretionary spend, and operating expenses remain well controlled. Turning to the bottom line, adjusted net income for the year was $15.1 million, or $0.92 per diluted share. This compares to adjusted net income of $28.9 million, or $1.69 per share in the prior year, calculated using an effective tax rate of 20% for both periods. We generated $24.4 million of adjusted EBITDA for the year compared to $40.2 million in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 8.6% compared to 12.5% in fiscal 2024. As Brad stated, we generated $29 million of free cash flow during fiscal 2025.
Our ability to generate cash, even in a down market, allows us to continue to invest in innovation and other long-term growth initiatives. This execution has provided us with a strong financial position as we continue to navigate through the current cycle. We ended the year with $79 million in cash and short-term investments, no debt, and ample liquidity. We repurchased over 530,000 shares, totaling $9.5 million in fiscal 2025, bringing cumulative repurchases to 3.1 million shares and $74 million since we started the share repurchase program, a 14% benefit to full-year adjusted EPS. Turning to the volatile trade and tariff environment, the impact of our fiscal 2025 results was marginal. In fiscal 2026, we anticipate offsetting most direct costs with temporary price surcharge and expect the profit impact to be negligible.
The broader tariff impact on volume and overall sentiment from the uncertain macro environment is more difficult to estimate. The potential impact is embedded in our retail projections for the year. Now turning to our expectations for fiscal 2026, as discussed earlier, our guidance reflects an assumption of retail unit sales being down between 5% and 10%. This cautious approach is indicative of macro and market uncertainties as we exit the summer selling season. Despite another year of projected retail decline, we expect net sales to increase over fiscal 2025 to between $295 million and $310 million and adjusted EBITDA between $29 million and $34 million. We expect diluted earnings per share to be between $1.15 and $1.40. We expect capital expenditures to be approximately $9 million for the full year.
Q1 net sales are expected to be near $69 million or $67 million with adjusted EBITDA of $4 million and adjusted earnings per share of approximately $0.16. The Q1 guidance reflects a lower Q1 ASP as we transition to the next generation of our X Series product line, which will begin shipping in our second fiscal quarter. With that, I'll turn the call back to Brad for his closing remarks.
Speaker 4
Thank you, Scott. Our business executed well during fiscal 2025 as we advanced product innovation, improved dealer health, and maintained capital and operational discipline. Since 2021, we've returned more than $74 million of excess cash to our shareholders. Our strong balance sheet provides us with the financial flexibility to pursue our strategic growth initiatives. As we look ahead to fiscal 2026, our plans are built for a range of demand scenarios, and our track record shows we can execute through various market conditions. Our focus remains on supporting our dealers and optimizing the business for the long term. Our flexible operating model and brand equity remain a competitive advantage, and we are poised to capitalize on the next market recovery.
As we navigate this dynamic environment, we are well positioned to leverage our strong portfolio of brands and explore long-term growth opportunities while maintaining the flexibility to return capital to shareholders. Operator, you may now open the line for questions.
Speaker 5
Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star one one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. Our first question will come from Joseph Nicholas Altobello with Raymond James & Associates. Your line is open.
Speaker 6
Thank you. Hey, guys. Good morning. I guess first couple of questions on retail. Maybe kind of walk us through what you saw in terms of cadence throughout the quarter and what you're seeing here in Q1. Is it within that sort of 5% to 10% decline that you kind of laid out for the full year?
Speaker 2
Our fourth quarter for us was a pretty good quarter on the MasterCraft side, a little weaker on the pontoon side. Obviously, we don't index completely on the current short-term months and just starting the season, but we still believe the 5 to 10% with how we're starting out the year is still possible.
Speaker 4
Also, Joe, despite those lower retail assumptions, we still believe we can see wholesale growth this year due to proactive measures that we've taken in 2025 and will continue to take throughout 2026 as far as lowering inventory, the pipeline and inventory levels. That helps us on the wholesale side, really positioning for that next market upswing.
Speaker 6
Okay. Just kind of to follow up on that, you mentioned that you took out over 900 units out of the channel this year. Where do dealer turns stand today since you're implying, I think, that you might need to take out more units out of the channel this year? Where do dealer turns stand today, and how does that compare to historical norms?
Speaker 2
We don't typically quote our turns, but obviously, the dealer inventories are in a healthier place because we took so many boats out. Really, the destocking next year would really be more because we expect retail to be down a little bit more. We need to continue to make sure our channels stay healthy and bring those down. At the end of the day, the amount of destocking will really depend on how retail shakes out.
Speaker 4
We don't think it'll be as extreme in 2026 as 2025. It's more fine-tuning at this point, certainly dependent on retail.
Speaker 6
Okay. Understood. Thank you.
Speaker 5
The next question will come from Craig R. Kennison with Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated. Your line is open.
Speaker 1
Thanks for taking my question as well. I just wanted to maybe dig into the consumer dynamic this summer. We had the tariff headwinds, which clearly impacted consumer sentiment in your category, and then we've had some relief lately. I think there's some optimism around your consumer today, but I'm wondering how you see it, given all these cross headwinds and tailwinds.
Speaker 4
Morning, Craig. The way we look at that right now is, like everybody out there in the discretionary space, we're looking for something sustained. It's been stops and starts. At the consumer level, the market, as we see it, is leaning premium, and we expect that to continue. That helps us. We're in a good position there because of our brand strength and our premium offerings, as well as the premium nature of our dealer network. Some of the tariff overlay certainly has some impact and continued uncertainty. We expect that to continue. It's just been chugging along. We definitely would like to see more sustained retail activity moving forward.
Speaker 1
Thanks. Maybe just thinking about the price surcharge that you mentioned and thinking about that in the broader context of affordability, I hear you that the premium consumer is definitely hanging in there better than that payment-sensitive buyer. I suspect you're going to want that payment-sensitive buyer to come back to really fuel your cyclical recovery. What are you doing, I guess, to get after that affordability trend that has been elusive in marine?
Speaker 4
Yeah. Thanks, Craig. As a reminder, recall that our pricing in MasterCraft during model year 2025 was flat to even down. We lowered prices on some of our more entry-level products, the NXT line, and even some of our XT midline product, which is helping. Certainly, the more entry-level products do require more of the mass market to be healthy at the consumer level. In an elevated interest rate environment, that continues to unfold. We use discounting where needed. Certainly, lower interest rates could help spur things, and we'll see what happens there for finance buyers. For 2026, it's challenging to have two years in a row of lowering prices just due to tariff inflations. We're controlling costs to give us flexibility there and then use programs and discounting on a spot basis where needed.
Speaker 1
If I could sneak one more in, just on the dealer network, I wonder if you could give us an update on some of your wins and maybe the net gains that you've had from a dealer perspective.
Speaker 4
Yeah. We've been working on and will continue to work on strengthening distribution. We look at that in two areas. There's white space coverage that still needs more coverage out there. That's one angle. The second angle is really increasing and fine-tuning density within existing geographies with existing dealers, which means adding rooftops and growing markets. There are always shifting demographics, traffic patterns, buying patterns. Even weather can shape this, weather trends. We've seen some. I'd highlight a couple of examples. We've made changes in the number one ski-wake market in the United States, which is Dallas, Texas. We've made some dealer changes there. Houston is another one that I'd like to highlight. Another example would be in southern Utah, in St. George, where we've got a great dealer out there that added a rooftop in a great demographic market. Coeur d'Alene, Idaho is another example.
There is always a handful of these that we're working on. So far, we're seeing those benefit us.
Speaker 1
Thanks, Brad.
Speaker 5
Our next question will come from Eric Wold with Texas Capital Securities. Your line is open.
Speaker 3
Thank you. Good morning, guys. I have two questions. One, within the fiscal 2026 guidance, given your comments around your retail sales expectations and continued destocking that may be needed in the channel, is the assumption for fiscal 2026 net sales guidance growth assuming kind of continued uptick in ASPs for both the MasterCraft and pontoon segments driving that growth, with both the launch of the new brands in both the segments? Is that part of the driver behind that revenue growth, a continued uptick in ASPs as part of that, given that you expect overall net retail sales and destocking to continue to move lower a little bit?
Speaker 2
Units are probably the bigger driver as we manage the inventory as well this year. We're able to have a wholesale growth despite the retail growth. On the ASP front for the full year, you can sort of expect ASPs overall are going to be fairly flat. MasterCraft should be up a little bit, while pontoons will be a little flatter. We got a little bit of mix going on between the two segments. You can kind of expect relatively flat for the full year. Keep in mind that this year we had a higher ASP in the second half than the first half, and that is going to happen again this year. Those X Series launches, with them starting shipping in Q2, our ASPs are going to be a little lower in the first half and a little higher in the second half.
We're going to have kind of that, again, a theme of second half is going to be a little stronger than first half from an ASP's perspective.
Speaker 3
Got it.
Speaker 4
For the year, ASPs up across the board.
Speaker 3
Okay. Last question, kind of going back to follow up on one of the prior questions, kind of on that payment buyer, the lower-end buyer. I know we'll get to a kind of a two-part question as we get to a period where you know hopefully rates do start to come down. Where do you think the inflection is for rates to kind of, you know, from what you've heard from your dealers, to kind of get that payment buyer more comfortable in terms of the cost of ownership, to kind of get them over the line to maybe want to buy again? I know we're going to be getting into the point probably where rates start to tick lower as we get into boat show season. They'll probably start happening somewhat simultaneously, you know, but maybe not enough of rate coming down as boat show season starts.
Do you think you kind of have to prod those buyers maybe with another season of promotional help? You know, to kind of think maybe not lose another boat show season as rates start to tick lower to maybe get another season of discounting to kind of get those guys across the line maybe a little bit earlier than they may, you know, want to be?
Speaker 4
Yeah, Eric, difficult to predict. We do see pockets where it seems like consumers and dealers alike are getting used to a higher interest rate environment in general compared to, you know, almost free money for a long period of time prior. There's evidence of some potential downticks out there. That's for any of those things help. Obviously, there's impact here at the consumer level for purchases for a payment buyer, as well as dealer holding costs for floor planning. We've seen pockets where it's less impactful, but overall, it does provide still somewhat of a drag on consumer sentiment. We expect that uncertainty to continue, and we'll see what happens with rates, but certainly any downward tick would be an improvement. We have not built into our current guidance any interest rate downtick. If that were to move favorable, that could potentially drive some upside for us.
Speaker 3
Perfect. Thanks, guys.
Speaker 5
The next question will come from Anna Glaessgen with B. Riley Securities. Your line is open.
Speaker 0
Hey, good morning, guys. Thanks for taking my question. Just a follow-up on Eric's. You spoke to, you know, retail expectations to be down to 5 to 10% and then spoke to destocking, but it sounds like the guidance is assuming units are up. I just want to clarify how we get in there. Thanks.
Speaker 4
That was a little hard to hear, Anna. What I heard was maybe a question on maybe more color on dealer destocking. Could you please restate?
Speaker 0
Sorry. I was just asking, given the expectation for retail decline in fiscal 2026 plus potential destocking in response to that, how does that get to units ending up up for the year?
Speaker 2
Yeah, I don't think we're going to talk about a range this year because it's really going to depend on where retail shakes out on what kind of destocking. As Brad mentioned, it's going to be fairly modest this year. It's not going to be as much of a major driver to us as it was last year.
Speaker 4
Yeah, in general, on inventory, broadly speaking, we're comfortable with inventory levels as well as the improvement in the aging profile of existing channel inventory. What we're talking about here in 2026, as we sit here today, is we would like to see an increase in turns with dealers. That's really driven by market uncertainty at the retail level. Now, when we start to see sustained retail spiking, then that's better. It is more of a fine-tuning adjustment in the cycle or in the channel as far as inventory levels.
Speaker 0
Got it. On the pacing of that destocking, it sounds like it would be consistent throughout the year in response to retail movement. It doesn't seem like it would be front-loaded in the first half or the first quarter, right? If not in response to, you feel pretty good about inventory as they sit today.
Speaker 2
Yeah, it'll be more across the year as opposed to all happening in a single quarter. I mean, our Q1, we are still being a little careful with shipments just to make sure we don't put too much into the field, but we're not necessarily looking to start destocking. We don't expect destocking to immediately start happening right at Q1. It's really going to be based on where retail heads for the full year.
Speaker 0
Great. Thanks, guys.
Speaker 5
The next question comes from Noah Seth Zatzkin with KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc. Your line is open.
Speaker 3
Hi. Thanks for taking my questions. I guess first, I just would love to get your thoughts on kind of the health of the broader industry dealer base, as well as any insight into kind of broader industry inventory levels and how that dynamic impacts you. Thanks.
Speaker 2
Obviously, pulling out the 31% of the dealers' inventory this year really helped the dealers for sure and helped our channel. It's always better to have a little less inventory, especially in uncertain times, as Brad kind of mentioned there. That also means as we enter the year that our non-current inventories are lower than they were a year ago as well, and that also really helps with the dealer health side of things. That doesn't mean the dealers aren't continuing to be cautious, as they probably should in this environment, because we would, as Brad mentioned, love to see the dealers continuing to be able to have higher turns. I think it's good for them and it's good for us. Until we see something to give us a little bit more confidence in a sustained recovery, I expect our dealers are going to remain a little cautious out there.
Speaker 4
We're not hearing a lot about canceled orders right now, Noah. We track dealer health as well very closely in partnership with floor plan providers, very disciplined about that. We don't see a giant risk right now as far as dealer failures. Across the industry, we're seeing better health this year projected forward than the prior year on overall channel inventory. The pontoon market is lagging behind the ski-wake category with inventory health. There are still a couple of competitors out there that are working through challenges there that do have impact for us and really anyone in that space.
Speaker 2
The other thing that will help dealer health is if we do start seeing some interest rate declines as well. It helps us on the cost side, but it also really helps the dealers, and it'll certainly add to dealer health if their interest rates can be a little lower going into the year as well.
Speaker 3
Very helpful. Maybe just one more, you know, obviously challenging environment, but just any thoughts kind of around how you're thinking about M&A? Thanks.
Speaker 4
You bet. Thanks, Noah. We're continuing our approach, which is very careful, very selective, and opportunistic from an inorganic growth perspective. We're very proud of our organic strategic growth initiatives that we continue to fully fund internally. Our strong balance sheet that we've been disciplined with does give us flexibility there with M&A, but we will continue to be highly selective.
Speaker 3
Great. Thank you.
Speaker 5
Thank you. I am showing no further questions at this time. I would like to thank you for participating, and this does conclude today's conference call. You may now disconnect and have a great day.