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MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. (MCFT)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 FY2025 net sales were $65.4M, down 30.7% YoY, but ahead of the company’s prior Q1 guide ($61M); Adjusted EPS was $0.12 vs guidance of ~$0.04, and Adjusted EBITDA was $3.8M vs guidance of ~$2.0M, reflecting stronger-than-expected retail and accelerated dealer inventory reductions. Bold beat: revenue, Adjusted EPS, Adjusted EBITDA vs internal guidance .
  • Gross margin fell 570 bps YoY to 18.1% on lower production cost absorption and higher dealer incentives; Adjusted EBITDA margin was 5.9% vs 14.9% YoY .
  • Management raised the lower end of FY2025 guidance (sales to $270–$300M; Adjusted EBITDA $17–$26M; Adjusted EPS $0.55–$0.95) and guided Q2 FY2025 net sales ~$60M, Adjusted EBITDA ~$1M, and Adjusted loss per share ~($0.01); capital expenditures remain ~$12M .
  • Strategic updates: Aviara brand transfer closed Oct 18, 2024 and the Merritt Island facility sale for $26.5M is expected to close in Q2; dealer inventories reduced ~500 units in Q1, with turns back to pre-pandemic levels; focus shifts to premium launches (XStar) and Balise growth .
  • Stock reaction catalysts: raised guidance lower bound, stronger retail vs expectations, significant dealer destocking, and upcoming premium product launches; offset by margin pressure from incentives and cautious wholesale through H1 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Results exceeded internal Q1 guidance: Sales $65.4M vs ~$61M, Adjusted EPS $0.12 vs ~$0.04, Adjusted EBITDA $3.8M vs ~$2.0M, driven by better retail and inventory actions .
  • Dealer inventory reductions ahead of plan (nearly 500 units in Q1; >1,000 units over 12 months), with turns back to pre-pandemic ranges; management cites positive retail momentum and lower floor plan costs as rates ease .
  • Strategic portfolio focus: Aviara brand transfer completed and facility sale expected in Q2, enhancing financial flexibility; FY guide raised at the lower end reflecting improved visibility .

Management quotes:

  • “We delivered results above expectations…led by significant progress rebalancing dealer inventories and sets a strong foundation for the rest of the fiscal year.” – CEO Brad Nelson .
  • “We have no net debt as our cash and short-term investments exceeded our debt by more than $33 million.” – CFO Tim Oxley .
  • “We are raising the lower end of our full year guidance.” – CEO Brad Nelson .

What Went Wrong

  • Top-line and profitability down sharply YoY: net sales -30.7%, gross margin -570 bps, Adjusted EBITDA -$10.2M YoY; lower production volumes and elevated incentives pressured margins .
  • Pontoon segment softness: consolidated units -35.6% YoY; pontoon units -51.1% YoY and net sales -46.8% YoY amid rate-sensitive entry-level consumer; promotional environment remains highly competitive .
  • Continued caution in wholesale through H1 due to market uncertainty and carrying costs; Q2 guide implies low margins (Adj EBITDA ~$1M; Adj LPS ~($0.01)) before H2 mix and overhead absorption improvement .

Financial Results

Consolidated P&L vs Prior Periods and Internal Guidance

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Net Sales ($USD Millions)$95.7 $67.2 $65.4
Gross Margin (%)19.2% 12.2% 18.1%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$9.7 $0.8 $3.8
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)10.1% 1.3% 5.9%
Diluted EPS – Continuing Ops ($)$0.23 ($0.49) $0.06
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.37 ($0.04) $0.12
Internal Guidance Comparison (Quarter)Q3: n/aQ4: n/aBeat: Sales $65.4M vs ~$61M, Adj EPS $0.12 vs ~$0.04, Adj EBITDA $3.8M vs ~$2.0M

Notes: Discontinued operations (Aviara) impacted total net income; tables focus on continuing operations and non-GAAP reconciliations per company disclosures .

YoY Comparison (Q1 FY2025 vs Q1 FY2024)

MetricQ1 2024Q1 2025
Net Sales ($USD Millions)$94.3 $65.4
Gross Margin (%)23.8% 18.1%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$14.0 $3.8
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)14.9% 5.9%
Diluted EPS – Continuing Ops ($)$0.50 $0.06
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.60 $0.12

Segment Breakdown (Q1 FY2025; continuing operations)

SegmentUnitsNet Sales ($USD Millions)Net Sales per Unit ($USD Thousands)
MasterCraft374 $55.5 $148
Pontoon177 $9.8 $56
Consolidated551 $65.4 $119

KPIs and Balance Sheet Highlights

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Consolidated Units805 560 551
Net Sales per Unit ($K)119 120 119
Share Repurchases ($USD Millions)$1.6 $4.5 $3.5
Cash + HTM Securities ($USD Millions)$105.7 $86.2 $82.8 (Cash $14.2 + HTM $68.6)
Gross Margin (%)19.2% 12.2% 18.1%

Additional liquidity notes: Company drew $49.5M on revolver (amendment/waiver related to Aviara transactions), leaving $50.5M available; CFO noted net cash and investments exceed debt by >$33M at quarter-end .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Consolidated Net Sales ($USD)FY 2025$265M–$300M $270M–$300M Raised lower end
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD)FY 2025$15M–$26M $17M–$26M Raised lower end
Adjusted EPS ($)FY 2025$0.36–$0.87 $0.55–$0.95 Raised both ends
Capital Expenditures ($USD)FY 2025~$12M ~$12M Maintained
Consolidated Net Sales ($USD)Q1 2025~$61M (pre-quarter guide) Actual: $65.4M Beat
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD)Q1 2025~$2.0M Actual: $3.8M Beat
Adjusted EPS ($)Q1 2025~$0.04 Actual: $0.12 Beat
Consolidated Net Sales ($USD)Q2 2025n/a~$60M New
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD)Q2 2025n/a~$1M New
Adjusted Loss per Share ($)Q2 2025n/a~($0.01) New
Balise Revenue ($USD)FY 2025~“$10M+” (prior commentary) ~“$10M+” Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Trend
Dealer inventory & destockingProactive reductions; target up to ~1,000 units; competitive pressure rising ~20% YoY reduction by FY-end; aiming 600–1,000 units in FY2025 Removed ~500 units Q1; turns back to pre-pandemic levels Improving dealer health; accelerated pipeline cleanup
Promotional environmentHeightened due to competitor distress; incentives used judiciously Elevated; continued caution in wholesale “Highly promotional”; expected to continue into boat shows; balanced support Still competitive; managed carefully
Interest rates / financingMacro uncertainty; rate hopes tempered Elevated rates impacting carrying costs Easing rates lowering floor plan costs; psychological boost to buyers Gradual improvement tailwind
Product innovationBalise launch; MY25 enhancements Premium pontoon strategy; accretive margins XStar redesign launch H2; Balise traction continues Mix shift to premium improving H2 margins
Aviara divestituren/aAnnounced asset exchange; exit brand Branding transfer closed; facility sale expected Q2 Portfolio streamlined; focus on core
ASP & mixPricing minimal; ASP driven by mix; MY25 pricing low single-digit n/aH2 ASP uplift from XStar; Q2 mix down Mix tailwind in H2
Capital allocationShare repurchases ongoing; strong balance sheet ~$16.3M repurchases in FY; fortress balance sheet Priorities unchanged; slower buybacks in Q2–Q3 due to credit terms Consistent discipline

Management Commentary

  • “We removed nearly 500 units…well ahead of schedule…dealer inventory turns are in the range of pre-pandemic levels.” – CEO Brad Nelson (prepared remarks) .
  • “Adjusted EBITDA was $3.8M for the quarter…we have no net debt…ended the quarter with nearly $83M of cash and short-term investments.” – CFO Tim Oxley .
  • “We are raising the lower end of our full year guidance…easing interest rates…could catalyze wholesale and retail demand.” – CEO Brad Nelson .
  • “XStar…completely redesigned…reestablishes our position in the ultra-premium ski/wake space; first shipments in the second half.” – CEO Brad Nelson .
  • “Balise remains on track (~$10M revenue) and accretive to pontoon margins; distribution expanding in target markets.” – CFO Tim Oxley .

Q&A Highlights

  • Retail performance surprised positively across brands; Tommys liquidation impact subdued, indicating strong brand loyalty; retail up YoY on a YTD basis .
  • Promotional environment expected to remain elevated through boat show season; company sharing discounting with dealers while staying balanced .
  • ASP dynamics: limited pricing contribution; H2 ASP uplift expected at MasterCraft from ultra-premium XStar; Q2 ASP/mix down modestly .
  • Margin trajectory: modest pressure in Q2 from mix and low absorption; improvement in H2 from higher production and premium mix (Balise, XStar) .
  • Capital allocation: fortress balance sheet, fund organic growth, maintain repurchases (slower pace near-term), selective inorganic opportunities; Aviara cash proceeds further enhance flexibility .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q1 FY2025 EPS and revenue was unavailable at time of analysis due to data access limitations. Once accessible, we will update comparisons and any beat/miss assessments against S&P Global consensus. Values to be sourced from S&P Global when available.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term: Bold beat vs internal guidance, improved retail, and accelerated dealer destocking should support sentiment into boat show season despite continued promotional intensity .
  • Mix inflection in H2: Premium launches (XStar) and accretive Balise pontoon mix are set to lift ASPs and margins as production ramps, offering a path to margin recovery in H2 FY2025 .
  • Guidance credibility: Raising FY2025 lower bound (sales, EBITDA) and higher EPS range signals improved visibility and cost control; monitor Q2 trough profitability before H2 improvement .
  • Balance sheet: Liquidity remains robust (Cash+HTM ~$82.8M; ample revolver availability); net cash position vs debt supports flexibility for innovation and measured buybacks .
  • Watch points: Gross margin headwinds from incentives and low absorption in H1; competitive discounting (especially in pontoons) and rate-sensitive consumers warrant caution .
  • Strategic focus: Exit of Aviara simplifies portfolio and reduces drag; Q2 facility sale proceeds add optionality for core brand investment and operational efficiency .
  • Trading implications: Stock likely reacts to the raised guidance lower bound and narrative of H2 margin recovery; risk skew from Q2 margin trough and promotional environment may cap near-term multiple expansion until evidence of H2 mix/absorption benefits materializes .