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    MARKETAXESS HOLDINGS (MKTX)

    MKTX Q2 2025: Portfolio trading share up 340bps; EM block +27%

    Reported on Aug 6, 2025
    Pre-Earnings PriceN/ADate unavailable
    Post-Earnings PriceN/ADate unavailable
    Price ChangeN/A
    • Innovative Product Expansion: The discussion highlighted strong momentum in new block trading initiatives across EM, Eurobonds, and U.S. Credit. The team is leveraging these innovations (e.g., the upcoming Midex launch) to capture additional market share and drive enhanced trading volumes.
    • Strategic Talent Additions: New executive hires, notably Spencer Lee and Dean Barry, are expected to accelerate growth by deepening product expertise and execution in key channels such as portfolio trading and dealer-to-dealer solutions.
    • Robust Client Adoption and Fee Capture Improvements: The Q&A emphasized growing client adoption across multiple platforms, with notable increases in portfolio trading and block trading volumes leading to improved fee capture trends, supporting a stronger competitive position.
    • Weakening U.S. High Grade Market Share: In July, the share in U.S. High Grade dropped to 10% from 12% the previous month, indicating that significant block volumes are moving back to traditional phone and chat channels, which could hurt future competitive positioning.
    • Pressure on Fee Per Million: There was a noted decline in fee per million driven by a shift in protocol mix and increased portfolio trading volumes, suggesting margin pressure despite higher volumes.
    • Early Stage Product Adoption Risk: The new U.S. block trading solution and high-touch initiatives are still in the early stages of adoption, and slow traction in these areas could delay anticipated market share gains and revenue improvements.
    MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange

    Full-Year 2025 Expense Guidance (non‐GAAP)

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    $500 million to $521 million

    no prior guidance

    Full-Year 2025 Expense Guidance (GAAP)

    FY 2025

    $505 million to $525 million

    $505 million to $525 million

    no change

    TopicPrevious MentionsCurrent PeriodTrend

    Innovative Product Expansion and Pipeline

    Q1 2025 discussions noted multiple product releases, the forthcoming Mid‑X solution, enhancements on the X‑Pro platform, and portfolio trading innovations. Q4 2024 and Q3 2024 calls emphasized high‑touch block strategies, dealer‑initiated channels, and portfolio trading tools.

    Q2 2025 continues the focus with significant product enhancements and automation tools, strategic talent additions (e.g., Dean Barry and Spencer Lee), progress on new initiatives across client‑initiated, portfolio, and dealer‑initiated channels, plus the upcoming launch of Mid‑X for U.S. Credit.

    Consistent focus on expanding and refining the product pipeline with an increasing emphasis on automation and strategic hires.

    Block Trading Solutions and High‑Touch Initiatives

    Q1 2025 highlighted the rollout of a high‑touch block trading solution in U.S. credit and a targeted block solution in EM and Eurobonds with positive client feedback. Q4 2024 emphasized early successes in EM and Eurobonds and plans for full high‑touch launches, while Q3 2024 introduced targeted block solutions with AI‑driven dealer selection.

    Q2 2025 reported significant growth in block trading activity across U.S. Credit, EM, and Eurobonds, with detailed figures (e.g. 40% increase in U.S. IG and notable volumes in EM and Eurobonds) and early-stage rollout of high‑touch initiatives in U.S. Credit.

    Ongoing expansion with strong quantitative gains and continued focus on addressing traditionally phone‑based segments through electronic high‑touch solutions.

    Portfolio Trading Enhancements

    In Q1 2025, the new X‑Pro platform, along with innovations such as net hedging and auto spotting, drove portfolio trading; Q4 2024 emphasized global PT offerings and record trading volumes; Q3 2024 noted recent tool enhancements and further higher‑order functionality planned.

    Q2 2025 focused on robust portfolio trading growth with a 69% ADV increase, enhanced pre‑trade analytics, new client features, and ongoing improvements in analytics and dealer collaborations.

    Steady and incremental enhancements with a consistent drive to optimize analytics and execution in portfolio trading.

    Fee Capture and Margin Pressure Dynamics

    Q1 2025 discussions detailed protocol‑specific pricing differences and the impact of portfolio trading; Q4 2024 noted product mix challenges, especially due to lower‑fee PT and block trading; Q3 2024 reported modest improvements in fee capture with increased duration and counter‑balances from premium venues.

    Q2 2025 noted a slight quarterly decline in fee per million driven by the growth of low‑fee portfolio trading, partially offset by improvements from increased high‑grade duration; overall fee capture remains under pressure due to product mix.

    Ongoing pressure from lower‑fee protocols, with marginal offsets from market shifts; fee capture challenges remain balanced by product mix changes.

    U.S. Market Share Challenges in High Grade and High Yield Segments

    Q1 2025 reported mixed results – some improvements in portfolio trading and dealer‑initiated channels, with market share gains in certain protocols; Q4 2024 highlighted challenges in the high‑yield segment with declining share and strategic initiatives proposed; Q3 2024 noted declines in high‑grade share offset by new targeted block and high‑touch strategies.

    Q2 2025 described a decline in U.S. high‑grade share in July due to a market shift towards phone and chat channels, while portfolio trading share increased; overall challenges persist with efforts underway via strategic product launches (e.g. Mid‑X) and high‑touch block initiatives.

    Persistent challenges remain with market share volatility; while some channels improve, significant competition from traditional methods continues to pressure U.S. credit segments.

    Electronification of Fixed Income Markets

    Q1 2025 emphasized increased trading velocity and systematic adoption of electronic platforms; Q4 2024 underscored block trading and portfolio trading electronification in emerging markets and rates; Q3 2024 focused on automation growth, dealer‑to‑dealer protocol expansion, and the shift from traditional phone trading.

    Q2 2025 highlighted expanded electronification across various segments including block trading, portfolio trading, municipal bonds, and global emerging markets (e.g. first electronic Indian government bond trade), supported by robust data and automation initiatives.

    Continued momentum in transitioning from traditional methods to electronic platforms across multiple markets, driving broader adoption and efficiency gains.

    Dependence on Elevated Market Volatility

    Q1 2025 noted that heightened volatility supported trading volumes and revenue growth; Q4 2024 mentioned low volatility concerns in rates RFQ and the need for alternative liquidity; Q3 2024 referenced improved results and increased velocity tied partly to market volatility.

    Q2 2025 attributed strong performance (record automation volume, active client growth, and increased commission revenue) to periods of increased volatility, which supported higher trade counts and favorable pricing in government bonds.

    Reliance on robust volatility remains a key driver of trading activity and revenue, with sustained elevated volatility benefiting the business model.

    Adoption Risks for New Trading Protocols

    Q1 2025 underscored positive client feedback for new block trading protocols despite traditional competition; Q4 2024 did not elaborate on specific risks; Q3 2024 discussed early adoption of new protocols with encouraging uptake, without highlighting major risks.

    Q2 2025 did not present any significant concerns regarding the adoption of new trading protocols, with the focus remaining on expanding solutions and meeting client execution needs.

    Adoption risks remain minimally discussed as client feedback continues to be positive, suggesting smooth integration of new protocols across markets.

    Strategic Talent Additions

    Q3 2024 mentioned future hiring plans with some delays noted in fixed expenses, but no detailed talent strategy was discussed in Q1 or Q4 2024.

    Q2 2025 detailed several high‑profile talent additions, notably hiring Dean Barry and Spencer Lee, aimed at enhancing product development, automation capabilities, and expanding into the block trading and dealer channels.

    A new emphasis on strategic talent is evident in Q2 2025, marking a shift from previous periods where hiring was mentioned only marginally or deferred.

    Expansion into Underpenetrated Fixed Income Markets

    Q1 2025 touched on diversifying into emerging markets and new product areas (e.g. municipals and U.S. government bonds); Q4 2024 and Q3 2024 highlighted emerging markets expansion as a major growth area, with under 5% electronic penetration noted and significant opportunity in local EM markets.

    Q2 2025 reinforced the focus on underpenetrated markets by reporting over 20% total volume growth across emerging markets and Eurobonds, emphasizing local market initiatives such as the first electronic Indian government bond trade and strong revenue contributions from these channels.

    A sustained and strategic focus on underpenetrated markets, with continuous investment in emerging market solutions and local market electronification.

    Transition from Traditional to Electronic Trading Channels

    Q1 2025 described a shift from phone and chat to electronic trading driven by higher velocity and client demand for data and automation; Q4 2024 detailed efforts in high‑touch block solutions and new electronic RFQ offerings; Q3 2024 noted the adoption of protocols designed to replace manual trading with automated solutions.

    Q2 2025 discussed ongoing efforts to transition traditional trading (especially in U.S. Credit) to electronic channels through initiatives such as the high‑touch strategy, targeted block trading solutions, portfolio trading enhancements, and the upcoming Mid‑X solution.

    The transition remains a central strategic priority with continued adoption of electronic platforms replacing traditional phone-based methods across multiple segments.

    1. Market Share
      Q: What progress in key trading channels?
      A: Management highlighted strong gains across key channels with 47% improvement in client-initiated trading, portfolio trading market share up 340 bps, and 42% gains in the dealer business, despite temporary shifts in July trading dynamics to phone and chat.

    2. Fee Pressure
      Q: What drove fee per million decline?
      A: The team explained that lower fee per million results from a shift in product mix—with high-grade duration moving to 8.9 years offering benefit, yet increased portfolio trading volumes offsetting those gains—leading to overall fee pressure.

    3. US Blocks
      Q: How is the US block trading rollout progressing?
      A: Management noted that the US block solution is still in early deployment, with only a handful of traders onboarded so far; they expect more dealer content shortly to replicate the early success seen in EM and Eurobonds.

    4. Block Adoption
      Q: What’s the recent block performance?
      A: They reported strong block trading results, with EM block volume up 27%, Eurobonds increasing by 34% in Q2 and 54% in July—signaling robust market response and a pathway for US adoption as dealer inventory grows.

    5. Capital & M&A
      Q: What are the capital return and M&A plans?
      A: Management stressed the balanced approach of investing in organic growth, returning capital through dividends and share repurchases, and pursuing strategic bolt-on acquisitions—all supported by a strong balance sheet and refreshed executive capacity.

    6. Portfolio Trading
      Q: How are PT trends evolving?
      A: They observed that portfolio trading usage increases in low volatility for easier pricing, but in periods of high volatility—especially in high yield—clients favor liquidity for large trades, reflecting evolving client behavior.

    7. US Credit PT Share
      Q: What about US credit PT share decline?
      A: The decline by 160 bps to about 15.6% in July was attributed to client-specific large trade fluctuations; ongoing enhancements like improved pre-trade analytics are expected to help regain share over time.

    8. Muni Growth
      Q: How is the muni business performing?
      A: Management reported record performance in the muni segment, with overall volume up 23%, tax-exempt volume rising 34%, and dealer business growing 38%, driving higher fee capture through advanced electronification.

    9. Europe Trends
      Q: What’s driving European performance?
      A: Strong adoption in Europe is fueled by significant increases in both portfolio and block trading volumes, supported by enhanced dealer content and analytics tools that are winning market share in Eurobonds.

    10. Strategic Hires
      Q: What impact will new hires have?
      A: New executive additions, including Spencer Lee and Dean Barry, are set to advance product enhancements and trading solutions—particularly in block and portfolio trading—with tangible impacts expected as early as late September.

    Research analysts covering MARKETAXESS HOLDINGS.