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MERIT MEDICAL SYSTEMS INC (MMSI)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 delivered better-than-expected constant currency revenue growth (+10.1%) and a record non-GAAP operating margin (19.6%), with non-GAAP EPS rising 25.8% to $0.93; gross margin expanded ~304 bps to 53.5% on mix, pricing, and logistics efficiencies .
- WRAPSODY received FDA PMA on Dec 20, 2024; 2025 guidance includes $7–$9M U.S. WRAPSODY revenue with heavier 2H weighting, supporting Endoscopy segment growth of 36–40% in 2025 .
- FY 2025 guidance: revenue $1.470–$1.490B (+8–10%), non-GAAP EPS $3.58–$3.70 (+4–7%), non-GAAP op margin 19.4–19.7%; Q1 2025 EPS guided to $0.73–$0.76 and constant-currency revenue +8.8–10.3% .
- Potential stock narrative catalysts: strength in gross margin execution and WRAPSODY approval vs caution on FY25 EPS guide below Street due to ~$0.11 convert dilution and ~$0.08 interest headwind (per management’s explanation) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Record non-GAAP profitability: operating margin 19.6% (+305 bps YoY), EPS $0.93 (+25.8% YoY); gross margin “home run” as pricing/mix/logistics all hit simultaneously .
- U.S. momentum and OEM recovery: U.S. constant-currency revenue +13.6%; OEM +22% reported YoY, ahead of guidance; better-than-expected orders despite OUS raw material constraints .
- Strategic progress: WRAPSODY FDA approval; EGS and Cook portfolios integrated/advancing—EGS fully integrated; Cook TSA progressing with order-to-cash largely done; strong free cash flow ($65.3M in Q4; $185.7M FY) and debt paydown ($99.1M in 2024) .
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What Went Wrong
- EPS guide below Street: FY25 non-GAAP EPS growth +4–7% tempered by ~$5M higher net interest and ~$0.11 per-share convert dilution despite an economic hedge; Street surprised per Q&A .
- EMEA softness and China VBP headwinds: EMEA softer; China still impacted by volume-based procurement (though unit growth offsets pricing) .
- Elevated R&D spend in Q4 (+26% YoY) and Endoscopy integration learning curve may weigh near-term segment growth cadence; management framed R&D spike as not a new normal .
Financial Results
Segment Revenue (Reported)
YoY Growth by Segment
Geographic Revenue
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We reported total revenue of $355.2 million, up 9% YoY…and delivered non-GAAP operating margin of 19.6%…and 26% growth in our non-GAAP EPS” .
- “Gross margin…we essentially kind of hit on everything…mix was great…operations executed at a really high level” .
- FY25 EPS guide mechanics: “
$5M higher interest expense…$0.08 headwind…and incremental 1.8M shares…~$0.11 EPS impact” . - WRAPSODY: “Initial market response is great…first couple of months have been very encouraging” .
- Tariffs: “Assumes 2025 tariff structure remains substantially unchanged…situation is rapidly changing; will update when appropriate” .
Q&A Highlights
- EPS guidance below Street driven by convert dilution (
$0.11) and interest expense ($0.08); excluding these, EPS growth would be ~9–12% per management framing . - OEM outlook: strong demand and contracts; OUS raw materials improved; confidence embedded in numbers despite prior challenges .
- Endoscopy (EGS) guidance: measured due to integrating two sales forces; EGS fully integrated operationally; combined sales force effective Jan 1 .
- WRAPSODY commercialization: training, registry, reimbursement pathways (NTAP/TPT filed); pricing considerations consistent with add-on/payment criteria .
- CapEx cadence: $90–$100M tied to new South Jordan distribution center; efficiencies in logistics and capacity; still targeting ≥$150M FCF in 2025 .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) was unavailable at time of retrieval; therefore, explicit “vs. Street” comparisons could not be provided. Management indicated Q4 non-GAAP EPS exceeded the high end of internal expectations, while FY25 EPS guidance was lighter than Street due to convert dilution and higher interest costs .
- Implications for models: incorporate
1.8M incremental diluted shares ($0.11 EPS impact) and ~$5M non-GAAP interest/other expense; Endoscopy growth trajectory reflects EGS/WRAPSODY integration and 2H weighting . - Note: S&P Global consensus data retrieval failed; consensus comparisons unavailable at this time.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Earnings quality strong: broad-based margin expansion and disciplined opex drove record non-GAAP profitability; OEM and U.S. demand underpin momentum .
- WRAPSODY is now de-risked from a U.S. approval standpoint; 2025 revenue is modest but strategically significant with potential reimbursement tailwinds (NTAP/TPT) .
- FY25 EPS guide below Street for mechanical reasons (convert, interest); focus on operating margin (19.4–19.7%) and FCF (≥$150M) targets rather than headline EPS .
- Watch Endoscopy cadence: integration of two sales forces and training curve could pace near-term growth; management set achievable guidance .
- Tariff policy is a swing factor not in guidance; company has mitigation levers but will update only as visibility improves—monitor macro headlines .
- Capital deployment remains disciplined; distribution center capex supports logistics/productivity; continued deleveraging and M&A optionality preserved by strong FCF .
- Near-term trading: strength in margins and WRAPSODY approval vs. cautious EPS guide dynamic; investor focus likely on execution against Q1 2025 targets and gross margin sustainability .