MI
MONRO, INC. (MNRO)·Q1 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 FY2026 delivered a return to top-line growth with sales up 2.7% to $301.0M, comps +5.7%, but GAAP EPS was a loss of $0.28 due to store closure and consulting charges; adjusted EPS was $0.22, flat year over year .
- Gross margin compressed by 170 bps YoY to 35.5% on wage inflation, tire mix trade-down, and self-funded promotions; occupancy leverage partly offset pressure .
- Against S&P Global consensus, Q1 beat: revenue $301.0M vs $296.1M*, EPS $0.22 vs $0.148*, EBITDA $29.6M* vs $26.7M*; five estimates for both revenue and EPS (bold beat vs. estimates) .
- Management completed closure of 145 underperforming stores, expects sales headwind of ~$45M in FY26, and continues to withhold formal guidance but provided modeling assumptions; preliminary July comps +2% (sixth consecutive month of positive comps) .
- Near-term stock catalysts: continued positive comps, execution on merchandising/tariff mitigation and ConfiDrive-enabled mix shift; risks include persistent gross margin pressure from inflation and tariffs .
Values retrieved from S&P Global for consensus and EBITDA marked with an asterisk (*).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Comps +5.7% with tire units +3% and notable strength in higher-margin service categories: front-end/shocks +26%, brakes +9%, batteries +9%, maintenance +4%; alignments flat .
- Adjusted EPS $0.22 matched prior year despite pressures, and adjusted operating income reached $14.0M (4.7% margin), indicating underlying operational resilience after adjusting for one-time items .
- Management reports preliminary July comps +2% and “sixth consecutive month of consistent comparable store sales growth,” reflecting momentum from ConfiDrive, targeted marketing, and store optimization .
Quotes:
- “Our profitability on an adjusted diluted earnings per share basis was in-line with the prior year first quarter… preliminary fiscal July comps are up 2%” — Peter Fitzsimmons, CEO .
- “We believe this will allow us to deliver year-over-year improvement in our adjusted diluted earnings per share in fiscal 2026.” — Brian D’Ambrosia, CFO .
What Went Wrong
- Gross margin fell 170 bps YoY to 35.5% on wage inflation (+170 bps technician labor as % of sales), tire mix trade-down, and increased self-funded promotions; only partly offset by occupancy leverage (120 bps) .
- GAAP results were impacted by $14.8M of store closing costs and $4.7M of consultant costs tied to the improvement plan, driving a GAAP net loss of $8.1M and GAAP EPS of -$0.28 .
- Management did not issue formal FY26 guidance due to tariff/macro uncertainty; gross margin expected to remain pressured throughout FY26, narrowing vs prior year only later in H2 .
Financial Results
Headline Results vs Prior Periods and Estimates
Notes: Q3 and Q4 gross margin percentages are calculated from reported gross profit and sales.
Estimates vs Actual (S&P Global Consensus)
Values retrieved from S&P Global*. Number of estimates: Revenue (5), EPS (5).
Operating Metrics and Balance Sheet
Segment/Category Breakdown (Comps by Category)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Prepared remarks emphasized four improvement pillars: closing unprofitable stores, merchandising productivity (including tariff mitigation), profitable customer acquisition/activation, and improving customer experience/selling effectiveness .
- “We maintained prudent operating cost control… reduced inventory levels by approximately $10 million… adjusted diluted EPS in-line with the prior year… preliminary July comps are up 2%” — CEO Peter Fitzsimmons .
- “We believe this will allow us to deliver year-over-year improvement in our adjusted diluted earnings per share in fiscal 2026… CAPEX $25–$35M” — CFO Brian D’Ambrosia .
- “Tariff impact in the first quarter was not as significant as originally anticipated… minimum advertised pricing adjustments mitigated impact on gross margin rate” — CEO Peter Fitzsimmons .
Q&A Highlights
- SG&A trajectory: underlying cost control strong; closures only benefited June; expect flat SG&A vs prior year in remaining quarters .
- Gross margin bridge: +170 bps higher technician labor, +120 bps higher material cost (tier-3 tire mix, promos), and -120 bps occupancy leverage benefit; expect narrowing vs prior year as year progresses .
- Traffic vs ticket: traffic flat, ticket steadily up; marketing tests underway with digital and local media to drive targeted traffic .
- Store closures: one month impact in Q1; full-quarter benefits ahead; real estate exit process (including 40 owned stores) expected to generate positive cash flow; no mortgages on properties .
- Outlook tone: gross margin to remain pressured FY26; anticipate YoY improvement in adjusted EPS; continued positive comps trend .
Estimates Context
- Q1 FY2026 beat consensus across revenue and EPS: revenue $301.0M vs $296.1M*, adjusted EPS $0.22 vs $0.148*; EBITDA $29.6M* vs $26.7M*; five estimates for both revenue and EPS (bold beat) .
- Implications: Street likely to raise near-term revenue and adjusted EPS estimates, but maintain cautious gross margin trajectory given ongoing inflation/tariff dynamics and consumer mix; FY26 formal guidance still withheld .
Values retrieved from S&P Global for consensus/EBITDA*.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Underlying demand is improving, with comps momentum and service mix aided by ConfiDrive; sustained execution here is central to margin recovery and EPS traction .
- Closure of 145 underperforming stores is complete; expect ongoing occupancy and opex leverage plus positive real estate cash flows as exits finalize over ~12 months .
- Gross margin pressure persists near term on wage inflation, tire mix, and promotions; expect narrowing later in FY26 as comparisons ease and merchandising/tariff mitigation gains traction .
- Capital allocation remains intact: sufficient operating cash flow expected to fund priorities including dividend; liquidity is ample with ~$398M availability and ~$$8M cash at quarter-end .
- Trading setup: near-term upside skew if comps stay positive and margin pressure abates faster than expected; risk remains from tariffs and continued consumer trade-down forcing promos .
- Medium-term thesis: focus on mix shift toward higher-margin services, merchandising productivity under new SVP, and targeted marketing to high-value customers to drive sustained EPS improvement .
- Watch items into Q2/Q3: tariff developments, promo intensity, traffic uplift from marketing, realized occupancy savings, and cadence of real estate monetization .