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Motorola Solutions, Inc. (MSI)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 delivered record revenue of $3.01B (+6% y/y) and non‑GAAP EPS of $4.04 (+4% y/y); GAAP EPS was $3.56 (+3% y/y). Backlog ended at a record $14.7B (+$438M y/y), positioning for continued growth .
  • Segment mix was healthy: Products & Systems Integration (PSI) sales +3% y/y and Software & Services (S&S) +11% y/y; Q4 non‑GAAP operating margin was 30.4% (PSI 30.5%, S&S 30.3%). Non‑GAAP margin ticked down ~10 bps y/y on acquisitions, partially offset by mix and lower direct materials .
  • FY25 outlook: revenue growth ~5.5% with non‑GAAP EPS $14.64–$14.74; Q1’25 revenue +5.0%–5.5% and non‑GAAP EPS $2.98–$3.03. Assumes ~$120M FY FX headwind, 171M diluted shares, and non‑GAAP tax rate ~23% (Q1 tax ~21%) .
  • Cash generation remained a strength: Q4 operating cash flow $1.07B (FCF $983M); FY24 record OCF $2.4B (+17% y/y) and FCF $2.1B (+19% y/y) .
  • Stock reaction catalysts: resilient demand in LMR/video/command center, FedRAMP High authorization supporting federal momentum, accretive ecosystem M&A (RapidDeploy, Theatro, 3tc), and backlog‑led visibility; offset by U.K. Home Office constraints, FX/tariff headwinds, and slight S&S margin compression .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well
    • “Record sales, operating earnings and cash flow” in 2024 with robust demand across LMR, video, and command center; backlog at a record $14.7B (+$438M y/y) .
    • Q4 came in above company guidance on revenue with both segments and all three technologies growing; non‑GAAP EPS +4% y/y on higher sales and favorable mix .
    • Strong cash generation (Q4 OCF $1.07B; FY OCF $2.4B) and healthy balance sheet (>$2B cash at year‑end) bolster capital allocation flexibility .
    • CEO: “Strong demand for our safety and security solutions, together with our record backlog, positions us well for another year of strong growth” .
  • What Went Wrong
    • S&S non‑GAAP margin modestly down y/y (30.3% vs 31.6%) on acquisitions; group non‑GAAP operating margin down ~10 bps y/y (30.4% vs 30.5%) .
    • Q4 cash flow down y/y (OCF $1.07B vs $1.25B; FCF $983M vs $1.16B) on working capital timing and higher tax/interest payments .
    • U.K. Home Office headwinds persisted (Airwave Charge Control), with appeal avenues narrowed; class action filed Dec 2024; litigation continues into 2025 .

Financial Results

Revenue, EPS, and Margins

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Revenue ($USD Billions)$2.628 $2.790 $3.010
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$2.60 $3.29 $3.56
Non-GAAP EPS ($)$3.24 $3.74 $4.04
GAAP Operating Margin (%)24.5% 25.5% 27.0%
Non-GAAP Operating Margin (%)28.8% 29.7% 30.4%

Segment Performance

SegmentQ2 2024 Sales ($B)Q3 2024 Sales ($B)Q4 2024 Sales ($B)Q2’24 Non-GAAP Op Margin (%)Q3’24 Non-GAAP Op Margin (%)Q4’24 Non-GAAP Op Margin (%)
Products & Systems Integration1.658 1.784 1.949 26.8% 29.3% 30.5%
Software & Services0.970 1.006 1.061 32.3% 30.6% 30.3%

KPIs

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Ending Backlog ($B)$14.0 $14.1 $14.7
Operating Cash Flow ($B)$0.180 $0.759 $1.070
Free Cash Flow ($B)$0.112 $0.702 $0.983

Non‑GAAP adjustments context: Q4 non‑GAAP EPS excludes ~$0.48/sh of highlighted items (e.g., share‑based comp, amortization); includes a $(0.36)/sh Hytera gain and $0.18/sh Hytera legal expense .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue GrowthQ1 2025+5.0% to +5.5%New
Non‑GAAP EPS ($)Q1 2025$2.98–$3.03New (assumes ~$25M FX headwind; ~171M diluted shares; ~21% non‑GAAP tax)
Revenue GrowthFY 2025~+5.5%New (assumes ~$120M FX headwind)
Non‑GAAP EPS ($)FY 2025$14.64–$14.74New (assumes ~171M shares; ~23% non‑GAAP tax)
Operating Cash Flow ($B)FY 2025~$2.7New (call disclosure)
FY24 Non‑GAAP EPS ($)FY 2024$13.63–$13.68 (as of Q3) Actual $13.84Beat vs guide
FY24 Revenue GrowthFY 2024~8.25% (as of Q3) Actual Sales $10.817B (8% y/y)In line/slightly below growth guide; revenue dollars delivered

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 & Q2)Current Period (Q4)Trend
AI / Cloud adoptionVideo software +24% in Q2; cloud adoption accelerating (planned ~$40M headwind from prem‑to‑cloud) . Q3 continued cloud/software momentum .Planning ~10–12% Video growth in 2025 “even with” cloud smoothing revenue; strong SaaS in Command Center (plan ~12% growth) .Positive, cloud mix rising.
Supply chain & PPVQ2: supplier lead times improved faster than expected; FY benefit ~$70M PPV/semis .FY24 PPV benefit $65–$70M; planning ~$25M PPV tailwind in FY25 .Tailwind moderating.
Tariffs / MacroQ2: Fed/state funding supportive; backlog/pipeline up ~$1B y/y .Guide reflects current tariffs; flexible footprint (Mexico/Malaysia/Canada) limits impact; China not a risk (301 tariffs) .Manageable risk.
Federal & State demandQ2: strong state/local backdrop; multi‑year LMR refresh, APX NEXT adoption .FedRAMP High for federal cloud; federal video engagement outpacing company average; ~$550M 2024 government video; state/local still “as good” as past years .Strengthening, policy tailwinds.
U.K. Home OfficeQ2/Q3: Airwave Charge Control pressuring S&S; backlog adjusted for 2029 extension; appeal pending .Court of Appeal denied permission; High Court hearing on Deferred Shutdown Notice set for Apr 22, 2025; collective proceeding filed Dec 2024 .Headwind persists.
Product vs software mix in VideoVideo products mid‑single growth while software/cloud faster (Q2/Q3) .Q4 video products ticked up; software still growing faster over 2024 .Balanced; software mix rising.

Management Commentary

  • “2024 marked another exceptional year for the company, with record sales, operating earnings and cash flow.” — Greg Brown, Chairman & CEO .
  • “Revenue for the quarter grew 6% and was above our guidance… Non‑GAAP EPS was $4.04, up 4%… driven by higher sales and favorable mix.” — Jason Winkler, CFO .
  • “As we enter 2025… record backlog and healthy balance sheet positions us well for another year of strong revenue, earnings per share and cash flow growth.” — Greg Brown .
  • “We expect to generate $2.7B in OCF [in 2025], which… would be our third consecutive year of double‑digit operating cash flow growth.” — Jason Winkler .

Q&A Highlights

  • Federal demand and policy: Management not seeing customer behavior changes from federal spending shifts; federal video remains a bright spot; FedRAMP High enables broader APX/CommandCentral deployment into agencies .
  • Ukraine/International: No Ukraine revenue expected in 2025 (vs ~$80M in 2024), contributing to international revenue pressure; North America strong .
  • Tariffs & footprint: Guide reflects tariffs “in effect today”; footprint (Mexico/Malaysia/Canada) provides flexibility; China exposure minimal; PPV tailwind moderating to ~$25M in 2025 .
  • Video mix: Q4 saw product growth, but video software outpaced hardware for full year; cloud adoption “favorable” even as it smooths revenue recognition .
  • Theatro acquisition: Small near‑term revenue; strategic fit for AI/voice workflows for frontline workers; expands Command Center offering .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4’24 revenue/EPS was unavailable due to access limits at the time of analysis; as a result, we cannot present objective “vs. consensus” deltas for Q4’24. Values from S&P Global were not retrieved due to request‑limit errors.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Demand durability: Broad‑based growth across PSI (+3% y/y) and S&S (+11% y/y) with record backlog ($14.7B) underpins FY25 guide despite FX/tariff headwinds .
  • Margin quality: Non‑GAAP operating margin expanded sequentially through 2024 (Q2→Q4), with PSI mix and cost tailwinds; S&S margin dipped modestly on acquisitions but remains ~30% .
  • Cash generation: Q4 OCF $1.07B; FY25 OCF guide ~$2.7B supports continued buybacks, M&A, and R&D—important for multiple expansion support in volatile macro .
  • Cloud/SaaS flywheel: Rising cloud adoption in Video/Command Center (plus FedRAMP High) increases recurring revenue visibility and federal access; near‑term revenue smoothing offsets by higher durability .
  • Risk watch‑list: U.K. Airwave constraints, FX headwinds (~$120M FY25), potential tariff expansions; litigation developments (Hytera/UK proceedings) remain non‑operating swing factors .
  • Ecosystem M&A: RapidDeploy (NG911), Theatro (AI/voice), and 3tc (CAD) deepen integrated safety/security stack—supporting cross‑sell and stickier workflows in 2025+ .
  • Trading setup: With backlog strength, rising cloud mix, and expanding OCF, narrative skew remains positive; monitor S&S margin recapture, international stabilization ex‑U.K., and tariff policy for upside/ downside catalysts .

Appendices

Non‑GAAP adjustments detail (Q4’24):

  • After‑tax non‑GAAP EPS adjustments totaled ~$0.48/sh, including share‑based comp ($0.37), intangibles amortization ($0.23), Hytera legal expenses ($0.18), reorg costs ($0.10), M&A fees ($0.04), and Hytera gain (–$0.36), among others .

Select operational disclosures:

  • Q4 OCF $1.07B vs $1.25B y/y; FCF $983M vs $1.16B y/y on working capital/taxes/interest .
  • Q4 segment sales: PSI $1.949B (+3% y/y), S&S $1.061B (+11% y/y) .
  • FY24: Sales $10.817B (+8% y/y), GAAP EPS $9.23, non‑GAAP EPS $13.84; record FCF $2.134B (+19% y/y) .

(End of report)