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ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- ServiceNow delivered a clean beat-and-raise quarter: total revenue $3.407B (+22% y/y), subscription revenue $3.299B (+21.5% y/y), non-GAAP op margin 33.5% (300 bps above guide), and non-GAAP FCF margin 17.5% . Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue beat by ~$50M and non-GAAP diluted EPS ($4.82) beat by ~13% (vs $4.27).
Actuals: ; Consensus: GetEstimates. - FY25 guidance raised: subscription revenue to $12.835–$12.845B (from $12.775–$12.795B), non-GAAP operating margin to 31% (from 30.5%), and non-GAAP FCF margin to 34% (from 32%) . Management cited AI-driven opex efficiencies and demand strength .
- KPIs strengthened: cRPO $11.35B (+21% y/y), RPO $24.3B (+24% y/y); 103 $1M+ NNACV deals; 553 customers >$5M ACV; renewal rate 97% (98% ex a large federal agency closure) .
- Stock split catalyst: Board authorized a 5-for-1 stock split, pending shareholder approval at Dec 5 special meeting .
- Watch Q4 setup: guide embeds U.S. Federal timing risk from the recent government shutdown and procurement timelines; Q4 non-GAAP op margin guided to 30% and cRPO +23% (19% cc) . Management also noted some on-prem dynamics into Q4 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Broad beat across topline and profitability: subscription revenue +21.5% y/y, cRPO +21% y/y, non-GAAP op margin 33.5% vs guidance; “Q3 was an exceptional quarter… reinforced our ability to scale with accelerating margin expansion.” .
- AI momentum ahead of plan: “Our AI products are on pace to exceed a half a billion in ACV this year… excellent progress toward $1B next year,” with 12 Now Assist deals >$1M and AI Assist consumption up 55x since May .
- Federal and Security strength: U.S. Federal net new ACV growth >30% y/y in Q3; security + risk crossed $1B ACV business; GSA OneGov agreement positioned for broader adoption .
What Went Wrong
- Q4 timing caution in Federal: “The recent government shutdown may also impact deal timing in the near-term… reflected in our Q4 2025 guidance.” .
- cRPO optics aided by renewal pull-ins: management acknowledged roughly half of the 250 bps cRPO beat benefited from proactively pulling part of the large Q4 renewal cohort into Q3 .
- Professional services margin remains low: GAAP professional services gross margin 0.5%; even non-GAAP was 11% (structurally lower vs subscription) .
Financial Results
Q3 vs S&P Global consensus
- Revenue: $3.407B actual vs $3.357B consensus* → beat by ~$50M. Actual: ; Consensus*: GetEstimates
- Non‑GAAP Diluted EPS: $4.82 actual vs $4.27 consensus* → beat by ~$0.55. Actual: ; Consensus*: GetEstimates
Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.
Revenue breakdown (GAAP)
Key KPIs
Guidance Changes
Management noted Q4 guide prudently reflects potential U.S. Federal deal timing delays due to the recent shutdown and procurement cycles .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “This outstanding Q3 performance is the clearest demonstration yet that ServiceNow is the AI platform for business transformation… From autonomous workflows to AI-driven CRM, ServiceNow is putting AI to work for people.” — Bill McDermott, CEO .
- “Now Assist, U.S. Federal, Workflow Data Fabric, and RaptorDB were all ahead of plan… Massive platform demand, combined with AI-driven efficiencies… reinforced our ability to scale with accelerating margin expansion.” — Gina Mastantuono, CFO .
- “Our AI products are on pace to exceed a half a billion in ACV this year… We saw 12 Now Assist deals over $1 million… AI agent assist consumption has increased over 55x since May.” — Bill McDermott .
- “We are raising our full‑year operating margin target by 50 bps to 31%… and free cash flow margin by 200 bps to 34%.” — Gina Mastantuono .
- “The GSA OneGov agreement opens the door for broader federal and government adoption… estimated to boost efficiency by 30%.” — Bill McDermott .
Q&A Highlights
- AI consumption and monetization: Assist usage up 55x since May; $500M AI ACV in 2025 tracking ahead; hybrid subscription+token model well received, enabling flexibility and predictability .
- Federal timing and prudence: Guide embeds incremental prudence due to shutdown and procurement timelines; demand remains strong with >30% y/y NNACV growth in Q3 federal .
- cRPO dynamics: About half of the 250 bps cRPO beat related to proactively pulling part of the large Q4 renewal cohort into Q3, providing momentum into Q4 .
- CRM/CPQ expansion: Multiple $1M+ CRM deals and displacement wins; CPQ emerging as a powerful entry point to front-office transformation .
- Security & Risk scale: Business crossed $1B ACV, aided by AI Control Tower pulling security into more conversations; strong adoption and interest from CISOs .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 performance vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $3.407B vs $3.357B* (beat); non‑GAAP diluted EPS $4.82 vs $4.27* (beat). Actuals: . Consensus*: GetEstimates.
Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global. - Forward look (consensus): Q4 2025 revenue $3.527B* and EPS $4.41* vs company Q4 guide of $3.420–$3.430B subscription revenue and 30% non‑GAAP operating margin; potential for estimate tweaks given federal timing cautions and FY25 margin raise . Q4 consensus*: GetEstimates.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- ServiceNow remains a high-quality beat-and-raise story with accelerating AI monetization: Q3 beat on revenue and EPS, FY25 raised across revenue, operating margin, and FCF margin . Near-term catalysts include continued AI ACV traction and visibility from raised full-year margins.
- AI is now materially contributing to demand and efficiency: $500M+ AI ACV in 2025, 12 $1M+ AI deals, and internal AI efficiencies supporting margin expansion; this underpins medium-term operating leverage .
- Federal exposure is a watch item for Q4: Guidance prudently embeds shutdown/procurement-related timing; any faster normalization could provide upside; OneGov should support medium-term adoption .
- KPI trajectory is healthy: cRPO and RPO grew >20% y/y; large-deal activity and $5M+ customer cohort continue to expand, supporting durable growth .
- Stock split pending: Five-for-one split subject to Dec 5 shareholder approval; could broaden retail/employee ownership and improve trading liquidity near-term .
- CRM disruption optionality: CPQ and AI-driven service workflows are gaining traction with displacement wins; strengthens multi-vector growth beyond core IT workflows .
- Expect estimate revisions: Q3 beats and FY25 raises, coupled with a robust AI narrative and operating leverage, should drive upward estimate/target recalibration, tempered by Q4 federal timing risk. Consensus references*: GetEstimates.
Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.