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    INSIGHT ENTERPRISES (NSIT)

    NSIT Q2 2025: Cloud growth 17% YoY offsets $70M partner headwind

    Reported on Aug 1, 2025 (Before Market Open)
    Pre-Earnings Price$144.59Last close (Jul 30, 2025)
    Post-Earnings Price$139.14Open (Jul 31, 2025)
    Price Change
    $-5.45(-3.77%)
    • Sustained Hardware Growth: The Q&A highlighted that hardware gross profit grew from 1% in Q1 to 2% in Q2, with consistent commercial bookings growth and early signs of acceleration in corporate and enterprise demand, indicating strong momentum in this segment.
    • Effective Margin and Expense Management: The executives emphasized that record gross and EBITDA margins were achieved despite challenges. Their stringent operating expense controls and steady performance in cloud and core services suggest the company can maintain profitability and deliver stable EPS performance.
    • Strategic AI Adoption: The leadership detailed a robust strategy around AI—including both internal upskilling and external service expansion—demonstrating that the company is well-positioned to capture emerging growth opportunities amid increasing client demand for AI solutions.
    • Partner Program Headwinds: The company noted a $70 million gross headwind in its cloud segment due to significant partner program changes that could continue to pressure gross margins and overall revenue if normalization is delayed.
    • Delayed Large Enterprise Projects: Several questions highlighted delays in service projects with large enterprises, suggesting that clients are deferring traditional spending in favor of preserving capital for AI investments amid macro uncertainty.
    • Public Sector Funding Risk: Discussions around netting effects and cautious funding in the public sector—especially in state, local government, and higher education—raise concerns that revenue growth in these segments could be adversely affected if budget constraints persist.
    MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange

    Gross Profit

    FY 2025

    Expected to be in the low single digits

    Expected to be approximately flat compared to 2024

    lowered

    Gross Margin

    FY 2025

    Approximately 20%

    Approximately 20%

    no change

    Adjusted Diluted EPS

    FY 2025

    Expected to be between $9.70 to $10.10

    Expected to be between $9.7 to $10.1

    no change

    Interest Expense

    FY 2025

    Estimated to be between $70 million to $75 million

    Estimated to be between $75,000,000 to $80,000,000

    raised

    Effective Tax Rate

    FY 2025

    Expected to be 25% to 26%

    Projected to be 25% to 26%

    no change

    Capital Expenditures

    FY 2025

    Projected to be $35 million to $40 million

    Expected to be $30,000,000 to $35,000,000

    lowered

    Average Share Count

    FY 2025

    Anticipated to be 32.9 million shares

    Anticipated to be 32,400,000 shares

    lowered

    TopicPrevious MentionsCurrent PeriodTrend

    Hardware Growth and Performance

    Previous periods discussed modest growth with Q1 2025 reporting 1% revenue growth driven by servers, storage, and devices , Q4 2024 noting a revenue decline despite improved gross profit and anticipation of a device refresh , and Q3 2024 highlighting a delayed hardware recovery and significant declines in enterprise segments.

    In Q2 2025, hardware revenue grew 2% (second consecutive quarter), with improvements in gross profit and expectations for mid‐single digit growth driven by both devices and infrastructure, alongside an emphasis on installed base aging and Windows 10 end‐of‐life as catalysts.

    Positive shift: From cautious and delayed recovery to consistent, modest growth with renewed optimism despite earlier challenges.

    Cloud Performance and Partner Program Challenges

    Earlier periods saw a mix: Q1 2025’s cloud performance had underlying SaaS/IaaS growth offset by a 3% decline in gross profit with challenges from partner program changes ; Q4 2024 demonstrated strong cloud growth with a 21% increase in gross profit but noted significant headwinds from partner program adjustments ; Q3 2024 reported robust cloud performance with 33% gross profit growth but flagged anticipated moderation in Q4.

    In Q2 2025, cloud gross profit declined 5% year-over-year primarily due to partner program changes, although underlying SaaS/IaaS growth remains strong and normalization is expected by Q4 2025.

    Mixed sentiment: While underlying growth persists, the recent quarter is more impacted by partner program headwinds, signaling a temporary slowdown amid expected normalization.

    AI Adoption and Digital Transformation

    Previous calls showed a strong focus: Q1 2025 stressed AI’s role in business process transformation with reallocation of budgets toward AI ; Q4 2024 emphasized generative AI readiness and infrastructure investments with notable client case studies ; Q3 2024 focused on scalable AI solutions and digital transformation projects across industries.

    Q2 2025 underscored an aggressive, companywide AI-first strategy with extensive internal AI adoption (hundreds of AI agents), over 200 client AI assessments, and full lifecycle AI services, supported by key partnerships with NVIDIA, Google, and Microsoft, driving both client and internal transformation.

    Strengthening focus: An increased acceleration of AI initiatives and digital transformation internally and externally, building on earlier emphasis with greater scale and client impact.

    Margin and Expense Management

    Prior periods reflected steady improvement and cost discipline: Q1 2025 noted an 80 basis point gross margin improvement and SG&A reductions ; Q4 2024 recorded significant gross margin expansion and cost-saving integration actions despite higher SG&A due to acquisitions ; Q3 2024 highlighted margin expansion driven by a better mix and planned cost reductions.

    Q2 2025 reported a record gross margin of 21.1% (up 10 basis points YoY) and expanded adjusted EBITDA margin to 6.6%, with disciplined SG&A expense management (declined 3% YoY) despite a $70 million headwind from partner changes, with normalization expected by Q4 2025.

    Continued improvement: Strong margin expansion and expense control persist, building on structural cost savings even while managing new external challenges.

    Enterprise Demand and Large Enterprise Project Delays

    Previous discussions depicted challenges: Q1 2025 highlighted weakened demand among large enterprise clients with project delays impacting core services ; Q4 2024 detailed subdued demand from large enterprise and corporate clients with delayed device refresh cycles ; Q3 2024 reported delayed hardware recovery and extended project delays in enterprise segments.

    In Q2 2025, enterprise demand remains subdued with large enterprise clients showing cautious spending and delays in initiating new service projects, partly due to macroeconomic uncertainties and a shift toward preserving budgets for AI investments.

    Continuing challenges: Enterprise demand challenges and project delays persist, with only modest expected improvements as clients remain cautious and reallocate budgets.

    Tariff Uncertainty

    Earlier periods had quantified minimal impacts: Q1 2025 reported minimal pull-in demand from tariffs with detailed scenario evaluations ; Q4 2024 involved comprehensive modeling and minimal anticipated elasticity impacts with current tariff levels ; Q3 2024 had no mention.

    Q2 2025 mentioned tariff uncertainty as one of several macroeconomic factors affecting client spending, though without detailed quantitative impact, focusing on legislative policies and supply chain influences.

    Steady outlook: Tariff uncertainty remains a consistent concern with similar minimal immediate impact, but continues to be monitored for any potential escalation.

    Interest Expense and Debt Management

    Previous periods indicated active debt management: Q1 2025 had manageable interest expense expectations and moderate debt increases with effective ABL facility usage ; Q4 2024 discussed settling convertible notes and reducing financing costs through ABL with modest headwinds ; Q3 2024 reported increased interest expense due to higher debt from acquisitions with ample liquidity available.

    In Q2 2025, the company expects full-year interest expense between $75M and $80M, has settled $333M of convertible notes in Q1, and maintains strong liquidity with access to nearly $1B from its $1.8B ABL facility, showing continued emphasis on debt management.

    Managed risk: Despite slightly higher interest expense levels, active settlements and ample liquidity reflect continued sound debt management practices.

    Public Sector Funding Risk

    No discussion was present in Q1 2025, Q4 2024, or Q3 2024.

    Q2 2025 introduced discussion on public sector funding risk, noting that while SLED (state/local and higher education) clients are less affected by federal funding issues, there is an overall funding slowdown impacting the segment.

    New topic: Public sector funding risk emerges as a new qualitative concern in Q2 2025, highlighting ongoing changes in government spending environments.

    Acquisition and Services Cross-Selling Opportunities

    Earlier periods consistently highlighted acquisitions as drivers: Q1 2025 presented positive performance from past acquisitions and a focus on consulting methodologies and M&A to bolster cross-selling ; Q4 2024 emphasized acquisitions boosting Insight Core Services and revenue synergies driven by integration efforts ; Q3 2024 noted successful cross-selling, with acquisitions like Amdaris and InfoCenter expanding services capabilities despite mixed performance from SADA.

    In Q2 2025, recent acquisitions (over the last 18 months) are reported as performing extraordinarily well, with significant cross-selling opportunities evident as clients increasingly require multi-cloud solutions across platforms such as Microsoft, Google, AWS, and ServiceNow.

    Strengthening synergy: Acquisitions and cross-selling opportunities continue to be a strong growth driver, with integration efforts showing positive momentum and expanded multi-cloud service offerings.

    1. Margin Outlook
      Q: How will Q2 GP dollars improve?
      A: Management highlighted that robust hardware growth (up 2%) and steady cloud performance, combined with modest rebounds in core services, set up a mid-single digit GP improvement in the back half, reinforcing confidence in overall margins.

    2. Cost Control
      Q: How is spending managed amid rising demand?
      A: Leaders emphasized disciplined OpEx management and productivity enhancements that keep headcount flat while business volumes grow, ensuring cost controls remain effective.

    3. Cloud & SADA
      Q: What is the underlying cloud growth and SADA update?
      A: The team reported underlying cloud growth of around 17% YoY and noted that SADA’s execution in driving consumption and services for Google is exceeding expectations, providing strong momentum into the second half.

    4. Service Delays
      Q: Why are large enterprise service projects delayed?
      A: Delays were attributed mainly to macro uncertainties with clients conserving resources for strategic AI investments, though management expects re-engagement as AI initiatives gain traction.

    5. Public Sector
      Q: How’s the public sector faring despite funding cuts?
      A: Public sector performance remains robust, with strong hardware and services momentum in state, local, and higher ed segments, even as overall revenue was down due to netting effects.

    6. AI Talent
      Q: What is the strategy for AI talent acquisition?
      A: The approach is twofold—targeting acquisitions for critical capabilities and upskilling existing teams in AI, cloud, and data security—to effectively harness the emerging opportunity.

    Research analysts covering INSIGHT ENTERPRISES.