IE
INSIGHT ENTERPRISES INC (NSIT)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered record gross margin at 21.7% and 11% growth in adjusted EPS ($2.43), but revenue declined 4% YoY to $2.00B as large enterprise demand remained muted .
- Against S&P Global consensus, EPS was slightly below ($2.43 vs $2.49*) and revenue missed ($2.00B vs $2.15B*); cloud gross profit grew 7% and exceeded management’s expectations, while core services and hardware were softer .
- Full-year guidance was tempered: adjusted EPS cut to $9.60–$9.90 (from $9.70–$10.10), gross profit now expected to be slightly down (from ~flat), while gross margin outlook was raised to ~21% (from ~20%); interest expense outlook increased to ~$85M and capex lowered to ~$25M .
- Strategic M&A intensified the AI and security push (Inspire11 closed Oct 1; Securo signed Oct 16), with management positioning for 2026 growth as partner program headwinds abate and AI projects scale .
- Potential stock catalysts: the guidance cut and revenue miss vs consensus, balanced by record margins, strong cash from operations ($249.1M), and an AI-first narrative plus CEO transition planning .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record gross margin and disciplined costs: gross margin expanded 100 bps to 21.7%; adjusted S&A declined 1% YoY, driving 5% growth in adjusted EFO and 11% growth in adjusted EPS .
- Cloud momentum: cloud gross profit rose 7% to $130M and was “ahead of expectations,” supported by double-digit SaaS and IaaS growth; management expects partner program headwinds to largely normalize exiting Q4 .
- Strong cash generation: cash flow from operations was $249.1M in Q3, aided by working capital timing, and management expects $300–$400M for the year .
- Quote: “We delivered Adjusted diluted earnings per share growth of 11% and... posted record gross margin” — Joyce Mullen, CEO .
- Quote: “Combined with disciplined SGA management, we drove a 5% increase in adjusted earnings from operations and an 11% increase in adjusted earnings per share” — CFO James Morgado .
What Went Wrong
- Top-line softness and revenue mix shifts: consolidated net sales fell 4% YoY to $2.00B; on‑prem software revenue fell 19% as activity shifted to net agency services, and hardware gross profit declined 5% .
- Large enterprise demand remained weak: management cited macro uncertainty and delayed big-project decisions; Insight Core services gross profit fell 3% to $79M .
- Higher financing costs weighed on GAAP earnings: net earnings fell 12% YoY to $50.9M, with higher interest expense from increased ABL borrowings; EMEA GAAP EFO declined 33% YoY .
Financial Results
Performance by Quarter (oldest → newest)
Actual vs S&P Global Consensus (Primary EPS, Revenue)
Values with asterisk are retrieved from S&P Global.
Notes: Q3 2025 EPS was a slight miss (2.43 vs 2.49*), and revenue missed materially ($2.00B vs $2.15B*). Q2 2025 EPS was roughly in line/slight miss and revenue below; Q1 2025 had a small EPS beat and revenue below consensus.*
Q3 2025 Segment/Geography
KPIs and Mix (Q3 2025)
- Cloud Gross Profit: $130M (+7% YoY) .
- Insight Core Services Gross Profit: $79M (−3% YoY) .
- Mix of total net sales: Hardware 57%, Software 22%, Services 21% .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic positioning: “Our strategy is to become the leading AI-first solutions integrator” .
- On Q3 performance: “We delivered Adjusted diluted EPS growth of 11%… achieved adjusted earnings from operations growth and posted record gross margin” .
- Cloud momentum: “Cloud gross profit was above our expectations, driven by double-digit growth in SaaS and IaaS” .
- Enterprise demand: “Enterprises are… taking a bit longer to engage in big services projects… hardware is a little slower than we were expecting” .
- AI scaling and methodology: adopting repeatable frameworks (RADIUS) to accelerate POCs/MVPs and outcomes-based delivery for scalability .
- Capital allocation: ~$150M YTD repurchases; share count down ~10% YoY; M&A remains primary long-term use of capital; near-term focus on debt .
Q&A Highlights
- Guide down drivers: Large enterprise delays in core services and slower hardware vs plan; cloud outperformed expectations but partner program changes continue to weigh near-term .
- Cloud trajectory ex-partner changes: Underlying cloud growth running in “higher teens”; ~$70M FY headwind largely normalizes by Q4 exit, setting up 2026 .
- M&A vs buybacks: Management prioritized capabilities (AI, security) via Inspire11 and Securo; balanced with ~$150M repurchases; near-term bias to pay down debt but optionality preserved .
- Services scalability: Shift from T&M to outcomes-based offers using standardized methodology (RADIUS) to improve time-to-value and profitability; KPIs to be updated at a 2026-focused investor day .
- Acquisition accretion: Expect EBITDA accretion day one; EPS accretion within four quarters for Inspire11/Securo .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: Primary EPS $2.43 vs $2.49*; Revenue $2.00B vs $2.15B* — modest EPS miss and larger revenue shortfall .
- Trailing quarters:
- Q2 2025: EPS $2.45 vs $2.47* (slight miss); Revenue $2.09B vs $2.15B* .
- Q1 2025: EPS $2.06 vs $2.01* (slight beat); Revenue $2.10B vs $2.19B* .
- Implications: With FY adjusted EPS guidance reduced and gross profit now expected “slightly down,” Street models may need to modestly trim FY EPS and revenue assumptions; mix shift and higher interest expense also factor into GAAP results .
Values with asterisk are retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue softness and a lowered FY EPS outlook are near-term overhangs, but margin structure is improving (record 21.7% in Q3; FY gross margin guided to ~21%) .
- The cloud business shows underlying high-teens growth ex-partner changes; normalization exiting Q4 positions the category as a 2026 growth leader .
- Large enterprise caution persists; watch conversion of strong services bookings and whether enterprise demand firming in Q4 materializes .
- M&A (Inspire11, Securo) deepens AI and security capabilities; management targets EBITDA accretion day one and EPS accretion within four quarters, while balancing deleveraging .
- Strong cash generation ($249.1M CFFO in Q3) provides flexibility for buybacks, M&A, and debt reduction; ~$149M buyback capacity remained at Q3 end .
- Watch EMEA execution: despite higher gross margins, GAAP EFO declined 33% YoY in Q3; sustained improvement is needed to lift consolidated profitability .
- Near-term trading: sentiment likely hinges on evidence of large enterprise re-acceleration and confirmation that cloud headwinds fully normalize by year-end, offset by the AI-first narrative and record margins .