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INSIGHT ENTERPRISES INC (NSIT)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 delivered record gross margin at 21.7% and 11% growth in adjusted EPS ($2.43), but revenue declined 4% YoY to $2.00B as large enterprise demand remained muted .
  • Against S&P Global consensus, EPS was slightly below ($2.43 vs $2.49*) and revenue missed ($2.00B vs $2.15B*); cloud gross profit grew 7% and exceeded management’s expectations, while core services and hardware were softer .
  • Full-year guidance was tempered: adjusted EPS cut to $9.60–$9.90 (from $9.70–$10.10), gross profit now expected to be slightly down (from ~flat), while gross margin outlook was raised to ~21% (from ~20%); interest expense outlook increased to ~$85M and capex lowered to ~$25M .
  • Strategic M&A intensified the AI and security push (Inspire11 closed Oct 1; Securo signed Oct 16), with management positioning for 2026 growth as partner program headwinds abate and AI projects scale .
  • Potential stock catalysts: the guidance cut and revenue miss vs consensus, balanced by record margins, strong cash from operations ($249.1M), and an AI-first narrative plus CEO transition planning .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record gross margin and disciplined costs: gross margin expanded 100 bps to 21.7%; adjusted S&A declined 1% YoY, driving 5% growth in adjusted EFO and 11% growth in adjusted EPS .
  • Cloud momentum: cloud gross profit rose 7% to $130M and was “ahead of expectations,” supported by double-digit SaaS and IaaS growth; management expects partner program headwinds to largely normalize exiting Q4 .
  • Strong cash generation: cash flow from operations was $249.1M in Q3, aided by working capital timing, and management expects $300–$400M for the year .
  • Quote: “We delivered Adjusted diluted earnings per share growth of 11% and... posted record gross margin” — Joyce Mullen, CEO .
  • Quote: “Combined with disciplined SGA management, we drove a 5% increase in adjusted earnings from operations and an 11% increase in adjusted earnings per share” — CFO James Morgado .

What Went Wrong

  • Top-line softness and revenue mix shifts: consolidated net sales fell 4% YoY to $2.00B; on‑prem software revenue fell 19% as activity shifted to net agency services, and hardware gross profit declined 5% .
  • Large enterprise demand remained weak: management cited macro uncertainty and delayed big-project decisions; Insight Core services gross profit fell 3% to $79M .
  • Higher financing costs weighed on GAAP earnings: net earnings fell 12% YoY to $50.9M, with higher interest expense from increased ABL borrowings; EMEA GAAP EFO declined 33% YoY .

Financial Results

Performance by Quarter (oldest → newest)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($, Billions)$2.104 $2.091 $2.004
Gross Profit ($, Millions)$406.5 $442.3 $434.2
Gross Margin (%)19.3% 21.1% 21.7%
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.22 $1.46 $1.62
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$2.06 $2.45 $2.43
Adjusted EBITDA ($, Millions)$111.3 $138.2 $137.0
Cash from Operations ($, Millions)$78.1 $(177.1) used $249.1

Actual vs S&P Global Consensus (Primary EPS, Revenue)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
EPS Actual ($)2.06 2.45 2.43
EPS Consensus ($)2.009*2.467*2.493*
Revenue Actual ($, Billions)2.104 2.091 2.004
Revenue Consensus ($, Billions)2.193*2.154*2.154*

Values with asterisk are retrieved from S&P Global.
Notes: Q3 2025 EPS was a slight miss (2.43 vs 2.49*), and revenue missed materially ($2.00B vs $2.15B*). Q2 2025 EPS was roughly in line/slight miss and revenue below; Q1 2025 had a small EPS beat and revenue below consensus.*

Q3 2025 Segment/Geography

SegmentQ3 2024Q3 2025
Products Revenue ($, Millions)$1,673.8 $1,577.8
Services Revenue ($, Millions)$414.1 $426.1
Total Revenue ($, Millions)$2,087.9 $2,003.8
Gross Profit ($, Millions)$432.1 $434.2
Gross Margin (%)20.7% 21.7%
GeographyQ3 2024Q3 2025
North America Revenue ($, Millions)$1,716.6 $1,625.3
North America Gross Margin (%)20.3% 21.1%
EMEA Revenue ($, Millions)$312.6 $319.8
EMEA Gross Margin (%)21.2% 23.2%
APAC Revenue ($, Millions)$58.7 $58.8
APAC Gross Margin (%)30.1% 30.1%

KPIs and Mix (Q3 2025)

  • Cloud Gross Profit: $130M (+7% YoY) .
  • Insight Core Services Gross Profit: $79M (−3% YoY) .
  • Mix of total net sales: Hardware 57%, Software 22%, Services 21% .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Q2’25)Current Guidance (Q3’25)Change
Adjusted Diluted EPSFY 2025$9.70–$10.10 $9.60–$9.90 Lowered
Gross ProfitFY 2025~Flat vs 2024 Slightly down vs 2024 Lowered
Gross MarginFY 2025~20% ~21% Raised
Interest & Other ExpenseFY 2025$75–$80M ~$85M Raised
Effective Tax RateFY 2025~25%–26% 25%–26% Maintained
Capital ExpendituresFY 2025$30–$35M ~$25M Lowered
Average Share CountFY 2025~32.4M ~32.0M Lowered

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2 2025)Q3 2025 CommentaryTrend
AI initiatives & “AI-first” strategyQ1: Early gross margin focus; cloud GP −3%; services under pressure . Q2: Partner program headwinds; positioning cloud pivot .Launching “Insight AI”; acquisitions (Inspire11, Securo) to bolster data/AI and security; clients moving from pilots to value; aim to shorten time-to-value with repeatable frameworks .Intensifying AI focus, building capabilities
Partner program changesA headwind to cloud; noted in Q1–Q2 .~$70M FY headwind; largely normalizes exiting Q4; underlying cloud GP growth high teens ex-changes .Headwind fading
Macro/large enterprise demandQ1–Q2: Macro uncertainty; enterprise delays .Large enterprises reprioritizing budgets (cloud bills, software price increases, AI); delays in large projects persisted, bookings improving .Still cautious but bookings improving
HardwareQ1–Q2: YoY growth in hardware net sales (Q2 +2%) .+1% hardware revenue, but below expectations; EMEA hardware challenged .Mixed; weaker vs plan
Services executionQ1–Q2: Core services GP −3% in Q2 .Core services GP −3%; adding leaders, standardized methodology (RADIUS), shifting to outcomes-based delivery to scale .Re-tooling to improve scalability
Capital allocationQ2: Buybacks ongoing; warrants settlement .~$75M buybacks in Q3; ~600k warrants to settle by year-end; balanced M&A and buybacks; near-term focus on debt prudence .Balanced, near-term deleveraging
LeadershipCEO announced retirement planning; external search underway; will advise successor .Transition planning underway

Management Commentary

  • Strategic positioning: “Our strategy is to become the leading AI-first solutions integrator” .
  • On Q3 performance: “We delivered Adjusted diluted EPS growth of 11%… achieved adjusted earnings from operations growth and posted record gross margin” .
  • Cloud momentum: “Cloud gross profit was above our expectations, driven by double-digit growth in SaaS and IaaS” .
  • Enterprise demand: “Enterprises are… taking a bit longer to engage in big services projects… hardware is a little slower than we were expecting” .
  • AI scaling and methodology: adopting repeatable frameworks (RADIUS) to accelerate POCs/MVPs and outcomes-based delivery for scalability .
  • Capital allocation: ~$150M YTD repurchases; share count down ~10% YoY; M&A remains primary long-term use of capital; near-term focus on debt .

Q&A Highlights

  • Guide down drivers: Large enterprise delays in core services and slower hardware vs plan; cloud outperformed expectations but partner program changes continue to weigh near-term .
  • Cloud trajectory ex-partner changes: Underlying cloud growth running in “higher teens”; ~$70M FY headwind largely normalizes by Q4 exit, setting up 2026 .
  • M&A vs buybacks: Management prioritized capabilities (AI, security) via Inspire11 and Securo; balanced with ~$150M repurchases; near-term bias to pay down debt but optionality preserved .
  • Services scalability: Shift from T&M to outcomes-based offers using standardized methodology (RADIUS) to improve time-to-value and profitability; KPIs to be updated at a 2026-focused investor day .
  • Acquisition accretion: Expect EBITDA accretion day one; EPS accretion within four quarters for Inspire11/Securo .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: Primary EPS $2.43 vs $2.49*; Revenue $2.00B vs $2.15B* — modest EPS miss and larger revenue shortfall .
  • Trailing quarters:
    • Q2 2025: EPS $2.45 vs $2.47* (slight miss); Revenue $2.09B vs $2.15B* .
    • Q1 2025: EPS $2.06 vs $2.01* (slight beat); Revenue $2.10B vs $2.19B* .
  • Implications: With FY adjusted EPS guidance reduced and gross profit now expected “slightly down,” Street models may need to modestly trim FY EPS and revenue assumptions; mix shift and higher interest expense also factor into GAAP results .
    Values with asterisk are retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue softness and a lowered FY EPS outlook are near-term overhangs, but margin structure is improving (record 21.7% in Q3; FY gross margin guided to ~21%) .
  • The cloud business shows underlying high-teens growth ex-partner changes; normalization exiting Q4 positions the category as a 2026 growth leader .
  • Large enterprise caution persists; watch conversion of strong services bookings and whether enterprise demand firming in Q4 materializes .
  • M&A (Inspire11, Securo) deepens AI and security capabilities; management targets EBITDA accretion day one and EPS accretion within four quarters, while balancing deleveraging .
  • Strong cash generation ($249.1M CFFO in Q3) provides flexibility for buybacks, M&A, and debt reduction; ~$149M buyback capacity remained at Q3 end .
  • Watch EMEA execution: despite higher gross margins, GAAP EFO declined 33% YoY in Q3; sustained improvement is needed to lift consolidated profitability .
  • Near-term trading: sentiment likely hinges on evidence of large enterprise re-acceleration and confirmation that cloud headwinds fully normalize by year-end, offset by the AI-first narrative and record margins .