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NVR INC (NVR)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 revenue was $2.61B and diluted EPS was $112.33; revenue declined vs Q3 2024 ($2.73B) and was roughly flat sequentially vs Q2 ($2.60B), while EPS improved sequentially from $108.54 but fell year-over-year from $130.50 .
- Homebuilding gross margin compressed to 21.0% from 23.4% a year ago and 21.5% in Q2, driven by higher lot costs, affordability-related pricing pressure, and ~$18.9M in contract land deposit impairments .
- New orders fell 16% to 4,735 units, cancellations rose to 19.4% (from 14.5% in Q3 2024 and 16.5% in Q2), and backlog declined to 9,165 units (-19% YoY), signaling softer demand and elevated churn .
- Results were above Wall Street consensus: EPS $112.33 vs $109.36*, revenue $2.61B vs $2.431B*; strength vs estimates amid margin headwinds should focus investors on order trends, cancellations, and land strategy as near-term stock catalysts .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Sequential EPS improved to $112.33 from $108.54 despite softer demand, supported by operational discipline and lower SG&A vs Q3 2024; diluted shares also declined to 3,051 from 3,290 (share repurchase effect) .
- Average sales price on new orders rose 3% YoY to $464.8K, and average settlement price held relatively flat at $454.0K, highlighting resilient pricing in a tough affordability environment .
- Management emphasized drivers of margin pressure transparently: “Gross profit margin was negatively impacted by higher lot costs, pricing pressure due to continued affordability challenges, and contract land deposit impairments totaling approximately $18.9 million.” .
What Went Wrong
- Orders declined 16% YoY (4,735 units), cancellations rose to 19.4% (vs 14.5% a year ago), and backlog units fell 19% to 9,165, pointing to demand softness and buyer pullbacks .
- Homebuilding gross margin fell to 21.0% from 23.4% YoY (and 21.5% in Q2), with higher lot costs and pricing pressure driving compression; homebuilding pretax income dropped to $411.4M from $503.7M YoY .
- Mortgage banking closed loan production decreased 7% YoY to $1.54B and pretax income slipped 6% YoY to $32.7M; higher effective tax rate (22.8% vs 20.3% in Q3 2024) also weighed on net income .
Financial Results
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment performance and KPIs:
Guidance Changes
Note: No quantitative guidance ranges (revenue, margins, OpEx, tax rate, etc.) were provided in the company’s Q3 2025 press release .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: No Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was available in the document set; themes below reflect press releases across quarters.
Management Commentary
- “Gross profit margin was negatively impacted by higher lot costs, pricing pressure due to continued affordability challenges, and contract land deposit impairments totaling approximately $18.9 million.” (Q3 press release) .
- “Mortgage closed loan production… totaled $1.54 billion… Income before tax from the mortgage banking segment totaled $32.7 million, a decrease of 6%…” (Q3 press release) .
- Prior quarter context: “This decrease [mortgage banking pretax] was primarily attributable to a decrease in secondary marketing gains on sales of loans.” (Q2 press release) .
Q&A Highlights
- No analyst Q&A details were available in the document set; the Q3 press release did not include a call transcript or Q&A section .
Estimates Context
- EPS: Actual $112.33 vs consensus $109.36*; beat. Revenue: Actual $2.61B vs consensus $2.431B*; beat .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global. - Implications: Consensus likely to recalibrate near-term revenue/EPS slightly upward given the beat, but order softness, rising cancellations, and margin compression suggest estimate revisions may remain cautious on volumes and gross margin trajectory .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Demand softness intensified: orders -16% YoY, cancellations up to 19.4%, backlog units -19% YoY—monitor traffic, incentives, and affordability signals into Q4 .
- Margin headwinds continued: homebuilding GM fell to 21.0% with higher lot costs and ~$18.9M land deposit impairments—watch land discipline and pricing actions .
- Sequential resilience: revenue stable ($2.61B vs $2.60B) and EPS improved ($112.33 vs $108.54), supported by cost control and repurchases (shares repurchased 35,224) .
- Mortgage banking steady but subdued: production -7% YoY ($1.54B), pretax -6% YoY; capture rate held at 86%—rate volatility remains a swing factor .
- Community footprint expanding: average active communities rose to 450 (from 426 in Q2 and 422 a year ago), positioning for eventual demand recovery when affordability improves .
- No formal guidance provided; with an elevated tax rate (22.8%), macro sensitivity is high—focus on rates, incentives, and entry-level buyer elasticity .
- Near-term trading lens: Expect the narrative to center on whether orders/cancellations stabilize and margin pressures ease; beats vs consensus provide support, but sustained demand improvement is required for multiple expansion .