NE
nVent Electric plc (NVT)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record quarter: first $1B+ sales with revenue $1.054B (+35% y/y; +16% organic), adjusted EPS $0.91 (+44% y/y); both exceeded guidance and Street consensus; orders and backlog hit records, cash flow was very strong . Q3 revenue and EPS beat S&P Global consensus of $1.006B and $0.884, respectively (11/10 ests)* .*
- Growth drivers: AI data center programs and power utilities led infrastructure strength; organic orders rose ~65% (ex-DC high-single-digit) with visibility extending into 2026–2027; acquisitions (AVAIL EPG, Trachte) outperformed .
- Margins mixed: adjusted ROS 20.2% (down 60 bps q/q; -130 bps y/y) on inflation, tariffs (~$90M FY impact), growth investments, and M&A dilution; price and productivity offset inflation, with sequential margin improvement expected in Q4 ex-EPG .
- Guidance raised: FY25 reported sales growth to 27–28% (organic 10–11%), adjusted EPS to $3.31–$3.33; Q4 organic growth 15–17%, adj. EPS $0.87–$0.89; FCF conversion 90–95%; corporate costs now ~$120M . Dividend of $0.20 per share payable Nov 7, 2025 was previously declared .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- “First billion-dollar sales quarter” with record sales, orders, backlog; adj. EPS and FCF surged; new products and acquisitions performed ahead; guidance raised .
- AI data center demand accelerated: organic orders up ~65%; backlog up strong double digits sequentially; visibility into 2026–2027; new Nvidia partner status for liquid cooling architecture .
- Cash generation inflected: Q3 CFO $271.7M and FCF $253.2M (+77% y/y), supporting growth investments and capital returns .
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What Went Wrong
- Margin compression: adjusted ROS 20.2% vs 20.8% in Q2 and 21.5% in Q3’24; Systems Protection ROS -150 bps y/y on inflation, M&A, ramp investments .
- Tariffs and inflation still meaningful headwinds (~$90M FY tariffs); Q3 inflation >$45M including nearly $30M tariffs (offset by price/productivity) .
- APAC softness and seasonality: APAC down low-single digits; Q4 revenue seasonally lower vs Q3 due to channel inventory behavior despite strong DC demand .
Financial Results
Overall results vs prior periods
Segment breakdown
Q3 vs S&P Global consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Context and drivers
- Organic sales +16% with infrastructure leading (+40%+), driven by AI data centers and power utilities; Americas grew high-teens, Europe ~10%, APAC down low single digits .
- Price plus productivity offset inflation (>$45M in Q3; nearly $30M tariffs); adjusted ROS contracted y/y on inflation, M&A mix, and growth investments .
- Cash performance inflected sharply on deliveries and working capital progress; CFO $271.7M and FCF $253.2M in Q3 .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “This was our first billion-dollar sales quarter, and we had record orders, backlog and strong cash flow... we are raising our full-year sales and EPS guidance to reflect our record third quarter performance and our significant momentum in data centers.” — Beth Wozniak, CEO .
- “Organic orders were up approximately 65%, primarily driven by large orders for the AI data center buildout... backlog grew strong double digits sequentially.” — Beth Wozniak .
- “We are a leader in liquid cooling... announced a new manufacturing facility in Minnesota... expected to begin production early next year and effectively double our overall footprint... Recently, we were named to NVIDIA's partner network as a solution advisor.” — Beth Wozniak .
- “Price plus productivity offset inflation... we also continued to make investments for growth, particularly for data centers and our recent acquisitions.” — Gary Corona, CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Data center orders/backlog: DC orders up nearly 3x on some programs; visibility extends into 2026–2027; mix broadening beyond liquid cooling into cable management and PDUs; modular platform to scale through distribution over time .
- Margins: Systems Protection margins faced M&A and investment headwinds but were better than expected; Q4 margins to improve sequentially ex-EPG; liquid cooling margins “healthy” and in line with segment averages .
- Seasonality: Despite DC strength, Q4 revenue typically below Q3 due to channel inventory actions; acquisitions contribute ~15 pts to Q4 growth vs higher in Q3 .
- AVAIL EPG: Performing ahead on top/bottom line; now ~$0.10 FY EPS contribution vs prior ~$0.05; double-digit apples-to-apples growth .
- Book-to-bill: Not disclosed, but “healthy” in both segments; backlog up double digits sequentially; RPO to reflect similar directionality .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 results beat consensus: revenue $1,054.0M vs $1,005.7M*, EPS (Primary/Adj.) $0.91 vs $0.884* (11 EPS est., 10 revenue est.) .*
- Implications: Street models likely need to reflect raised FY25 adjusted EPS to $3.31–$3.33 (from $3.22–$3.30 prior) and stronger Q4 organic growth (15–17%) .
- Operating assumptions: incorporate ~$90M FY tariff headwind, corporate costs ~$120M, and 90–95% FCF conversion .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Structural AI exposure: Rapidly scaling DC solutions (liquid cooling, enclosures, power distribution) with Nvidia partnership and expanded U.S. capacity underpin multi-year growth visibility; organic orders up ~65% and backlog up double digits sequentially .
- Quality of beat: Broad-based top-line outperformance (organic +16%) with robust cash conversion; Q3 revenue/EPS beat consensus; FY sales/EPS guidance raised again .*
- Margin narrative: Near-term dilution from M&A and investments, plus tariffs, but sequential margin improvement guided for Q4 ex-EPG; price/productivity offset inflation .
- M&A synergy unlock: AVAIL EPG/Trachte delivering better-than-expected revenue and profit; FY EPS contribution doubled vs initial guide, supporting 2026 step-up as scale benefits accrue .
- Execution risk: Scaling challenges (capacity, supply chain, talent) are acknowledged; management’s decade-long liquid cooling experience and localized expansions mitigate ramp risk .
- Watch items into Q4: Seasonal revenue step-down vs Q3; monitor APAC softness and tariff pass-through; track DC order cadence and distribution sell-through .
- Positioning: With electrification/digitalization tailwinds, record backlog, and strengthened infrastructure mix, NVT remains positioned for above-market growth with improving incrementals into 2026 .
Appendix: Additional Details
KPIs and liquidity
- End-Q3 cash $126.9M; revolver availability ~$570M; net interest expense $20.9M in Q3 .
- Working capital trends helped CFO/FCF inflection; FCF YTD $371.7M vs $277.1M prior year .
Data center and utility expansions (Q3 press releases)
- Blaine, MN facility (117k sq ft) to expand DC solutions manufacturing; second DC capacity expansion in two years; >175 jobs when fully ramped; targeted early 2026 start .
- Eleanor, WV expansion to add >100 jobs and 117k sq ft for large outdoor enclosures supporting DC power distribution; site to employ ~250 post expansion .
Notes on non-GAAP
- Adjusted metrics exclude restructuring, acquisition/integration costs, intangible amortization, and related tax effects; reconciliations provided in 8-K Exhibits .