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NEWS CORP (NWSA)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 FY2025 delivered modest top-line growth and strong profitability: revenue $2.01B (+1% YoY), Total Segment EBITDA $290M (+12% YoY), reported EPS from continuing ops $0.14 (vs. $0.07 YoY), and adjusted EPS $0.17; EBITDA margin expanded to 14.4% on mix and cost discipline .
  • Against S&P Global consensus, revenue was roughly in line (beat by ~$7M) and EPS was a clear beat: EPS $0.17 actual vs. $0.13 consensus; revenue $2.009B actual vs. $2.002B consensus; adjusted EPS also exceeded expectations; the beat was driven by Dow Jones and Digital Real Estate strength and News Media cost savings [functions.GetEstimates].
  • Strategic milestones: Foxtel sale to DAZN closed April 2 (repayment of A$592M shareholder loans, ~6% DAZN stake), simplifying portfolio and expected to be EPS accretive and ROIC enhancing; both Moody’s and S&P upgraded News Corp to investment grade, enhancing optionality for capital allocation .
  • Segment highlights: Dow Jones revenue +6% and EBITDA +12% on double-digit growth in Risk & Compliance (+11% to $84M) and Energy (+10% to $69M), plus digital circulation momentum; REA Group +6% to $271M (11% constant currency), Realtor.com revenue +2% with mix shift to rentals/seller/new homes; News Media EBITDA +22% on cost actions despite -8% revenue YoY .
  • Near-term catalysts: continued B2B growth at Dow Jones, improving Factiva drag, portfolio simplification and cash returns; watch Q4 commentary for modestly higher reinvestment at Realtor.com and volatile advertising in News Media; estimate revisions likely upward for EPS, stable for revenue .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Dow Jones drove the quarter: revenues +6% to $575M and segment EBITDA +12% to $132M; Risk & Compliance +11% to $84M and Energy +10% to $69M; digital revenues 82% of segment revenue .
    Quote: “Dow Jones posted a healthy 6% revenue growth… digital circulation revenue expand[ed] 14%… total consumer subscriptions surpassed the 6 million milestone” .
  • Digital Real Estate Services strength: REA Group +6% to $271M (11% constant currency), segment EBITDA +19% to $124M; Realtor.com revenue +2% with rentals/seller/new homes rising to 22% of revenue .
  • News Media profitability: segment EBITDA +22% to $33M on cost savings (printing JV, lower Talk costs), despite revenue pressure; digital share of segment revenue rose to 39% .
    Quote: “News Media segment posted healthy EBITDA growth of 22%, building on the 30% year-on-year growth reported last quarter” .

What Went Wrong

  • News Media revenue -8% YoY to $514M on lower print advertising, transferred third-party printing contracts, and lower circulation; The Sun digital ad weakness noted .
  • Realtor.com traffic and lead volumes soft: average monthly unique users -8% YoY to 66M; lead volume -17% YoY due to affordability/mortgage rates (partly offset by higher revenue per lead) .
  • Factiva dispute weighed on Dow Jones B2B revenue (~200bps impact), though expected to improve as comps lap through Q4 .

Financial Results

Consolidated metrics vs prior quarters and YoY

MetricQ1 FY2025 (Sep 30, 2024)Q2 FY2025 (Dec 31, 2024)Q3 FY2025 (Mar 31, 2025)
Revenue ($USD Billions)$2.577 $2.238 $2.009
Reported Diluted EPS from Continuing Ops ($)$0.21 $0.40 $0.14
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.21 $0.33 $0.17
Total Segment EBITDA ($USD Millions)$415 $478 $290
Total Segment EBITDA Margin (%)16.1% (415/2,577) 21.4% (478/2,238) 14.4%

Notes: Q1 EPS is total company EPS, while Q2–Q3 EPS are from continuing operations (Foxtel reclassified as discontinued in Q3) .

Segment revenues (YoY)

Segment Revenue ($USD Millions)Q3 FY2024Q3 FY2025
Dow Jones$544 $575
Digital Real Estate Services$388 $406
Book Publishing$506 $514
News Media$556 $514
Total$1,994 $2,009

Segment EBITDA (YoY)

Segment EBITDA ($USD Millions)Q3 FY2024Q3 FY2025
Dow Jones$118 $132
Digital Real Estate Services$104 $124
Book Publishing$62 $64
News Media$27 $33
Other($52) ($63)
Total$259 $290

KPIs

KPIQ3 FY2024Q3 FY2025
Dow Jones Total Consumer Subscriptions (000s)5,723 6,103
WSJ Digital-only Subs (000s)3,715 3,913
Barron’s Group Digital-only Subs (000s)1,221 1,368
Dow Jones Digital Revenue Share (%)81% 82%
REA Group Revenue ($USD Millions)$256 $271
Realtor.com Monthly Unique Users (Millions)72 (Q2 ref 62) 66
Realtor.com Lead Volume YoY (%)-2% (Q2) -17%
News Media Digital Revenue Share (%)37% 39%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Dow Jones Circulation Revenue GrowthQ4 FY2025Expect improvement in H2 vs H1 (Q2 commentary) Growth “more similar to the second quarter”; B2B focus; smaller Factiva impact in Q4 Maintained, with qualitative clarification
Digital Real Estate (REA) ListingsApril FY2025Flat Q3 listings YoY; REA yield +15% (Q3) April national residential buy listings down 11% due to holiday timing; see REA outlook Lower near term
Realtor.com ReinvestmentQ4 FY2025Expenses better than forecast in Q3; campaign shifted to Q4 Modestly higher reinvestment rate in Q4; launch new ad campaign Raised reinvestment
News Media AdvertisingQ4 FY2025Volatile advertising; cost initiatives ongoing (Q2) Advertising likely volatile given macro; continue to benefit from cost initiatives Maintained
Other Segment Costs (AI/legal)FY2025Ongoing AI/legal costs (Q2) Other segment costs expected higher than last year including AI/legal Raised
DividendFY2025Semi-annual dividend $0.10 payable Apr 9, 2025 No update in Q3Maintained (no change disclosed)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 FY2025)Previous Mentions (Q2 FY2025)Current Period (Q3 FY2025)Trend
AI/IP and LegalAnnounced intent to sue AI companies misusing content; partnership with OpenAI Legal action vs Perplexity underway; partnership with OpenAI reiterated Strong IP stance; partnership praised; ongoing AI/legal costs; concern over IP evisceration by AI firms Escalating enforcement, steady partnership
Dow Jones B2B GrowthR&C +16%; Energy +11% R&C +11% ($80M), Energy +10% ($68M) R&C +11% ($84M), Energy +10% ($69M); Oxford Analytica & Dragonfly acquisitions Sustained double-digit momentum
Digital Circulation/ARPUDigital sales grew; WSJ digital-only +10% Digital circulation revenue +8%; ARPU improved Digital circulation revenue +14% (incl. ~300bps timing), ARPU up QoQ & YoY Strengthening pricing power
Realtor.com ExecutionQ1: mix shift; uniques +2% to 77M Q2: revenue +2%; adjacencies growing; uniques 62M Q3: revenue +2%; uniques 66M; leads -17%; rentals via Zillow partnership strong; higher revenue/lead Quality over volume; adjacencies offset macro
News Media Cost ActionsJV printing benefits; EBITDA up EBITDA +30% YoY on cost savings EBITDA +22% YoY; continued cost initiatives Ongoing efficiency gains
Tariffs/MacroMacro headwinds noted Macro/algorithm impacts on ad CFO: direct tariff impact immaterial; advertising volatile Stable macro caution

Management Commentary

  • CEO Robert Thomson: “Net income from continuing operations rose 67% to $107 million… Reported EPS doubled to $0.14 and margins expanded in every segment” .
  • CEO on strategy: “The completion of the sale of Foxtel to DAZN… strengthened our balance sheet… expected to be accretive to EPS and increase ROIC” .
  • CFO Lavanya Chandrashekar: “This quarter, Dow Jones and Digital Real Estate contributed 88% of profitability… adjusted total segment EBITDA rose 15%” .
  • CEO on Dow Jones: “Digital circulation revenue expand[ed] 14%… total consumer subscriptions surpassed the 6 million milestone” .
  • CFO on Realtor.com: “Realtor continued to show strong growth from new revenue streams… rentals… driven by the partnership with Zillow… average monthly unique users… fell 8% YoY to 66 million… lead volumes declining 17%” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Dow Jones investment cadence and durability of B2B growth: modest acquisitions (Dragonfly, Oxford Analytica); confidence in continued double-digit R&C/Energy revenue growth; Factiva dispute’s impact diminishing into Q4 .
  • Margin trajectory at Dow Jones: B2B mix and cost discipline support margin expansion; margin rose to ~23% this quarter; B2B now majority of profit .
  • Capital allocation optionality post-Foxtel: focus on three core pillars (Dow Jones, Digital Real Estate, Book Publishing); disciplined M&A; share repurchases and dividends; investment-grade upgrades broaden flexibility .
  • Portfolio simplification/value realization: continued willingness to make structural decisions (Foxtel example); path to unlock intrinsic value, but cognizant of current U.S. housing market impacts on Realtor.com valuation .
  • Dynamic pricing and churn management at Dow Jones: leveraging AI to segment cohorts, manage elasticity, reduce churn, and grow ARPU over time .

Estimates Context

MetricConsensus (S&P Global)ActualSurprise
Revenue ($USD)$2,001,951,530*$2,009,000,000 +$7,048,470* (~+0.35%)
Primary EPS ($)$0.13*$0.17 (SPGI primary EPS actual); reported EPS from continuing ops $0.14 +$0.04* vs SPGI primary EPS

Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Company-reported adjusted EPS was $0.17 and reported EPS from continuing operations was $0.14, implying the SPGI “Primary EPS” tracked aligns with the adjusted EPS figure .

Potential estimate revisions: Upward EPS revisions likely on margin expansion and B2B momentum; revenue revisions modest given in-line sales and macro-ad volatility commentary .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Mix shift toward higher-margin and recurring B2B (Risk & Compliance/Energy) at Dow Jones continues to underpin margin expansion and earnings visibility .
  • Digital Real Estate remains a core growth pillar: REA execution offsets FX; Realtor.com’s adjacencies (rentals, seller, new homes) help monetize quality leads despite cyclical volume softness .
  • News Media profitability is improving structurally via cost actions (printing JV, programming costs) even as print and some digital ad revenues face macro/algorithm headwinds .
  • Portfolio simplification (Foxtel sale) and investment-grade ratings enhance capital return and strategic optionality; management reiterates disciplined M&A within core pillars .
  • Near-term watch items: Q4 reinvestment at Realtor.com (brand campaign), volatile advertising, and diminishing Factiva drag; B2B demand trends supportive of continued Dow Jones growth .
  • ESG/IP moat angle: assertive protection/monetization of journalism in AI era (OpenAI partnership, legal actions) could create incremental monetization opportunities and defend content economics .
  • Tactical: EPS beat and margin expansion are positive; traders should monitor follow-through on B2B growth, FX impacts at REA, and any incremental capital return signals post-deal close .