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NEWS CORP (NWSA)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 FY2025 delivered modest top-line growth and strong profitability: revenue $2.01B (+1% YoY), Total Segment EBITDA $290M (+12% YoY), reported EPS from continuing ops $0.14 (vs. $0.07 YoY), and adjusted EPS $0.17; EBITDA margin expanded to 14.4% on mix and cost discipline .
- Against S&P Global consensus, revenue was roughly in line (beat by ~$7M) and EPS was a clear beat: EPS $0.17 actual vs. $0.13 consensus; revenue $2.009B actual vs. $2.002B consensus; adjusted EPS also exceeded expectations; the beat was driven by Dow Jones and Digital Real Estate strength and News Media cost savings [functions.GetEstimates].
- Strategic milestones: Foxtel sale to DAZN closed April 2 (repayment of A$592M shareholder loans, ~6% DAZN stake), simplifying portfolio and expected to be EPS accretive and ROIC enhancing; both Moody’s and S&P upgraded News Corp to investment grade, enhancing optionality for capital allocation .
- Segment highlights: Dow Jones revenue +6% and EBITDA +12% on double-digit growth in Risk & Compliance (+11% to $84M) and Energy (+10% to $69M), plus digital circulation momentum; REA Group +6% to $271M (11% constant currency), Realtor.com revenue +2% with mix shift to rentals/seller/new homes; News Media EBITDA +22% on cost actions despite -8% revenue YoY .
- Near-term catalysts: continued B2B growth at Dow Jones, improving Factiva drag, portfolio simplification and cash returns; watch Q4 commentary for modestly higher reinvestment at Realtor.com and volatile advertising in News Media; estimate revisions likely upward for EPS, stable for revenue .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Dow Jones drove the quarter: revenues +6% to $575M and segment EBITDA +12% to $132M; Risk & Compliance +11% to $84M and Energy +10% to $69M; digital revenues 82% of segment revenue .
Quote: “Dow Jones posted a healthy 6% revenue growth… digital circulation revenue expand[ed] 14%… total consumer subscriptions surpassed the 6 million milestone” . - Digital Real Estate Services strength: REA Group +6% to $271M (11% constant currency), segment EBITDA +19% to $124M; Realtor.com revenue +2% with rentals/seller/new homes rising to 22% of revenue .
- News Media profitability: segment EBITDA +22% to $33M on cost savings (printing JV, lower Talk costs), despite revenue pressure; digital share of segment revenue rose to 39% .
Quote: “News Media segment posted healthy EBITDA growth of 22%, building on the 30% year-on-year growth reported last quarter” .
What Went Wrong
- News Media revenue -8% YoY to $514M on lower print advertising, transferred third-party printing contracts, and lower circulation; The Sun digital ad weakness noted .
- Realtor.com traffic and lead volumes soft: average monthly unique users -8% YoY to 66M; lead volume -17% YoY due to affordability/mortgage rates (partly offset by higher revenue per lead) .
- Factiva dispute weighed on Dow Jones B2B revenue (~200bps impact), though expected to improve as comps lap through Q4 .
Financial Results
Consolidated metrics vs prior quarters and YoY
Notes: Q1 EPS is total company EPS, while Q2–Q3 EPS are from continuing operations (Foxtel reclassified as discontinued in Q3) .
Segment revenues (YoY)
Segment EBITDA (YoY)
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO Robert Thomson: “Net income from continuing operations rose 67% to $107 million… Reported EPS doubled to $0.14 and margins expanded in every segment” .
- CEO on strategy: “The completion of the sale of Foxtel to DAZN… strengthened our balance sheet… expected to be accretive to EPS and increase ROIC” .
- CFO Lavanya Chandrashekar: “This quarter, Dow Jones and Digital Real Estate contributed 88% of profitability… adjusted total segment EBITDA rose 15%” .
- CEO on Dow Jones: “Digital circulation revenue expand[ed] 14%… total consumer subscriptions surpassed the 6 million milestone” .
- CFO on Realtor.com: “Realtor continued to show strong growth from new revenue streams… rentals… driven by the partnership with Zillow… average monthly unique users… fell 8% YoY to 66 million… lead volumes declining 17%” .
Q&A Highlights
- Dow Jones investment cadence and durability of B2B growth: modest acquisitions (Dragonfly, Oxford Analytica); confidence in continued double-digit R&C/Energy revenue growth; Factiva dispute’s impact diminishing into Q4 .
- Margin trajectory at Dow Jones: B2B mix and cost discipline support margin expansion; margin rose to ~23% this quarter; B2B now majority of profit .
- Capital allocation optionality post-Foxtel: focus on three core pillars (Dow Jones, Digital Real Estate, Book Publishing); disciplined M&A; share repurchases and dividends; investment-grade upgrades broaden flexibility .
- Portfolio simplification/value realization: continued willingness to make structural decisions (Foxtel example); path to unlock intrinsic value, but cognizant of current U.S. housing market impacts on Realtor.com valuation .
- Dynamic pricing and churn management at Dow Jones: leveraging AI to segment cohorts, manage elasticity, reduce churn, and grow ARPU over time .
Estimates Context
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Company-reported adjusted EPS was $0.17 and reported EPS from continuing operations was $0.14, implying the SPGI “Primary EPS” tracked aligns with the adjusted EPS figure .
Potential estimate revisions: Upward EPS revisions likely on margin expansion and B2B momentum; revenue revisions modest given in-line sales and macro-ad volatility commentary .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix shift toward higher-margin and recurring B2B (Risk & Compliance/Energy) at Dow Jones continues to underpin margin expansion and earnings visibility .
- Digital Real Estate remains a core growth pillar: REA execution offsets FX; Realtor.com’s adjacencies (rentals, seller, new homes) help monetize quality leads despite cyclical volume softness .
- News Media profitability is improving structurally via cost actions (printing JV, programming costs) even as print and some digital ad revenues face macro/algorithm headwinds .
- Portfolio simplification (Foxtel sale) and investment-grade ratings enhance capital return and strategic optionality; management reiterates disciplined M&A within core pillars .
- Near-term watch items: Q4 reinvestment at Realtor.com (brand campaign), volatile advertising, and diminishing Factiva drag; B2B demand trends supportive of continued Dow Jones growth .
- ESG/IP moat angle: assertive protection/monetization of journalism in AI era (OpenAI partnership, legal actions) could create incremental monetization opportunities and defend content economics .
- Tactical: EPS beat and margin expansion are positive; traders should monitor follow-through on B2B growth, FX impacts at REA, and any incremental capital return signals post-deal close .