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NEWS CORP (NWSA)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 FY25 delivered modest top-line growth and improved profitability: revenue $2.11B (+1% YoY), Total Segment EBITDA $322M (+5% YoY), GAAP diluted EPS $0.09; Adjusted EPS $0.19. Strength at Dow Jones and Digital Real Estate offset softness in Book Publishing and News Media .
- Results were modest beats relative to S&P Global consensus: Adjusted EPS $0.19 vs $0.18*, revenue $2.109B vs $2.092B*; revenue beat ~$17M and EPS beat $0.01*, aided by Dow Jones’ professional information growth and REA resilience (currency headwinds diluted reported growth)*.
- Management emphasized accelerated capital returns: a new $1B buyback (in addition to ~$300M remaining on the prior program) to be executed “at an accelerated rate,” plus a semi-annual dividend of $0.10 per share .
- Narrative focus: durability of core pillars (Dow Jones, REA, Book Publishing), cost discipline in News Media, and assertive defense/monetization of IP in the AI era (CEO: “The Art of the Deal has become The Art of the Steal”) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Dow Jones growth with mix shift to digital and professional information: Q4 revenues +7% YoY to $604M; Risk & Compliance +21% to $92M; Energy +12% to $73M .
- REA Group remained robust: Q4 revenue +4% (+7% ccy) despite -8% Australian listing volumes; Digital Real Estate Services EBITDA +13% YoY to $152M .
- Capital return stepped up: new $1B buyback and intent to accelerate repurchases; CEO: “This significantly larger total and significantly faster tempo emphasize our belief in the Company’s financial strength.” .
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What Went Wrong
- Book Publishing softer in Q4 on industry demand and fewer notable frontlist titles: revenue -4% YoY to $494M; Segment EBITDA -12% to $50M .
- News Media faced ad and printing headwinds: segment revenue -4% YoY; EBITDA -13% as third-party printing contract transfer and print ad declines in Australia weighed; digital users fell at The Sun and New York Post .
- Factiva pressure: Dow Jones cited lower Factiva revenues due to a customer dispute, partially offsetting PI growth .
Financial Results
Headline P&L (oldest → newest)
Q4 FY25 vs S&P Global consensus
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment performance (revenues)
Segment performance (Segment EBITDA)
Key KPIs
Cash flow and capital returns (FY25)
- Free cash flow: $571M vs $540M in FY24; Operating cash flow $978M; Capex $407M .
- Dividend: $0.10 per share payable Oct 8, 2025 (record Sept 10, 2025) .
- Buyback: New $1B authorization announced in July; plan to accelerate execution .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Sources: Company 8-Ks/press release as cited above.
Management Commentary
- “News Corp reported a sterling performance sustained across the four quarters of Fiscal 2025… net income from continuing operations… increasing 71 percent to $648 million, while Total Segment EBITDA improved 14 percent…” .
- “Last month, the Board of Directors authorized a new $1 billion stock repurchase program… We expect to begin executing repurchases at an accelerated rate shortly after the release of these results.” .
- On IP and AI: “The AI age must cherish the value of intellectual property… To undermine that comparative advantage by stripping away IP rights is to vandalize our virtuosity… The Art of the Deal has become The Art of the Steal.” .
- Strategic focus and balance sheet (Q3): sale of Foxtel to DAZN “meaningfully strengthened our balance sheet” and supports EPS accretion and ROIC improvement .
Q&A Highlights
- Capex/outlook: CFO indicated higher Q4 capex tied to Dow Jones growth initiatives and Sky News studio relocation; continued investment expected in Dow Jones and Realtor.com (no specific FY26 capex guide) .
- M&A focus: CEO signaled openness to opportunities in professional information/data subscriptions, surveying the landscape from a position of strength (no targets named) .
- Buyback execution: Management plans accelerated repurchases “shortly after” results, highlighting confidence in financial strength .
- Full transcript available (Seeking Alpha; MarketScreener) .
Estimates Context
- Q4 FY25 beats: Adjusted EPS $0.19 vs $0.18*; revenue $2.109B vs $2.092B*; EPS beat $0.01*, revenue beat ~$17M*. Estimate counts: EPS (3*), Revenue (11*) (S&P Global).
- Likely estimate revisions:
- Upward bias for Dow Jones PIB and Digital Real Estate EBITDA given sustained momentum and mix; cautious for Book Publishing near-term on softer frontlist; News Media estimates likely reflect ongoing ad/traffic headwinds with cost offsets .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Core pillars (Dow Jones, REA, Book Publishing) continue to compound; PIB growth and digital mix expansion at Dow Jones are the central margin driver .
- Digital Real Estate is resilient despite macro housing headwinds; Zillow partnership and premium product mix at Move support revenue/lead yield as traffic normalizes .
- News Media remains a tale of two forces: platform/print pressure vs structural cost actions; model improvement depends on ad environment and traffic stabilization .
- Capital returns are a near-term catalyst: accelerated execution of a fresh $1B buyback plus dividend continuity .
- Risk watchlist: platform algorithm shifts (UK mastheads), Factiva customer dispute, housing affordability/interest rates, FX sensitivity .
- Near-term setup: modest top-line growth with improving EBITDA mix; estimate drift upward most likely in Dow Jones/REA; defensiveness via stronger FCF and buyback .
- Medium-term thesis: continued strategic simplification post-Foxtel, scaling high-ROIC data/PIB assets, and disciplined cost structure underpin margin expansion and capital return capacity .
Appendix: Additional References
- Q4 FY25 8-K and exhibits (press release, financials, non-GAAP reconciliations) .
- Q4 FY25 press release (Investor site) -.
- Prior quarters: Q3 FY25 8-K (press release, tables, Foxtel close) -; Q2 FY25 8-K (press release, tables) -.