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NEW YORK TIMES CO (NYT)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Solid start to 2025: revenue grew 7.1% to $635.9M, operating profit rose 21.3% to $58.6M, and adjusted operating profit (AOP) increased 21.9% to $92.7M; AOP margin expanded 180 bps to 14.6% .
- Adjusted diluted EPS was $0.41 vs S&P Global consensus $0.34* (beat), while revenue was $635.9M vs $635.0M* (in line/slight beat). Drivers: +250k net digital-only subs to 11.06M, digital-only ARPU +3.6% y/y to $9.54, and digital ad revenue +12.4% y/y .
- Q2 2025 guide: digital-only subs revenue +13–16%, total subs +8–10%, digital advertising high-single digits, total advertising flat to low-single-digit growth; adjusted operating costs +5–6% .
- The Athletic turned in positive AOP of $2.9M as revenues rose 27.9% y/y; NYTG revenue +5.7% with higher digital subs and digital ad revenue offsetting lower print .
- Capital return and liquidity: $58.9M of buybacks in Q1 (authorization $443M remaining) and $0.18 quarterly dividend declared for July 24, 2025; cash and marketable securities $902.3M; no debt .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Digital engine accelerated: digital-only subscription revenue +14.4% y/y to $335.0M on higher subs and ARPU; digital ad revenue +12.4% y/y on strong marketer demand and new ad supply .
- Margin expansion and earnings quality: AOP +21.9% to $92.7M and AOP margin +180 bps to 14.6% on revenue growth outpacing adjusted cost growth (+4.9%) .
- The Athletic profitability: revenue +27.9% y/y to $47.6M; adjusted operating costs -2.6%; AOP swung to +$2.9M from -$8.7M y/y, helped by higher subs, stronger display ads, and lower S&M/G&A .
“Digital advertising grew 12%, our strongest growth rate in 3 years... early stages of leveraging advantages across our full portfolio” — CEO .
What Went Wrong
- Print headwinds persisted: print subscription revenue -5.0% y/y to $129.2M and print advertising -8.5% y/y to $37.2M .
- Cost growth areas: cost of revenue +5.6% y/y on higher journalism, subscriber servicing, and digital delivery; operating costs +5.8% including special items (AI litigation $4.4M; multiemployer pension adjustment $4.5M) .
- Platform traffic ecosystem remains challenging: management notes big tech platforms sending less traffic; strategy is to drive direct relationships via portfolio and formats .
Financial Results
Consolidated P&L and Margins
Revenue Mix
Note: The “Other” caption was renamed to “Affiliate, licensing and other” beginning Q1 2025 .
Segments
KPIs
Q1 2025 vs S&P Global Consensus
- Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO (prepared): “We’ve had a strong start to the year... multiple, complementary revenue lines across subscriptions, advertising, affiliate and licensing... significant free cash flow and a strong balance sheet” .
- CFO (prepared): “AOP grew by approximately 22% year-over-year and AOP margin expanded by approximately 180 basis points... ~$90M of free cash flow including ~$33M land sale; returned ~$81M via buybacks/dividends” .
- CEO (on ad strategy): “We have a diverse set of products... a large and deeply engaged audience... and a suite of high-performing ad products... we’re still in the early stages... expect them to keep powering ad revenue growth” .
- CFO (outlook): “Digital-only subscription revenues [Q2] +13% to +16%... digital ad high single digits... adjusted operating costs +5% to +6%” .
Q&A Highlights
- Digital advertising: Growth driven by broad marketer appeal, engaged audiences, and expanding ad products; early days of rolling supply across portfolio, with more to come .
- Pricing tactics and ARPU: Graduating promos based on engagement signals; intermediate steps/prices used; confidence in ARPU trajectory supported by product value and data science .
- News-only cohort and bundle conversion: Stability improving as strategy “working as designed”; continue prioritizing bundle marketing and price step-ups for tenured cohorts .
- Video/audio engagement: Reporter-led video, embedded multimedia, short-form off-platform, podcast and automated voice efforts expanding engagement and accessibility .
- Macro/tariffs: Tariff impact immaterial; management reaffirms healthy revenue/AOP growth, margin expansion, and strong FCF for full-year 2025 .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025: Adjusted/Primary EPS $0.41 vs $0.34 consensus* — beat; revenue $635.9M vs $635.0M consensus* — in line/slight beat .
- Q4 2024: Adjusted/Primary EPS $0.80 vs $0.75 consensus* — beat; revenue $726.6M vs $726.9M consensus* — slight miss .
- The quarter’s upside was driven by stronger digital ad growth and steady subscription strength (subs + ARPU), with cost growth contained within guidance bands .
- Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Subscription engine remains robust: +250k net digital-only adds to 11.06M and ARPU +3.6% support double-digit digital subscription revenue growth; bundle/multiproduct mix rising .
- Advertising re-accelerating: Digital ad +12.4% y/y as new supply rolls out (Games, The Athletic) and ad products/targeting improve; management guides continued growth in Q2 .
- Profitability improving: AOP +21.9% and margin +180 bps on multi-revenue growth with disciplined cost management; Q2 cost guide remains +5–6% .
- The Athletic inflecting: Revenue +27.9% and AOP +$11.6M y/y to +$2.9M validates bundle value and ad expansion strategy .
- Capital returns and balance sheet strength: $902M cash/securities, no debt; $59M Q1 buybacks (authorization $443M), $0.18 dividend maintained .
- Watch catalysts: execution on Q2 guide (digital ad growth, subs revenue), continued ARPU step-ups, and further ad supply deployment; platform traffic headwinds remain but are being offset via direct engagement and formats .
Non-GAAP and special items: Adjusted metrics exclude amortization, severance, non-operating retirement costs, and special items; Q1 included $4.4M AI litigation costs and a $4.5M multiemployer pension plan liability adjustment (both called out and adjusted) .