OKTA Q1 2026: $3M QoQ Subs Growth Lowest Since IPO, Guides 9-10% FY26
- Robust New Product Innovation & Bundling: Okta’s expanding portfolio—featuring new products such as Identity Governance, Privileged Access, and Identity Security Posture Management—combined with the recent launch of suite-based pricing, is creating significant cross-sell and upsell opportunities, enhancing customer stickiness and broadening revenue potential.
- Effective Go-to-Market Specialization: The strategic realignment into specialized sales teams (differentiating between Okta and Auth0 platforms) is yielding strong pipeline buildup, improved rep tenure, and robust deal execution—particularly in high-value and enterprise segments—indicating operational efficiency and sustainable growth.
- Strong Large Enterprise & Public Sector Momentum: Growth in the large customer cohort—with a noted 20% increase in customers with over $1M ARR and key wins in the U.S. public sector (evidenced by top deal contributions)—underscores the attractive opportunity in both commercial and federal markets, positioning Okta favorably to capture substantial market share.
- Modest sequential subscription revenue growth: Only a $3 million increase quarter-over-quarter—the lowest level seen since the IPO—suggests that baseline revenue momentum may be weakening despite record results, which could be concerning if not sustained.
- Heightened macro uncertainty: Executives explicitly noted adding extra conservatism into guidance due to an uncertain economic environment, implying that a downturn or adverse macro conditions could dampen customer spending and overall revenue growth, particularly in sensitive segments like the federal vertical.
- Downward pressure on cRPO: Guidance projects sequential declines for two consecutive quarters in current RPO—a departure from historical trends—raising concerns over booking growth and the potential for a slower revenue conversion in future quarters.
Metric | YoY Change | Reason |
---|---|---|
Total Revenue | 11.5% increase (from $617 million in Q1 FY25 to $688 million in Q1 FY26) | Revenue growth in Q1 FY26 is driven by enhanced customer adoption and improved top-line performance, building on previous gains in key subscription segments, which contributed to an upward shift from a lower base in Q1 FY25. |
Subscription Revenue | 11.6% increase (from $603 million in Q1 FY25 to $673 million in Q1 FY26) | Subscription revenue improved due to increased sales of additional solutions and user growth, continuing the momentum from previous periods where similar strategic initiatives and customer expansion had already strengthened recurring revenue streams. |
Operating Profit | Turnaround from an operating loss of –$47 million in Q1 FY25 to a profit of $39 million in Q1 FY26 (a swing of $86 million) | The operating profit turnaround reflects significant improvements in operating efficiency and expense management. Previous period challenges were overcome by discipline in cost control and a higher revenue base, contributing to a dramatic improvement in profitability. |
Net Income | Reversal from a loss of –$40 million in Q1 FY25 to a profit of $62 million in Q1 FY26 | The net income reversal is the result of stronger operating performance and reduced expenses relative to the previous period, with a recovery built upon the enhanced revenue generation and tighter cost oversight that offset the prior period’s losses of over $100 million. |
Balance Sheet Strength | Cash increased by 53% (from $322 million to $494 million), short-term investments up 11.6% (from $1,998 million to $2,231 million), total liabilities down 6.8% (to $2,798 million), and stockholders’ equity up 10.3% (to $6,567 million) | Balance sheet improvements were achieved through robust operating cash flows and strategic liquidity management. The strong cash generation, coupled with prudent investment in short-term securities and a reduction in liabilities, supported by net income gains and incremental equity growth, marked an overall healthier financial position compared to Q1 FY25. |
Metric | Period | Previous Guidance | Current Guidance | Change |
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Total Revenue Growth | Q2 FY 2026 | 10% | 10% | no change |
Current RPO Growth | Q2 FY 2026 | 12% | 10% to 11% | lowered |
Non-GAAP Operating Margin | Q2 FY 2026 | 25% | 26% | raised |
Free Cash Flow Margin | Q2 FY 2026 | Approximately 25% | Approximately 19% | lowered |
Total Revenue Growth | FY 2026 | 9% to 10% | 9% to 10% | no change |
Non-GAAP Operating Margin | FY 2026 | 25% | 25% | no change |
Free Cash Flow Margin | FY 2026 | Approximately 26% | Approximately 27% | raised |
Metric | Period | Guidance | Actual | Performance |
---|---|---|---|---|
Total Revenue Growth | Q1 2026 | 10% year-over-year | 11.5% year-over-year (from US$617MTo US$688M) | Beat |
Free Cash Flow Margin | Q1 2026 | 25% | ~35% (US$241M net cash from ops minus US$2M & US$1M capex = US$238M, on US$688M revenue) | Beat |
Topic | Previous Mentions | Current Period | Trend |
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New Product Innovation & Portfolio Expansion | Mentioned consistently in Q4 2025 ( ) with strong contributions from products like OIG, Privileged Access, and others; Q3 2025 ( ) emphasized new product bookings and visible ramp-up; Q2 2025 ( ) focused on rapid adoption and broad product pipeline. | Q1 2026 call reiterated robust new product performance with strong contribution from OIG, Privileged Access, Device Access and others, plus record workflow execution growth and mainstream adoption ( ). | Consistently positive emphasis with deeper integration and continued momentum in innovation. |
Product Bundling & Suite-Based Pricing | Q4 2025 ( ) detailed Workforce Identity suites with “good, better, best” packaging; Q3 2025 ( ) described the exploration of bundling versus a la carte pricing; Q2 2025 had no mention. | Q1 2026 highlighted the formal introduction of suite-based pricing to drive cross-sell opportunities and consolidate identity solutions, reinforcing a unified market message ( ). | Evolution from exploratory discussions to a well-defined, successful bundling strategy that is driving customer consolidation. |
Go-to-Market Specialization & Sales Team Realignment | Q4 2025 ( ) and Q3 2025 ( ) emphasized the move to specialized teams (Okta vs Auth0) with early signs of increased productivity; Q2 2025 ( ) discussed the early implementation of the hunter-farmer model. | Q1 2026 focused on further specialization—dividing teams into Okta and Auth0 sellers with encouraging early signals, improved pipeline, and better rep metrics ( ). | Consistent emphasis with incremental improvements; acknowledging short-term change costs while anticipating long-term benefits. |
Large Enterprise & Public Sector Growth | Q4 2025 ( ) and Q3 2025 ( ) stressed strong large enterprise wins and federal wins; Q2 2025 ( ) highlighted significant penetration in Global 2000 accounts with growing contract durations. | Q1 2026 underscored significant growth in large enterprise accounts (20% increase in $1M+ ARR deals) and strong public sector wins (top deals in public sector vertical) ( ). | Continued focus on enterprise and public sector segments with deeper product maturity and improved contract values. |
Subscription Revenue Growth & Booking Trends | Q4 2025 ( ) reported record bookings driven by partners and new product contributions; Q3 2025 ( ) mentioned strong upsell and new logo wins though details were more qualitative; Q2 2025 ( ) provided revenue guidance without detailed subscription metrics. | Q1 2026 reported a modest $3M sequential increase in subscription revenue – noted as the lowest since going public – and outlined expectations for seasonality with declining cRPO in Q2 ( ). | Shift from record bookings to a more moderate subscription revenue beat, reflecting seasonality and tighter guidance philosophies. |
Macro Economic Uncertainty Impact | Q4 2025 ( ) and Q3 2025 ( ) included discussions on conservative purchasing and revised guidance due to a cautious macro outlook; Q2 2025 ( ) noted the impact on new logos and license counts. | Q1 2026 executives reiterated that while the sentiment among customers is becoming more negative, the numbers have not deteriorated yet; guidance now incorporates additional conservatism given broader economic uncertainty ( ). | Persistent macro headwinds remain, with greater caution in guidance while immediate impacts are not yet visible. |
Declining cRPO & Revenue Conversion Concerns | Q4 2025 ( ) addressed cRPO as being affected by seasonality and strategic renewals; Q3 2025 ( ) discussed lower cRPO growth relative to total RPO due to adjustments in guidance; Q2 2025 ( ) acknowledged conservative outlooks due to previous security incidents and macro challenges. | Q1 2026 focused on declining cRPO (second consecutive sequential decline) and a modest subscription revenue beat, explained as seasonality and changes in guidance philosophy rather than structural issues ( ). | Ongoing challenge viewed as seasonal; management emphasizes focusing on dollar metrics and coverage ratios to mitigate revenue conversion concerns. |
AI & Machine Identity Integration (Auth for GenAI) | Q4 2025 ( ) emphasized Auth for GenAI for securely managing AI agent identities and its potential monetization; Q3 2025 ( ) discussed the need for AI integration and machine identity security with early monetization focus; Q2 2025 had no discussion. | Q1 2026 provided detailed coverage of Auth for GenAI, including its developer preview, integration of secure authentication for AI agents, usage-based pricing, and expected GA launch in summer 2025, highlighting its strategic role in the AI-driven landscape ( ). | Growing significance with strong product vision, building on earlier interest; reflects rising market adoption for AI-led identity solutions. |
International Expansion Challenges | Q4 2025 ( ) noted that international revenue was around 20% and recognized the need to grow it while balancing strong North American performance; Q3 2025 ( ) elaborated on tougher economic conditions in Europe and importance of partnerships; Q2 2025 had no mention. | Q1 2026 did not specifically mention international challenges, though noting that international growth accelerated more than U.S. growth ( ). | Shift in focus – earlier calls identified challenges, but Q1 did not highlight issues, possibly reflecting improved performance or deprioritization. |
Cost Pressures & Margin Impacts from Sales Specialization | Q4 2025 ( ) discussed sales specialization with focus on productivity gains though without mentioning direct margin pressure; Q3 2025 ( ) detailed short-term cost increases as part of specialization investments; Q2 2025 ( ) noted early changes with an emphasis on efficiency improvement. | Q1 2026 acknowledged the cost of change due to the realignment into specialized teams, yet highlighted encouraging early pipeline strength and overall resilient performance despite added conservatism in guidance ( ). | Increasing short-term cost pressures are recognized but are expected to yield long-term gains in sales productivity and margins. |
SMB Segment Weakness & Net Retention Decline | Q2 2025 ( ) reported weakness in the SMB segment with net retention declining slightly; Q3 2025 ( ) noted concentration in SMB logos and pressure from legacy, COVID-era customers impacting NRR; Q4 2025 ( ) mentioned strong net retention (107%) but without highlighting SMB-specific issues. | Q1 2026 indicated that the U.S. SMB market has transitioned to a hunter-farmer model with positive performance, but overall net retention has declined for the fourth consecutive quarter due to headwinds from older cohorts ( ). | Mixed signals – while the SMB model shows improvements, overall net retention remains under pressure from legacy cohort challenges. |
Seat-Based Contract Headwinds | Q2 2025 ( ) and Q3 2025 ( ) discussed lower seat purchases due to cautious buying, noting headwinds from budget scrutiny and legacy contracts; Q4 2025 ( ) noted that customers now rightsize their contracts due to macro shifts. | Q1 2026 reiterated that seat-based headwinds persist, particularly from older customer cohorts at renewals, with caution that economic shifts could further impact these dynamics ( ). | Consistent pressure from a shift in customer buying behavior; headwinds remain though partially offset by successful upsell efforts. |
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Revenue Guidance
Q: Exit rate Q4 and key drivers?
A: Management highlighted a strong Q1 performance with 20% growth in the large customer cohort and emphasized the expectation of 9%-10% revenue growth for FY '26, driven by robust enterprise engagements and a multi-product strategy. -
cRPO Trends
Q: Why the sequential cRPO decline?
A: Management explained that the decline is due to seasonal effects and the lag between booking and subscription revenue, expecting recovery later in the year as trends adjust. -
Go-to-Market
Q: How is sales specialization progressing?
A: The shift to specialized teams for Okta and Auth0 is on track, strengthening the pipeline and yielding higher-quality deals, which bodes well for future growth. -
AI Adoption
Q: How is Auth for GenAI performing?
A: Management noted robust early interest in Auth for GenAI during the developer preview, forecasting that its usage-based pricing model will unlock new growth opportunities among innovative clients. -
Customer Identity
Q: Are customers choosing to buy rather than build identity?
A: Management stressed the continued trend toward buying identity solutions, citing the scalable and easy-to-integrate Auth0 platform as a major draw for large deals and even small, agile startups. -
Federal Impact
Q: How do federal customer dynamics differ?
A: Although federal clients face extra scrutiny on efficiency, management believes that Okta’s cost-effective, scalable solutions continue to perform strongly in this vertical despite broader macro uncertainties. -
Product Bundling
Q: What are key bundling strategy updates?
A: Management introduced suite-based pricing that encourages cross-sell across a broad portfolio—governance, privileged access, and nonhuman identity—solidifying Okta’s competitive edge. -
Subscription vs cRPO
Q: Why modest subscription revenue growth?
A: The modest $3 million sequential growth reflects shorter Q1 duration and a less conservative guidance model compared to prior periods, with normalization expected in future quarters.
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