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OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Strong quarter: C&I adjusted diluted EPS was $1.45, above S&P Global consensus of $1.23 (GAAP diluted EPS $1.40); total revenue rose 10% YoY to $1.5B; capital generation increased 63% YoY to $222M . EPS consensus values from S&P Global.*
- Credit improvement continued: net charge-off ratio declined to 7.19% (from 8.29% YoY) and 30+ dpd delinquency improved to 5.17% (from 5.45% YoY) .
- Guidance tightened positively: management now expects total revenue growth at the high end of the 6–8% range and C&I net charge-offs of 7.5%–7.8% (lower half of prior range); OpEx ratio guided to ~6.0% for FY25; yield to moderate in 2H on seasonality and mix .
- Liquidity/funding remained a strength (raised $1.8B in Q2; issued a 3-year $1B revolving ABS <5% cost; $769M cash; 5.5x net leverage) supporting continued originations and capital returns (460k shares repurchased; $1.04 dividend) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Credit trends improved ahead of plan: NCO ratio down to 7.19% (from 8.29% YoY); 30+ dpd 5.17% (vs 5.45% YoY); management narrowed full-year NCO to 7.5%–7.8% (lower half of prior range) .
- Capital generation accelerated: $222M in Q2 (+63% YoY), driven by receivables growth, better yield, and credit .
- Strategic/funding execution: raised $1.8B across secured and unsecured; issued a 3-year $1B revolving ABS <5% cost; strong market access with $3.3B raised in 1H25 . CEO: “We had a very strong second quarter…growth in high-quality loan originations, good pricing, and positive credit trends…leading to strong growth in capital generation” .
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What Went Wrong
- Operating expenses rose 11% YoY to $415M with elevated strategic investments (though OpEx ratio guidance improved) .
- Card losses remain elevated (mid-teens to ~20% on a small, seasoning book), offset by >30% yields; management remains conservative on growth .
- Yield expected to moderate in 2H (seasonality in 90+ dpd and increased auto mix), tempering some of the favorable pricing tailwinds .
Financial Results
Summary P&L, Credit, and Balance Metrics
Product Receivables Mix (End of Period)
KPIs and Capital/Liquidity
Results vs S&P Global Consensus (EPS)
Note: For OneMain, S&P Global’s “Primary EPS” consensus tracks the company’s C&I adjusted diluted EPS. S&P Global values marked with an asterisk are retrieved from S&P Global and may reflect different line-item definitions than company-reported GAAP metrics.*
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO on quarter strength: “We had a very strong second quarter…growth in high-quality loan originations, good pricing, and positive credit trends across the board, all leading to strong growth in capital generation.”
- CFO on capital generation: “Capital generation — our primary performance metric — was $222 million…an increase of 63% from the prior-year period…reflects continued growth in our loan portfolio, improved portfolio yield, and better credit performance.”
- CFO on guidance: “Total revenue growth is now expected to come in at the high end of the previously provided 6% to 8% range. C&I net charge-offs are expected to come in between 7.5% and 7.8%.”
- CEO on credit card unit economics: “Over time, card yields will remain above 30%…Losses are running in the mid-teens, and operating expenses are lower because it’s a digital product.”
- CEO on macro resilience: “Our consumer has been quite stable…we underwrite to net disposable income…can they afford the loan we’re offering them?”
Q&A Highlights
- Competitive dynamics and capital allocation: Ample market capital keeps competition active; OMF focuses on higher-quality growth within a disciplined credit box; repurchases paced by excess capital and market conditions .
- Credit trajectory and back book run-off: Front book now ~90% of portfolio; back book ~24% of 30+ dpd; YoY credit improvement should persist as back book shrinks .
- Payments/delinquency patterns: Some customers roll delinquent but cure shortly after; nothing unusual; student loan collections resumption not impacting trends materially .
- Card business: Yields >30%; losses mid-teens to ~20% as portfolio seasons; long-term loss target 15–17% with attractive returns .
- Macro/tone: Consumer stable; underwriting anchored to disposable income; vigilant on inflation/gas/food/housing, but most weight on borrower-level data .
Estimates Context
- EPS: C&I adjusted diluted EPS of $1.45 exceeded S&P Global consensus of $1.23 for Q2 2025; Q3 2025 consensus currently $1.60; FY 2025 EPS consensus $6.69 (suggests potential upward revisions if credit trends and capital generation remain strong) . S&P Global values marked with an asterisk are retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Revenue: Company-reported total revenue was $1.5B; S&P Global’s “Revenue” consensus may reflect a different definition and is not directly comparable to company “Total revenue,” so we do not assess a revenue beat/miss on that basis in this recap . S&P Global values marked with an asterisk are retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Positive inflection sustained: stronger capital generation (+63% YoY), improving NCOs, and 10% revenue growth underpin a constructive earnings trajectory into 2H25 .
- Guidance narrowing lower is meaningful: NCOs now 7.5%–7.8% and revenue growth at the high end of 6–8% tighten the range of outcomes and support estimate momentum .
- Watch 2H yield moderation: seasonal 90+ dpd dynamics and higher auto mix will temper yield, but discipline on pricing/credit should sustain profitability .
- Card is an option on future upside: small but strategically important, with >30% yields; losses normalizing over time—growth will remain measured until macro clarity improves .
- Funding/liquidity is a differentiator: successful unsecured and ABS access, plus sizable undrawn capacity and unencumbered receivables, support both growth and capital returns .
- Capital returns continue: $1.04 dividend reaffirmed and buybacks ongoing (460k shares in Q2), paced by capital generation and conditions .
- Catalysts/risks: Continued credit outperformance could drive estimate revisions; potential ILC progress (from prior quarter) could structurally enhance funding and operating model over time; macro shifts (inflation, employment) remain key risks, though portfolio is underwritten with a 30% stress buffer on originations (prior commentary) .
Footnote on estimates: Values marked with an asterisk are retrieved from S&P Global. They may reflect line-item definitions that differ from company-reported GAAP figures and, for OneMain, S&P Global’s “Primary EPS” consensus aligns with the company’s C&I adjusted diluted EPS.
Sources: Q2 2025 press release and 8‑K , Q2 2025 earnings call transcript , prior quarter materials for trend context .