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Palo Alto Networks Inc (PANW)·Q1 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 FY2026 delivered broad-based beats: revenue $2.474B (+16% y/y) and non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.93, both above guidance; non-GAAP operating margin reached 30.2% and total gross margin 76.9% .
- Strategic catalysts: announced definitive agreement to acquire Chronosphere for $3.35B (ARR >$160M, triple-digit growth) to extend into observability, and reiterated pending CyberArk acquisition to expand identity security; management raised long-term ARR target to $20B by FY2030 .
- Guidance raised at the FY level: FY2026 revenue to $10.50–$10.54B (from $10.475–$10.525B), non-GAAP EPS to $3.80–$3.90 (from $3.75–$3.85), and operating margin to 29.5%–30.0% (from 29.2%–29.7%); Q2 FY2026 guided to revenue $2.57–$2.59B and non-GAAP EPS $0.93–$0.95 .
- Key demand signals: NGS ARR $5.9B (+29% y/y), RPO $15.5B (+24% y/y); product revenue grew +23% y/y, and software form factors now 44% of TTM product revenue; SASE ARR surpassed $1.3B (+34% y/y) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Platformization wins and large deals across SASE and XSIAM, including a $100M deal with a U.S. telecom and a $33M U.S. federal SASE award; management emphasized faster MTTR and consolidation benefits driving share gains .
- Profitability improved: non-GAAP operating margin reached 30.2% (second consecutive quarter above 30%), product gross margin expanded sequentially by 340 bps to 80.2%; adjusted free cash flow was $1.7B (+17%) .
- AI and quantum positioning: Prisma AIRS 2.0 and Agentix launch underpin AI security momentum; IBM partnership to deliver quantum-safe readiness service enhances differentiation in post-quantum security .
What Went Wrong
- RPO sequentially declined from $15.8B in Q4 FY2025 to $15.5B in Q1 FY2026, though still +24% y/y; management notes back-half weighting for net new ARR and revenue as platformization cycles lengthen .
- GAAP EPS declined y/y to $0.47 (from $0.49), reflecting higher GAAP operating costs and tax provision; non-GAAP still grew to $0.93 .
- Chronosphere integration and CyberArk timing introduce interim complexity; management expects ≥37% adjusted FCF margin in FY2026 including acquisitions (timing dependent), with 40%+ targeted by FY2028 .
Financial Results
Revenue and EPS (Quarterly)
Q1 2026 Actuals vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Breakdown (Revenue)
KPIs
Margin Detail (Q1 2026)
Additional Q1 color: Americas +14%, EMEA +18%, JPAC +22% y/y; product revenue +23% y/y; subscription and support +14% y/y; software form factors are 44% of TTM product revenue (vs 38% TTM ending Q1 FY2025) .
Guidance Changes
Management further reiterated ≥37% adjusted FCF margin in FY2026 including CyberArk and Chronosphere depending on timing, and 40%+ by FY2028 .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We exceeded expectations across every guided metric... achieving our second straight quarter of 30-plus % operating margin.” — Nikesh Arora (CEO) .
- “SASE had a phenomenal quarter. ARR grew 34% y/y and surpassed $1.3B... we now have ~6,800 SASE customers.” — Nikesh Arora .
- “Total revenue reached $2.47B (+16%), product revenue grew 23% y/y... software form factors are 44% of TTM product revenue.” — Dipak Golechha (CFO) .
- “Diluted non-GAAP EPS reached $0.93... adjusted free cash flow $1.7B... cash and cash equivalents now over $10B.” — Dipak Golechha .
- “We are raising our expectations from $15B to $20B in ARR for FY2030.” — Nikesh Arora .
- “Chronosphere... able to deliver full observability at a third of the cost... we will run it largely standalone post-close.” — Nikesh Arora and Dipak Golechha .
Q&A Highlights
- Identity in an agentic future: Management argues true identity security hinges on privileged access controls; expects privilege concepts to extend to most identities over time, with CyberArk as the core platform .
- Observability rationale (Chronosphere): Built to ingest petabytes at LLM scale with low latency and 1/3 cost; plan to combine observability signals with Agentix for autonomous remediation; CIO/CEO-level buyer focus .
- Quantum urgency: Customers increasingly plan for “harvest now, decrypt later” risks; PANW’s Orion and cipher translation enable immediate quantum-safe posture, with IBM delivering services and roadmaps .
- Secure browser ubiquity: 7.5M sold; browser is now the primary workspace and major threat vector; monetization tied to SASE with long-term ubiquity goals .
- Profitability path with M&A: Management targets ≥37% adjusted FCF margin near term including acquisitions, and 40%+ by FY2028; expects relatively modest interim dilution impact given scale .
Estimates Context
- Q1 FY2026 beat: Revenue $2.474B vs consensus $2.462B; non-GAAP EPS $0.93 vs consensus $0.891; EBITDA (SPGI methodology) was below consensus ($374.2M vs $773.6M), reflecting differing definitions versus reported non-GAAP operating metrics*.
- Q2 FY2026: Consensus revenue $2.577B and EPS $0.939 align with company guidance ranges; minimal implied revision risk unless deal timing or macro changes*.
- FY2026: Consensus revenue $10.523B and EPS $3.820 closely track updated guidance $10.50–$10.54B and $3.80–$3.90, suggesting limited estimate dispersion post-raise*.
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- PANW’s platformization strategy is translating into large consolidating deals, faster customer outcomes (MTTR reductions), and durable ARR growth; this underpins above-30% non-GAAP operating margin performance .
- Strategic expansion into identity (CyberArk) and observability (Chronosphere) broadens the data/security fabric, positioning PANW to monetize AI and post-quantum transitions across multiple enterprise data planes .
- Near-term trading catalysts: continued estimate stability around raised FY2026 guidance, plus Chronosphere deal closure timeline and IBM quantum-safe solution launch; watch for back-half weighted ARR and product revenue strength .
- SASE and software firewalls are growth engines (SASE ARR >$1.3B, +34% y/y; product revenue +23% y/y, with rising software mix), supporting higher gross margins and recurring visibility .
- Risks: integration complexity (dual acquisitions), potential interim margin/FCF variability, and macro/IT budget pacing; management still targets ≥37% adjusted FCF margin near term and 40%+ by FY2028 .
- Quantum-safe readiness and secure browser adoption are differentiated themes that can expand TAM and deepen customer platform reliance over the next 2–3 years .
- Long-term thesis: raising FY2030 ARR target to $20B on core, identity, and observability pillars suggests sustained multi-year growth runway with operating leverage intact .
References
- Q1 FY2026 Earnings Call Transcript –
- Q1 FY2026 8-K Earnings Release and Exhibits –
- Q1 FY2026 Press Release –
- IBM Quantum-Safe Readiness Press Release –
- Q4 FY2025 Press Release –
- Q3 FY2025 Press Release –
- S&P Global consensus and actuals via GetEstimates (see tables; values retrieved from S&P Global)