PH
Playtika Holding Corp. (PLTK)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 revenue of $696.0M missed S&P Global consensus $705.4M* and GAAP diluted EPS of $0.09 was below the $0.127* consensus; management cut FY25 revenue guidance to $2.70–$2.75B (from $2.80–$2.85B) but maintained Adjusted EBITDA at $715–$740M, citing DTC mix shift and operating efficiencies . Consensus values from S&P Global.*
- Mix and franchise dynamics: Bingo Blitz remained resilient ($160.2M, -1.3% q/q, +2.9% y/y), while Slotomania deteriorated materially ($86.5M, -22.7% q/q, -35.4% y/y) due to game economy changes; June’s Journey was stable ($69.1M, +0.3% q/q, -7.4% y/y) .
- Strategic highlights: Disney Solitaire reached a ~$100M ARR run-rate post-launch; management raised long-term DTC penetration target to 40% (from 30%) to support margins as portfolio transitions .
- Capital allocation and liquidity: $0.10 dividend declared (payable Oct 10, 2025), cash and short-term investments of $592.1M, and pro forma liquidity of ~$1.14B; revolving credit facility extension to Sept 2027 is pending regulatory approval in China .
- Near-term stock catalysts: revenue guidance cut vs. maintained EBITDA, accelerating DTC, Disney Solitaire traction, and Q4 global launch of new slots title “Jackpot Tour” .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- DTC momentum and target lift: DTC revenue was $175.9M (-1.8% q/q, +1.3% y/y), and management raised its long-term DTC target to 40% to help “balance our margins as we manage changes within our portfolio” .
- Flagship/title execution: “Bingo Blitz continues to experience strong engagement and significant growth in DTC revenue,” supporting portfolio balance; Q2 Bingo Blitz revenue was $160.2M (-1.3% q/q, +2.9% y/y) .
- New game success: Disney Solitaire “has already hit the $100 million annual run-rate revenue threshold,” with CEO praising the collaboration and execution; management also highlighted a potential advertising revenue opportunity (double-digit sequential growth) in the portfolio .
What Went Wrong
- Social slots headwinds: Slotomania revenue fell sharply to $86.5M (-22.7% q/q, -35.4% y/y) as game economy fixes pressured near-term monetization; management expects softness before improvement .
- Profitability compression: Adjusted EBITDA declined to $167.0M (-0.2% q/q, -12.6% y/y) and adjusted net income dropped to $6.5M (down 82% q/q and 91.4% y/y), reflecting higher sales/marketing spend post-SuperPlay and contingent consideration revaluation dynamics .
- Guidance cut: FY25 revenue was reduced to $2.70–$2.75B from $2.80–$2.85B due to portfolio transitions and weakness in mature titles; though EBITDA was maintained, the cut signals top-line pressure .
Financial Results
P&L and Margins vs Prior Periods
Actuals vs S&P Global Consensus (Q2 2025)
Notes: S&P Global “actual” EBITDA may reflect a different definition than company Adjusted EBITDA; company EBITDA per reconciliation was $170.7M . Consensus values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Title/Segment Highlights
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are pleased to report a resilient second quarter, with revenue reaching $696 million… The success of our latest launch, Disney Solitaire, which has already hit the $100 million annual run-rate revenue threshold…” — Robert Antokol, CEO .
- “We are increasing our long-term target for DTC to 40%, up from 30%… intended to balance our margins as we manage changes within our portfolio.” — Craig Abrahams, President & CFO .
- “Adjusted EBITDA… decline… primarily driven by increased sales and marketing expenses associated with our SuperPlay games… margin dilution following the SuperPlay acquisition.” — CFO .
- “Slotomania faced an acceleration in its declining trend during Q2 as we began implementing changes to address the game economy… contributing to near term pressure on revenue performance.” — CFO .
- “The changes in the payment landscape and in the app stores, has been a positive tailwind for us… we updated our long term target [DTC]… from 30% to 40%.” — CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Slotomania turnaround mechanics: Monetization issues (more than engagement) in a 10+ year-old title; gradual benefits expected as economy changes take effect .
- Disney Solitaire economics: Licensing terms undisclosed; cited as among the most successful 2025 launches; scales faster than prior SuperPlay titles .
- DTC trajectory and app store changes: App store/payment changes are a tailwind, especially on iOS in the US; long-term DTC target lifted to 40% .
- Sweepstakes category: Management does not plan to enter; uncertain impact on social casino but acknowledged category pressure .
- New slots title “Jackpot Tour”: Positioned to regain market share; global launch targeted for Q4 2025; not expected to materially impact 2025 results but important for long-term growth .
Estimates Context
- Q2 results vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $696.0M vs $705.4M* (miss), Primary EPS $0.09 vs $0.127* (miss), EBITDA miss vs $174.8M* consensus (company Adjusted EBITDA $167.0M; SPGI “actual” EBITDA shown as $138.1M* indicating definitional differences) . Consensus values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Implications for models: Lowered FY25 revenue guidance implies top-line estimates should move down; maintained EBITDA range suggests margin/EBITDA estimates can be stable near prior levels, aided by DTC mix and H2 S&M step-down .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix resilience with DTC: Raised long-term DTC target to 40% supports EBITDA durability amidst legacy title pressure; expect H2 S&M easing to help margins .
- Title bifurcation: Bingo Blitz stable with record DTC; Slotomania remains a headwind as economy changes weigh on monetization near term .
- New content pipeline credible: Disney Solitaire already at ~$100M ARR run-rate; Q4 launch of “Jackpot Tour” is a meaningful 2026+ lever rather than a 2025 earnings driver .
- Guidance reset: FY25 revenue cut to $2.70–$2.75B with EBITDA held at $715–$740M anchors the investment case on margin resilience rather than immediate growth .
- Liquidity and capital returns: $592.1M in cash/ST investments, quarterly dividend intact; revolver extension pending regulatory approval helps de-risk maturities .
- Watch list: H2 trajectory for Slotomania monetization, DTC penetration gains (especially iOS), and early KPIs for Jackpot Tour post-launch .
Footnote: Asterisked values are consensus and/or actuals retrieved from S&P Global and may reflect differing metric definitions versus company-reported non-GAAP figures. Values retrieved from S&P Global.* [GetEstimates]