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POWELL INDUSTRIES INC (POWL)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2025 delivered record profitability: revenue $298.0M (+8% YoY, +4% QoQ), gross margin 31.4% (+215 bps YoY), and diluted EPS $4.22 (+12% YoY); orders were $271M and backlog ended at $1.4B .
  • Results beat consensus: EPS $4.22 vs $3.78* and revenue $298.0M vs $292.8M*; EBITDA also exceeded consensus ($65.0M vs $59.3M*) with upper‑20s gross margin profile guided as sustainable into FY26 (seasonally softer Q1) .
  • Strategic catalysts: utility revenue doubled YoY and traction power +85% YoY; data center demand cited as growing in size and urgency; LNG cycle underpinning O&G investment and capacity expansion at JacintoPort for FY26 .
  • Capital and cash: $476M cash/short‑term investments and zero debt provide flexibility for organic capex ($12.4M JacintoPort plus $5–$7M maintenance in FY26) and ongoing dividend ($0.2675/sh) .
  • Inorganic growth: acquisition of Remsdaq (electrical automation/SCADA RTUs) closed, expected to be margin‑accretive with quotations underway in North America and integration in the U.K. .

Note: Asterisk indicates values retrieved from S&P Global.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record margin and EPS driven by “continued strong project execution” and favorable project closeouts; CFO quantified +100 bps margin tailwind from closeouts in Q4 and ~125 bps YTD .
  • Utility and traction power outperformed: “electric utility sector doubled versus the same period one year ago, while… light rail traction increased by 85%” (CEO prepared remarks reinforced structural strength in utility) .
  • Backlog quality and cash generation: backlog $1.4B, book‑to‑bill 1.0x for FY25, $61M operating cash flow in Q4, and $476M cash/short‑term investments with no debt; “composition, margin profile and schedule of our current backlog” cited as supportive of FY26 .

What Went Wrong

  • Petrochemical and O&G revenue declined YoY in Q4 (‑25% and ‑10% respectively) on tough comps from large 2023 awards executed in 2024; Commercial & Other Industrial was down 9% on timing .
  • SG&A up ~$5.5M YoY in Q4 to $27M (9.1% of revenue) with ~$3M variable compensation catch‑up and just under $2M acquisition costs, lifting expense ratio vs prior year .
  • Order cadence normalized: Q4 orders $271M (0.9x book‑to‑bill) lacked “mega projects,” after a strong Q3 ($362M, 1.3x); backlog declined 2% sequentially from June to September on revenue recognition .

Financial Results

Quarterly Performance vs Prior Periods and Estimates

MetricQ2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$278.6 $286.3 $298.0
YoY Δ+9% -1% +8%
QoQ Δ+15% vs Q1 +3% vs Q2 +4% vs Q3
Gross Margin %29.9% 30.7% 31.4%
YoY Δ (bps)+530 bps +230 bps +215 bps
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$58.9 $60.1 $63.2
Net Income ($USD Millions)$46.3 $48.2 $51.4
Diluted EPS ($USD)$3.81 $3.96 $4.22
EPS YoY Δ+38% +4% +12%
EPS QoQ Δ+33% vs Q1 +4% vs Q2 +7% vs Q3
Actual vs ConsensusQ2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025FY 2025
EPS Actual ($)$3.81 $3.96 $4.22 $14.86
EPS Consensus Mean ($)$3.57*$3.77*$3.78*$14.41*
Revenue Actual ($)$278.6M $286.3M $298.0M $1.104B
Revenue Consensus Mean ($)$282.7M*$301.7M*$292.8M*$1.099B*
EBITDA Actual ($)$60.6M [GetEstimates]*$61.9M [GetEstimates]*$65.0M [GetEstimates]*$224.8M [GetEstimates]*
EBITDA Consensus Mean ($)$51.6M*$58.4M*$59.3M*$221.1M*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Highlights:

  • Q4: EPS beat (+$0.44), revenue beat (+$5.1M), EBITDA beat (+$5.7M)* .
  • Q3: EPS beat (+$0.19) but revenue miss (‑$15.4M)* .
  • Q2: EPS beat (+$0.24), revenue slight miss (‑$4.0M)* .

Segment and Market Dynamics

MarketQ2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025
Electric Utility+48% YoY to $70.3M revenue +31% YoY +100% YoY
Commercial & Other Industrial+16% YoY to $40.4M revenue -9% YoY (timing) -9% YoY
Light Rail Traction Power+61% YoY +85% YoY (smaller base)
Oil & Gas-10% YoY -10% YoY
Petrochemical-13% YoY to $43.7M revenue -36% YoY -25% YoY

KPIs

KPIQ2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025
New Orders (Bookings)$249M $362M $271M
Backlog$1.3B $1.4B (+7% QoQ) $1.4B (‑2% QoQ; +3% YoY)
Book‑to‑Bill1.3x 0.9x (FY25: 1.0x)
Operating Cash Flow$61M
Cash & Short‑Term Investments$389.3M $433.0M $475.5M
Working Capital$405.8M $452.8M $485.3M

Note: Gross profit reported as $93.5M in 8‑K and “$94M” on the call (rounding) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Gross Margin % (GAAP)FY 2026n/a“Upper 20s” realistic for FY26; FY25 margin profile sustainable entering FY26 Raised clarity (sustainable)
SeasonalityQ1 FY 2026n/aExpect typical seasonal softness in fiscal Q1 (Oct–Dec) Maintained pattern
Backlog ConversionFY 2026n/a~60% of backlog convertible in FY26 New datapoint
CapExFY 2026n/a~$12.4M JacintoPort expansion plus $5–$7M maintenance/productivity New plan
Acquisition CostsFY 2026n/aNone expected; incurred in FY25 Lowered
DividendQ4 2025$0.2675/sh$0.2675/sh payable Dec 17, 2025 (record Nov 19) Maintained

No explicit revenue/EPS guidance was provided; management emphasized backlog quality, execution, and stable pricing .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2025)Previous Mentions (Q3 2025)Current Period (Q4 2025)Trend
Utility demandStrong growth; R&D to penetrate utilities +31% YoY revenue; largest utility order $60M; backlog mix increasing Utility revenue doubled; backlog equal‑weighted vs O&G; robust outlook Improving
Data centers/AI powerEmphasis on product roadmap to compete in C&I Growing opportunities; quoting big projects “Power availability/reliability constraints” cited; opportunities growing in size/volume Improving
LNG/Natural gas cycleNew greenfield LNG award noted Awards in offshore modules; strong O&G LNG pipeline supportive; JacintoPort expansion to capture wave Stable‑to‑Improving
Pricing & margin sustainabilitySequential margin rebound to 29.9% Stable pricing; closeouts tailwind Upper‑20s margin for FY26 realistic; stable pricing Stable
SG&A & acquisition costsSG&A 8.6% YTD (vs 8.4%) SG&A up; mix includes M&A costs Q4 SG&A $27M (9.1%); $3M variable comp catch‑up; < $2M M&A costs Normalizing
R&D executionBuilding products; capex supports commercialization Continued investment Expect new products in FY26; iterative through FY27‑28 Improving
International revenue+38% YoY on higher volume Continued diversified backlog across geographies Stable

Management Commentary

  • “Our fourth quarter marked a solid finish to another record year… record quarterly earnings per share of $4.22” (CEO) .
  • “Electric utility sector doubled… light rail traction increased by 85%… commercial & other industrial lower by 9% on project timing” (CFO) .
  • “We believe… margins in the upper 20s for the total year of fiscal 2026 are realistic” (CFO) .
  • “We closed the acquisition of Remsdaq… confident in our ability to scale… at margin accretive economics” (CEO) .
  • “Seasonality… we do anticipate… first quarter… is softer” (CFO) .
  • “Backlog and project schedules are well balanced… book‑to‑bill of 1.0x for the full year” (CEO/CFO) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Market mix and pricing: Utility demand more speed‑driven/less price‑sensitive; some O&G subsectors (Canada, North Sea) more price‑sensitive amid softness .
  • Margin drivers: ~100 bps from project closeouts in Q4; ~125 bps YTD; upper‑20s margin sustainable in FY26 given backlog composition and stable pricing .
  • SG&A clarity: ~$3M variable comp catch‑up; just under $2M acquisition‑related services; acquisition costs largely behind and not expected in FY26 .
  • Backlog conversion and capex: ~60% of backlog deliverable in FY26; JacintoPort capex ~$12.4M plus $5–$7M maintenance in FY26 to position for LNG wave .
  • Data center architecture: Powell’s DC switchgear/breaker portfolio positions it to participate in potential DC distribution evolution; R&D may be required around rectifier solutions .

Estimates Context

  • Versus S&P Global consensus:
    • Q4 EPS $4.22 vs $3.78* (beat), revenue $298.0M vs $292.8M* (beat), EBITDA $65.0M vs $59.3M* (beat) .
    • Q3 EPS $3.96 vs $3.77* (beat), revenue $286.3M vs $301.7M* (miss)* .
    • Q2 EPS $3.81 vs $3.57* (beat), revenue $278.6M vs $282.7M* (miss)* .
    • FY25 EPS $14.86 vs $14.41* (beat), revenue $1.104B vs $1.099B* (beat) .
  • Implications: EPS estimates should adjust upward to reflect execution and closeout dynamics; revenue estimates may need tighter quarter‑by‑quarter phasing given timing in C&I and O&G.
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Momentum shift toward non‑industrial markets (utility, traction) is durable and diversifying risk; backlog is now roughly equal‑weighted between utility and O&G .
  • Margin quality is high: stable pricing, disciplined execution, and favorable closeouts support upper‑20s gross margins in FY26; watch for seasonal Q1 softness .
  • Orders cadence normalized after Q3 mega awards; Q4’s 0.9x book‑to‑bill suggests near‑term revenue recognition from backlog with continued healthy funnel .
  • Data center power constraints are a real tailwind; Powell is quoting larger opportunities and has technology positioning to participate in evolving DC architectures .
  • LNG cycle and JacintoPort expansion set up medium‑term O&G upside; monitor FIDs and project timing risk .
  • Balance sheet strength ($476M cash, no debt) enables capex, R&D, and selective M&A while maintaining dividend ($0.2675/sh) .
  • Near‑term trading: potential positive reaction to estimate beats and margin sustainability; medium‑term thesis hinges on converting robust backlog, capturing utility/data center growth, and sustaining execution amid segment timing volatility .