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    Ferrari NV (RACE)

    Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

    Reported on Feb 5, 2025 (Before Market Open)
    Pre-Earnings Price$428.94Last close (Feb 3, 2025)
    Post-Earnings Price$453.69Open (Feb 4, 2025)
    Price Change
    $24.75(+5.77%)
    • Strong brand loyalty with increasing repeat sales to existing customers: In 2024, Ferrari sold approximately 81% of new cars to existing clients, up from 74% in the prior year, indicating growing customer loyalty and a stable revenue base. Additionally, 40% of sales were to customers owning one Ferrari already, showing strong repeat purchase behavior. ,
    • Robust demand in key markets like China with a solid order backlog: The order book in China covers five quarters, demonstrating sustained strong demand in this crucial market. Despite potential tariffs, Ferrari is maintaining its strategy without accelerating sales or changing plans, indicating confidence in ongoing demand.
    • High demand for special models contributing to profitability: The shipment of high-margin special models like the Daytona SP3 supports profitability. In Q4, Ferrari shipped 46 Daytonas, averaging one every two weeks, highlighting strong demand for exclusive models.
    • Limited Pricing Power Amid Cost Inflation: Ferrari executives indicated that price increases in 2025 will be "very, very limited" and mostly restricted to specific models and countries, not affecting the overall model prices. This, combined with ongoing cost inflation, could pressure margins as pricing may not fully offset rising costs.
    • Potential Impact of Tariffs and Customs Duties: There is uncertainty regarding the impact of potential tariffs in key markets like China and the U.S. Ferrari is not planning to accelerate shipments to mitigate this risk, and the company acknowledged they are waiting for concrete details before deciding how to manage the situation. This could introduce volatility in sales and profitability in these regions.
    • Dependence on Existing Customer Base: In 2024, 81% of sales were to existing customers, up from 74% in the prior year. The increasing reliance on repeat customers might indicate a saturation of the existing customer base and potential challenges in attracting new buyers, which could limit future sales growth.
    TopicPrevious MentionsCurrent PeriodTrend

    Customer Loyalty and Repeat Sales

    Q1 and Q2 emphasized strong customer retention with repeat sales around 74% and noted personalization efforts and intimate dealer‐client relationships.

    Q4 reported improved figures – 81% of new sales to existing clients, with detailed segmentation (40% repeat owners and 48% owning multiple Ferraris).

    Consistently positive with improvement, highlighting further enhanced customer loyalty.

    China Market Demand and Tariff Effects

    Q1 discussed a normalization in demand with a deliberate strategy to keep China under 10% and a noticeable shift towards hybrid models. Q2 noted that additional tax burdens affected demand for certain 12-cylinder models, but China remained a small share (<10%).

    Q4 demonstrated a strong China order book covering approximately 5 quarters and confirmed that no accelerated shipments were needed despite tariff concerns.

    Steady with evolving sentiment – from cautious normalization and tax concerns to a robust order book and a clear strategy against tariff speculation.

    High-Margin Special Models (Daytona SP3) Performance

    Q1 highlighted the Daytona SP3 as a key profit contributor with high deliveries (≈80 units) and strong mix and pricing impact. Q2 maintained positive mentions with shipments around 74 units and plans to moderate volumes to keep averages high.

    Q4 showed a reduced shipment volume (46 units) and indicated a planned taper off into 2025, suggesting that while past performance was strong, its future contribution is expected to decline.

    Positive but transitioning – a formerly high-impact model that is now being scaled down, with expectations for lower contribution going forward.

    Pricing Power Limitations and Cost Inflation

    Q1 discussions focused on strong pricing power, where price increases were absorbed by client willingness to pay in addition to steady cost inflation assumptions. Q2 did not mention these topics.

    Q4 explicitly noted that cost and underlying inflation were not fully offset by pricing adjustments, signaling challenges for profitability.

    Worsening sentiment – from confidence in pricing power to emerging challenges as inflation erodes margins.

    Personalization and Customization Demand

    Q1 detailed a strong personalization rate (around 19%) and noted that clients maintained interest despite price increases. Q2 reported similar strong demand (around 20%), with enhanced supply chain efforts and deeper data analysis on trends.

    Q4 reiterated that personalization continues to contribute about 20% of revenue, with added emphasis on supply chain expansion, advanced offerings (like carbon-finished parts), and even considering predefined combinations to manage brand image and residual values.

    Consistently strong and evolving – with sustained high demand and refinement of strategies to balance customization with brand and residual values.

    New Model Launches (12-Cylinder Models)

    Q1 launched the 12Cilindri models with very positive feedback, innovative pricing strategies, and an emphasis on blending tradition with innovation. Q2 echoed this with strong global order books (Spider version especially popular) and some geographic challenges due to tax burdens.

    Q4 continued to show robust order intake, with an even 50–50 split between coupe and spider versions and forward order books extending to 2026, while noting a slight reduction in hybrid share due to these ICE models.

    Highly positive and consistent – new model launches remain a key growth engine with steady customer demand and clear strategic positioning.

    Operating Expense Increases and Margin Pressure

    Q1 mentioned moderate increases in SG&A and R&D expenses (SG&A up by EUR 12 million, R&D +29 million) but benefited from a strong price and mix. Q2 discussed rising SG&A due to digital infrastructure investments and forecasted higher R&D and event-related expenses causing some margin pressure.

    Q4 reported renewed pressures with increased industrial, R&D, and SG&A expenses along with cost inflation not fully offset by pricing, exerting additional margin pressure despite strong overall profitability margins.

    Deteriorating sentiment – expenses and inflation pressures are increasingly challenging margins compared to earlier periods.

    Foreign Exchange Headwinds and Currency Risks

    Q1 noted a negative impact of EUR 23 million due to adverse moves in the yuan, yen, and dollar, despite hedging strategies. Q2 saw a larger negative impact (EUR 35 million) driven by the same currencies.

    Q4 again mentioned negative currency impacts despite hedging, while setting a neutral outlook for 2025 (targeting a USD rate around 1.05).

    Consistently negative but with a neutral future outlook – currency risks persist, though future guidance suggests stabilization.

    Residual Value Concerns

    Q1 indicated that residual values were strong overall with only isolated issues. Q2 maintained that overall residual values remain robust, noting that functional personalizations hold their value better, and introduced a warranty for hybrid models.

    Q4 offered deeper insights with active measures such as adjusted shipment allocations (e.g., in the UK) and leveraging warranty programs to support hybrid models, while cautioning against extreme personalization which may hurt residual values.

    Under vigilant monitoring – consistent confidence overall but with increased strategic measures in Q4 to safeguard long-term asset values.

    Pre-Owned Market Expansion Initiatives

    Q1 featured initiatives like the Ferrari Approved Program to deepen relationships with pre-owned customers and keep them within the brand’s ecosystem.

    Q4 did not mention any initiatives related to the pre-owned market, and neither did Q2.

    No longer mentioned – this topic was emphasized in Q1 but has since dropped from subsequent discussions, suggesting a deprioritization in current messaging.

    1. Margin Expansion Drivers
      Q: Why was profit improvement smaller in 2024 despite strong mix?
      A: Antonio explained that while the product mix, including special series and limited cars, country mix, and personalization contributed significantly to margins in 2023, these factors were less impactful in 2024 due to cost inflation not fully offset by pricing ( ). Pricing in 2025 will be very limited, mostly on specific models and countries, and personalization has emerged as a major contributor, increasing from 18% before 2022 to 20% in 2024 ( ).

    2. Pricing Power and 2025 Outlook
      Q: Can you confirm the Purosangue price increase and discuss 2025 pricing?
      A: Benedetto confirmed a planned price increase on the Purosangue effective January 1, 2025, which was previously communicated ( ). No new price increases are expected in 2025 beyond this. Antonio mentioned that pricing will be very limited and mostly related to some models in specific countries ( ).

    3. Launch of 6 New Models in 2025
      Q: Is launching 6 models in 2025 operationally challenging or confusing for customers?
      A: Benedetto assured that the models are clearly positioned for different client segments, including special versions and limited editions, catering to both existing and new customers ( ). This strategy aligns with becoming a more luxury brand by offering a wider range of models with fewer volumes per model to maintain desirability ( ).

    4. Residual Values and EV Strategy
      Q: Do residual value concerns of hybrids affect your EV strategy?
      A: Benedetto emphasized that Ferrari's electric cars will be unique in style, performance, and driving experience ( ). They are confident in the desirability of their upcoming EVs and plan to introduce new technology in their own way, with more details to be revealed in October ( ).

    5. Supply Chain Challenges
      Q: Are supply chain issues a concern for 2025 guidance?
      A: Benedetto acknowledged supply chain challenges due to supplier troubles caused by lower demand from big OEMs ( ). Ferrari is addressing this by dispatching teams to ensure production continuity and leveraging second sourcing options ( ).

    6. Order Book Strength and Customer Mix
      Q: Is the increase to 81% sales to existing customers sustainable?
      A: Benedetto noted that 81% of sales were to existing customers in 2024, up from 74% the prior year ( ). New models like the 12 Cilindri attract 20% new clients with an average age around 45 years, indicating ongoing interest from both new and existing customers ( ).

    7. F80 Order Intake and Cancellation Rumors
      Q: Have there been client cancellations for the F80 supercar?
      A: Benedetto dismissed internet rumors about cancellations, stating that the F80 is fully allocated with order intake faster than previous Icona models ( ). There are more interested clients than the 799 cars planned for production ( ).

    8. Hybrid Share and Model Plan
      Q: Will hybrid model share increase or plateau in 2025?
      A: Antonio stated that the hybrid share is expected to be slightly lower in 2025 due to deliveries of the 12 Cilindri (V12 ICE models) ( ). Benedetto confirmed they are executing their initial product plan with no changes to the hybrid strategy ( ).

    9. Depreciation & Amortization Outlook
      Q: How will D&A align with CapEx in 2025 and beyond?
      A: Antonio explained that D&A in 2025 is influenced by model phase-in and phase-out, and the start of new production affects D&A levels ( ). By the end of 2026, they expect D&A to be around 1.2 times current levels, but not equal to CapEx ( ).

    10. Personalization Impact on Margins and Residuals
      Q: Are you adjusting personalization options to protect residual values?
      A: Benedetto acknowledged that while they advise clients, they cannot limit personalization choices ( ). Popular options like carbon finishes have increased, and despite some combinations potentially affecting residual values, clients often prioritize personal enjoyment over resale ( ).

    11. Battery Warranty Program Update
      Q: What's the uptake on the battery warranty program for hybrids?
      A: Benedetto reported that since launching in September, around 350 contracts have been signed in 4 months ( ). The program offers clients peace of mind regarding the longevity of high-voltage batteries in hybrid models ( ).

    12. China Order Book and Tariff Impact
      Q: What's the status of the China order book amid tariff concerns?
      A: Benedetto stated the China order book remains at 5 quarters ( ). Ferrari does not plan to accelerate deliveries to other regions due to tariffs, maintaining their original strategy ( ).

    13. Q4 ASP Increase Drivers
      Q: What drove the Q4 ASP increase versus Q3?
      A: Antonio attributed the increase to the development of the SF90 XX, higher personalization with increased carbon finish options, and a favorable country mix ( ).

    14. Specials Shipped in Q4
      Q: Can you confirm the percentage of specials shipped in Q4?
      A: Benedetto confirmed that 6% of deliveries in Q4 were special series models ( ).

    15. Daytona Shipments in Q4
      Q: How many Daytonas were shipped in the fourth quarter?
      A: Benedetto stated that 46 Daytonas were shipped in Q4, approximately one every two weeks ( ).