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Ralliant Corp (RAL)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Delivered revenue of $529.1M (flat YoY; +5% QoQ) and adjusted EPS of $0.60; both were at or above the high end of prior guidance, with upside driven by stronger defense shipments and a seasonal lift in Test & Measurement .
  • Headline beats vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $529.1M vs $521.1M*, and EPS $0.60 vs $0.577*; margins declined YoY on lower T&M volume and post‑spin employee costs but improved sequentially .
  • Q4 guide brackets consensus: revenue $535–$550M vs $545.0M*, adjusted EPS $0.62–$0.68 vs $0.660*; CFO reiterated fully offsetting tariffs with a smaller run‑rate gross‑margin headwind (~50 bps) .
  • Cash generation remained strong: operating cash flow $138.6M and free cash flow $126.6M in Q3; dividend of $0.05/share declared and $200M buyback authorization in place; quarter-end cash $264M and term debt $1.15B (net leverage 1.9x per CFO) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Sensors & Safety Systems (S&SS) grew 11% YoY and 5% QoQ; defense & space +18% YoY; utilities +11% YoY; adjusted EBITDA margin in S&SS remained healthy at 28.7% .
    • T&M sequential improvement continued (+6% QoQ), with strong incrementals; new Tektronix platforms (DPO 7000 and MP5000) broaden market reach into validation/automated test and received strong customer feedback .
    • Strong cash conversion: Q3 FCF $126.6M and trailing 12‑month FCF conversion ~124% per CFO; Q4 conversion expected to dip sequentially but remain >95% for FY on TTM basis .
  • What Went Wrong

    • T&M down 14% YoY (lapping ~$15M projects) as customers defer R&D labs in favor of AI infrastructure; diversified electronics softness most pronounced in China/Western Europe .
    • Company-wide YoY margin pressure driven by lower T&M volume and post‑spin employee costs; adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 20.4% vs 26.5% in Q3’24, although up 60 bps QoQ .
    • Regional headwinds persisted: Western Europe and China down ~6% YoY; management does not expect near‑term recovery in China but sees stabilization and redeployment toward India/SE Asia .

Financial Results

Headline financials by quarter (oldest → newest)

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($M)$531.7 $481.8 $503.3 $529.1
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$0.81 $0.57 $0.42 $0.35
Adjusted EPS (Non‑GAAP)$0.95 $0.73 $0.67 $0.60
Net Earnings Margin (GAAP)17.1% 13.3% 9.5% 7.5%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (Non‑GAAP)26.5% 21.2% 19.8% 20.4%

Actual vs S&P Global consensus and QoQ context

MetricQ3 2025 ActualQ3 2025 Consensus*Beat/MissQoQ Δ
Revenue ($M)$529.1 $521.1*Beat+5% QoQ (company reported)
Adjusted EPS$0.60 $0.577*BeatFrom $0.67 in Q2

Segment breakdown

SegmentQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
S&SS Revenue ($M)$295.1 $310.8 $326.0
S&SS Operating Profit ($M)$82.0 $79.5 $90.1
S&SS Operating Margin27.8% 25.6% 27.6%
S&SS Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$85.5 $88.3 $93.6
S&SS Adjusted EBITDA Margin29.0% 28.4% 28.7%
T&M Revenue ($M)$236.6 $192.5 $203.1
T&M Operating (Loss)/Profit ($M)$29.3 $(14.3) $(1.7)
T&M Operating Margin12.4% (7.4)% (0.8)%
T&M Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$55.4 $17.4 $28.1
T&M Adjusted EBITDA Margin23.4% 9.1% 13.8%

Cash flow and balance sheet KPIs

KPIQ2 2025Q3 2025
Operating Cash Flow ($M)$85.6 $138.6
Capital Expenditures ($M)$11.6 $12.0
Free Cash Flow ($M)$74.0 $126.6
Cash & Equivalents ($M)$198.6 $264.2
Long‑Term Debt ($M)$1,148.5 $1,148.6
Dividend/Share$0.05 declared Aug 6 (paid Sep 23) $0.05 declared Oct 30 (payable Dec 23)

Notes on non‑GAAP adjustments: Q3 included a $22.4M stock‑based compensation modification (spin‑related, one‑time), and excluded a $12.4M favorable discrete tax item (German tax rate reduction) in adjusted EPS; also separation costs and discrete restructuring were adjusted .

Guidance Changes

Q4 2025 guidance (initiated this quarter)

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueQ4 2025N/A$535–$550M Initiated
Adjusted EBITDA MarginQ4 2025N/A20%–21% Initiated
Adjusted EPSQ4 2025N/A$0.62–$0.68 Initiated
Interest ExpenseQ4 2025N/A$16–$18M Initiated
Adjusted Effective Tax RateQ4 2025N/A17%–19% Initiated
Diluted SharesQ4 2025N/A~113.5–114M Initiated
FCF ConversionQ4 2025N/A<95% in Q4; >100% TTM Initiated
Tariff Impact AssumptionQ4 2025Expect full offset by Q4; ~100 bps GM headwind run‑rate Fully offset achieved in Q3; small GM headwind; ~50 bps run‑rate per CFO Improved vs prior plan

Performance vs Q3 2025 guidance (provided on Aug 11)

MetricPeriodGuidance (Aug 11)ActualResult
RevenueQ3 2025$513–$527M $529.1M Above high end
Adjusted EBITDA MarginQ3 202518%–20% 20.4% Above high end
Adjusted EPSQ3 2025$0.54–$0.60 $0.60 At high end

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025)Previous Mentions (Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
T&M demand and seasonalityRevenue $481.8M; adj EBITDA margin 21.2%; baseline context T&M down 15% YoY; stabilization and sequential uptick; cost‑savings launched T&M +6% QoQ; YoY down 14%; strong incrementals; communications highest orders of year; semi R&D deferrals to AI infra Improving sequentially; YoY still down
Defense cycle and backlogStrong orders; utilities/defense demand Defense & space +18% YoY; backlog building; backlog now >2× annual revenue; capacity expansion planned Strong, accelerating
Utilities/grid modernizationStable to modest growth; continued investment Utilities +11% YoY; secular grid upgrades and expansion; sustained demand Strong and sustained
Tariffs/pricingFull offset targeted by Q4; ~100 bps GM headwind Fully offset achieved in Q3; headwind ~50 bps run‑rate; minimal FX impact; volume key driver Better than plan
Regional trendsWestern Europe and China softness; NA stabilization NA +3% YoY; Western Europe and China −6% YoY; shifting to India/SE Asia Mixed; NA leading
Product/R&D executionNew products; cost savings Tektronix DPO 7000 and MP5000 launched; strong feedback; expand into validation Positive innovation cadence

Management Commentary

  • “Our team… deliver[ed] results at or above the high end of our guidance range across every metric” while executing three strategic pillars: RBS Everywhere, Stronghold Positions, Winning Growth Vectors (CEO) .
  • “We… fully offset the cost of tariffs in the third quarter… we now expect [headwind] to be closer to 50 basis points on a run‑rate basis” (CFO) .
  • “Our defense customers have been awarded multi‑year contracts… our backlog, which is now over two times our annual revenue, has continued to build” (CEO) .
  • “Adjusted EBITDA margin increased 60 bps sequentially… primarily due to operating leverage on higher revenue” (CFO) .
  • “We launched two new high‑performance precision instruments [DPO 7000, MP5000]… expanding into the validation workflow” (CEO) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Demand cadence and orders: Book‑to‑bill ~1:1; sequential growth underpinned by volume; healthy funnels and channel trends; Q4 step‑up volume‑driven with typical seasonality .
  • Margins: Further Q4 step‑up expected in T&M on volume; S&SS mix headwind from higher defense (lower than segment average margin) partially offset by strong industrial margin profile .
  • Defense mechanics: Significant backlog build with upfront cash driving deferred revenue; capacity expansion planned; payments to Fortive related to spin (~$90M total; $35M remaining in Q4) clarified .
  • T&M end‑markets: Semi customers deferring R&D lab spend in favor of AI infrastructure; diversified electronics softness mainly China/Western Europe; North America sequential improvement .
  • Cost savings cadence: $9–$11M annualized by end‑2026; site/infrastructure consolidation execution now, benefits skew to back‑half 2026 .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 2025: Revenue $529.1M vs $521.1M* and adjusted EPS $0.60 vs $0.577* — both beats. Drivers were defense shipments and seasonal T&M step‑up; margins pressured YoY by lower T&M volume and post‑spin costs .
  • Q4 2025: Guide revenue $535–$550M vs $545.0M* and adjusted EPS $0.62–$0.68 vs $0.660*; bracketed consensus with tariff offsets largely in place; focus remains on volume and mix (defense vs other S&SS) .
  • Potential revisions: Modest upward tweaks to near‑term revenue/EPS likely given Q3 beat and Q4 bracket; but YoY margin profile constrained by T&M mix until broader recovery unfolds .

Actual vs Consensus (S&P Global)

MetricQ3 2025 ActualQ3 2025 Consensus*Q4 2025 GuidanceQ4 2025 Consensus*
Revenue ($M)$529.1 $521.1*$535–$550 $545.0*
Adjusted EPS$0.60 $0.577*$0.62–$0.68 $0.660*

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Quality of beat: Broad‑based high‑end/outperformance vs prior guidance across revenue, margin, and adj EPS; consensus beats on both revenue and EPS .
  • Defense flywheel: Backlog >2× annual revenue with upfront customer funding, capacity expansion underway; durable multi‑year demand supports S&SS growth and cash generation .
  • T&M leverage to recovery: Sequential improvement with strong incrementals and new platforms (R&D and validation) expands TAM; sustained recovery remains the swing factor for margin normalization .
  • Tariffs largely neutralized: Full offset achieved ahead of plan; smaller residual gross‑margin headwind (~50 bps) diminishes a prior risk factor .
  • Capital returns in motion: $0.05 dividend declared; $200M repurchase authorization; strong FCF provides flexibility while maintaining 1.5–2.0× net‑leverage target (CFO cited ~1.9×) .
  • Near‑term setup: Q4 guide brackets consensus; sequential volume/mix dynamics (T&M, defense) are key to landing within range; watch regional signals (NA strength vs EU/China softness) .
  • Medium‑term: Secular S&SS vectors (defense, grid, electrification) plus T&M product cycle position RAL for re‑rating as T&M normalizes; cost‑savings program adds incremental support exiting 2026 .