RC
Ralliant Corp (RAL)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Delivered revenue of $529.1M (flat YoY; +5% QoQ) and adjusted EPS of $0.60; both were at or above the high end of prior guidance, with upside driven by stronger defense shipments and a seasonal lift in Test & Measurement .
- Headline beats vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $529.1M vs $521.1M*, and EPS $0.60 vs $0.577*; margins declined YoY on lower T&M volume and post‑spin employee costs but improved sequentially .
- Q4 guide brackets consensus: revenue $535–$550M vs $545.0M*, adjusted EPS $0.62–$0.68 vs $0.660*; CFO reiterated fully offsetting tariffs with a smaller run‑rate gross‑margin headwind (~50 bps) .
- Cash generation remained strong: operating cash flow $138.6M and free cash flow $126.6M in Q3; dividend of $0.05/share declared and $200M buyback authorization in place; quarter-end cash $264M and term debt $1.15B (net leverage 1.9x per CFO) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Sensors & Safety Systems (S&SS) grew 11% YoY and 5% QoQ; defense & space +18% YoY; utilities +11% YoY; adjusted EBITDA margin in S&SS remained healthy at 28.7% .
- T&M sequential improvement continued (+6% QoQ), with strong incrementals; new Tektronix platforms (DPO 7000 and MP5000) broaden market reach into validation/automated test and received strong customer feedback .
- Strong cash conversion: Q3 FCF $126.6M and trailing 12‑month FCF conversion ~124% per CFO; Q4 conversion expected to dip sequentially but remain >95% for FY on TTM basis .
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What Went Wrong
- T&M down 14% YoY (lapping ~$15M projects) as customers defer R&D labs in favor of AI infrastructure; diversified electronics softness most pronounced in China/Western Europe .
- Company-wide YoY margin pressure driven by lower T&M volume and post‑spin employee costs; adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 20.4% vs 26.5% in Q3’24, although up 60 bps QoQ .
- Regional headwinds persisted: Western Europe and China down ~6% YoY; management does not expect near‑term recovery in China but sees stabilization and redeployment toward India/SE Asia .
Financial Results
Headline financials by quarter (oldest → newest)
Actual vs S&P Global consensus and QoQ context
Segment breakdown
Cash flow and balance sheet KPIs
Notes on non‑GAAP adjustments: Q3 included a $22.4M stock‑based compensation modification (spin‑related, one‑time), and excluded a $12.4M favorable discrete tax item (German tax rate reduction) in adjusted EPS; also separation costs and discrete restructuring were adjusted .
Guidance Changes
Q4 2025 guidance (initiated this quarter)
Performance vs Q3 2025 guidance (provided on Aug 11)
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our team… deliver[ed] results at or above the high end of our guidance range across every metric” while executing three strategic pillars: RBS Everywhere, Stronghold Positions, Winning Growth Vectors (CEO) .
- “We… fully offset the cost of tariffs in the third quarter… we now expect [headwind] to be closer to 50 basis points on a run‑rate basis” (CFO) .
- “Our defense customers have been awarded multi‑year contracts… our backlog, which is now over two times our annual revenue, has continued to build” (CEO) .
- “Adjusted EBITDA margin increased 60 bps sequentially… primarily due to operating leverage on higher revenue” (CFO) .
- “We launched two new high‑performance precision instruments [DPO 7000, MP5000]… expanding into the validation workflow” (CEO) .
Q&A Highlights
- Demand cadence and orders: Book‑to‑bill ~1:1; sequential growth underpinned by volume; healthy funnels and channel trends; Q4 step‑up volume‑driven with typical seasonality .
- Margins: Further Q4 step‑up expected in T&M on volume; S&SS mix headwind from higher defense (lower than segment average margin) partially offset by strong industrial margin profile .
- Defense mechanics: Significant backlog build with upfront cash driving deferred revenue; capacity expansion planned; payments to Fortive related to spin (~$90M total; $35M remaining in Q4) clarified .
- T&M end‑markets: Semi customers deferring R&D lab spend in favor of AI infrastructure; diversified electronics softness mainly China/Western Europe; North America sequential improvement .
- Cost savings cadence: $9–$11M annualized by end‑2026; site/infrastructure consolidation execution now, benefits skew to back‑half 2026 .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025: Revenue $529.1M vs $521.1M* and adjusted EPS $0.60 vs $0.577* — both beats. Drivers were defense shipments and seasonal T&M step‑up; margins pressured YoY by lower T&M volume and post‑spin costs .
- Q4 2025: Guide revenue $535–$550M vs $545.0M* and adjusted EPS $0.62–$0.68 vs $0.660*; bracketed consensus with tariff offsets largely in place; focus remains on volume and mix (defense vs other S&SS) .
- Potential revisions: Modest upward tweaks to near‑term revenue/EPS likely given Q3 beat and Q4 bracket; but YoY margin profile constrained by T&M mix until broader recovery unfolds .
Actual vs Consensus (S&P Global)
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Quality of beat: Broad‑based high‑end/outperformance vs prior guidance across revenue, margin, and adj EPS; consensus beats on both revenue and EPS .
- Defense flywheel: Backlog >2× annual revenue with upfront customer funding, capacity expansion underway; durable multi‑year demand supports S&SS growth and cash generation .
- T&M leverage to recovery: Sequential improvement with strong incrementals and new platforms (R&D and validation) expands TAM; sustained recovery remains the swing factor for margin normalization .
- Tariffs largely neutralized: Full offset achieved ahead of plan; smaller residual gross‑margin headwind (~50 bps) diminishes a prior risk factor .
- Capital returns in motion: $0.05 dividend declared; $200M repurchase authorization; strong FCF provides flexibility while maintaining 1.5–2.0× net‑leverage target (CFO cited ~1.9×) .
- Near‑term setup: Q4 guide brackets consensus; sequential volume/mix dynamics (T&M, defense) are key to landing within range; watch regional signals (NA strength vs EU/China softness) .
- Medium‑term: Secular S&SS vectors (defense, grid, electrification) plus T&M product cycle position RAL for re‑rating as T&M normalizes; cost‑savings program adds incremental support exiting 2026 .