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RB GLOBAL INC. (RBA) Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 was solid: revenue $1.09B (+11% y/y) and diluted adjusted EPS $0.93 (+31% y/y), with adjusted EBITDA up 16% to $327.7M on 7% GTV growth to $3.89B .
  • Results beat Street on EPS ($0.93 vs $0.79*), and revenue ($1.09B vs $1.05B*); EBITDA came in below S&P EBITDA consensus ($281.0M vs $302.8M*) as Street tracks unadjusted EBITDA while company emphasizes adjusted EBITDA strength .
  • Guidance: EBITDA raised to $1.35–$1.38B, tax rate lowered to 22–24%; GTV growth range tightened to 0–1% given tough CAT comp in Q4; capex unchanged .
  • Strategic catalysts: new GSA remarketing award (~35k vehicles run-rate by Q2’26), exec operating model realignment with $25M run-rate savings by Q2’26, Australia tuck-in (Smith Broughton) .

Note: Asterisk-marked consensus values retrieved from S&P Global.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Automotive momentum: unit volumes +9% y/y; market share gains; US insurance ASP +~2.5%; SLAs at 99.7% on-time tow and 99.8% total performance .
  • Take-rate expansion: service revenue take rate up 20 bps to 21.7% y/y; buyer fee rate structure supported revenue mix; adjusted EBITDA +16% y/y with margin leverage to 8.4% of GTV .
  • Strategic wins and initiatives: GSA award adds ~35k remarketed vehicles; operating model projected $25M run-rate savings by Q2’26; Australia expansion via Smith Broughton .

Selected quotes:

  • “Our newly implemented operating model brings the leaders closer to the customer and sets the stage for the next generation of growth…” — CEO Jim Kessler .
  • “Adjusted EBITDA increased 16%… reflects the early impact of our transformation initiatives…” — CFO Eric Guerin .

What Went Wrong

  • EBITDA (unadjusted) below S&P Global consensus: $281.0M actual vs $302.8M* estimate, reflecting Street’s focus on unadjusted EBITDA vs company’s adjusted EBITDA framing .
  • CC&T volumes: lot volumes -15% y/y (Q3), even as average price per lot improved; Yellow bankruptcy comp effects complicated sector comparisons .
  • Marketplace services revenue declined (transport services fees lower y/y); inventory rate down vs Q1 and Q2, though improved sequentially from Q2 .

Financial Results

Consolidated quarterly trends (oldest → newest)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$1,108.6 $1,186.0 $1,092.7
Service Revenue ($USD Millions)$852.5 $887.2 $845.0
Inventory Sales Revenue ($USD Millions)$256.1 $298.8 $247.7
GTV ($USD Millions)$3,828.9 $4,198.1 $3,893.8
Net Income ($USD Millions)$113.3 $109.7 $95.2
Net Income Available to Common ($USD Millions)$102.9 $99.5 $80.7
Diluted EPS (GAAP) ($)$0.55 $0.53 $0.43
Diluted Adjusted EPS ($)$0.89 $1.07 $0.93
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$304.3 $305.7 $281.0
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$327.9 $364.5 $327.7
Adjusted EBITDA / GTV (%)8.6% 8.7% 8.4%
Service Revenue Take Rate (%)22.3% 21.1% 21.7%
Inventory Rate (%)8.2% 4.1% 4.7%

Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024

MetricQ3 2024Q3 2025
Total Revenue ($USD Millions)$981.8 $1,092.7
Service Revenue ($USD Millions)$779.9 $845.0
Inventory Sales Revenue ($USD Millions)$201.9 $247.7
GTV ($USD Millions)$3,622.2 $3,893.8
Net Income ($USD Millions)$76.0 $95.2
Net Income Available to Common ($USD Millions)$66.9 $80.7
Diluted EPS (GAAP) ($)$0.36 $0.43
Diluted Adjusted EPS ($)$0.71 $0.93
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$283.7 $327.7
Service Revenue Take Rate (%)21.5% 21.7%
Inventory Rate (%)4.2% 4.7%

Consensus vs Actual (Q3 2025)

MetricS&P Consensus*Actual
Primary EPS ($)0.79312*0.93
Revenue ($USD)$1,054,308,120*$1,092,700,000
EBITDA ($USD)$302,753,340*$281,000,000

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment breakdown (GTV)

Segment GTV ($USD Millions)Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Automotive$2,144.7 $2,161.5 $2,152.2
Commercial Construction & Transportation (CC&T)$1,276.7 $1,523.2 $1,328.9
Other$407.5 $513.4 $412.7
Total GTV$3,828.9 $4,198.1 $3,893.8

KPIs and operational metrics

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Total Lots Sold (‘000s)855.1 847.2 816.2
Automotive Lots (‘000s)625.6 595.9 601.7
CC&T Lots (‘000s)87.6 97.5 87.8
Other Lots (‘000s)141.9 153.8 126.7
Service Revenue Take Rate (%)22.3% 21.1% 21.7%
Inventory Rate (%)8.2% 4.1% 4.7%
Adjusted EBITDA / GTV (%)8.6% 8.7% 8.4%

Non-GAAP adjustments (Q3 2025 notable items): share-based payments $21.6M; amortization of acquired intangibles $72.7M; restructuring costs $10.2M; other legal/advisory/non-income tax $7.4M; executive transition costs $4.7M; net of tax and allocation effects .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
GTV GrowthFY 20250%–3% 0%–1% Tightened/lowered top end
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)FY 2025$1,340–$1,370 $1,350–$1,380 Raised
Full-year Tax Rate (GAAP & Adjusted)FY 202524%–27% 22%–24% Lowered
Capital Expenditures ($USD Millions)FY 2025$350–$400 $350–$400 Maintained
Quarterly Dividend per ShareQ2 vs Q3 2025$0.31 declared Aug 5 (up from $0.29 in Q1 )$0.31 declared Nov 5 Maintained

Management reiterated that Q4 faces a difficult CAT comp (Q4’24 automotive CAT GTV ~$169M) and excludes CAT in guidance .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Operating model & efficiencyQ1: COO-driven efficiency framework; more sales events; prudent expense mgmt . Q2: EBITDA rate up; cautious macro; JV deconsolidation one-time cost .New operating model; $25M run-rate savings by Q2’26; EBITDA rate 8.4% .Strengthening operational leverage
Automotive performance & market shareQ1: global salvage share gains; UK Direct Line exclusive; tariffs introduced uncertainty . Q2: unit volume +9%; US insurance ASP +1%; SLAs strong .Unit volume +9%; US insurance ASP +~2.5%; expanded SLAs; GSA award (~35k vehicles) .Continued share gains and service excellence
CC&T sector dynamicsQ1: GTV -18%; volumes -19%; mix improved; macro caution . Q2: GTV -6%; volumes -18%; ex-Yellow volume -2% .GTV +9% y/y (Q3); volumes -15%; mix improvement; JM Wood tailwind ~2% to overall GTV .Mix improving; volumes cautious
Tariffs/macro & CATQ1: tariff uncertainty and higher rates impacting timing . Q2: continued uncertainty; CAT comp headwind flagged .Tariff and rate uncertainty persists; CAT not assumed in guide .Persistent macro overhang
Technology/AI toolsQ1: IAA Total Loss Predictor (AI) launched; routing optimization . Q2: multi-channel auction optimization; process improvements .Virtual inspection platform; acceleration of cycle times and yard capacity +~25% vs pre-transaction .Expanding tech-enabled operations
Regional expansionQ1: UK contract (Direct Line); Australia ramp plan . Q2: Australia first cars in 10 days; global alliances .Smith Broughton acquisition in Western Australia; new Guatemala alliance .Broadening footprint

Management Commentary

  • “Our newly implemented operating model brings the leaders closer to the customer and sets the stage for the next generation of growth and shareholder value creation.” — CEO Jim Kessler .
  • “Adjusted EBITDA increased 16%… as adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of GTV expanded to 8.4%… underscoring our ability to drive leverage in the model as we scale.” — CFO Eric Guerin .
  • “We expect to provide disposition services to approximately 35,000 remarketed vehicles on an annualized run rate basis [for GSA]… reach full run rate in Q2 2026.” — CEO Jim Kessler .
  • “We expect that our new operating model would generate over $25 million in total run rate savings by the second quarter of 2026.” — CEO Jim Kessler .
  • “We have entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Smith Broughton… for approximately $38 million.” — CEO Jim Kessler and press release .

Q&A Highlights

  • Guidance: GTV range tightened to 0–1% (lower top end) due to CAT comp; EBITDA guide raised on operational savings beginning in Q4 .
  • GSA contract economics: ASPs accretive vs salvage; model differs from salvage; added services revenue streams .
  • CC&T trajectory: mix improvement boosted average prices; volumes still cautious; JM Wood contributed ~2% tailwind to overall GTV .
  • Whole-car exposure: minimal exposure to high-priced whole cars; focused on slightly damaged lower-price segment; repossessions benefit from subprime .
  • Operating model: not a cost-cutting exercise; reduces layers, increases customer proximity; full line-of-sight to $25M savings .

Estimates Context

  • EPS beat: $0.93 actual vs $0.79* consensus; revenue beat: $1.093B actual vs $1.054B* consensus; EBITDA miss: $281.0M actual vs $302.8M* consensus, noting company emphasizes adjusted EBITDA ($327.7M, +16% y/y) .
  • Consensus revisions likely: upward on EPS/tax-rate and possibly revenue given take-rate expansion; EBITDA consensus may recalibrate between GAAP EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA as the company guides on adjusted EBITDA .

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • EPS and revenue beat Street; adjusted EBITDA up 16% y/y with margin leverage to 8.4% of GTV — a positive earnings quality signal despite GAAP EBITDA undershoot vs S&P .
  • Guidance constructive: EBITDA raised to $1.35–$1.38B; tax rate lowered to 22–24%; expect Q4 headline GTV comp pressure due to outsized CAT in Q4’24 (excluded from guide) .
  • Automotive strength continues: unit volumes +9% y/y; SLAs ~99.7%/99.8%; US insurance ASP +~2.5%; supports sustained share gains narrative .
  • CC&T mixed: average price per lot improving while volumes lag; JM Wood adds ~2% to overall GTV; segment remains macro-sensitive (rates/tariffs) .
  • Structural initiatives: operating model realignment with $25M run-rate savings by Q2’26; cycle-time reductions add ~25% yard capacity; potential incremental margin tailwinds in 2026 .
  • Strategic growth: GSA award (~35k vehicles run-rate by Q2’26), Australia tuck-in (Smith Broughton), new Guatemala alliance; these broaden supply and buyer reach .
  • Balance sheet flexibility improving: adjusted net debt/adjusted EBITDA 1.4x TTM (down from 1.7x), supporting continued tuck-ins and strategic investment .

Additional Notes

  • Dividend: $0.31 per share declared Nov 5, payable Dec 17; maintained from Q2 after increase from $0.29 in Q1 .
  • Non-GAAP disclosures: company provides detailed reconciliations for adjusted EPS/EBITDA; Street comparisons should align measure definitions (GAAP vs adjusted) .
  • Other developments: definitive agreement to acquire Smith Broughton for A$57.5M (~$38.0M) expected to close Q4 2025 .

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