RB GLOBAL INC. (RBA) Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 was solid: revenue $1.09B (+11% y/y) and diluted adjusted EPS $0.93 (+31% y/y), with adjusted EBITDA up 16% to $327.7M on 7% GTV growth to $3.89B .
- Results beat Street on EPS ($0.93 vs $0.79*), and revenue ($1.09B vs $1.05B*); EBITDA came in below S&P EBITDA consensus ($281.0M vs $302.8M*) as Street tracks unadjusted EBITDA while company emphasizes adjusted EBITDA strength .
- Guidance: EBITDA raised to $1.35–$1.38B, tax rate lowered to 22–24%; GTV growth range tightened to 0–1% given tough CAT comp in Q4; capex unchanged .
- Strategic catalysts: new GSA remarketing award (~35k vehicles run-rate by Q2’26), exec operating model realignment with $25M run-rate savings by Q2’26, Australia tuck-in (Smith Broughton) .
Note: Asterisk-marked consensus values retrieved from S&P Global.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Automotive momentum: unit volumes +9% y/y; market share gains; US insurance ASP +~2.5%; SLAs at 99.7% on-time tow and 99.8% total performance .
- Take-rate expansion: service revenue take rate up 20 bps to 21.7% y/y; buyer fee rate structure supported revenue mix; adjusted EBITDA +16% y/y with margin leverage to 8.4% of GTV .
- Strategic wins and initiatives: GSA award adds ~35k remarketed vehicles; operating model projected $25M run-rate savings by Q2’26; Australia expansion via Smith Broughton .
Selected quotes:
- “Our newly implemented operating model brings the leaders closer to the customer and sets the stage for the next generation of growth…” — CEO Jim Kessler .
- “Adjusted EBITDA increased 16%… reflects the early impact of our transformation initiatives…” — CFO Eric Guerin .
What Went Wrong
- EBITDA (unadjusted) below S&P Global consensus: $281.0M actual vs $302.8M* estimate, reflecting Street’s focus on unadjusted EBITDA vs company’s adjusted EBITDA framing .
- CC&T volumes: lot volumes -15% y/y (Q3), even as average price per lot improved; Yellow bankruptcy comp effects complicated sector comparisons .
- Marketplace services revenue declined (transport services fees lower y/y); inventory rate down vs Q1 and Q2, though improved sequentially from Q2 .
Financial Results
Consolidated quarterly trends (oldest → newest)
Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024
Consensus vs Actual (Q3 2025)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment breakdown (GTV)
KPIs and operational metrics
Non-GAAP adjustments (Q3 2025 notable items): share-based payments $21.6M; amortization of acquired intangibles $72.7M; restructuring costs $10.2M; other legal/advisory/non-income tax $7.4M; executive transition costs $4.7M; net of tax and allocation effects .
Guidance Changes
Management reiterated that Q4 faces a difficult CAT comp (Q4’24 automotive CAT GTV ~$169M) and excludes CAT in guidance .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our newly implemented operating model brings the leaders closer to the customer and sets the stage for the next generation of growth and shareholder value creation.” — CEO Jim Kessler .
- “Adjusted EBITDA increased 16%… as adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of GTV expanded to 8.4%… underscoring our ability to drive leverage in the model as we scale.” — CFO Eric Guerin .
- “We expect to provide disposition services to approximately 35,000 remarketed vehicles on an annualized run rate basis [for GSA]… reach full run rate in Q2 2026.” — CEO Jim Kessler .
- “We expect that our new operating model would generate over $25 million in total run rate savings by the second quarter of 2026.” — CEO Jim Kessler .
- “We have entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Smith Broughton… for approximately $38 million.” — CEO Jim Kessler and press release .
Q&A Highlights
- Guidance: GTV range tightened to 0–1% (lower top end) due to CAT comp; EBITDA guide raised on operational savings beginning in Q4 .
- GSA contract economics: ASPs accretive vs salvage; model differs from salvage; added services revenue streams .
- CC&T trajectory: mix improvement boosted average prices; volumes still cautious; JM Wood contributed ~2% tailwind to overall GTV .
- Whole-car exposure: minimal exposure to high-priced whole cars; focused on slightly damaged lower-price segment; repossessions benefit from subprime .
- Operating model: not a cost-cutting exercise; reduces layers, increases customer proximity; full line-of-sight to $25M savings .
Estimates Context
- EPS beat: $0.93 actual vs $0.79* consensus; revenue beat: $1.093B actual vs $1.054B* consensus; EBITDA miss: $281.0M actual vs $302.8M* consensus, noting company emphasizes adjusted EBITDA ($327.7M, +16% y/y) .
- Consensus revisions likely: upward on EPS/tax-rate and possibly revenue given take-rate expansion; EBITDA consensus may recalibrate between GAAP EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA as the company guides on adjusted EBITDA .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- EPS and revenue beat Street; adjusted EBITDA up 16% y/y with margin leverage to 8.4% of GTV — a positive earnings quality signal despite GAAP EBITDA undershoot vs S&P .
- Guidance constructive: EBITDA raised to $1.35–$1.38B; tax rate lowered to 22–24%; expect Q4 headline GTV comp pressure due to outsized CAT in Q4’24 (excluded from guide) .
- Automotive strength continues: unit volumes +9% y/y; SLAs ~99.7%/99.8%; US insurance ASP +~2.5%; supports sustained share gains narrative .
- CC&T mixed: average price per lot improving while volumes lag; JM Wood adds ~2% to overall GTV; segment remains macro-sensitive (rates/tariffs) .
- Structural initiatives: operating model realignment with $25M run-rate savings by Q2’26; cycle-time reductions add ~25% yard capacity; potential incremental margin tailwinds in 2026 .
- Strategic growth: GSA award (~35k vehicles run-rate by Q2’26), Australia tuck-in (Smith Broughton), new Guatemala alliance; these broaden supply and buyer reach .
- Balance sheet flexibility improving: adjusted net debt/adjusted EBITDA 1.4x TTM (down from 1.7x), supporting continued tuck-ins and strategic investment .
Additional Notes
- Dividend: $0.31 per share declared Nov 5, payable Dec 17; maintained from Q2 after increase from $0.29 in Q1 .
- Non-GAAP disclosures: company provides detailed reconciliations for adjusted EPS/EBITDA; Street comparisons should align measure definitions (GAAP vs adjusted) .
- Other developments: definitive agreement to acquire Smith Broughton for A$57.5M (~$38.0M) expected to close Q4 2025 .