RP
REGENERON PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. (REGN)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 came in below Street: revenue $3.03B vs $3.24B consensus, and non-GAAP diluted EPS $8.22 vs $8.48 consensus; GAAP diluted EPS was $7.27. The miss was driven by a 30% sequential decline in total EYLEA/EYLEA HD net product sales and lower gross margin from higher inventory write-offs .
- Dupixent momentum remained strong: global net sales rose 19% to $3.67B (recorded by Sanofi), lifting collaboration profits; Libtayo global sales grew 8% YoY to $285M .
- Guidance: gross margin on net product sales was lowered by ~100 bps (GAAP to 83–84%, non-GAAP to 86–87%) and CapEx trimmed to $850–$950M; all other guidance items unchanged .
- Catalysts: EYLEA HD sBLAs accepted for RVO and monthly dosing (PDUFA Aug 19, 2025), Dupixent CSU approved in the U.S., and EU approval of Lynozyfic (linvoseltamab) in R/R multiple myeloma; EYLEA HD pre-filled syringe received a CRL with a third-party component issue, which management expects to resolve expeditiously .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Dupixent execution: global net sales +19% YoY to $3.67B; CSU approval in the U.S. adds a seventh type-2 indication, and Japan approved COPD .
- Libtayo progress: global sales +8% YoY to $285M, with U.S. +21% YoY; adjuvant CSCC filings in U.S./EU following Phase 3 DFS benefit and upcoming ASCO oral presentation .
- Pipeline and manufacturing capacity: multiple regulatory submissions/approvals across oncology and immunology; 10-year FUJIFILM Diosynth agreement to nearly double U.S. large-scale manufacturing capacity and >$7B planned investments in NY/NC .
Quotes:
- “We are laser focused on fulfilling the promise of this pipeline… and expect several important data readouts this year” — CEO Leonard Schleifer .
- “We continue to deploy capital… through opportunistic share repurchases and our dividend program, which we initiated earlier this year” — CFO Christopher Fenimore .
What Went Wrong
- EYLEA/EYLEA HD sequential decline: combined U.S. net product sales fell 30% QoQ due to lower wholesaler inventories and affordability-driven share loss to compounded bevacizumab; physician demand declined 11% sequentially .
- Gross margin compression: GAAP gross margin on net product sales fell to 81% from 86% YoY, largely on higher inventory write-offs and reserves .
- Regulatory speed bumps: FDA CRLs for EYLEA HD pre-filled syringe and extended dosing >16 weeks; pre-filled syringe CRL tied to a third-party component supplier’s DMF responses, adding timing uncertainty .
Financial Results
Revenue and EPS vs Prior Quarters
Margins YoY
Product and Collaboration Breakdown (Q1 2025)
KPIs (Commercial Signals, Q1 2025)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO on pipeline and commercial focus: “We are laser focused on fulfilling the promise of this pipeline… and expect several important data readouts this year… ensure our four blockbuster medicines reach even more patients” .
- CEO on pre-filled syringe CRL: “We believe the key outstanding issue relates to a question posed by the FDA to a third-party component supplier… the supplier has expeditiously responded… the FDA will move expeditiously” .
- CFO on guidance change: “We have updated our 2025 gross margin guidance to be in the range of 86% to 87%. This change is primarily driven by higher-than-expected inventory write-offs in the first quarter” .
- Commercial lead on anti-VEGF market: “Low-cost off-label repackaged Avastin increased its anti-VEGF category share by ~6pp to 32%… EYLEA HD and EYLEA captured 41% of the category” .
Q&A Highlights
- Pre-filled syringe timing: Management explained DMF process constraints and third-party data exchange, aiming for quick resolution; no reinspection expected .
- Charitable copay support: Regeneron explored a donation matching program to broaden funding beyond Regeneron as foundations reopen; reiterated inability to correlate funding to product usage .
- Regulatory performance: CEO acknowledged responsibility, citing post-COVID FDA scrutiny of contract manufacturers as a driver of CRLs/delays; reaffirmed team strength .
- Tariffs and policy: CFO noted uncertainty around sector-specific tariffs; CEO emphasized engagement with Washington and the importance of science-based policy continuity .
Estimates Context
- Both revenue and EPS missed consensus; Street models likely need to reflect lower near-term anti-VEGF category demand and reduced gross margin trajectory due to inventory write-offs .
- Values with * were retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Expect near-term pressure from affordability-driven Avastin share and EYLEA/EYLEA HD inventory normalization; gross margin headwinds already reflected in updated guidance .
- Dupixent remains the core growth engine with expanding indications (CSU U.S. approval, COPD momentum), sustaining Sanofi collaboration profit share uplift .
- EYLEA HD catalysts (RVO label, monthly dosing) and eventual resolution of pre-filled syringe CRL can re-accelerate HD adoption; watch the August 19 PDUFA and CRL remediation updates .
- Oncology optionality increasing: Libtayo adjuvant CSCC filing and melanoma combo readout (2H 2025) can add new revenue streams; Lynozyfic EU approval provides hematology foothold .
- Capital deployment remains supportive (dividend, buybacks) while U.S. manufacturing expansion mitigates supply/capacity risks amid tariff uncertainty .
- Estimates likely drift down for Q2 on gross margin/product mix and anti-VEGF dynamics; focus on second-half pipeline readouts and EYLEA HD label actions as inflection points .
Additional Data and Document Citations:
- Q1 2025 press release and detailed financial tables .
- Q1 2025 8-K including exhibit and guidance reconciliation .
- Q1 2025 earnings call transcript prepared remarks and Q&A .
- Q4 2024 press release/8-K and earnings call for prior-quarter comparisons .
- Q3 2024 press release for prior two quarters’ trend context .
S&P Global Disclaimer: Consensus estimates marked with an asterisk (*) were retrieved from S&P Global.