RM
Regional Management Corp. (RM)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 delivered net income of $7.0M and diluted EPS of $0.70, consistent with company guidance; total revenue was $152.967M, up 6.0% year over year; originations hit a record $392.1M (+20.2% YoY) .
- Credit metrics improved sequentially: 30+ day contractual delinquency fell to 7.1% (-60 bps QoQ) and the net credit loss rate was 12.4% (better than internal expectations after adjusting for prior-year loan sale and mix) .
- Management reaffirmed minimum 10% portfolio growth for 2025 and guided Q2 2025 net income to ~$7.0–$7.3M, with ENR growth of ~$55–$60M and revenue yield rising ~20 bps sequentially; G&A ~$65.5M, interest expense ~$21.0M, tax rate ~24.5% .
- Consensus vs actual: EPS beat ($0.70 vs $0.682*) and revenue slightly missed ($152.967M vs $153.587M*), a modest, mixed print likely framed positively by credit improvement and growth commentary. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record first-quarter originations of $392.1M (+20.2% YoY), with branch (+17.2%), direct mail (+17.8%), and digital (+46.1%) channels contributing; management highlighted strong performance from newly opened branches .
- Credit performance improved sequentially: 30+ DQ at 7.1% (-60 bps QoQ), front-book delinquency 6.8% vs 10.0% in back-book; NCL rate of 12.4% better than comparable prior-year when adjusted for loan sale .
- Funding strengthened via a $265M ABS at 5.3% WAC; fixed-rate debt reached ~90% with WAC ~4.4% and available liquidity $129.3M; unused capacity $641M—supporting planned growth .
Quotes:
- “Our new branches…are performing very well and growing rapidly…demonstrating the power of our branch-based model” — CEO Robert Beck .
- “Our first quarter net credit loss rate of 12.4% was better than our expectations…” — CEO Robert Beck .
What Went Wrong
- Total revenue yield fell 100 bps sequentially (seasonality: higher revenue reversals from net credit losses, lower refinancing, and prior-quarter hurricane-related insurance reserve release); operating expense ratio rose 30 bps YoY to 14.0% (timing of $1.7M incentives) .
- Provision for credit losses increased 24.9% YoY to $57.992M, driven by portfolio growth; NCL rate higher YoY at 12.4% (unadjusted), reflecting mix shift to higher-margin small loans .
- Revenue slightly missed consensus ($152.967M vs $153.587M*), and G&A rose to $66.043M (+$5.6M YoY) due to growth investments and incentive timing . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Financial Results
Results vs Estimates (Q1 2025)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Sequential Trend (oldest → newest)
YoY Comparison (Q1 2024 → Q1 2025)
Note: Q1 2024 EPS benefited from a Q4 2023 loan sale; management provides adjusted comparisons for yields and credit .
Segment Breakdown (Net Finance Receivables)
KPIs and Credit/Operational Metrics
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered $7.0 million of net income and 70 cents of diluted EPS…with record first quarter revenue of $153 million…record first quarter originations while maintaining our tightened credit box” — Robert Beck, CEO .
- “Our front book now makes up 92% of our total portfolio…30+ day contractual delinquency rate of 6.8%, compared to 10.0% in the back book” — Robert Beck .
- “We closed a $265 million asset-backed securitization…Class A notes…‘AAA’…used proceeds to pay down variable rate debt” — 8-K liquidity section .
- “Operating expense ratio was 10 bps better YoY after adjusting for incentive timing, despite adding 17 new branches” — 8-K highlights .
Q&A Highlights
- Net interest margin outlook: Cost of funds expected to rise as older fixed-rate funding matures; pricing/mix (barbell strategy) to balance yields and credit .
- Consumer behavior: Strong tax season payment rates, especially paydowns on higher-rate small loans; macro watch on tariffs and inflation; readiness to tighten further if needed .
- 2025 trajectory: Reaffirmed minimum 10% ENR growth and “meaningful” net income improvement; second half expected to benefit from lower NCLs and larger portfolio .
- Capital generation: Q1 capital generation $9.9M; multi-year track record since 2020 of $339M generated and $161M returned to shareholders .
- Expenses: Q2 G&A guided ~$65.5M; prudent cost control with focus on growth investments; branch cohort delivering positive returns .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025: RM beat EPS ($0.70 vs $0.682*) and slightly missed revenue ($152.967M vs $153.587M*). EPS estimates from 6 analysts; revenue from 5 analysts.*
- Q2 2025: Consensus EPS $0.716* and revenue $155.215M* sit beside company guidance calling for net income of ~$7.0–$7.3M, modest ENR growth, and ~+20 bps sequential revenue yield .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Growth runway intact: Branch expansion and barbell strategy (auto-secured + small loans) underpin ENR and revenue growth without opening the credit box .
- Credit normalization: Front book (92% of portfolio) exhibits lower delinquency and improving loss curves; expect seasonal credit tailwinds in 2H 2025 .
- Funding resilience: ABS execution at 5.3% and fixed-rate debt ~90% mitigate rate risk; ample unused capacity ($641M) to fund growth .
- Near-term setup: Q2 guided to ~flat EPS but improving revenue yield and ENR; watch G&A discipline vs growth investments and interest expense trajectory .
- Estimate recalibration: Modest revenue miss vs consensus, but stronger credit and reaffirmed growth likely support upward bias to 2H expectations.*
- Regulatory clarity: CFPB exam closed without adverse findings reduces headline risk .
- Trading lens: Stock narrative should focus on credit improvement trajectory, branch-driven ENR growth, and funding mix durability; monitor macro/tariff developments and cost of funds drift .
Appendix: Additional Data Points
- Dividend: $0.30 per share declared for Q2 2025, payable June 11, 2025; record May 21, 2025 .
- Share repurchase: 186,990 shares at $34.56 avg in Q1 2025 under $30M program .
- Same-store ENR growth: 6.5% in Q1 2025 vs 3.4% in Q1 2024 .
- Auto-secured receivables: $218.7M (+37.0% YoY), 11.6% of total portfolio .
Note: Where marked with an asterisk (*), values are consensus estimates or aggregated figures retrieved from S&P Global.