Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

RM

Regional Management Corp. (RM)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 delivered net income of $7.0M and diluted EPS of $0.70, consistent with company guidance; total revenue was $152.967M, up 6.0% year over year; originations hit a record $392.1M (+20.2% YoY) .
  • Credit metrics improved sequentially: 30+ day contractual delinquency fell to 7.1% (-60 bps QoQ) and the net credit loss rate was 12.4% (better than internal expectations after adjusting for prior-year loan sale and mix) .
  • Management reaffirmed minimum 10% portfolio growth for 2025 and guided Q2 2025 net income to ~$7.0–$7.3M, with ENR growth of ~$55–$60M and revenue yield rising ~20 bps sequentially; G&A ~$65.5M, interest expense ~$21.0M, tax rate ~24.5% .
  • Consensus vs actual: EPS beat ($0.70 vs $0.682*) and revenue slightly missed ($152.967M vs $153.587M*), a modest, mixed print likely framed positively by credit improvement and growth commentary. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record first-quarter originations of $392.1M (+20.2% YoY), with branch (+17.2%), direct mail (+17.8%), and digital (+46.1%) channels contributing; management highlighted strong performance from newly opened branches .
  • Credit performance improved sequentially: 30+ DQ at 7.1% (-60 bps QoQ), front-book delinquency 6.8% vs 10.0% in back-book; NCL rate of 12.4% better than comparable prior-year when adjusted for loan sale .
  • Funding strengthened via a $265M ABS at 5.3% WAC; fixed-rate debt reached ~90% with WAC ~4.4% and available liquidity $129.3M; unused capacity $641M—supporting planned growth .

Quotes:

  • “Our new branches…are performing very well and growing rapidly…demonstrating the power of our branch-based model” — CEO Robert Beck .
  • “Our first quarter net credit loss rate of 12.4% was better than our expectations…” — CEO Robert Beck .

What Went Wrong

  • Total revenue yield fell 100 bps sequentially (seasonality: higher revenue reversals from net credit losses, lower refinancing, and prior-quarter hurricane-related insurance reserve release); operating expense ratio rose 30 bps YoY to 14.0% (timing of $1.7M incentives) .
  • Provision for credit losses increased 24.9% YoY to $57.992M, driven by portfolio growth; NCL rate higher YoY at 12.4% (unadjusted), reflecting mix shift to higher-margin small loans .
  • Revenue slightly missed consensus ($152.967M vs $153.587M*), and G&A rose to $66.043M (+$5.6M YoY) due to growth investments and incentive timing . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Financial Results

Results vs Estimates (Q1 2025)

MetricQ1 2025 ActualQ1 2025 ConsensusSurprise
Revenue ($USD Millions)$152.967 $153.587*-$0.620M (miss)*
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.70 $0.682*$0.018 (beat)*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Sequential Trend (oldest → newest)

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Total Revenue ($USD Millions)$146.338 $154.832 $152.967
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.76 $0.98 $0.70
Total Revenue Yield (%)32.6 33.4 32.4
Interest & Fee Yield (%)29.9 29.8 28.9
Net Credit Loss Rate (%)10.6 10.8 12.4
Operating Expense Ratio (%)13.9 14.0 14.0
Provision for Credit Losses ($USD Millions)$54.349 $57.626 $57.992

YoY Comparison (Q1 2024 → Q1 2025)

MetricQ1 2024Q1 2025YoY Change
Total Revenue ($USD Millions)$144.308 $152.967 +$8.659M (+6.0%)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$1.56 $0.70 -$0.86 (-55.1%)
Total Revenue Yield (%)32.8 32.4 -40 bps
Net Credit Loss Rate (%)10.6 12.4 +180 bps (unadjusted)
Operating Expense Ratio (%)13.7 14.0 +30 bps

Note: Q1 2024 EPS benefited from a Q4 2023 loan sale; management provides adjusted comparisons for yields and credit .

Segment Breakdown (Net Finance Receivables)

SegmentQ1 2024 ($USD MM)Q4 2024 ($USD MM)Q1 2025 ($USD MM)
Large Loans$1,250.647 $1,336.780 $1,345.825
Small Loans$490.830 $554.686 $543.824
Retail Loans$2.809 $1.069 $0.702
Total$1,744.286 $1,892.535 $1,890.351

KPIs and Credit/Operational Metrics

KPIQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Originations ($USD Millions)$326.355 $475.900 $392.120
30+ Day Contractual Delinquency (%)7.1 7.7 7.1
Allowance for Credit Losses ($USD Millions)$187.100 $199.500 $199.100
G&A ($USD Millions)$60.448 $64.646 $66.043
Branches (count)343 344 353
ENR per Branch ($USD Thousands)$5,085 $5,502 $5,355

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Portfolio Growth (ENR)FY 2025Minimum 10% growth (committed) Minimum 10% growth reaffirmed Maintained
Net IncomeFY 2025“Meaningful improvement” in 2025 Back-end weighted; reaffirmed meaningful improvement (macro caveats) Maintained
Net Income ($)Q2 2025n/a~$7.0–$7.3M New
ENR Growth ($)Q2 2025n/a~$55–$60M New
ANR Growth ($)Q2 2025n/a~$15M New
Total Revenue Yield (seq change)Q2 2025n/a~+20 bps QoQ New
Net Credit Losses / RateQ2 2025n/a~$57.0M / ~12.0% New
Allowance for Credit Loss RateQ2 2025n/a~10.3% (release hurricane reserves) New
G&A Expense ($)Q2 2025n/a~$65.5M New
Interest Expense ($)Q2 2025n/a~$21.0M New
Effective Tax Rate (%)Q2 2025n/a~24.5% New
Dividend ($/share)Q2 2025n/a$0.30 payable 6/11/25; record 5/21/25 New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024)Previous Mentions (Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Branch Expansion & GrowthPortfolio grew $46M seq; operating expense ratio improved; disciplined growth Record ENR; +$73M seq growth; reiterated 2025 growth and net income goals 15 branches since Sep; strong performance; revenue and G&A contribution quantified Accelerating branch-driven growth
Credit PerformanceNCL 10.6%; 30+ DQ 6.9%; hurricane impacts reserved NCL 10.8%; adjusted improvement vs prior year NCL 12.4% (seasonal/mix); 30+ DQ 7.1%; front vs back book delineated Mixed sequential (seasonal), structurally improving front book
Funding/LiquidityFixed-rate 82%; liquidity $154.7M ABS at 5.34%; fixed-rate 79%; liquidity $136.9M ABS $265M at 5.3%; fixed-rate ~90%; liquidity $129.3M; capacity $641M Strong, improving fixed-rate mix
Macro/TariffsHurricane impacts; assistance programs Expect normalization in 2025; macro supportive Monitoring tariffs; tightened credit box pre-dates potential downturn Vigilant, conservative underwriting
Seasonality/Tax RefundsHurricane claims increased revenue drag Revenue yield up 80 bps seq Revenue yield down 100 bps seq; expected +20 bps in Q2; tax season payments aid delinquency Normal seasonal pattern
RegulatoryCFPB exam closed without adverse finding Positive regulatory development

Management Commentary

  • “We delivered $7.0 million of net income and 70 cents of diluted EPS…with record first quarter revenue of $153 million…record first quarter originations while maintaining our tightened credit box” — Robert Beck, CEO .
  • “Our front book now makes up 92% of our total portfolio…30+ day contractual delinquency rate of 6.8%, compared to 10.0% in the back book” — Robert Beck .
  • “We closed a $265 million asset-backed securitization…Class A notes…‘AAA’…used proceeds to pay down variable rate debt” — 8-K liquidity section .
  • “Operating expense ratio was 10 bps better YoY after adjusting for incentive timing, despite adding 17 new branches” — 8-K highlights .

Q&A Highlights

  • Net interest margin outlook: Cost of funds expected to rise as older fixed-rate funding matures; pricing/mix (barbell strategy) to balance yields and credit .
  • Consumer behavior: Strong tax season payment rates, especially paydowns on higher-rate small loans; macro watch on tariffs and inflation; readiness to tighten further if needed .
  • 2025 trajectory: Reaffirmed minimum 10% ENR growth and “meaningful” net income improvement; second half expected to benefit from lower NCLs and larger portfolio .
  • Capital generation: Q1 capital generation $9.9M; multi-year track record since 2020 of $339M generated and $161M returned to shareholders .
  • Expenses: Q2 G&A guided ~$65.5M; prudent cost control with focus on growth investments; branch cohort delivering positive returns .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025: RM beat EPS ($0.70 vs $0.682*) and slightly missed revenue ($152.967M vs $153.587M*). EPS estimates from 6 analysts; revenue from 5 analysts.*
  • Q2 2025: Consensus EPS $0.716* and revenue $155.215M* sit beside company guidance calling for net income of ~$7.0–$7.3M, modest ENR growth, and ~+20 bps sequential revenue yield .
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Growth runway intact: Branch expansion and barbell strategy (auto-secured + small loans) underpin ENR and revenue growth without opening the credit box .
  • Credit normalization: Front book (92% of portfolio) exhibits lower delinquency and improving loss curves; expect seasonal credit tailwinds in 2H 2025 .
  • Funding resilience: ABS execution at 5.3% and fixed-rate debt ~90% mitigate rate risk; ample unused capacity ($641M) to fund growth .
  • Near-term setup: Q2 guided to ~flat EPS but improving revenue yield and ENR; watch G&A discipline vs growth investments and interest expense trajectory .
  • Estimate recalibration: Modest revenue miss vs consensus, but stronger credit and reaffirmed growth likely support upward bias to 2H expectations.*
  • Regulatory clarity: CFPB exam closed without adverse findings reduces headline risk .
  • Trading lens: Stock narrative should focus on credit improvement trajectory, branch-driven ENR growth, and funding mix durability; monitor macro/tariff developments and cost of funds drift .

Appendix: Additional Data Points

  • Dividend: $0.30 per share declared for Q2 2025, payable June 11, 2025; record May 21, 2025 .
  • Share repurchase: 186,990 shares at $34.56 avg in Q1 2025 under $30M program .
  • Same-store ENR growth: 6.5% in Q1 2025 vs 3.4% in Q1 2024 .
  • Auto-secured receivables: $218.7M (+37.0% YoY), 11.6% of total portfolio .

Note: Where marked with an asterisk (*), values are consensus estimates or aggregated figures retrieved from S&P Global.