RI
RESMED INC (RMD)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 FY2025 delivered solid top-line and margin expansion: revenue $1.2917B (+8% y/y, +9% ccy), GAAP gross margin 59.3% (+140 bps), non-GAAP gross margin 59.9% (+140 bps), GAAP EPS $2.48, non-GAAP EPS $2.37 .
- Results modestly beat Wall Street consensus: revenue by ~$7.4M and EPS by ~$0.01; prior two quarters also beat on both revenue and EPS (S&P Global; see Estimates Context).
- Management guided Q4 gross margin broadly consistent with Q3; reiterated FY25 tax rate 19–21%, SG&A at 18–20% of revenue, R&D 6–7%; announced buybacks increasing to ~$100M per quarter starting Q4 FY25 and declared a $0.53 dividend .
- Tariff risk de‑risked: CBP reaffirmed ResMed’s long-standing medical device tariff treatment; management expects no material impact from U.S. tariff changes .
- Strategic catalysts: nationwide launch of NightOwl HSAT, brand evolution, and acquisition of VirtuOx to streamline diagnostics and accelerate funnel throughput .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Margin expansion from manufacturing/logistics efficiencies, favorable product mix; sequential gross margin also improved (+70 bps non-GAAP) .
- Broad-based growth: Devices +6% and Masks +11% globally; Residential Care Software +10% ccy; Americas +9%, Europe/Asia/Other +5% headline (+8% ccy) .
- Strong cash generation: operating cash flow $579M; excluding IRS refunds ($107M), OCF was $471M; ongoing capital returns (dividend $78M; buybacks $75M) .
Management quote: “We delivered 9% constant currency revenue growth and 140 bps improvement in non-GAAP gross margin… evidence that sleep health customers recognize our products and software solutions as the gold standard for care.” — Mick Farrell, CEO .
What Went Wrong
- FX headwinds: y/y FX negatively impacted Q3 revenue by ~$13M; FX pressured margins sequentially in prior quarter; net EPS impact ~-$0.02 in Q2 .
- Non-cash investment portfolio write-downs of ~$6M lowered non-GAAP EPS; excluding, non-GAAP EPS would have been $2.41 (+13% y/y) .
- Sleep lab backlogs remain a bottleneck; management is investing to expand HSAT throughput (NightOwl), titration tools (VPAP Tx), and funnel conversion programs to alleviate delays .
Financial Results
Consolidated Performance vs Prior Periods and Consensus
Values marked with * are from S&P Global consensus via GetEstimates.
Segment Breakdown (Revenue)
KPIs and Operating Metrics
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our continued success is driven by our market-leading value proposition with top quality hardware and… investments in machine learning, artificial intelligence as well as generative AI technology.” — Michael Farrell .
- “Gross margin increased by 140 basis points… driven by manufacturing and logistics efficiencies… and favorable shifts in product mix.” — Brett Sandercock .
- “We do not expect the introduction of U.S. tariffs to have a material impact… CBP confirmed current tariff treatment continues.” — Brett Sandercock .
- “First full commercial rollout of NightOwl in the United States… helping move patients through the screening and diagnostic funnel.” — Michael Farrell .
- “We plan to… purchase shares to the value of approximately $100 million per quarter, commencing in Q4 FY ’25.” — Brett Sandercock .
Q&A Highlights
- Gross margin drivers: manufacturing recoveries, distribution/freight mix (sea vs air), AS11 transition, component costs; product mix favorable (masks) .
- Demand funnel metrics: tracking time-to-test and time-to-therapy; CME for PCPs and targeted consumer streaming campaigns showing measurable increases .
- Capital allocation: confidence in raising buybacks to $100M/quarter given net cash and strong OCF; tuck‑in M&A pipeline aligned to 2030 strategy .
- Tariffs: ResMed’s imports under long-standing medical device tariff treatment; reaffirmed in April; competitors may face different outcomes .
- GLP‑1 adherence: >1M patient dataset shows higher PAP starts and multi‑year resupply vs garden-variety patients; combination therapy viewed favorably .
Estimates Context
ResMed beat consensus revenue and EPS in Q1–Q3 FY2025; Q3 beats were modest on EPS and low-single digit on revenue. The beat/miss table:
Values marked with * are from S&P Global consensus via GetEstimates.
Where estimates may adjust:
- Continued gross margin strength and buyback uplift could support modest upward EPS revisions near-term .
- FX headwinds and softer Europe/Asia headline growth may temper revenue adjustments; management points to ccy resilience .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin expansion appears durable, underpinned by structural supply chain efficiencies and product mix; management aims to sustain high‑59s non‑GAAP GM near term .
- Diagnostics throughput is a strategic focus: NightOwl nationwide launch and VirtuOx acquisition should lower backlog and shorten time‑to‑therapy — a tailwind for devices and masks .
- Capital returns accelerating: dividend maintained at $0.53 and buybacks increasing to ~$100M/quarter starting Q4 — supportive of EPS and share count .
- Tariff uncertainty de‑risked: CBP reaffirmation suggests no material impact to ResMed’s U.S. imports; potential pressure for certain competitors .
- GLP‑1/wearables awareness likely expands funnel over multiple quarters/years; ResMed’s ecosystem (myAir/AirView/Somnoware) well-positioned to capture and convert demand .
- Watch Q4: guidance implies steady margins; U.S. Calabasas facility ramp (June 2025) expands U.S. mask capacity and proximity to largest market .
- Non-GAAP nuances: IRS interest/tax refund benefits and investment write-downs affected optics; underlying OCF and operating profit trends remain strong .
S&P Global disclaimer: Consensus values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.