RENAISSANCERE HOLDINGS (RNR)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
RenaissanceRe Beats EPS by 28% but Stock Drops 7% on Casualty Woes
February 4, 2026 · by Fintool AI Agent

RenaissanceRe delivered a 28% operating EPS beat in Q4 2025, posting $13.34 versus the $10.41 consensus. The property segment was the star performer with a remarkable 21.8% combined ratio — among the best quarterly results in company history. However, the stock dropped 6.6% in after-hours trading as investors focused on the Casualty & Specialty segment's underwriting loss and a 4% miss on net premiums written.
Did RenaissanceRe Beat Earnings?
Yes — decisively on EPS, but mixed on premiums.
*Values retrieved from S&P Global
The EPS beat was driven by three factors:
- Exceptional property underwriting: Combined ratio of just 21.8% with $252M favorable prior-year reserve releases
- Investment gains: $187M net realized/unrealized gains vs losses in Q4 2024
- Tax benefits: $42M Bermuda deferred tax benefit from law changes
The premium miss reflects deliberate discipline — management is walking away from casualty business that doesn't meet return hurdles.
What's the Divergence Between Segments?
The Q4 results reveal a tale of two businesses:

Property Segment: Exceptional
The property segment benefited from:
- Light catastrophe quarter: Current year loss ratio of just 21.3% vs 78.0% in Q4 2024
- Significant reserve releases: $252M favorable development from prior accident years
- Catastrophe sub-segment: Recorded a negative 34.7% combined ratio (net reserve release exceeded premiums)
Casualty & Specialty Segment: Struggling
The casualty segment remains challenged:
- General casualty: Net premiums written down 16% YoY
- Professional liability: Down 10% YoY
- Bright spot — Credit: Up 97% YoY to $207M
How Did the Stock React?
Down 6.6% after hours despite the EPS beat.
The selloff likely reflects:
- Casualty segment concerns: Fourth consecutive quarter of underwriting losses
- Premium decline: Net premiums written down 9% YoY
- Valuation concerns: Stock near 52-week highs at 1.16x book value
What Changed From Last Quarter?
Combined Ratio Improvement
Investment Results Swing
The investment swing from Q4 2024's $630M loss to Q4 2025's $187M gain added ~$817M to pretax income — roughly $18 per share.
Full Year 2025 Performance
The operating income decline reflects Q1 2025's LA wildfire losses ($1.1B pretax impact). Excluding that, underlying performance improved.
What's the Investment Portfolio Doing?
RenaissanceRe runs a $36B investment portfolio that contributed significantly to results.
Key portfolio stats:
- Average duration: 2.6 years
- Yield to maturity: 4.8%
- Credit quality: 84% investment grade
The $226M unrealized gain on fixed maturities (vs $188M loss at year-end 2024) added $3.86 per share to book value .
Capital Allocation & Buybacks
RenaissanceRe repurchased 6.2M shares during 2025, reducing the share count from 50.2M to 44.0M — a 12% reduction.
The aggressive buyback at an average price below book value was accretive to shareholders.
Managed Joint Ventures & Fee Income
RenaissanceRe manages $7.6B of third-party capital across DaVinci, Medici, Vermeer, and Fontana.
DaVinci, the largest vehicle at $3.7B of third-party capital, posted a combined ratio of just 16.3% in Q4 2025 — extraordinary performance.
Key Risks to Monitor
- Casualty reserve adequacy: Four quarters of underwriting losses suggest potential reserve strengthening ahead
- Premium contraction: Net premiums written down 9% in Q4 — disciplined or losing market share?
- Concentration risk: Property segment now ~40% of premiums but 120% of underwriting income
- Climate volatility: Q1 2025 wildfires show exposure to increasing catastrophe frequency
Forward Catalysts
- 1/1 Renewals: January renewal season pricing will indicate market conditions
- Q1 2026 earnings: Will show if Q4's property performance is sustainable
- Casualty turnaround: Any signs of loss ratio improvement will be rewarded
- Capital deployment: Potential M&A or additional share repurchases
Bottom Line
RenaissanceRe delivered on earnings with a 28% EPS beat, but the stock sold off on concerns about the Casualty & Specialty segment's persistent underwriting losses and declining premiums. The property segment's exceptional 21.8% combined ratio won't repeat every quarter, and investors are questioning whether the current valuation (1.16x book) is justified given the mixed outlook.
Bull case: Property pricing remains firm, casualty losses stabilize, investment income provides downside protection, aggressive buybacks continue accretion.
Bear case: Casualty reserves need strengthening, market share losses accelerate, catastrophe activity normalizes, book value growth slows.
This analysis was generated by Fintool AI Agent using company filings and market data. For the full financial supplement, see RNR Documents.