RS
Roivant Sciences Ltd. (ROIV)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 FY2026 delivered a pivotal clinical and strategic quarter: brepocitinib’s Phase 3 VALOR trial in dermatomyositis hit the primary and all nine ranked secondary endpoints, with an NDA planned in 1H 2026 . Immunovant unveiled six‑month off‑treatment remission data in uncontrolled Graves’ disease, showing 17/21 responders at week 48 and 8/17 off all ATDs, underscoring potential disease modification .
- Financially, revenue was $1.571M and diluted EPS from continuing operations was $(0.17); the company ended the quarter with $4.4B in cash, restricted cash, and marketable securities, supporting runway into profitability .
- Versus Wall Street: EPS beat consensus by ~$0.06 (actual $(0.2758) vs $(0.3342)) and revenue missed materially ($1.571M vs $6.303M), reflecting limited near‑term revenue given Roivant’s late‑stage pipeline focus [*].
- Management highlighted upcoming catalysts: NDA filing for brepocitinib (DM) in 1H 2026, TED data now planned to be released concurrently for both Phase 3 trials in 1H 2026, and an Investor Day on Dec 11, 2025 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Brepocitinib VALOR success: 30 mg achieved mean TIS 46.5 vs 31.2 for placebo (p=0.0006), with significant steroid‑sparing; >2/3 achieved TIS≥40 and nearly half achieved TIS≥60 .
- Graves’ disease remission durability: 17/21 off‑drug responders at six months, with ~50% ATD‑free remission; TRAb reductions persisted off treatment, supporting potential disease modification .
- Capital position and execution: $4.4B consolidated liquidity and continued R&D progress across IMVT‑1402 and mosliciguat; management emphasized a strong runway to profitability .
“Not at all a quiet quarter for us… the brepocitinib data in DM putting us on a new and exciting trajectory… further supported by Immunovant's remission data in Graves’ disease” — Matt Gline, CEO .
What Went Wrong
- Revenue under consensus and sequential decline: $1.571M vs $2.170M prior quarter; material miss vs consensus ($6.303M*), consistent with pre‑commercial profile [*].
- Ongoing litigation introduces uncertainty: Moderna/Pfizer LNP litigation timelines remain subject to judicial scheduling; management avoided detailed timing commentary .
- TED communication timing adjusted: initial plan to share first TED topline in 2H 2025 shifted to concurrent release of both TED trial toplines in 1H 2026 due to evolving competitive dynamics (a delay) .
Financial Results
Sequential P&L Trend (oldest → newest)
YoY Comparison
Actual vs Wall Street Consensus (Q2 FY2026)
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Operating Expense Detail
KPIs / Balance Sheet
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Valor succeeded with really highly significant, robust, and consistent data… sets us up for 30 milligrams to be the optimal dose here.” — Matt Gline, CEO .
- “We are going to hold off reporting the top‑line data from [first TED study]… until we see the top‑line data for the second study in the first half of next year.” .
- “Our capital position remains very strong with $4.4 billion… expected to carry us through profitability.” .
- “Argenx… validating of our strategy that they're following in our footsteps… deeper IgG reductions… competitive profile.” .
Q&A Highlights
- Litigation timelines: Watch for Pfizer case scheduling and trial date; Moderna US trial currently set for March 2026; management framed 1498 scope as a fraction of total damages at issue .
- Competitive landscape in Graves’/TED: FcRn mechanism highlighted as well‑suited with safety/tolerability; intent to present both TED toplines together amid evolving competition .
- Pulmovant translation risk: Cautiously optimistic PVR translation from PAH to PH‑ILD; inhaled format aims to mitigate V/Q mismatch concerns .
- DM launch cadence: No specific analogs; focus on cautious guidance and building long‑term penetration in a high unmet‑need market .
Estimates Context
- Q2 FY2026 EPS: Beat consensus (actual $(0.2758) vs $(0.3342)) [].
- Q2 FY2026 Revenue: Miss consensus ($1.571M vs $6.303M*) [*].
- Implication: Consensus models likely need to reflect ongoing pre‑commercial revenue profile and emphasize milestone timing (DM NDA and 2026/2027 readouts) .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Brepocitinib’s best‑in‑class data in DM and steroid‑sparing profile position it for a compelling first oral launch; NDA in 1H 2026 is a key stock catalyst .
- Graves’ remission durability off drug and ATD‑free outcomes de‑risk IMVT‑1402’s registrational program and underpin a potentially large market opportunity; watch 2027 toplines .
- Near‑term revenue remains minimal; investment case hinges on clinical/regulatory execution and the December Investor Day narrative setting commercial expectations .
- TED topline communication shift to 1H 2026 reduces near‑term headline risk, but aligns with competitive positioning; monitor class dynamics and safety profiles .
- Strong $4.4B liquidity and ongoing buyback authorization support capital flexibility through profitability, mitigating financing risk .
- Litigation outcomes are non‑core but potentially value‑enhancing; key dates into 2026 can drive optionality; avoid over‑weighting binary outcomes .
- Pulmovant ODD in Japan and PH‑ILD Phase 2 progress broaden pipeline optionality beyond autoimmunity; PHocus data in 2H 2026 is another potential swing factor .
Notes:
- Segment breakdown: Not applicable; Roivant reports consolidated results and program updates rather than revenue segments .
- Non‑GAAP adjustments materially affect OpEx comparability; we anchored on GAAP and reconciled non‑GAAP as disclosed .