RS
Roivant Sciences Ltd. (ROIV)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 FY2025 delivered minimal revenue ($7.57M) and a larger GAAP continuing EPS loss (-$0.29), while non-GAAP opex stayed comparatively stable; R&D rose on anti-FcRn and mosliciguat program spend, and G&A rose on share-based comp tied to the 2024 program .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue and EPS were mixed: Q4 revenue missed materially, while Q3 EPS was a modest beat and Q2 EPS was slightly worse than estimates (see Estimates Context). The company emphasized its development-stage profile and pipeline-driven cash utilization *.
- Cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and marketable securities were $4.9B at March 31, 2025, and Roivant had repurchased $1.3B of shares, reducing outstanding shares by 14% YoY—supporting runway “into profitability” and ongoing capital return .
- Near-term catalysts are predominantly clinical: brepocitinib dermatomyositis Phase 3 topline in H2 2025, TED topline for batoclimab in H2 2025, and multiple IMVT‑1402 programs initiating or enrolling; management hosted/announced investor education and maintained timelines, with litigation milestones (Moderna/Pfizer) progressing .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “I am incredibly proud of the progress we reported... Continued broad development of brepocitinib, positive data from our myasthenia gravis study, and expansion of IMVT‑1402 into new indications...” (CEO) .
- Strong capital position and disciplined allocation: “Set up... to capitalize Roivant to profitability... just under $5 billion in cash... already repurchased $1.3 billion... reduced share count by not quite 15%” .
- Clinical execution and pipeline breadth: five potentially registrational studies for IMVT‑1402, ongoing brepocitinib programs in DM/NIU/CS, and mosliciguat PH-ILD Phase 2 enrolling .
What Went Wrong
- Higher GAAP opex and deeper loss: R&D +$37.7M YoY to $145.2M; G&A +$39.0M YoY to $147.1M—driven by program costs, personnel, and share-based compensation; Loss from continuing operations widened to $(252.4)M in Q4 .
- Minimal revenue ($7.57M) amid development-stage portfolio, limiting margin optics and creating headline misses versus consensus revenue in Q4 *.
- Ongoing litigation timing uncertainty: case narrowing and summary judgment phases continue; court indicated timing updates for Moderna case (trial dates subject to change) .
Financial Results
Core P&L Trends (Quarterly)
Non-GAAP Opex (Quarterly)
Balance Sheet Snapshot
Actuals vs S&P Global Consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Q4 YoY (Selected)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are set up… to capitalize Roivant to profitability… with just under $5 billion in cash… [and] repurchased already $1.3 billion… reduced our share count by not quite 15%” .
- “We really think we have a tiger by the tail in IMVT‑1402… up to ~80% IgG lowering… favorable safety profile… a market‑proven auto‑injector” .
- “This is really the beginning of a pretty stacked 36 months… multiple launches in potential blockbuster indications… excited for DM as the first domino” .
- “We remain focused on building value in our late-stage clinical pipeline, and on continued discipline on capital allocation across the portfolio” .
Q&A Highlights
- DM win criteria and placebo arm: Management reiterated success as statistical separation on TIS; highlighted mandatory steroid taper and protocol adherence to mitigate placebo variability .
- LNP litigation: Normal pre‑trial narrowing with judge and counterparties; summary judgment forthcoming; timing updates possible; emphasized presenting the cleanest case .
- CIDP registrational design: No washout; focus on direct placebo control; field’s improved patient selection enables patient‑friendly set‑up; powered around high efficacy goals; 600mg dose chosen to maximize deep IgG suppression .
- Pricing approach: Flexibility across indications with bands compatible with current FcRn pricing; ultimate decisions depend on launch order and data (e.g., Graves’ remission) .
- Capital return: ~$200M remaining under current authorization; management will reassess post‑completion in context of market and balance sheet .
Estimates Context
- Q4 2025: Revenue $7.57M vs $62.17M consensus (miss); Primary EPS $(0.29) vs $(0.216) consensus (miss)* .
- Q3 2025: Revenue $9.02M vs $9.20M consensus (in line/slight miss); Primary EPS $(0.22) vs $(0.285) consensus (beat)* .
- Q2 2025: Revenue $4.48M vs $55.38M consensus (miss); Primary EPS $(0.25) vs $(0.247) consensus (slightly worse)* .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Where estimates may adjust: Given clinical milestones upheld and opex drivers called out (share-based comp, program costs), consensus should reflect ongoing development-stage revenue profile and non-GAAP opex cadence (R&D $135.1M non-GAAP; G&A $72.3M non-GAAP in Q4) for forward quarters .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term binary readouts (brepocitinib DM H2’25; batoclimab TED H2’25) are the principal stock drivers; management is proactively educating the market ahead of DM .
- Capital strength and buybacks provide downside support; $4.9B liquidity and $1.3B repurchases reduce share count, enabling opportunistic BD and late‑stage funding .
- IMVT‑1402 strategy centers on deep IgG suppression with patient‑friendly auto‑injector; expect expanding indication footprint and registrational progression (Graves, CIDP, SjD, RA) .
- Updated CIDP trial design (no washout, direct placebo) may enhance enrollment quality and patient experience—positioning the program well relative to legacy designs .
- Monitor litigation milestones (Moderna/Pfizer) for optionality; timing updates introduce uncertainty but potential value realization persists .
- Expect continued non-GAAP opex discipline (R&D/G&A) as programs advance; share-based comp and program-specific costs remain key drivers .
- Tactical implication: Trading around DM/TED readouts; medium-term thesis: multi‑asset immunology platform (brepocitinib, IMVT‑1402) with robust capital to fund launches and pipeline growth .