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ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC (ROP)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 revenue grew 12% to $1.88B with 5% organic and 8% acquisition contribution; adjusted EPS was $4.78 and adjusted EBITDA was $740M, while GAAP EPS fell to $3.06 due to equity investment impacts and higher amortization .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, EPS modestly beat ($4.78 vs $4.74*) and EBITDA slightly beat ($739M vs $735M*), while revenue was essentially in line/slightly below ($1.883B* vs $1.883B actual), with margin strength cited as the driver of the EPS beat .
- FY 2025 guidance raised: adjusted EPS to $19.80–$20.05 (from $19.75–$20.00), total revenue growth to ~12% (from 10%+), organic growth maintained at +6–7%; Q2 adjusted EPS guided to $4.80–$4.84 .
- Strategic catalyst: completed acquisition of CentralReach (Apr 23), adding a vertical leader with GenAI-enabled ABA therapy workflow; management highlighted >$5B of M&A firepower and an active pipeline as a continuing stock narrative .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- 12% total revenue growth with solid 5% organic and 8% acquisition contribution; adjusted net earnings +9% and adjusted EBITDA +9% underscored resilient cash compounding .
- “We are increasing our full year outlook… underpinned by resilient demand for our mission critical solutions and our expanding recurring revenue base” — Neil Hunn (CEO) .
- Closed CentralReach, expected to deliver ~$175M revenue and ~$75M EBITDA TTM by June 2026, with growth “in the 20% area,” strengthening Application Software and future margin trajectory .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP net earnings decreased 13% (to $331M) and GAAP EPS fell 14% (to $3.06), driven by equity investment losses and higher amortization; adjusted EBITDA margin fell 90 bps to 39.3% .
- Free cash flow down 1% YoY to $507M, impacted by a $24M legal settlement and coupon timing on 2024 bond issuance; management expects FCF to be back-end weighted in 2025 .
- Slight softness in Network Software (organic +1%), with DAT still operating amid low spot volumes and Foundry working through strike-related headwinds; guidance implies improvement through the year .
Financial Results
Core P&L and Margins (Oldest → Newest)
Segment Revenue
Segment Margins (Selected)
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our quarterly financial results were solid with Q1 total revenue growing 12% and organic revenue growing 5%… cash flow growing 12% over the last 12 months.” — Neil Hunn (CEO) .
- “We continue to be very well positioned for capital deployment with more than $5 billion of available firepower over the next 12 months.” — Neil Hunn (CEO) .
- “Q1 [adjusted] EPS of $4.78 was above our guidance range… led by strong margin performance.” — Jason Conley (CFO) .
- CentralReach “is a powerhouse business… with multiple levers to grow revenue and expand margins,” expected ~20% revenue/EBITDA growth when organic .
- DAT pricing/packaging actions and fraud mitigation underpin Network Software recovery; Foundry saw “green shoots” with ARR returning to growth in 2025 .
Q&A Highlights
- Deltek GovCon exposure: pipeline push-outs amid budget/shutdown uncertainty; still 80–85% recurring; modestly lower 2025 organic growth for Deltek but not structural; sentiment remains good .
- Free cash flow cadence: back-end weighted due to bond coupon timing and two federal tax payments in Q2; strong H2 given Transact seasonality (Q3 peak) and frontline strength .
- CentralReach retention and AI: gross logo retention low-90s due to therapist churn, but net retention ~115–120%; AI a meaningful future growth driver though early in revenue mix .
- Tariffs: exposure primarily in TEP; majority of cross-border flows USMCA-compliant; ~$10–$15M issue manageable .
- M&A pipeline: robust despite PE hesitancy at the macro level; >$5B capacity, times of uncertainty historically advantageous (e.g., Verathon in 2020) .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: Adjusted EPS $4.78 vs $4.74* (beat), Revenue $1.8828B vs $1.8834B* (inline/slight miss), EBITDA $739M vs $735M* (beat). Management cited stronger margins and acquisition timing (Transact seasonality) supporting EPS .
- Q2 2025 guidance $4.80–$4.84 sits broadly in line with consensus EPS $4.83*; management expects Network Software to improve and Application Software acquisitions to contribute .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Resilient compounding: strong adjusted EPS/EBITDA growth and raised FY guidance despite GAAP noise from equity investments; recurring software base remains the core engine .
- Mix shift tailwinds: portfolio increasingly tilted to higher-growth vertical software (CentralReach, Procare, Transact), supporting medium-term organic acceleration and margin expansion .
- Near-term cadence: expect back-end weighted FCF and margin expansion through the year (Transact Q3 peak; DAT pricing/packaging) — use pullbacks on seasonal cash patterns to add .
- Watch Deltek GovCon: monitor federal budget/shutdown headlines; management indicates temporary timing effects rather than demand destruction .
- DAT freight recovery: monetization via price actions and fraud mitigation offsets low spot volumes; incremental upside as carrier participation stabilizes/improves .
- Tariffs manageable: USMCA compliance and proactive countermeasures suggest limited P&L impact (~$10–$15M), reducing macro downside risk .
- Capital deployment optionality: >$5B firepower and active pipeline provide ongoing acquisition catalysts; CentralReach integration offers an attractive proof point .
Non-GAAP Adjustments (Q1 2025 context)
- Adjusted results exclude minority investment impacts (Indicor), acquisition-related transaction expenses, and amortization of acquired intangibles; per-share impacts include +$1.42 from amortization and +$0.29 from minority investment adjustments .
Additional Notes
- Trailing-twelve-month adjusted operating cash flow rose to $2.39B; FCF margin ~31% TTM, demonstrating durable conversion .
- Dividend of $0.825 per share approved (payable July 22, 2025), consistent with ongoing cash return while preserving M&A flexibility .