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ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC (ROP)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered a clean beat and guidance raise: revenue $1.94B (+13% total; +7% organic), adjusted EPS $4.87, adjusted EBITDA $775M; full-year total revenue growth raised to ~13% and adjusted EPS to $19.90–$20.05; Q3 adjusted EPS guided to $5.08–$5.12 .
- Segment performance was broad-based: Application Software +17% total (+6% organic), Network Software +6% total (+5% organic), TEP +10% total (+9% organic), with core margin expansion year-to-date and network growth reaccelerating as comps normalize and DAT execution improves .
- Capital deployment remained active: announced $800M acquisition of Subsplash (AI-enabled faith-based engagement, ~high-teens organic growth) with ~$5B of remaining M&A firepower and pro forma leverage ~3.1x net debt/EBITDA; CentralReach closed April 23 and contributed in Q2 .
- Cash flow and tax: adjusted FCF $403M (+10% YoY) and TTM FCF >$2.3B; repeal of Section 174 reduced 2025 cash taxes by ~$150M ($60M benefit in Q2) with ~$120M benefit carrying into 2026, supporting the raise and near-term cash efficiency .
- Stock-relevant catalysts: beat vs consensus on revenue and EPS, raised FY guide, AI/productivity narrative strengthening (25 AI products in market/dev; 30% R&D productivity gains cited), and freight/network monetization actions at DAT improving trajectory .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Broad-based growth with margin discipline: Q2 revenue $1.94B (+13%) and adjusted EPS $4.87 above prior guide ($4.80–$4.84), with year-to-date core segment margin expansion of 70 bps; adjusted EBITDA margin 39.9% .
- Application Software strong execution: total +17% and organic +6%, highlighted by Aderant’s best bookings quarter ever (AI-enabled solutions, cloud migration) and continued cloud migrations at Deltek (Costpoint embedded “Della” AI assistant) .
- Capital deployment momentum: announced Subsplash at $800M (expected $115M revenue/$36M EBITDA for 12 months ending Q3 2026) to Network Software, with >$5B firepower and pro forma net debt/EBITDA ~3.1x .
What Went Wrong
- Mixed contributions within portfolios: Foundry remained down YoY (first sequential ARR growth since strikes) and Frontline bookings softer amid K–12 uncertainty; Deltek GovCon demand timing depends on “Big Beautiful Bill” implementation .
- Network still “bouncing along the bottom”: DAT freight market stable but subdued; improvements driven more by pricing/monetization and integrated products (Trucker Tools, Algo) than macro recovery .
- Adjusted EBITDA margin contracted 60 bps YoY to 39.9% on reported basis (mix/acquisitions), despite core improvements; GAAP gross margin slightly below prior year .
Financial Results
Headline vs Prior Quarters and Estimates
Note: * Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Actual vs S&P Global Consensus
Highlights: Q2 beat on revenue ($1.944B vs $1.928B consensus) and adjusted EPS ($4.87 vs $4.83) .
Note: Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Breakdown (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We posted another solid quarter… Total revenue grew 13%. Organic revenue grew 7%… free cash flow margins coming in at 31% for the TTM period.” .
- On AI: “Today, we have approximately 25 AI-enabled products either in market or in development… building durable competitive advantages.” .
- On Subsplash: “Purchase price is $800 million… expect $115 million of revenue and $36 million of EBITDA for the 12 months ending Q3 of 2026… high-teens organic growth” .
- On cash taxes/Section 174: “Reducing our cash tax payments for 2025 by around $150 million… about $60 million benefited our second quarter… $120 million carrying to next year” .
- On guidance: “Increasing our full year DEPS outlook to $19.90–$20.05… Q3 adjusted DEPS $5.08–$5.12” .
Q&A Highlights
- AI execution and monetization: Management emphasized doing “more” with productivity gains (not dropping to bottom line yet) and evolving pricing toward subscription-plus-consumption as appropriate; ARR from AI features is “tens of millions” today with a broader halo on bookings .
- Tariffs/macro: Tariff exposure small (~$10–$15M); teams mitigating via supply chain and pricing; overall macro sentiment “cautiously optimistic” .
- Deltek outlook: BBB expected to unlock demand with shift toward defense contractor spend; timing uncertain; outlook maintains conservatism; potential Q4 perpetual upside .
- Network integration: DAT integrating LoadLink and Trucker Tools; Algo adds factoring tech for carriers; focus on longer-term network value capture .
Estimates Context
- Q2 beat: Revenue $1.9436B vs $1.9276B consensus*; adjusted EPS $4.87 vs $4.8336 consensus* .
- Recent quarters: Q1 revenue essentially in line ($1.8828B actual vs $1.8834B consensus*), EPS beat ($4.78 vs $4.7439*); Q4 beat on both revenue ($1.8771B vs $1.8370B*) and EPS ($4.81 vs $4.7284*) .
- Implications: Street likely nudges FY revenue and EPS higher given guide raise and AI/productivity traction; watch for modest margin mix headwinds from acquisitions and deliberate reinvestment.
Note: Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q2 was a textbook execution quarter: clean beat, raised FY guide, broad segment growth, and tangible AI/productivity narrative—supportive for near-term sentiment and estimate revisions .
- Application Software momentum (Aderant, Deltek cloud/AI) plus CentralReach contribution should sustain mid-single-digit+ organic into 2H; watch any BBB-driven Q4 perpetual upside .
- Network trajectory is improving via monetization (pricing/RPU), integrations (LoadLink, Trucker Tools), and Algo; freight remains subdued—recovery optionality adds upside leverage .
- Cash flow strength and Section 174 repeal boost near-term cash efficiency; M&A capacity >$5B enables continued portfolio upgrading (Subsplash now, others likely) .
- AI is building into a durable moat: 25 products in market/dev, early ARR, and measurable productivity gains—expect ongoing bookings halo and gradual P&L impact through 2026 .
- Valuation sensitivity: With margin mix from acquisitions and reinvestment, focus on core margin expansion and TEP/Network margin resiliency to justify multiple stability .
- Trading setup: Near term skew positive on beat/raise and M&A narrative; monitor freight prints, BBB implementation timing, and Foundry recovery cadence for sustained momentum .
Sources
- Q2 2025 earnings press release and 8-K: Revenue/EPS/EBITDA/margins/guidance, segment tables, balance sheet and cash flow .
- Q2 2025 earnings call transcript: Segment details, AI initiatives, DAT/Foundry updates, guidance, Section 174 impacts .
- Q1 2025 press release: trend and prior guidance .
- Q4 2024 earnings call transcript: revenue growth mix, margins, bookings momentum and AI commentary .
- Subsplash acquisition PR (K1): transaction confirmation .
- S&P Global consensus estimates: revenue and EPS actual/consensus for Q4 2024, Q1 2025, Q2 2025 (values marked with *) (Values retrieved from S&P Global).