RT
ROPER TECHNOLOGIES INC (ROP)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 delivered strong top-line and cash flow: revenue $1.88B (+16% YoY), adjusted EBITDA $744M (39.6% margin), GAAP diluted EPS $4.28 (+22% YoY), and adjusted DEPS $4.81; adjusted free cash flow was $684M (+15% YoY) .
- Adjusted DEPS of $4.81 exceeded the company’s guidance range ($4.70–$4.74), a notable beat driven by Application Software performance despite $9M restructuring charges absorbed in the quarter .
- 2025 guidance initiated: total revenue growth 10%+, organic +6–7%, adjusted DEPS $19.75–$20.00; Q1 2025 adjusted DEPS $4.70–$4.74; effective tax rate expected 21–22% .
- Strategic catalysts: recurring/reoccurring software base of $4.6B growing high single digits, enterprise bookings accelerating to double-digit growth, and ~$5B M&A firepower with an active pipeline; management emphasized GenAI deployments across businesses and DAT/Foundry network resilience upgrades .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Enterprise software momentum: “enterprise bookings growing solidly in the double-digit area” exiting 2024; recurring/reoccurring revenue base remains healthy and growing high single digits .
- Verathon’s market-share gains: “becoming the market share leader in the U.S. for single-use bronchoscopes and extending their global market share lead in video laryngoscope” .
- Cash compounding continued: FY adjusted free cash flow rose 16% to $2.282B with free cash flow margins of ~32%; management highlighted robust cash generation and operating leverage .
What Went Wrong
- Restructuring charges: ~$9M targeted actions in Application Software (largest at Deltek) taken in Q4 to enable reinvestment in product and growth; absorbed in quarter .
- Network software still facing freight/strike hangover: segment grew only +3% in Q4 as freight matching recovered from tough conditions and Foundry navigated post-strike impacts; Foundry declined through the year, though innovation continued .
- Core margins modestly lower in Q4: core EBITDA margin down ~30 bps YoY given acquisition mix and restructuring; headline margins down a touch with acquisitions (Transact seasonality) .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown (Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023):
KPIs:
Notes: Q4 FY highlights include adjusted net earnings $520M (+10% YoY), adjusted EBITDA $744M (+13% YoY), and revenue components of +7% organic and +9% acquisition contribution .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We grew revenue 14%… deployed $3.6 billion towards market‑leading vertical software… grew free cash flow 16%… topping $2 billion for the first time in our history.” — Neil Hunn, CEO .
- “EBITDA of $744 million was 13% over prior year… DEPS of $4.81 was above our guidance range… despite the costs associated with the restructuring.” — Jason Conley, CFO .
- “We now have over $5 billion of acquisition firepower… M&A markets are very active and appear to be accelerating… we will be business pickers first and foremost.” — Neil Hunn, CEO .
- “Trucker Tools is a perfect complement to DAT… providing real‑time visibility… helps drive higher retention and enhanced network monetization.” — Neil Hunn, CEO .
- “We’ve identified $20 million of cost synergies [Transact+CBORD]… start rolling through in Q1… ERP across the business to create efficiencies… great cross‑sell tailwinds.” — Jason Conley, CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- AI impact and competitive threat: Management remains “paranoid” but confident incumbency plus intimacy/data and scale advantages deepen moats; no existential threats identified; bookings halo seen from AI features (Aderant/Deltek) .
- DAT pricing/packaging and fraud mitigation: Actions taken on half the network in Q4 with more in 2025; innovations to increase safety/reliability and monetize network value; Trucker Tools bolt-on enhances visibility .
- Transact + CBORD integration: $20M cost synergies, Q1 timing; ERP rollout and cloud migration services enable efficiency and cross‑sell; market feedback positive .
- Organic growth and margin cadence: Organic 6–7% for FY25; Q1 lower in AS/MS due to comps/acquisition seasonality; core margins “up a little,” headline flattish, H2 weighted; Transact’s largest margin quarter is Q3 .
- Capital deployment and potential equity: ~$5B balance‑sheet/debt capacity first; equity possible only for very high‑quality opportunities with higher return bar; expect 2025–2026 clearing pace .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus data for Q4 2024 (EPS, Revenue, EBITDA) was unavailable due to request limits at time of analysis; therefore, comparison to Wall Street consensus cannot be provided. Values would be retrieved from S&P Global when available.
- Notably, Roper’s adjusted DEPS of $4.81 was above the company’s guidance range ($4.70–$4.74), indicating an internal guidance beat even without consensus context .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Strong Q4 finish with across‑the‑board growth and a clear guidance beat on adjusted DEPS; momentum carried by Application Software and robust cash generation (Q4 adj. FCF $684M; FY adj. FCF $2.282B) .
- Network Software is recovering with targeted pricing/packaging actions and fraud mitigation; Trucker Tools adds real‑time visibility, supporting higher retention and monetization in 2025 .
- Verathon’s leadership in single‑use bronchoscopes and Neptune’s operational execution underpin solid TEP outlook (HSD growth guided) .
- 2025 setup attractive: organic +6–7%, total +10%+, core margins up slightly over the year, and ~$5B M&A capacity amid an increasingly active market; expect deployment across platforms and bolt‑ons .
- GenAI is an enterprise‑wide theme with tangible product rollouts; management views AI as moat‑enhancing given customer intimacy/data and scale, not a disruption risk near‑term .
- Watch Q1: seasonal margin headwinds in Application Software (Transact’s seasonality) and Network comps; H2 should improve with higher margins and bookings conversion to revenue .
- Dividend increased 10% to $0.825 per share (payable Jan 17, 2025), continuing 32nd consecutive year of raises; supportive for income investors alongside durable FCF profile .
Appendix: Additional Comparisons vs Prior Periods and Company Guidance
Company guidance vs actual (Q4 2024):
All data and commentary cited from primary company sources (8‑K releases, press releases, and earnings call transcripts) as referenced above.