Sanmina - Q1 2024
January 29, 2024
Transcript
Operator (participant)
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Sanmina's first quarter fiscal 2024 earnings conference call. At this time, all lines are in a listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question and answer session. If at any time during this call you require immediate assistance, please press star zero for the operator. This call is being recorded on Monday, the 29th of January, 2024. I would now like to turn the conference over to Paige Melching, Senior Vice President of Investor Communications. Please go ahead.
Paige Melching (SVP of Investor Communications)
Thank you, John. Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Sanmina's first quarter fiscal 2024 earnings call. A copy of our press release and slides for today's discussion are available on our website at sanmina.com in the Investor Relations section. Joining me on today's call is Jure Sola, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer.
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
Good afternoon.
Paige Melching (SVP of Investor Communications)
Jon Faust, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.
Jon Faust (EVP and CFO)
Good afternoon.
Paige Melching (SVP of Investor Communications)
Before I turn the call over to Jure, let me remind everyone that today's call is being webcasted and recorded and will be available on our website. You can follow along with our prepared remarks and the slides provided on our website. Please turn to slide three of our presentation and take note of our Safe Harbor statement. During this conference call, we may make projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future events or the future financial performance of the company. We caution you that such statements are just projections. The company's actual results could differ materially from those projected in these statements as a result of factors set forth in the Safe Harbor statement.
The company is under no obligation to and expressly disclaims any such obligation to update or alter any of the forward-looking statements made in the earnings release, the earnings presentation, the conference call, or the investor relations section of our website, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, unless otherwise required by law. Included in our press release and slides issued today, we have provided you with statements of operation for the first quarter ended December 30th, 2023, on a GAAP basis, as well as certain non-GAAP financial information. A reconciliation between the GAAP and non-GAAP financial information is also provided in the press release and slides posted on our website. In general, our non-GAAP information excludes restructuring costs, acquisition and integration costs, non-cash stock-based compensation expense, amortization expense, and other unusual or infrequent items.
Any comments we make on this call as it relates to the income statement measures will be directed at our non-GAAP financial results. Accordingly, unless otherwise stated in this conference call, when we refer to gross profit, gross margin, operating income, operating margin, taxes, EBITDA, net income, and earnings per share, we are referring to our non-GAAP information. I would now like to turn the call over to Jure.
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
Thanks, Paige. Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome. Thank you all for being here with us today. First, I would like to take this opportunity to recognize Sanmina leadership team and our employees for doing a great job. So to you, Sanmina's team, thank you for your dedication and delivering excellent customer service, and let's keep it up. Please turn to slide four. Now, ladies and gentlemen, I would like to introduce to you Jon Faust, Sanmina's CFO. Jon joined Sanmina on December 18th, 2023. He brings over 20 years of finance, accounting, controls, and operational experience. Jon previously served as a Global Controller and Head of Finance, Transformation, and Corporate Services at HP Inc. He was also CFO of Aruba, a Hewlett Packard Enterprise company, and he held various leadership roles at Hewlett Packard Enterprise. Jon has proven track record driving transformational business strategies.
He's a highly accomplished leader with extensive background, and I can tell you, I'm very happy to have Jon on Sanmina leadership team. Now, let's go to our agenda for today's call. You have Jon to review details of our results for you. I will follow up with additional comments about Sanmina results and our future goals. Then Jon and I will open for question and answers. And now, I'd like to turn this call over to Jon. Jon?
Jon Faust (EVP and CFO)
Great. Thank you, Jure. Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. It's a pleasure to be here today and to be on my first earnings call for Sanmina. I've been with the company for about six weeks now, and I've really enjoyed meeting the team and learning about the business. Sanmina is a company that I've long respected during my many years at HP because of its customer-centric approach, focus on operational excellence, and overall reputation of being a market leader in the EMS industry. While I've only been here for a short time, my experience to date has only strengthened that perspective. I'm excited to be here and to work with Jure and the rest of the leadership team to continue to deliver on Sanmina's strategy and to drive value for our shareholders. With that, let's talk about the Q1 results. Please turn to slide six.
First, I want to commend the entire Sanmina team for executing well and delivering financial results in line with the company's outlook, while continuing to navigate the difficult period in the market. First quarter revenue was $1.87 billion, in line with our outlook of $1.85 billion-$1.95 billion. As a reminder, the decline in revenue results from the ongoing market-driven inventory absorption that we've been managing with our customers, which is unfolding in line with our expectations. Non-GAAP gross margin was 8.8%, up 10 basis points sequentially and 30 basis points compared to the same period last year, which is at the high end of our outlook, largely driven by favorable mix.
Non-GAAP operating margin was 5.5%, down 20 basis points sequentially and 50 basis points compared to the same period last year, which is at the midpoint of our outlook as we continue to carefully manage costs and make targeted investments when needed. Non-GAAP earnings per share came in at $1.30, based on 58 million shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis and at the high end of our outlook. Please turn to slide seven, where I'll talk about the segment results. IMS revenue came in at $1.5 billion, down approximately 8% sequentially due to lower demand and ongoing customer inventory adjustments, with non-GAAP gross margin down 40 basis points to 7.6% due to lower revenue and mix.
CPS revenue came in at $394 million, down 10% sequentially due to similar dynamics as the IMS segment, but non-GAAP gross margin was solid at 13% due to favorable mix and operational improvements we've been driving across the business. Now please turn to slide eight, where I'll comment on the balance sheet. Sanmina has a very strong balance sheet, which is a key advantage of the company and a pillar of our value proposition to investors. Cash and cash equivalents were $632 million. We ended the first quarter with inventory of $1.4 billion, which is down 6% sequentially and down 18% from a year ago, as we have continued to focus on improving our inventory position.
We continue to have one of the strongest balance sheets in the industry, with low leverage, which allows us to both navigate complex market environments and capitalize on the long-term opportunity in front of us. Please turn to slide nine, where I'll talk about cash flow and capital allocation. We did a great job managing cash this quarter, and as I've been reviewing Sanmina's capital allocation priorities, I'm confident we're putting our cash to use in the right areas. Each quarter, we evaluate our capital allocation requirements and look for opportunities to drive shareholder value, taking a disciplined ROI-based approach when making decisions. As a reminder, those priorities are to, number one, fund organic growth; number two, execute on strategic transactions; number three, reduce our debt and carefully manage our leverage ratio; and number four, do share repurchases, the actual mix of which depends on our needs and opportunities.
To touch on a few highlights, cash flow from operations for the quarter was $126 million. Capital expenditures were $34 million, as we continued to make investments in the end markets that will support Sanmina's long-term profitable growth. Free cash flow was $92 million. During the quarter, we repurchased 2.1 million shares for approximately $106 million. As of December 30th, we have approximately $174 million left on our board-authorized plan. Going forward, we will look to do share repurchase, repurchases opportunistically. To conclude on the Q1 actual results, overall, it was a strong quarter as we delivered on what we said we would, despite the headwinds we face as customers continued to adjust inventory levels. Please turn to slide 10.
I'll now cover our outlook for the second quarter, which is based on everything we are seeing in the market and forecasts from our customers. Our outlook is as follows: Revenue between $1.825 billion-$1.925 billion, essentially flat with the prior quarter. Now, while we're not providing guidance beyond the second quarter, we are seeing signs that demand and revenue should start to improve in the second half of the year, which Jure will elaborate on shortly. Non-GAAP gross margin of 8.3%-8.8%, consistent with prior quarters and dependent on mix. Operating expenses of $60 million-$62 million, in line with normal levels. Non-GAAP operating margin of 5.2%-5.6%. Other income and expense, approximately $12 million, in line with normal levels.
A tax rate of 17%-18%. We also estimate an approximate $3 million-$3.5 million non-cash reduction to our net income to reflect our JV partner's equity interest. Non-GAAP EPS in the range of $1.20-$1.30, based on approximately 57 million fully diluted shares outstanding. Capital expenditures to be around $40 million to support new programs and future opportunities as we continue to invest where needed to support our long-term strategy. And finally, depreciation of approximately $30 million. Overall, I'm very pleased with our performance this quarter and excited about the opportunity ahead. And now that I'm on board, I look forward to meeting with many of you and hearing your perspectives. With that, let me turn it back to Jure.
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
Thank you, Jon. Ladies and gentlemen, let me add a few more comments about our financial highlights for the first quarter, and I'll review our end markets and outlook for the second quarter and the rest of the fiscal year 2024. Please turn to slide 12. For the first quarter, as you already heard, overall, we met outlook, and we demonstrated our ability to manage costs and operational execution in this macroeconomic environment. For overall markets, we are seeing ongoing customer inventory adjustment, coupled with softer demand across the industry. What is Sanmina's advantage in this environment? Our business is aligned to adapt to market dynamics like this. We have strong cost management and operational execution. We are well diversified in growth markets.
In the key markets that we focus on, our customer requires Sanmina technical capabilities, global regional footprint, and industry-leading IT systems managed by Sanmina's smart connected MES. The bottom line is that Sanmina provides a competitive advantage to our customers by delivering predictable and consistent performance globally. Please turn to slide 13. Let me talk to you now about the revenue by end markets. As we said, we are operating in a very dynamic environment. Our team did a great job delivering first quarter financial results in line with our outlook. As you can see in a graph, industrial, medical, defense, and automotive was 67% of our revenue. Came in at $1,257 million for the quarter. Quarter-over-quarter revenue was down 6.4%. What we saw in here is that some inventory adjustments and softer demand- softness in the medical sector.
For communication, networks, and cloud infrastructure, we delivered 33% of revenue, or $680 million. Quarter-to-quarter was down 12.8%, mainly due to inventory adjustment at communications market and softer demand from end markets. We also saw some softness in cloud enterprise sector. For the first quarter, top ten customer represented 45% of our revenue. Bookings for the first quarter were slightly better than the fourth quarter of 2023. Demand for the second quarter is sequentially flat, but we expect to see sequential improvements in the second half of fiscal year 2024. Please turn to slide 14. Now, let's talk about the markets that's gonna drive the future growth for us. Sanmina has been investing in faster growing and higher margin end markets.
These are key markets for us: cloud, defense and aerospace, medical, digital health, electrical vehicles, renewable energy, industrial, and optical packaging. For cloud, basically built around AI, AI and ML, we see a lot more new opportunities driven by upgrade of cloud networks to meet AI traffic needs for the future. Defense and aerospace, we continue to see solid demand. For medical digital health, we have a strong base of customers with positive trends for longer term. For electrical vehicles and electrical vehicle chargers, we see a fair amount of new projects and lots of great opportunities in front of us. Renewable energy, new projects for us will drive the growth. For industrial, we have a solid base of business and new projects in the pipeline. Optical packaging, for us, it's all about 800 gigs.
We see a lot of trends in this side of the business. So I can tell you that the pipeline of the new opportunity is exciting for our future. Please turn to slide 15. Now, let me tell you about Sanmina's priorities to drive long-term, profitable growth. Number one, Sanmina culture is basically to build everything around customer requirements. We are a very customer-centric company. Because of that, we're able to build a strong, long-term partnership with the market leaders. We have great diversified customer base in key markets, and strategy, again, is to build around the customer needs. And I can tell you that we are, even in this market, we are adding new strategic customers to our existing base. Number two is to continue to provide leading technology in heavy regulated markets. Our technology is a competitive advantage.
We provide total solutions, from NPI to full systems. We are well respected by our customers and industry for quality of execution. We also deliver time-to-market flexibility for our customers, so they can get their new products to the market at a faster rate. Number three, Sanmina is positioned for a long-term growth. For fiscal year 2024, we're starting with a lower revenue base. We knew that beginning of the year with all the inventory correction that is going on. But we do have a strong pipeline of the new opportunities. We do expect sequential improvements in the second half of fiscal year 2024, and we'll continue to invest in the growth opportunities. We also continue to optimize capital structure to drive the growth in next 2-3 years.
So this way, I can tell you that the revenue goal is to get back to $9 billion run rate and then drive that growth to $10-$12 billion. But we don't want to just grow. Number four for us is margin expansion and cash flow generation. We are focused on margin expansion, and our business model will allow us to do that. Short term, our operating margin goal is 5%-6%, and if you look at the last two years, we're able to deliver those numbers more on a high end. Longer term, we believe that, our long-term operating margin goal internally is over 6, 6+ %. We have high confidence we'll get there, and we'll continue to generate cash to drive this growth.
And number five for us is how do we maximize the shareholder value short term and the long term? As Jon told you earlier, we repurchase shares opportunistically. For the first quarter, we bought over $100 million. What also positive in Sanmina business here is that we have significant leverage still in our business model. Now please turn to slide 16. For the first quarter, as you already heard from us, we had a solid execution and excellent performance by our team. Revenue of $1.807 billion, in line with our outlook. We delivered a non-GAAP operating margin of 5.5%, and we delivered non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.30, and this is at the high end of our outlook.
For second quarter revenue outlook, we're going to be at $1.825 billion-$1.925 billion. And non-GAAP diluted EPS, we're guiding between $1.20-$1.30, which is basically flat to our first quarter. For the year, as we already said, we are, we are seeing ongoing customer inventory absorption and softness in demand for the first half of this year. But we believe for the second half of the year, we expect to see sequential improvements. Ladies and gentlemen, now I would like to thank you for all of your time and support. Operator, we're now ready to open the lines for question and answers. Thank you all again.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. Should you have a question, please press star followed by the number one on your touchtone phone. You will hear a prompt that your hand has been raised. Should you wish to decline from the polling process, please press star followed by the number two. If you're using a speakerphone, please lift the handset before pressing any keys. One moment, please, for your first question. Your first question comes from the line of Christian Schwab from Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Your line is now open.
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
Hello, Christian.
Christian Schwab (Managing Partner and Senior Research Analyst)
Hey, Jure. Can you just, specifically, you know, on the growth markets, can you tell us which one or two that you guys anticipate seeing, driving the sequential growth in the back half of the year?
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
Well, as I mentioned earlier, if you look at our industrial, medical, defense, and aerospace markets, we believe those markets are pretty stable for us. And yeah, there are some inventory adjustments going on now, but we expect to see nice improvements in the third, especially as we exit our fiscal year and then the first quarter of calendar year next year. So those are the markets. Also, when it comes to let's talk about communication networks for us. If you look at that market, you know, we had a major inventory correction with some of the projects there. We, based on those, we see some improvements, you know, in the second half, and some improvements will probably take longer than a couple of quarters to get there.
But on a cloud infrastructure side, we, you know, a lot of our networking customers are into cloud AI, and we are involved in a lot of the new projects that are coming up that basically will be upgrading the cloud infrastructure, and we believe that Sanmina will have a fair amount to participate in that segment this, in, in the second half of the year and beyond.
Christian Schwab (Managing Partner and Senior Research Analyst)
So in the communications, you know, equipment, you know, part, do you anticipate that exiting this quarter, for the most part, you know, each customer's inventory levels vary, but do you think after this quarter, the worst is kind of behind you? Or is there just going to be puts and takes, as some have, as you suggested, a few more multiple quarters of digestion and others are, you know, possibly returning to ordering again? Just, I guess that wasn't clear.
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah. I would expect to see improvements in the third quarter of our fiscal year, even across those markets, but to see more better improvements, probably till the fourth quarter on some of that. But I would say worst is behind us. You know, we'll see how we go through this quarter, but I would, you know, I don't know if I'm smart enough to know when is the bottom, but I would expect—I do expect, based on what I see and what I'm hearing from key customers, that definitely third quarter, we should be able to improve our shipments. So I can say that, yeah, I think the worst is behind us.
Because some of these communication corrections have been going on for the last two and a half quarters.
Christian Schwab (Managing Partner and Senior Research Analyst)
Right. Correct. Yeah. So then, then my last question, Jure, on the optical, you, you talked about seeing, you know, strength in particular at 800 gig. Are, are you guys seeing any strength or, or well positioned as the industry possibly starts moving to 1.2 terabits?
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
Yes. Yeah, we are working on some of those new programs. Yes, especially the pluggable side of the business.
Christian Schwab (Managing Partner and Senior Research Analyst)
Okay. And you would anticipate that market would be solid in 2024, is that fair?
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
For us, I think, you know, definitely there's some positive movements around, but I would say end of the 2024, 2025, we expect a fair amount of upside in that segment.
Christian Schwab (Managing Partner and Senior Research Analyst)
Okay, great. Thanks, Jure. No other questions.
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
Thanks, Christian.
Operator (participant)
Your next question comes from the line of Anja Soderstrom from Sidoti. Your line is now open.
Anja Soderstrom (Senior Equity Research Analyst of Technology)
Hi, and thank you for taking my questions. Congratulations on the solid quarter here, despite the challenging environment.
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah, thanks, Anja.
Anja Soderstrom (Senior Equity Research Analyst of Technology)
I also want to dive a little bit further into the end markets as well and the medical there, where we heard from other peers there that there has been some inventory corrections there. What are you hearing in terms of that, and do you have new programs that are ramping that will sort of offset that if that prolongs longer than anticipated?
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah, Anja, you know, there's an inventory correction now across almost every customer out there, but at a different level, okay? There are some that not a major impact, and like in communication side, we had a more impact. On the medical side, during this quarter that we just finished, we had some softness in demand and some inventory correction, and we expect that to continue in the second quarter. We hope that improvements in the third and fourth quarter of this year. So our base of, you know, we're around 20% of our revenue comes from medical, so it's a very solid customer base for us. But with us, we also have a lot of programs that are basically changing into the, end of 2024 and 2025, in some cases even to 2026.
In the next two years, we got a lot of new programs. They have upside, but also going through some upgrades.
Anja Soderstrom (Senior Equity Research Analyst of Technology)
Okay. And was there any of these end markets within those groups that you're talking about that were particularly strong or stronger than?
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
Well, definitely, defense and aerospace for us is still solid demand. We're still chasing certain parts, especially in some of the unique technology. The renewable energy for us, demand is strong now, but a lot of these are new programs, so just ramping up the new programs. Industrial for us was solid. That was about 27% of our revenue, you know, so that's continued to be solid for us. And like, as I said earlier in prepared statement, that, you know, on cloud, we're starting to see a fair amount of demand from our customers as they are switching to support AI and ML.
Anja Soderstrom (Senior Equity Research Analyst of Technology)
Okay, thank you. And in terms of inventory, it seems like you are doing a great job in managing that as well. Do you think we should continue to see improvements from here, or where are you targeting there?
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah, we definitely expect to see improvements. Now with my new CFO, I should have a lot of improvement there. So, no, we do expect improvements, and we have programs internally that we're working very hard on and with our customers. We, you know, we learned a lot through the COVID days on how to manage it and, and so on. So there's a lot of focus both on the customer side and, of course, on our side, to make sure that we are smarter and, you know, going forward, how do we manage inventory, especially if we have hiccups in our industry like we had with COVID.
Anja Soderstrom (Senior Equity Research Analyst of Technology)
Okay, thank you. And we're talking, eventually, achieving $10 billion-$12 billion revenue in a couple of years here and, and, 6%+ operating margin. What kind of revenue level do you think you need for that operating margin to?
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
I think for us, it's a mix of the business, how much it comes from our technology group and how much does it come from our products. But as you can see, once we get, you know, closer to the $9 billion plus, I think, you know, last year we exited a year almost, what, $5.9 billion, $5.8 billion. But, you know, and so it, you know, as we get to the run rate around $9 billion plus, we expect to be in that, high 5s, the low 6s.
Anja Soderstrom (Senior Equity Research Analyst of Technology)
Okay, thank you.
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
But it's a mix. But the key for us is the mix. We, we're investing a lot of these new, technology products, some are components. We are investing, in, some of the defense industries. We are investing into lithography. You know, we get some, European partners there that we have for, for lithography equipment, precision machining, and so on. So we got a lot, a lot on our plate, and I think as long as those things come together the way, because we already spent a lot of the money for the growth, so we, we gotta grow. I mean, that's the whole focus right now internally, but we gotta grow smart. We don't want to grow for the growth's sake. We're gonna make sure that we have a respectable margins.
Anja Soderstrom (Senior Equity Research Analyst of Technology)
Okay, thank you. That was all from me. I get back in queue.
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
All right. Operator, we have a time for one more question.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. As a reminder, if you have a question, please press Star One. Your next question comes from the line of Ruplu Bhattacharya from Bank of America. Your line is now open.
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
Hello, Ruplu.
Ruplu Bhattacharya (VP and Senior Equity Research Analyst in IT Hardware and Technology Supply Chain)
Hi. Hi, Jure. How are you?
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
It's good to have you back.
Ruplu Bhattacharya (VP and Senior Equity Research Analyst in IT Hardware and Technology Supply Chain)
Yeah, thanks for taking my questions. Appreciate it. I have a few questions. Let me start by welcoming Jon. Thanks, you know, it's good to have you on board. Maybe can you just tell us what your maybe top two, three focus areas are over the next 12 months?
Jon Faust (EVP and CFO)
Yeah, thank you, Ruplu. It's it's nice to connect with you, and looking forward to speaking more with you. Couple of things, right? So, number one, I would just say learning the business, right? That is the top priority for me. As I mentioned in my prepared remarks, I've been here for about six weeks and been spending a lot of time meeting with the leadership team. In my first week here, I was able to make a trip down to Guadalajara, and that was very important, just to be able to see our capabilities firsthand at one of our major facilities. And I've done some in the Bay Area, too. And then really just getting into the details of the business.
So just a couple of weeks back, as we were preparing for this earnings call, kind of in the normal course of business, we went through all of our quarterly business reviews. So that was a great opportunity for me to dig in deep to all the respective divisions, learn about what's happening in the market, what's going on with our customers, and helping to decide what our priorities need to be, right? To drive some of the things Jure was just talking about, with Anja as an example, you know, where do we see opportunity to drive operational improvements, whether it be in inventory or otherwise?
Ruplu Bhattacharya (VP and Senior Equity Research Analyst in IT Hardware and Technology Supply Chain)
Got it. Let me ask you another question, and either you or Jure can chime in. So this quarter, the CPS segment saw about 220 basis points of sequential improvement on revenues that were sequentially down. I mean, part of this, you said, is mix, part of this is operational improvements. I'm trying to see if you can parse that out, because if we look from 1Q to 2Q, you know, as you've in years past, you've had margins decline. So how much of this is structurally sustainable at the 13% level, and how would you characterize this as, you know, mix related versus operational, more structural improvement?
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah, and, Ruplu, let me... This is Jure. Let me kind of give you an overview of what was going on last quarter. As we've said, you know, definitely there were some inventory adjustments that affected the revenue for us, similar to the other businesses, we believe our component business, we're starting to see light at the end of the tunnel. We're seeing, you know, because as the demand comes back, it's gonna come in our component businesses first, okay? So we're starting to see some of that right now. So the key to that, our goal for our Components, Products and Services, Ruplu, is to get that minimum 15%. So yes, it is sustainable, and I think it's now for us, it's all about getting the revenue.
We might have short-term, ±, you know, percentage are there, up and down, but I think the longer-term, just programs that we are working on and what we have in front of us, and investments that we already made, Ruplu, into our factories. And if you ever have a time, you come to the Bay Area, we'll take you around and show you some of the investments that we made for, in the component side of the business, is really to help us not just drive the revenue, but to go after the business that is more profitable. So, Jon, you want to add something to that or?
Jon Faust (EVP and CFO)
Yeah.
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
What you learned in the last QBR.
Jon Faust (EVP and CFO)
Just in the six weeks that I've been here, but CPS is a big priority for us. I think I would add to what Jure's saying. So really just focusing on expanding and adding more value for our customers. And if you look along the different lines of businesses there, from precision machining, plastics, printed circuit boards, you know, all of them, we saw some good operational improvements. But we think that there is more that we can do there, to Jure's point, you know, to continue to grow that business, add value for our customers, and expand margins.
Ruplu Bhattacharya (VP and Senior Equity Research Analyst in IT Hardware and Technology Supply Chain)
Okay, thanks for the details there. Since you mentioned revenue a couple of times, I think, Jure, you've said that you expect sequential growth in the second half. If I look at consensus estimates, I mean, consensus is modeling double-digit growth sequentially for both Q3, Q4. What do you think about that? I mean, when you talk about sequential improvement, I mean, is that the kind of level of improvement you're expecting, like double-digit sequential growth? Any color on that? Like, what-how strong a growth are you expecting?
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah, we're guiding, Ruplu, strictly to make sure that we're clear here. We're only guiding one quarter at a time in this environment. But I can, you know, as we get into the third quarter, especially in the fourth quarter, you know, fourth quarter, it's, you know, it's gonna be upside. The question is how much, okay? And it can be, it can be double digits, okay? For the third quarter, I think it will be up, but it's really hard for me right now to calculate how much? You know, it all depends how inventory shakes out, but our customer base and the new programs that are coming up are, you know, can drive the growth. We're just gonna see it.
I don't wanna overcommit, but I can commit that the longer term, this company is positioned to be a lot bigger than what we just did.
Ruplu Bhattacharya (VP and Senior Equity Research Analyst in IT Hardware and Technology Supply Chain)
Okay, thanks for that, and maybe I'll just try and squeeze one more in. You also talked about strong free cash flow this quarter, and inventory went down. I mean, how is there a target, like, how should we think about free cash flow? Typically, EMS companies, if the economy is weak, the countercyclical balance sheet, you should have strong free cash flow. Any thoughts on free cash flow, sustainability, and thoughts for free cash flow for the full year?
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah, I mean, Ruplu, you know, this business is just as good as I do. Yeah, definitely, we should be generating in a down market a fair amount of free cash flow as we did last quarter. You know, and we're utilizing our cash properly. Our stock is a high value, so we bought over $100 million of that. We continue to invest. Yeah, we expect to be, you know, cash flow free for a year. I mean, if you look at historically, you know, we've been generating free cash flow around $200-$250 million, and we should be at that level.
Ruplu Bhattacharya (VP and Senior Equity Research Analyst in IT Hardware and Technology Supply Chain)
For fiscal 2024?
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
I, I'm just saying in the general term, we'll just see how we, how this inventory gets used up in short term.
Ruplu Bhattacharya (VP and Senior Equity Research Analyst in IT Hardware and Technology Supply Chain)
Okay. All right-
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
I think that short term, it's all, you know, the... First of all, the good thing about inventory, Ruplu, you know, in our industry, that we have a contracts where we only buy what is our customers tells us to buy, and they are 100% responsible for this inventory. We charge for carrying charges and et cetera. But just getting these things off our books and turn it into the cash might take a little bit more than just the three months.
Ruplu Bhattacharya (VP and Senior Equity Research Analyst in IT Hardware and Technology Supply Chain)
Okay. All right. Thank you for all the details. Appreciate it.
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah, and come and see us.
Ruplu Bhattacharya (VP and Senior Equity Research Analyst in IT Hardware and Technology Supply Chain)
All right, I will.
Jure Sola (Chairman and CEO)
All right. Well, first of all, I'd like to say thank you to all our participants, and if we didn't answer all your questions, as Jon said, you know, we're available, especially for Jon right now, as he wants to get to know you, so please give us a call. Thanks a lot.
Anja Soderstrom (Senior Equity Research Analyst of Technology)
Thank you, everyone.
Operator (participant)
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.