SC
SANMINA CORP (SANM)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 FY2025 delivered revenue of $2.04B, non-GAAP gross margin of 9.1%, and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.53; all were above management’s outlook and marked solid execution in a dynamic macro environment .
- Versus Wall Street consensus, revenue and EPS were beats: revenue $2.04B vs. $1.98B*, EPS $1.53 vs. $1.415*; however EBITDA came in below consensus at $133.2M vs. $144.6M*; estimates based on 2 covering analysts* . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Q4 FY2025 guidance implies revenue of $2.0–$2.1B and non-GAAP EPS of $1.52–$1.62, maintaining the full-year growth trajectory of ~6–8% and reinforcing margin discipline (non-GAAP operating margin 5.5–6.0%) .
- Strategic catalyst: announced definitive agreement in May to acquire AMD’s ZT Systems data center infrastructure manufacturing business—expected to add $5–$6B annual net revenue run-rate and double Sanmina’s net revenue within three years; accretive to non-GAAP EPS in year 1 post-close .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong beat on EPS and revenue vs. guidance and consensus; CEO: “Revenue, non-GAAP gross margin, and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share exceeded our outlook” . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- CPS margin expansion to 14.7% (+320 bps YoY) on higher revenue, favorable mix, and operational efficiencies; CFO emphasized progress and target above 15% medium term .
- Robust cash generation and balance sheet strength: CFFO $201M; FCF $168M; cash and equivalents $798M; revolver undrawn, ~$1.7B liquidity; pretax ROIC 24.8% .
What Went Wrong
- EBITDA underperformed vs. Street despite top-line/EPS beats: actual ~$133.2M vs. consensus ~$144.6M*, suggesting mix and investment spend effects. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- IMS gross margin dipped slightly YoY to 7.5% (-10 bps), reflecting mix within the segment .
- Automotive/transportation softness noted; CEO cited slower demand near-term, with recovery expected in FY2026 .
Financial Results
Consolidated Performance and Consensus vs. Actuals
Q3 2025 vs. Prior Year and Consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment and End-Market Breakdown
Selected KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “Revenue, non-GAAP gross margin, and non-GAAP EPS exceeded our outlook” .
- CFO: “Our revenue of $2.04 billion, non-GAAP gross margin of 9.1%, and our non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of $1.53 all exceeded our outlook” .
- CEO on AI strategy: “This acquisition advances Sanmina Strategic Data Center AI strategy…we expect to expand our relationship with hyperscalers and OEM customers…provide end-to-end solution for data center AI” .
- CFO on balance sheet: “Cash and cash equivalents were $798 million…no outstanding borrowings on our $800 million revolver…substantial liquidity of approximately $1.7 billion” .
- CFO on ZT Systems acquisition: “We expect it will add $5 billion–$6 billion of annual net revenue on a run rate basis and anticipate it will double Sanmina's net revenue within the next three years…accretive to non-GAAP diluted EPS in the first year after closing” .
Q&A Highlights
- ZT Systems revenue run-rate and stabilization: Management reaffirmed $5–$6B net revenue run-rate at close; stable GP compute/storage foundation; accelerated compute transitioning; accretive EPS expected; expanding engineering/sales support including Viking and new hires .
- CPS margin sustainability: No one-offs; mix/investments driving expansion; management expects CPS above 15% over time .
- Inventory/working capital risk in acquisition: ~$2B working capital target (primarily inventory) with thorough evaluation and customer-supported forecasts; commitment from AMD/ZT to manage risk .
- Tariffs: Costs borne by customers; regionalization trend; flexibility via global footprint and IT systems; no material shifts in current programs; evaluation for new programs ongoing .
- India JV: JV performing well; continued investment; net income adjustment guided (~$4M Q4); long-term growth opportunities across multiple end-markets .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 revenue beat: $2.042B actual vs. $1.980B consensus*; EPS beat: $1.53 actual vs. $1.415 consensus* . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- EBITDA miss: ~$133.2M actual vs. ~$144.6M consensus*, indicating margin/mix effects despite EPS beat. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Coverage breadth: 2 estimates for revenue and EPS*, suggesting limited sell-side coverage and potentially higher revision sensitivity. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Implications: Street likely to revise EPS and revenue upward for near term; EBITDA estimates may reflect cautious margin trajectory given ongoing investment and mix dynamics. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Execution remains strong: Both revenue and EPS beat guidance and consensus, with sustained non-GAAP operating margin within the 5–6% target range—supportive of near-term estimate upgrades . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Mix-driven margin expansion: CPS margin reached 14.7% with management targeting >15%, a lever for consolidated margin improvement into FY2026 .
- AI/data center catalyst: ZT Systems acquisition should materially expand scale and hyperscaler exposure, with accretive EPS and potential to double net revenue over three years; financing/leveraging plan remains within target 1–2x net leverage, temporarily above post-close .
- Cash generation and flexibility: Strong CFFO/FCF and liquidity underpin investments (U.S., India, Mexico) while enabling ongoing repurchases ($239M authorization remaining) .
- Guidance steady: Q4 outlook supports full-year growth ~6–8% with maintained tax rate and lower OI&E versus prior quarter outlook; watch OpEx uptick tied to growth initiatives .
- Watch items: Automotive softness, tariff/geopolitical dynamics, and acquisition integration (inventory/wcap build) are monitored risks; management’s regional footprint and pass-through model mitigate tariff cost impacts .
- Trading and thesis: Near-term—stock should be supported by beats and AI catalyst narrative; medium-term—margin trajectory hinges on CPS >15% and successful ZT Systems integration, increasing exposure to cloud/AI spend cycles .
Non-GAAP adjustments in Q3 included stock-based comp ($16.1M), acquisition/integration costs ($7.1M), and restructuring/other (gain on sale offset, -$3.3M); these drove non-GAAP operating margin to 5.7% vs. GAAP 4.7% .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.