SB
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (SBH)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Margin resilience despite soft sales: net sales $0.88B (-2.8% YoY) and comps -1.3%, but gross margin +100 bps to 52.0% and adjusted operating margin +90 bps to 8.5%, driving adjusted EPS up 20% YoY to $0.42 .
- Clear beat/miss: Q2 adjusted EPS $0.42 vs $0.393 consensus (beat); revenue $883M vs $902M consensus (miss). Management cut FY25 outlook (comps flat to -1% from flat to +2%; adj op margin 8.0–8.5% from 8.5–9.0%), citing macro headwinds and FX . Consensus values marked with asterisks below (S&P Global).
- Cash generation intact; buyback extended: Q2 operating FCF $32M; $36M debt repaid; $10M buybacks; board extended repurchase program four years with ~$501M remaining authorization .
- Catalysts ahead: marketplace/e-commerce expansion (Uber Eats launch), LCOD adoption, and innovation (K18 at BSG) to support H2; Q3 guide: comps flat to -2%, adj op margin 8.0–8.5% .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Margin execution: gross margin expanded to 52.0% (+100 bps) on lower freight/distribution costs and shrink; adjusted operating margin 8.5% (+90 bps) with tight SG&A control .
- Digital/e-comm traction: e-commerce $94M (10.7% of sales); marketplaces broadened (DoorDash, Instacart, Amazon, Walmart, and Uber Eats), supporting Sally U.S./Canada e-comm +29% YoY in Q2; LCOD consultations >4,500/week .
- Capital allocation: $36M term loan repayment; $10M repurchases; net debt leverage ~1.8x; repurchase authorization extended to 2029 with ~$501M remaining .
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What Went Wrong
- Top-line softness: net sales -2.8% YoY; comps -1.3% on weather, flu, wildfires and macro uncertainty; BSG comps -2.7%, average ticket -6% despite higher transactions .
- Guidance cut: FY25 comps now flat to -1% (from flat to +2%); adj operating margin 8.0–8.5% (from 8.5–9.0%); Q3 comps flat to -2% .
- Category mix: care declined in both segments (Sally care -8%; BSG care -5%) offsetting color strength; FX headwinds (110 bps to total company sales) .
Management quotes:
- “We are pleased to report a third consecutive quarter of adjusted operating margin expansion and increased profitability… amidst a challenging macro backdrop.” — CEO Denise Paulonis .
- “Our exposure to incremental tariffs is limited to about 20% of cost of goods… we expect limited to no COGS impact in FY25.” — CFO Marlo Cormier .
Financial Results
Recent quarters (oldest → newest)
Q2 2025 vs consensus and prior periods
- Non-GAAP adjustments: adjusted EPS/operating margin exclude Fuel for Growth/severance, HQ relocation/sale items, asset impairments, restructuring, and debt extinguishment costs; reconciliations provided in exhibits .
- Discrepancy note: press release cites net debt leverage ~1.8x; the call transcript mentions “11.8x” which is almost certainly a transcription error; rely on press release/8-K figure .
Segment breakdown (Q2 2025)
Selected KPIs (Q2 2025)
Guidance Changes
Management noted limited to no FY25 tariff impact to COGS given inventory position; mitigation levers include vendor cost sharing, selective pricing, and sourcing diversification .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic pillars: enhance customer centricity, grow high-margin owned brands, amplify innovation, improve operational efficiency .
- Digital/marketplaces: “Our marketplace strategy is enabling us to meet our Sally customers where they are… We are excited to announce the expansion… with the strategic addition of Uber Eats.” .
- Cost/COGS: “Exposure to incremental tariffs is limited to approximately 20% of our cost of goods… we expect limited to no cost of goods impact in fiscal year 2025.” .
- Fuel for Growth: On track for ~$70M cumulative benefits by year-end; $20M pretax benefits delivered in 1H FY25; $45M full-year FY25 savings targeted .
- Consumer/macro: Q2 softness tied to weather/flu/macro; improving BSG trends into Q3; cautious on consumer .
Q&A Highlights
- Segment dynamics: Sally comps -0.3% with color strength offset by care decline; BSG comps -2.7% driven by flu/macro; BSG trends improved into April .
- E-commerce outlook: Penetration ~11% and expected to grow with marketplace and personalization initiatives .
- Store refresh & Happy Beauty: Early positive response; >30 stores refreshed by FY-end; Happy Beauty leaning into mall locations, indie/K-beauty, fragrance with refined marketing .
- Tariffs: No meaningful FY25 impact; mitigation levers include vendor sharing, selective pricing, and sourcing shifts .
- Guidance clarifications: FY25 lowered to reflect macro; Q3 comps flat to -2%, adj op margin 8.0–8.5%; planned $20M buybacks and $20M debt repayment in Q3 .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025: Adjusted EPS $0.42 vs $0.393 consensus (beat); Revenue $883M vs $902M consensus (miss). Q1 EPS was in line; Q1 revenue slightly below; Q3 consensus ahead of report was EPS $0.42 and revenue $929.3M. Values with asterisks from S&P Global.
Disclaimer: Values marked with an asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Implications: Estimate revisions likely include trimming FY25 sales growth and margin assumptions (to 8.0–8.5% adj op margin), while raising near-term EPS modestly given Q2 beat but lowering revenue tracks due to macro and FX .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Quality of earnings intact: margin expansion and cost discipline offset macro softness; FCF generation remains robust, enabling deleveraging and buybacks .
- Near-term sales risk: comps pressure and FX headwinds weighed on revenue; FY25 guide reset de-risks H2 trajectory .
- Structural drivers: color-led mix, own brands, marketplace/e-comm expansion (incl. Uber Eats), and LCOD scaling support medium-term growth and profitability .
- Tariff overhang manageable: limited exposure (~20% of COGS) and playbook from prior cycle; minimal FY25 impact expected .
- Watch H2 execution: K18 rollout at BSG, Sally brand refresh/store tests, and Happy Beauty refinement; monitor care category trends and ticket recovery .
- Capital returns optionality: ~$501M remaining authorization through 2029 plus low-2x or below leverage offers support; Q3 planned ~$20M buybacks .
- Trading lens: Stock likely trades on guidance reset vs EPS beat; catalysts include improving BSG trends, incremental marketplace penetration, and sustained gross margin strength .
Appendix: Additional Details and Reconciliations
- Non-GAAP definitions and reconciliations (Adjusted EPS, Adjusted Operating Margin, Adjusted EBITDA, Operating FCF) are provided in the company’s exhibits .
- Segment operating/gross margin and comps provided in schedules .
- Board authorization extension through Sep 30, 2029 with ~$501.1M remaining under the initial 2017 authorization .