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SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 net sales rose 4% to $939.4M as acquisitions (+$45.1M) offset a 1% Organic Daily Sales decline; adjusted EBITDA increased 6% to $22.4M while gross margin contracted 30 bps to 33.0% due to lower price realization and higher freight .
- Management raised 2025 pricing outlook to flat to up ~1% (vs flat/down in Q4 guidance) on tariff-driven supplier increases, but now expects full-year gross margin to be “similar to 2024,” tempering prior optimism; adjusted EBITDA guidance maintained at $400–$430M .
- Q1 missed year-ago EPS (GAAP diluted -$0.61 vs -$0.43) on higher SG&A tied to acquisitions; base business SG&A fell 3% (adjusted), and initiatives like DispatchTrack and focused branch actions drove SG&A leverage .
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) was modestly outperformed: revenue beat ($939.4M vs $933.9M*) and Primary EPS (normalized) beat (-$0.33 vs -$0.44*); adjusted EBITDA beat ($22.4M vs $19.8M*) on acquisitions and cost controls, despite gross margin pressure . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
- Near-term stock catalysts: tariff pass-through turning price deflation to neutral/slight tailwind, continued SG&A leverage, and improving volume into April; risks include elevated freight, softer repair/upgrade demand, and tariff uncertainty on end markets .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Adjusted EBITDA grew 6% to $22.4M and margin expanded 10 bps to 2.4%, reflecting SG&A leverage and acquisitions, despite pricing headwinds .
- Cost actions: base business SG&A decreased ~3% (adjusted) and focused branches/Pioneer restructuring showed early benefits; management expects sustained SG&A leverage through 2025 .
- Commercial execution: digital sales +140% YoY, private label brands grew ~30%, expanding small customer penetration and productivity gains via CRM .
Management quotes:
- “We are pleased to report a solid start to 2025, with total sales growth of 4% and Adjusted EBITDA growth of 6%.” — Doug Black .
- “We expect to achieve solid SG&A leverage on an adjusted basis in 2025, even with modest organic growth.” — Doug Black .
- “Customers who are engaged with us digitally grew significantly faster… We grew our Digital sales by 140% in the first quarter.” — Doug Black .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP diluted EPS deteriorated to -$0.61 (vs -$0.43 LY) on higher SG&A mix from acquisitions and lower price realization; gross margin fell 30 bps to 33.0% .
- Organic Daily Sales declined 1% on colder weather (later spring), commodity deflation (PVC ~-21%, grass seed ~-10%), and soft repair/upgrade demand .
- Freight costs elevated and inventory pre-buys ahead of tariffs pressured cash from operations (-$129.6M vs -$99.3M LY) and raised net debt to ~$580M (1.5x TTM adj. EBITDA) .
Financial Results
Core financials vs prior periods
Note: Q1 2024 gross margin percent is inferred from the Q1 highlights stating contraction to 33.0% in Q1 2025 from prior-year; table above uses 33.3% as referenced in Q4/Q1 disclosures .
Actual vs S&P Global consensus (Q1 2025)
Values retrieved from S&P Global*. GAAP diluted EPS was -$0.61 .
Segment/product indicators
KPIs and balance sheet
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic posture: “We remain confident in our ability to navigate the current market conditions… and deliver superior value… through organic growth, acquisition growth and Adjusted EBITDA margin expansion.” — Doug Black .
- Pricing/tariffs: “We currently expect prices to be flat to up 1% for the full year 2025… an increase from our beginning of the year outlook.” — Doug Black .
- Gross margin cadence: “Most of the improvement this year… will come on the SG&A leverage line… gross margin… steady for the full year.” — John Guthrie .
- SG&A initiatives: “We consolidated or closed 22 locations in 2024… we expect meaningful adjusted EBITDA margin lift… as we improve the performance of these branches.” — Doug Black .
- Digital/commercial: “We grew our Digital sales by 140%… customers engaged with us digitally grew significantly faster than those who are not.” — Doug Black .
Q&A Highlights
- DispatchTrack & focused branches: Delivery expense reduction underway via central dispatch; SG&A savings from Pioneer and focused branches already visible in base SG&A (-3% adjusted) .
- Tariffs mechanics: Direct importing <1–2%; most impact via suppliers (Mexico/China); price increases mostly single-digit and targeted by line; plan to pass through pricing with normal margins .
- Q2 trajectory: April positive; low single-digit organic growth feasible; Q2 price likely ~-1% to flat before more tariff-driven increases in 2H .
- Gross margin puts/takes: Pass-through pricing positive, but freight pressures and early purchases weigh; full-year gross margin now “similar” to 2024 .
- Capital allocation: Preference to invest in M&A/growth first; buybacks opportunistic when excess capital exists and valuation attractive .
Estimates Context
- Revenue: Beat consensus ($939.4M vs $933.9M*) driven by acquisitions (+$45.1M), offsetting softer organic demand and pricing . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
- EPS: S&P “Primary EPS (normalized)” beat (-$0.33 vs -$0.44*), while GAAP diluted EPS was -$0.61 due to higher SG&A and lower price realization; note non-GAAP/normalization differences . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
- EBITDA: Adjusted EBITDA beat ($22.4M vs $19.8M*) as SG&A leverage and acquisitions mitigated gross margin pressure . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
- Implication: Consensus likely to adjust up modestly on pricing outlook (flat to +1%), SG&A leverage, and early Q2 demand indicators, but gross margin expectations for FY likely recalibrated to “similar to 2024” (vs prior “up”).
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Pricing headwinds easing: Supplier tariff pass-through shifts 2025 pricing outlook to neutral/slight tailwind; expect sequential price improvement through 2H, supporting low single-digit organic growth .
- SG&A leverage is the earnings driver in 2025: Focused branch/Pioneer actions and delivery optimization (DispatchTrack) underpin margin expansion even with modest volume .
- Gross margin conservatism warranted: Elevated freight and mix effects offset acquisition contributions; full-year GM guided “similar to 2024,” tempering prior optimism .
- Acquisition cadence moderating near term: Pipeline robust, but 2025 acquired revenue may be lighter; organic initiatives and private label/digital should carry growth .
- Balance sheet/liquidity adequate for strategy: Net debt 1.5x TTM adj. EBITDA with $524M liquidity (cash + ABL) supports inventory pre-buys and M&A optionality .
- Near-term setup: April momentum and Q2 low single-digit organic growth potential vs lingering R&R softness; watch tariff developments, freight costs, and Q2 pricing implementation .
- Medium-term thesis: Return to double-digit adjusted EBITDA margins over multi-years via SG&A leverage, focused branch turnaround, private label expansion, and digital adoption; management confidence reiterated .
Appendix: Additional Document Citations
- Q1 2025 8-K and Exhibit 99.1 press release: key financials, outlook, balance sheet .
- Q1 2025 earnings call transcript: operational detail, pricing/tariffs, SG&A initiatives, Q2 trajectory .
- Q4 2024 press release/call: prior guidance, seasonality, closures, tax rate .
- Q3 2024 call: baseline trends in deflation, segment growth, digital initiatives .