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SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 net sales rose 4% to $939.4M as acquisitions (+$45.1M) offset a 1% Organic Daily Sales decline; adjusted EBITDA increased 6% to $22.4M while gross margin contracted 30 bps to 33.0% due to lower price realization and higher freight .
  • Management raised 2025 pricing outlook to flat to up ~1% (vs flat/down in Q4 guidance) on tariff-driven supplier increases, but now expects full-year gross margin to be “similar to 2024,” tempering prior optimism; adjusted EBITDA guidance maintained at $400–$430M .
  • Q1 missed year-ago EPS (GAAP diluted -$0.61 vs -$0.43) on higher SG&A tied to acquisitions; base business SG&A fell 3% (adjusted), and initiatives like DispatchTrack and focused branch actions drove SG&A leverage .
  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) was modestly outperformed: revenue beat ($939.4M vs $933.9M*) and Primary EPS (normalized) beat (-$0.33 vs -$0.44*); adjusted EBITDA beat ($22.4M vs $19.8M*) on acquisitions and cost controls, despite gross margin pressure . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
  • Near-term stock catalysts: tariff pass-through turning price deflation to neutral/slight tailwind, continued SG&A leverage, and improving volume into April; risks include elevated freight, softer repair/upgrade demand, and tariff uncertainty on end markets .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Adjusted EBITDA grew 6% to $22.4M and margin expanded 10 bps to 2.4%, reflecting SG&A leverage and acquisitions, despite pricing headwinds .
  • Cost actions: base business SG&A decreased ~3% (adjusted) and focused branches/Pioneer restructuring showed early benefits; management expects sustained SG&A leverage through 2025 .
  • Commercial execution: digital sales +140% YoY, private label brands grew ~30%, expanding small customer penetration and productivity gains via CRM .

Management quotes:

  • “We are pleased to report a solid start to 2025, with total sales growth of 4% and Adjusted EBITDA growth of 6%.” — Doug Black .
  • “We expect to achieve solid SG&A leverage on an adjusted basis in 2025, even with modest organic growth.” — Doug Black .
  • “Customers who are engaged with us digitally grew significantly faster… We grew our Digital sales by 140% in the first quarter.” — Doug Black .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP diluted EPS deteriorated to -$0.61 (vs -$0.43 LY) on higher SG&A mix from acquisitions and lower price realization; gross margin fell 30 bps to 33.0% .
  • Organic Daily Sales declined 1% on colder weather (later spring), commodity deflation (PVC ~-21%, grass seed ~-10%), and soft repair/upgrade demand .
  • Freight costs elevated and inventory pre-buys ahead of tariffs pressured cash from operations (-$129.6M vs -$99.3M LY) and raised net debt to ~$580M (1.5x TTM adj. EBITDA) .

Financial Results

Core financials vs prior periods

MetricQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$904.8 $1,013.1 $939.4
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)-0.43 -0.48 -0.61
Gross Margin (%)33.3% 33.3% 33.0%
SG&A as % of Sales (%)36.2% 36.0% 36.5%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$21.1 $31.8 $22.4
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)2.3% 3.1% 2.4%

Note: Q1 2024 gross margin percent is inferred from the Q1 highlights stating contraction to 33.0% in Q1 2025 from prior-year; table above uses 33.3% as referenced in Q4/Q1 disclosures .

Actual vs S&P Global consensus (Q1 2025)

MetricActualConsensusSurprise
Revenue ($USD Millions)$939.4 $933.9*+$5.5M*
Primary EPS (Normalized) ($)-0.33*-0.44*+$0.11*
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$22.4 $19.8*+$2.6M*

Values retrieved from S&P Global*. GAAP diluted EPS was -$0.61 .

Segment/product indicators

CategoryQ3 2024 YoYQ4 2024 YoYQ1 2025 YoY
Agronomic products (fertilizer, controls, equipment)+2% +6% +7%
Landscaping products (irrigation, nursery, hardscapes, lighting, accessories)-2% -1% -4%

KPIs and balance sheet

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Selling Days63 61 64
Organic Daily Sales ($ per selling day)$17.3 $15.0 $14.0
Acquisition Sales Contribution ($USD Millions)$77 $43 $45.1
Cash from Operations ($USD Millions)$116 (Q3) $119.4 (Q4) -$129.6 (Q1)
Net Debt ($USD Millions)~$449 $411.7 $580.4
Net Debt / TTM Adjusted EBITDA (x)1.2x 1.1x 1.5x
Liquidity: Cash ($USD Millions)$86 (Q3 cash) $107.1 $56.6
Liquidity: ABL Availability ($USD Millions)$561 (Q3 availability) $581.2 $467.7

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Q4 2024)Current Guidance (Q1 2025)Change
Pricing outlookFY 2025Flat to down ~1% Flat to up ~1% (tariff pass-through) Raised
Gross marginFY 2025Higher than 2024 Similar to 2024 Lowered
Organic Daily SalesFY 2025Low single-digit growth Low single-digit growth; volume positive; April trending positive Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA ($)FY 2025$400–$430M $400–$430M (excl. unannounced M&A) Maintained
Tax rate (effective)FY 202525%–26% (ex-discrete) 25%–26% (ex-discrete) Maintained
Acquired revenue cadenceFY 2025Robust pipeline “Lighter than normal” acquired revenue in 2025 given macro Lower cadence
Freight costsFY 2025Elevated near term Higher freight persists; some pre-buy impact in Q1 Maintained caution

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ3 2024 (Previous Mentions)Q4 2024 (Previous Mentions)Q1 2025 (Current Period)Trend
Pricing/deflationCommodity deflation sticky; PVC/grass down double digits; base GM -50 bps Deflation ~3%; expecting flat to down 1% in 2025 Price down 1%; outlook raised to flat/up 1% on tariffs; PVC ~-21%, grass ~-10% Improving (neutral to slight tailwind)
Gross margin outlookSlight down near term; acquisitions help but SG&A higher Slight improvement expected in 2025 Now “similar to 2024”; freight higher; tariff-driven inventory timing Tempered
SG&A leverage & focused branchesPlan for closures; Pioneer integration; SG&A discipline Heavy SG&A actions; closures cost $4.5M; leverage expected in 2025 Base SG&A -3% adjusted; DispatchTrack and branch focus showing progress Positive
Digital & private labelDigital +170% YTD; small customer penetration CRM rollout; cadence improving Digital +140%; private label +30%; stronger small customer gains Strengthening
Tariffs & supply chainTariffs not in guidance; pass-through expected Direct import <1–2%; majority indirect; supplier increases single-digit; categories: irrigation, lighting, drainage New headwind but manageable
End marketsR&R down high single digit; maintenance steady 2025: flat to slightly down overall; maintenance steady 2025: flat to slightly down; maintenance solid; R&R soft; builders mixed Stable/soft
Inventory managementWorking capital improved; refinancing Year-end working capital ~$909M Pre-buys ahead of tariffs; higher inventory; selective categories Elevated near term
M&A cadenceRobust pipeline; Pioneer dilution near term 7 deals in 2024; 1 in Jan 2025 2 YTD (incl. Green Trade); acquired revenue may be lighter in 2025 Moderating in 2025

Management Commentary

  • Strategic posture: “We remain confident in our ability to navigate the current market conditions… and deliver superior value… through organic growth, acquisition growth and Adjusted EBITDA margin expansion.” — Doug Black .
  • Pricing/tariffs: “We currently expect prices to be flat to up 1% for the full year 2025… an increase from our beginning of the year outlook.” — Doug Black .
  • Gross margin cadence: “Most of the improvement this year… will come on the SG&A leverage line… gross margin… steady for the full year.” — John Guthrie .
  • SG&A initiatives: “We consolidated or closed 22 locations in 2024… we expect meaningful adjusted EBITDA margin lift… as we improve the performance of these branches.” — Doug Black .
  • Digital/commercial: “We grew our Digital sales by 140%… customers engaged with us digitally grew significantly faster than those who are not.” — Doug Black .

Q&A Highlights

  • DispatchTrack & focused branches: Delivery expense reduction underway via central dispatch; SG&A savings from Pioneer and focused branches already visible in base SG&A (-3% adjusted) .
  • Tariffs mechanics: Direct importing <1–2%; most impact via suppliers (Mexico/China); price increases mostly single-digit and targeted by line; plan to pass through pricing with normal margins .
  • Q2 trajectory: April positive; low single-digit organic growth feasible; Q2 price likely ~-1% to flat before more tariff-driven increases in 2H .
  • Gross margin puts/takes: Pass-through pricing positive, but freight pressures and early purchases weigh; full-year gross margin now “similar” to 2024 .
  • Capital allocation: Preference to invest in M&A/growth first; buybacks opportunistic when excess capital exists and valuation attractive .

Estimates Context

  • Revenue: Beat consensus ($939.4M vs $933.9M*) driven by acquisitions (+$45.1M), offsetting softer organic demand and pricing . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
  • EPS: S&P “Primary EPS (normalized)” beat (-$0.33 vs -$0.44*), while GAAP diluted EPS was -$0.61 due to higher SG&A and lower price realization; note non-GAAP/normalization differences . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
  • EBITDA: Adjusted EBITDA beat ($22.4M vs $19.8M*) as SG&A leverage and acquisitions mitigated gross margin pressure . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
  • Implication: Consensus likely to adjust up modestly on pricing outlook (flat to +1%), SG&A leverage, and early Q2 demand indicators, but gross margin expectations for FY likely recalibrated to “similar to 2024” (vs prior “up”).

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Pricing headwinds easing: Supplier tariff pass-through shifts 2025 pricing outlook to neutral/slight tailwind; expect sequential price improvement through 2H, supporting low single-digit organic growth .
  • SG&A leverage is the earnings driver in 2025: Focused branch/Pioneer actions and delivery optimization (DispatchTrack) underpin margin expansion even with modest volume .
  • Gross margin conservatism warranted: Elevated freight and mix effects offset acquisition contributions; full-year GM guided “similar to 2024,” tempering prior optimism .
  • Acquisition cadence moderating near term: Pipeline robust, but 2025 acquired revenue may be lighter; organic initiatives and private label/digital should carry growth .
  • Balance sheet/liquidity adequate for strategy: Net debt 1.5x TTM adj. EBITDA with $524M liquidity (cash + ABL) supports inventory pre-buys and M&A optionality .
  • Near-term setup: April momentum and Q2 low single-digit organic growth potential vs lingering R&R softness; watch tariff developments, freight costs, and Q2 pricing implementation .
  • Medium-term thesis: Return to double-digit adjusted EBITDA margins over multi-years via SG&A leverage, focused branch turnaround, private label expansion, and digital adoption; management confidence reiterated .

Appendix: Additional Document Citations

  • Q1 2025 8-K and Exhibit 99.1 press release: key financials, outlook, balance sheet .
  • Q1 2025 earnings call transcript: operational detail, pricing/tariffs, SG&A initiatives, Q2 trajectory .
  • Q4 2024 press release/call: prior guidance, seasonality, closures, tax rate .
  • Q3 2024 call: baseline trends in deflation, segment growth, digital initiatives .