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SL GREEN REALTY CORP (SLG) Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 headline: Revenue and EBITDA materially beat Street, while GAAP EPS was roughly in line/slightly below SPGI “Primary EPS” consensus; company-reported diluted EPS was -$0.30 vs -$0.386 SPGI “actual” used in consensus tracking . Revenue beat was driven by higher rental revenue, other income, and investment income, plus contributions from consolidated securitization vehicles . Revenue/EBITDA beats vs SPGI: $241.0m vs $157.7m; $124.8m vs $67.4m, respectively (SPGI)*.
  • Operating momentum: 45 Manhattan office leases (602k sf) with minimal concessions drift; same‑store cash NOI +2.4% YoY ex‑termination; Manhattan same‑store occupancy 91.8% and on track to 93.2% YE25 .
  • Balance sheet/credit platforms: DPE portfolio carrying value $537.6m (7.5% current yield; 8.7% ex non‑accrual) and special servicing active assignments $4.8b with $10.9b designated; management sees robust CMBS/balance sheet lending activity and expects upward bias to guidance if pipeline closes .
  • Likely stock reaction catalysts: visible estimate revisions from revenue/EBITDA beats; execution on $1B dispositions, 2.0m sf leasing goal, and occupancy glide path to 93.2%; continued ramp of debt fund/special servicing; 500 Park yield rising to ~7.2% shortly after acquisition .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • “The company’s earnings for the quarter exceeded the Street’s expectations and our own internal projections by a significant margin,” with NOI and leasing ahead, and strong profits from debt-related businesses .
    • Revenue mix strength: Rental revenue, other income, and investment income all rose YoY; total revenue $239.8m vs $187.9m YoY (+27.7%) .
    • Strategic momentum: 45 office leases (602k sf), +2.4% same-store cash NOI ex-LTI, Manhattan occupancy 91.8%, pipeline >1.1m sf; YE25 occupancy guide 93.2% . Management emphasized active CMBS/balance-sheet markets and expects upward bias to guidance if pipeline closes .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Mark-to-market on replacement leases -3.1% this quarter, reflecting mix/price points; occupancy ticked down vs Q4 (91.8% vs 92.4%) as buildouts and timing lag economic occupancy .
    • GAAP EPS printed a loss (-$0.30); YoY compares include lapping large 2024 JV gain/debt extinguishment items that inflated prior-year FFO/share .
    • Macro headwinds (tariffs/market volatility) create uncertainty; management has not seen a slowdown yet, but cautioned timing is unknown .

Financial Results

Quarterly comparisons vs prior year, prior quarter, and estimates:

MetricQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Total Revenues ($USD Millions)$187.9 $245.9 $239.8
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$0.20 $0.13 $(0.30)
FFO/share (Diluted)$3.07 $1.81 $1.40
Net Income Margin %9.8% (18.4/187.9) 7.8% (19.1/245.9) -9.0% (-21.5/239.8)
Same-store Cash NOI ex-LTI YoY(2.7%) +2.4%

Estimate comparison (SPGI basis):

  • Revenue: Consensus $157.7m*, Actual $241.0m* (Company reported $239.8m) → Beat
  • EBITDA: Consensus $67.4m*, Actual $124.8m* → Beat
  • Primary EPS: Consensus -$0.379*, Actual -$0.386* (Company reported diluted EPS -$0.30) → Slight miss on SPGI “Primary EPS” basis

Segment/portfolio operating income (selected):

  • Property NOI incl. SLG share of unconsolidated JVs: Q1 2024 $176.6m; Q4 2024 $209.2m; Q1 2025 $186.6m .
  • Manhattan operating property NOI (consolidated): Q1 2024 $66.6m; Q4 2024 $74.2m; Q1 2025 $70.6m .

KPIs

KPIQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Manhattan leases signed (count / sf)48 / 1,790k 45 / 602k
Replacement lease M-T-M %+9.0% (3.1%)
Manhattan same-store occupancy (incl. SBC)88.4% 92.4% 91.8%
Active leasing pipeline~1.1m sf ~0.9m sf (pipeline refilled) >1.1m sf
Same-store cash NOI ex-LTI YoY(2.7%) +2.4%
DPE portfolio carrying value$352.3m $518.4m $537.6m
DPE weighted avg yield7.4% 7.3% 7.5% (8.7% ex non‑accrual)
Special servicing – active / designated$5.0b / $6.8b $5.0b / $8.2b $4.8b / $10.9b
SUMMIT Operator revenue$25.6m $38.6m $22.5m
Dividend (common)$0.25/mth $0.2575/mth $0.2575/mth; $3.09 annualized

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent Guidance/StatusChange
Manhattan same-store occupancy (incl. SBC)YE 2025n/a93.2% target New
Leasing volumeFY 2025n/a≥2.0m sf goal; “living budget…in excess of 2 million feet” New
DispositionsFY 2025~$1.0b (objective) On track Maintained
DividendOngoing$0.2575/mth as of Jan 2025 $0.2575/mth reaffirmed Apr 17, 2025 Maintained
FFO frameworkFY 2025Range set in Dec; not updated on Q1 call“Upward bias” possible if pipeline closes; revisit next quarter Qualitative upward bias

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ3 2024 (Prior-2)Q4 2024 (Prior-1)Q1 2025 (Current)Trend
Demand/RTWDeclared pivot; strong trophy/Class A demand; occupancy path to 92.5% YE24 3.6m sf FY24; YE24 92.5% leased; 2025 to >93% 91.8% now; YE25 93.2%; pipeline >1.1m sf; 45 leases in Q1 Improving; expansion into value submarkets
AI/TAMITAMI searches doubled YoY (~6–7m sf); early OMA demand Tech demand improving; IBM OMA expansion TAMI/AI names in pipeline; OMA large prospecting Strengthening
Tariffs/macroN/AN/ANo slowdown seen post-tariff headlines; pipeline net +2 tenants; cautious optimism Watching; no impact so far
Capital marketsSASB back; spreads compressing Lenders “are back”; major deals (Spiral; 299/200 Park) CMBS YTD $6.9b NYC; active marquee refis coming Improving liquidity
DPE & special servicingRelaunch DPE; seed debt fund; special servicing pipeline Fund anchor closed; fees ahead plan; YE24 $5.0b active/$8.2b designated DPE book $537.6m (7.5%); special servicing $4.8b active/$10.9b designated Scaling
Office-to-resi25–40m sf potential over 5–7 years Continued progress, conversions tightening supply Multiple Third Ave projects; supports tightening Structural supply tailwind
DevelopmentOne Madison buildout complete; interest growing Seeking new Midtown site; long-term view Still committed; pipeline design work; no pause Strategic priority
SUMMIT~6m visitors; expansion to Paris announced Record year; strong 4Q performance #1 attended experience in Q1; Paris timeline Q1’27 opening Durable cash/brand asset

Management Commentary

  • “The company’s earnings for the quarter exceeded the Street’s expectations and our own internal projections by a significant margin.” — Marc Holliday
  • “I do expect that our debt-related businesses will account for increasing profits… we are already at the higher end of our guidance range, a range where we will reassess next quarter, with an upward bias if we are successful in closing all of the business now in front of us.” — Marc Holliday
  • “We haven’t seen a slowdown yet… we had 62 tenants in the pipeline versus today… 64… we haven’t seen any pullback.” — Steven Durels on tariffs/macro
  • “Looking at the CMBS data, 2025 YTD, we’ve seen $6.9 billion of New York City office CMBS completed… versus 0 in 2023 and $300 million in 2024.” — Harrison Sitomer
  • “We feel pretty good about 2 million [sf of leasing in 2025]… and by year-end we could eclipse that 2 million feet.” — Marc Holliday

Q&A Highlights

  • Estimates/Guidance: Management comfortable with downside given termed-out, hedged debt; upside “bias” tied to investment/leasing execution, typically reassessed mid-year .
  • Dispositions plan: $1B target “on track,” citing prior $9B gross sales since COVID at 4.3% blended cap .
  • Leasing & pipeline: No slowdown post-tariffs; 64 active tenants, with many expansions; submarket strength on Park and Sixth Ave likely to push face rents; concessions stable to tightening .
  • 500 Park Avenue: Acquired at ~6.8% cap; immediate leasing brought asset to 100% occupancy; current yield ~7.2%; $20m+ upgrade to elevate rents further .
  • Casino license timeline: Environmental review underway; license submission targeted June 27; local approvals by end of September; aim for year-end award .

Estimates Context

  • Revenue: Consensus $157.7m*, Actual $241.0m* (Company-reported $239.8m) → Beat .
  • EBITDA: Consensus $67.4m*, Actual $124.8m* → Beat.
  • Primary EPS: Consensus -$0.379*, Actual -$0.386* (Company-reported diluted EPS -$0.30) → Slight miss on SPGI “Primary EPS” basis .
  • Estimate counts: EPS (3), Revenue (6).

Note: SPGI “actuals” can differ from company-reported figures due to methodology; we cite company-reported diluted EPS (-$0.30) and revenues ($239.8m) separately where relevant .
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Operational momentum intact: Leasing velocity, pipeline quality, and occupancy trajectory (to 93.2% YE25) support stable-to-improving property cash flows despite a modest negative M‑T‑M this quarter .
  • Upside optionality from credit platforms: DPE earnings and special servicing are scaling into a friendlier credit environment; management sees these as durable contributors .
  • Capital markets tailwinds: Rapid reopening of NYC office CMBS and active balance-sheet lenders increase confidence in executing dispositions/refis/JV recaps .
  • Estimate revisions likely: Material revenue/EBITDA beats vs consensus should prompt upward models; EPS optics are muddied by GAAP vs SPGI methodology and non-cash items .
  • 2025 execution watch items: $1B dispositions, ≥2.0m sf leasing, OMA and Park/Sixth rent push with tightening concessions, and 500 Park ROI uplift .
  • Structural supply reduction: Office-to-resi conversions and scarce new supply reinforce medium-term rent/occupancy recovery in SLG’s Midtown footprint .
  • Potential catalysts next quarter: Guidance reassessment (“upward bias”) contingent on executing the current pipeline across equity, debt, and fee-oriented initiatives .

Appendix: Source Documents

  • Q1 2025 8‑K/press release, financials, supplemental package .
  • Q1 2025 earnings call transcript (full) .
  • Q4 2024 press release and call transcript .
  • Q3 2024 press release and call transcript .
  • Dividend press release (Apr 17, 2025) .
  • SPGI consensus and actuals (Q1 2025): Revenue, EBITDA, Primary EPS, estimate counts (see asterisked items in Estimates Context). *Values retrieved from S&P Global.

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