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StoneX Group Inc. (SNEX)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 FY25 delivered resilient results: operating revenues $1.024B (+12% YoY), net operating revenues $488.3M (+4% YoY), net income $63.4M (+2% YoY), and diluted EPS $1.22 (-2% YoY), with EPS reduced by ~$0.12 from $8.9M acquisition-related charges (bridge financing $6.5M, professional fees $2.4M) .
  • Mix shift favored Institutional (record net operating revenues and segment income) led by equities; Self-Directed/Retail was strong. Commercial lagged on diminished commodity volatility, tariff uncertainty, and higher metals-related interest costs .
  • Strategic catalysts: closed R.J. O’Brien (RJO) on 7/31 (largest non-bank FCM; $766M revenue/$170M EBITDA in 2024; targeted ~$50M expense saves and ≥$50M capital synergies; ~+$6B client float; EPS/ROE accretive) and closed The Benchmark Company (investment banking/equity research) on 7/31–8/5 .
  • On S&P Global “Primary EPS” basis, Q3 EPS was above consensus (1.45 actual vs 1.39 est, +$0.06); Street revenue consensus not meaningful for gross “total revenues” at SNEX. Expect estimate revisions to reflect Institutional outperformance and Commercial headwinds (S&P Global data)*.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Record Institutional performance: net operating revenues $200.1M (+27% YoY) and segment income $87.4M (+41% YoY), driven by securities (net operating revenues $119.8M, +48% YoY; RPM +15% YoY) and elevated ADV (+25% YoY) .
    • Self-Directed/Retail scaling: net operating revenues $80.6M (+18% YoY) and segment income $41.2M (+49% YoY), with FX/CFD ADV up 34% YoY (RPM stable to slightly down), showcasing operating leverage .
    • Strategic expansion closed: “This is a proud moment… positions [StoneX] as the counterparty of choice” (RJO); Benchmark broadens capital markets capabilities and distribution .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Commercial softness: net operating revenues -24% YoY to $168.3M, with physical contracts -40% YoY and listed/OTC pressure (lower ag volatility; tariff uncertainty disrupted cross-border physical flows) .
    • EPS impact from deals financing: $8.9M acquisition costs cut diluted EPS by ~$0.12 in the quarter .
    • Overhead and professional fees rose: overhead costs +9% YoY; professional fees within overhead +38% YoY, reflecting integration/activity levels .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Operating Revenues ($USD Millions)$944.3 $956.0 $1,024.3
Net Operating Revenues ($USD Millions)$492.1 $487.3 $488.3
Net Income ($USD Millions)$85.1 $71.7 $63.4
Diluted EPS ($)$2.54 $1.41 $1.22
ROE (%)19.5% 15.7% 13.1%

Segment operating revenues (YoY and sequential context)

Segment Operating Revenues ($M)Q3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Commercial262.2 248.6 225.8
Institutional508.9 561.2 626.0
Self-Directed/Retail96.2 93.4 114.2
Payments51.1 50.3 53.3
Corporate8.3 16.7 15.7
Eliminations(13.0) (14.2) (10.7)
Total Operating Revenues913.7 956.0 1,024.3

Net operating revenues by product

Net Operating Revenues ($M)Q3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Listed Derivatives65.3 60.3 56.9
OTC Derivatives66.2 60.2 58.8
Securities86.2 120.8 125.5
FX/CFD Contracts67.6 62.5 77.4
Payments47.5 46.5 49.1
Physical Contracts55.8 48.6 33.3
Interest, net / Fees on Client Balances86.4 74.5 73.9
Other20.4 22.5 24.3
Corporate(26.9) (8.6) (10.9)
Total468.5 487.3 488.3

Key KPIs and operating metrics

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Securities ADV (millions)$8,733 $8,915 $9,219
Securities RPM$237 $279 $276
FX/CFD ADV (millions)$11,685 $11,539 $12,190
FX/CFD RPM$133 $97 $111
Listed Derivatives Contracts (000s)53,180 61,153 56,759
Listed Derivatives RPC$2.03 $2.02 $2.13
Payments ADV (millions)$84 $77 $80
Payments RPM$10,414 $10,526 $10,614
Avg Money Market/FDIC Sweep Balances (millions)$1,197 $1,283 $1,208

Guidance Changes

StoneX did not issue formal quantitative revenue/EPS margin guidance; management discussed acquisition accretion and synergy timing/targets.

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RJO deal accretionStarting Q4 FY25N/A“Materially accretive” to EPS and ROE; enhances margins New
RJO expense synergiesIntegration windowN/ATarget ~$50M expense savings; ~40–45% of synergies (International) in 3–6 months; US in 9–12 months New
RJO capital synergiesIntegration windowN/A≥$50M capital synergies via consolidation New
Client float upliftOngoingN/A~+$6B client float from RJO New
Benchmark contributionOngoingN/AAccretive; integrated into Institutional/Securities; small single-digit $M near term New
Interest-rate sensitivityAnnualizedPrior framework±100 bps ≈ ±$27M net income or ~$0.54/share annualized Maintained
Corporate funding/notesQ3–Q4 FY25N/ABridge fees $6.5M in Q3; issued Senior Secured Notes due 2032 on 7/8/25 New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ1 2025 (Dec-24 qtr)Q2 2025 (Mar-25 qtr)Q3 2025 (Jun-25 qtr)Trend
Macro/volatility vs ratesLow vol; strong client engagement Increased vol offset lower short rates Tariff uncertainty hurt Commercial physical; ag vol muted; lower short rates reduced client-fee income Volatility mixing positive; tariffs weigh on Commercial
Institutional EquitiesStrong securities growth; RPM lower YoY Securities +25% YoY; RPM +17% YoY Securities net op rev +48% YoY; ADV +25%; RPM +15%; record segment results Accelerating
RJO integrationLOI/announcement stage Definitive agreement; accretive expectations Closed 7/31; synergy phasing 3–6m (Intl), 9–12m (US); accretive to EPS/ROE Execution underway
Benchmark (IB/research)Announced 3/11 [27]PendingClosed 8/5; slots into Institutional/Securities Adds IB/research
Retail multi-asset roadmapNot highlightedNot highlightedRetail expansion to securities/listed derivatives starts late FY25/into FY26; phased rollout Product expansion
Custody/Clearing & Digital assetsNot highlightedNot highlightedHighlighted as core; Q4 launch of regulated digital custody/lending/collateral tools; >$60B client assets Strategic focus
Interest-rate sensitivityNot highlightedNot highlighted±100 bps ≈ ±$27M NI annualized Risk lever articulated
PaymentsRPM pressuredRPM -15% YoY; ADV +20% RPM -6% YoY; ADV +16% YoY; strategic BMG partnership (8/26) Stable; platform wins

Management Commentary

  • “Significant growth in our Institutional segment… and strong performance in Self-Directed/Retail… offset declines in our Commercial businesses due to diminished commodity volatility and tariff related uncertainty… $8.9 million in acquisition-related charges… reduced approximately $0.12 in diluted EPS” — Sean O’Connor .
  • “For the quarter net operating revenues increased 4% principally from securities (+$39.3M) and FX/CFDs (+$9.8M), partially offset by declines in physical contracts (-$22.5M), listed (-$8.4M) and OTC (-$7.4M). Interest/fee income on client balances decreased $12.5M.” — CFO Bill Dunaway .
  • “RJO… transformational… expected to be materially accretive… We issued 3.1M shares (+6% share count)… integration synergies: 3–6 months international; 9–12 months US.” — Sean O’Connor .
  • “In Q4, we will broaden our digital asset custody capabilities to include regulated custody for cryptocurrencies, tokenized securities, stablecoins, and real world assets” — Charles Lyon .

Q&A Highlights

  • Commercial weakness drivers: tariff uncertainty weighed on physical flows; OTC (ag) spread capture down amid muted ag volatility; added interest expense moving metals cross-border .
  • RJO revenue synergies: expected to be multiples of cost synergies over time, focused on cross-selling OTC/structured/physical/logistics to RJO’s commercial/IB clients and combining interest-rate hedging franchise with StoneX fixed income .
  • Retail roadmap: infrastructure rebuild completing toward late FY25; phased rollout of securities/listed derivatives for retail through FY26; futures derivatives already expanding .
  • Integration phasing: 40–45% of synergies (International) achievable in 3–6 months; US migration 9–12 months due to complexity and client touchpoints .
  • Banks in FCMs: no notable posture change or renewed push by large banks into these activities observed .

Estimates Context

  • EPS: On S&P Global’s “Primary EPS” basis, Q3 FY25 actual 1.45 vs consensus 1.39 (beat by $0.06); Q2 actual 1.46 vs 1.32 (beat by $0.14); Q1 consensus 1.447 (actual Primary EPS not shown in feed). GAAP diluted EPS reported by the company was $1.22 in Q3, impacted by $0.12 acquisition-related costs; differences versus “Primary EPS” reflect differing methodologies/adjustments . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
  • Revenue: S&P “Revenue” reflects gross total revenues (dominated by physical commodity sales) and did not provide a consensus mean for Q3 in feed; Street typically evaluates SNEX on net operating revenues; thus revenue estimate comparisons are not meaningful this quarter . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.

EPS vs S&P Global Consensus (Primary EPS)*

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Primary EPS Consensus Mean (Estimate)1.4467*1.32*1.39*
Primary EPS (Actual)1.46*1.45*

Note: Company-reported diluted EPS were $2.54 (Q1), $1.41 (Q2), and $1.22 (Q3) .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Mix tailwind: Institutional (equities) strength and Retail scaling offset Commercial softness; with RJO/Benchmark, the platform tilts further toward fee/flow businesses with higher durability .
  • Tariff risk is the main near-term headwind for Commercial physical and OTC ag; watch policy clarity and ag volatility for a rebound .
  • Accretion/setup into Q4: RJO and Benchmark closed post-quarter; synergy capture should start contributing in Q4 with faster International realization and US lag; cost/capital synergy targets are tangible .
  • Rate sensitivity remains a lever: ±100 bps ≈ ±$27M NI annualized; however, lower short-term rates pressured client-balance fee income in Q3; balances grew 10% YoY, partly cushioning rates .
  • Balance sheet scale expanded (repo/securities lending growth); watch interest expense trajectory as fixed income and securities financing scale .
  • Retail roadmap into FY26 (adding securities/listed) and custody/digital assets launch in Q4 support multi-asset cross-sell and ecosystem stickiness .
  • Near-term estimate implications: Raise Primary EPS near term (beat), but temper Commercial expectations; securities/retail trajectory and synergy cadence should drive medium-term upward bias (S&P Global data; company commentary)*.

Appendix: Additional Details and Data Points

  • Interest expense detail: Total interest expense $391.4M (+22% YoY) with growth in fixed income securities and securities borrowing driving the increase; corporate funding included $6.5M bridge loan fees (RJO financing) .
  • Overhead: Overhead costs and expenses $140.4M (+9% YoY); professional fees within overhead +38% YoY .
  • Balance sheet: Securities purchased under agreements to resell $8.159B (vs $5.202B Sep-24); securities sold under agreements to repurchase $13.375B (vs $8.581B); stockholders’ equity $1.979B; NAV/share $40.36 .

Footnote: *Values retrieved from S&P Global.