SI
Snowflake Inc. (SNOW)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 FY25 delivered solid top-line and cash flow: revenue $986.8M (+27% YoY), product revenue $943.3M (+28% YoY), adjusted free cash flow $423.1M (43% margin) . Non-GAAP operating margin expanded to 9% vs 4% guided in Q3, a notable operational beat .
- Key KPIs remained healthy: net revenue retention of 126%, RPO $6.9B (+33% YoY), and 580 customers with >$1M TTM product revenue; Forbes G2000 customers at 745 .
- FY26 outlook calls for product revenue ~$4.28B (+24% YoY), ~75% product gross margin, 8% non-GAAP operating margin, and 25% adjusted FCF margin; Q1 FY26 product revenue guided to $955–$960M (+21–22% YoY) with a 5% operating margin (including SKO expenses and a leap year headwind) .
- Potential catalyst: CFO Michael Scarpelli announced plans to retire after a successor is in place; management transition could be a focus near term, alongside accelerating AI adoption and the expanded Microsoft/OpenAI partnership in Cortex .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Non-GAAP operating margin and cash generation outperformed: Q4 non-GAAP operating margin rose to 9% (vs 6% in Q3) and adjusted FCF margin reached 43% on $423.1M adjusted FCF .
- Strong demand indicators: RPO increased to $6.9B (+33% YoY), NRR remained robust at 126%, and $1M+ TTM product customers climbed to 580 .
- AI and partnerships advancing: “We are making Cortex Agents available in Microsoft 365 Copilot and Microsoft Teams,” broadening enterprise reach for agentic AI workloads .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP losses continue: Q4 GAAP operating loss of $(386.7)M and GAAP net loss per share of $(0.99); SBC remains material though expected to decline from ~41% to ~37% of revenue in FY26 .
- Slight NRR downtick: Net revenue retention eased to 126% from 127% in the prior quarter, reflecting normalization even as overall expansion remains healthy .
- Large customers purchased on-demand after exhausting capacity, creating timing noise in RPO/current billings (management views this as normal behavior for large accounts) .
Financial Results
Segment/Revenue Mix
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We delivered another strong quarter… Today, Snowflake is the most consequential data and AI company in the world.”
- CEO on AI strategy: “Our North Star is to deliver the world's best end-to-end data platform powered by AI… product deliveries in overdrive” .
- CFO: “Q4 non-GAAP operating margin of 9% outperformed expectations… We expect Q1 product revenue between $955M and $960M… FY26 product revenue ~$4.28B, non-GAAP operating margin 8%, adjusted FCF margin 25%” .
- Product EVP: Strong interest in open data (Iceberg) and bidirectional integrations; working with SAP and hyperscalers to foster interoperability .
Q&A Highlights
- Capacity/consumption timing: Large customers that exhausted commitments chose on-demand purchasing rather than early renewal; management expects new commitments in coming months .
- Iceberg is a tailwind: Opening access to broader data estates with minimal storage headwinds; unlocking net-new workloads .
- Sales comp change: Variable comp remains principally revenue-driven, but reps now also carry a bookings quota to balance growth quality .
- Leap year and SKO: Q1 FY26 growth comps impacted by one less business day; ~$15M SKO expense in Q1 margin outlook .
- Microsoft/OpenAI partnership: Models available within Snowflake’s security perimeter; aim to enable world-class applications without data leaving Snowflake .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus from S&P Global was unavailable at time of analysis; therefore, comparisons to consensus EPS/revenue estimates cannot be presented. We benchmarked performance versus company guidance instead (Q4 product revenue and margin beats; FY25 product revenue beat) .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q4 beat vs prior guidance on product revenue and non-GAAP margin; strong cash generation supports durability of the consumption model .
- FY26 guide implies re-acceleration in H2 on new products (Cortex, data engineering), with margin expansion and lower SBC intensity, improving quality of earnings .
- AI catalysts: Cortex Agents and Microsoft Copilot/Teams integration position Snowflake to drive agentic workloads at scale within enterprise guardrails .
- Iceberg momentum is a positive mix shift—expands accessible data and drives new workloads, while storage exposure (~11% of revenue) remains stable to slightly offset .
- Watch near-term seasonality and events: Q1 leap-year headwind and SKO costs; expect margin normalization consistent with guidance .
- Demand indicators healthy: RPO +33% YoY; $1M+ customer cohort expanding; NRR mid-120s suggests continued expansion despite normalization .
- Management transition: CFO retirement plan introduces governance focus; continuity supported by explicit transition plan and robust FY26 framework .