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SOUNDHOUND AI, INC. (SOUN)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 revenue was $34.5M, up 101% YoY, with GAAP EPS at $(0.69) driven by a non-cash mark-to-market increase in contingent acquisition liabilities; non-GAAP EPS was $(0.05) .
- Gross margins compressed on acquisition mix: GAAP gross margin 39.9% and non-GAAP 52.1%; adjusted EBITDA loss widened to $(16.8)M .
- Management raised FY2025 revenue outlook to $157–$177M, up from $155–$175M previously; expects adjusted EBITDA profitability by end-2025 and ~40% of FY revenue in 1H25, less back-end loaded than past years .
- Backlog expanded to nearly $1.2B, customer concentration improved materially (largest customer ~14% of FY24 vs nearly half in FY23; top five ~one-third in Q4), and YE cash was $198M with no debt after paydowns .
- Catalysts: raised guidance, early traction in “agentic AI” and unveiled voice commerce ecosystem with multiple OEM POCs; automotive pipeline robust despite macro unit headwinds .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- “We had our strongest quarter on record with $35 million in revenue, representing an increase of over 100% year-over-year” and reached the top end of the raised FY revenue range .
- Backlog reached nearly $1.2B with duration slightly over six years; customer concentration reduced sharply (largest customer ~14% of FY24 revenue) .
- Strategic momentum: launched voice commerce ecosystem; POCs underway with two Japanese and two German OEMs, plus U.S. and Korean OEMs; expanding across QSRs and healthcare .
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What Went Wrong
- Gross margin compression on acquisition mix and full-quarter impact of Amelia: GAAP 39.9% (vs 49% in Q3), non-GAAP 52.1%; management pruning lower-margin contracts and targeting long-term return to 70%+ .
- Automotive unit growth hampered by broader industry macro pressures, even as unit pricing showed double-digit expansion .
- GAAP EPS and operating loss heavily impacted by non-cash mark-to-market increase in contingent acquisition liabilities (~$221M in Q4), obscuring underlying operating performance .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown (disclosed qualitatively; no numerical segments provided):
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Non-GAAP adjustments (Q4 highlights): change in fair value of contingent acquisition liabilities ($220.9M), stock-based comp ($9.9M), D&A ($7.9M); reconciliations provided in 8-K exhibits .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We had our strongest quarter on record with $35 million in revenue, representing an increase of over 100% year-over-year” .
- “Agentic AI is…a network of autonomous agents…This shift allows businesses to focus on defining objectives, while AI handles the execution” .
- “We finished the year with cumulative subscriptions and bookings backlog of nearly $1.2 billion…our largest customer represented slightly more than 14% of revenue in 2024 versus nearly half in 2023” .
- “GAAP loss from operations in Q4 [was impacted] by approximately $220 million [change in fair value of contingent liabilities]…non-operating and non-cash” .
- “We feel confident increasing our revenue outlook to $157 million to $177 million [for 2025]…and expect to achieve adjusted EBITDA profitability by the end of 2025” .
Q&A Highlights
- POC timing and revenue: Automotive POCs targeted for 1H25; voice commerce monetization not assumed for FY25, but enhances Pillar 1 and 2 adoption .
- Backlog composition: Duration slightly >6 years; strong diversity with outpaced growth in restaurants and new energy deal; increased mix of recurring revenue .
- Pricing/contracting: Mix of SaaS-like subscriptions and interaction-/containment-based pricing; usage tiers with higher pricing above thresholds .
- Margin trajectory and mix: Near-term margins weighed by acquisition mix and services; pruning lower-margin contracts; aim to return to 70%+ gross margins over time .
- Automotive macro: Unit growth hampered by industry pressures; maintained double-digit unit price expansion on gen-AI features .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates could not be retrieved in this session due to request limits; therefore, we cannot assess beat/miss versus Street for Q4 or FY guidance in a standardized way. Management did not provide explicit comparisons to consensus on the call or in the release .
- Given the raised FY2025 revenue outlook ($157–$177M), sell-side models may need to align with management’s range to reflect updated phasing (~40% in 1H25) .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Hypergrowth intact: Q4 revenue +101% YoY to $34.5M; FY revenue $84.7M at high end of raised range; backlog ~$1.2B supports multi-year visibility .
- Guidance raised and phasing clarified: FY2025 revenue increased to $157–$177M; ~40% expected in 1H25 vs ~30% historically—reduces back-end loading .
- Near-term margin pressure: GAAP/non-GAAP gross margins down on acquisition mix; management targeting long-term return to 70%+ and pruning lower-margin portfolios .
- GAAP optics distorted by non-cash liability marks: $(0.69) GAAP EPS driven by contingent acquisition liabilities mark-to-market (~$221M) tied to stock price; non-GAAP EPS $(0.05) better reflects operations .
- Automotive pipeline strong despite industry headwinds: Double-digit unit price expansion; POCs for voice commerce broaden TAM; expect 2025 unit growth improvement .
- Diversification reducing risk: Customer concentration improved materially; expanding in healthcare, energy, telecom, and financial services .
- Execution focus: Integration synergies (cloud migration, tech stack, data leverage) and disciplined GTM investments underpin path to adjusted EBITDA profitability by end-2025 .
Additional Notes
- Liquidity: YE cash and equivalents of $198M; no outstanding debt after paydowns; ATM on file for flexibility .
- Non-GAAP reconciliations provided in exhibits; major Q4 adjustments include $220.9M contingent liabilities, $9.9M SBC, $7.9M D&A .