SP
SUBURBAN PROPANE PARTNERS LP (SPH)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 FY2025 Adjusted EBITDA was $75.3M, essentially flat YoY, while GAAP EPS declined to $0.30 from $0.38 on higher interest expense and other non-cash items; reported gross margin rose with a favorable hedge mark, but underlying (ex-MtM) gross margin was modestly lower on slightly lower propane volumes .
- Weather was the main headwind (7% warmer than normal; November one of the top five warmest on record), partially offset by storm-related demand in the Southeast and a Southwest acquisition completed in November; propane unit margins improved by $0.02/gal (1.3%) YoY .
- RNG operations were temporarily lower due to planned maintenance in Arizona, but SPH began earning Inflation Reduction Act Production Tax Credits on January 1, 2025 and is preparing to monetize them—an incremental cash flow lever for 2H FY2025 and beyond .
- Balance sheet leverage ticked up (Consolidated Leverage Ratio 4.99x) after funding growth capex and a $53M propane acquisition; quarterly distribution of $0.325/unit was maintained (trailing-12M coverage 1.87x) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Improved pricing discipline: “Our field operations have done an excellent job managing selling prices in a higher commodity price environment,” supporting a $0.02/gal (~1.3%) uplift in propane unit margins YoY .
- Strategic M&A and storm response: Closed a $53.0M propane acquisition in NM/AZ (Nov) and benefited from storm-driven demand in the Southeast following Hurricanes Helene/Milton .
- RNG platform positioning: Completed upgrades at Stanfield, restarted mid-Nov, and began earning PTCs on Jan 1; monetization expected to support cash flows as NY/OH projects complete toward end of calendar 2025 .
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What Went Wrong
- Unseasonably warm weather: Average temps 7% warmer than normal in Q1; November was 15% warmer than normal and 17% warmer YoY, reducing heat-related demand and crop drying volumes; propane gallons -0.8% YoY to 105.7M .
- RNG contribution lower: Stanfield planned maintenance and compliance upgrades reduced RNG injection in the quarter; management cited lower RNG margin contribution YoY .
- Higher costs below the line and modest opex pressure: Net interest expense +7.8% YoY on higher revolver borrowings; combined operating and G&A +1.6% on payroll/benefits and legal accruals (partially offset by lower vehicle fuel) .
Financial Results
Overall and segment revenue, profitability, and volume comparisons; columns ordered oldest→newest.
Notes: “n.m.” = not meaningful given seasonality and sign changes. Gross margin ex-MtM Q1 2025: $222.5M (Mgmt calc) .
Segment/Category revenue (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024)
Key KPIs and operating drivers
Non-GAAP note: Management also cited “non-cash adjusted” net income of $38.0M or $0.59/unit excluding MtM and equity losses/impairments .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Adjusted EBITDA for our first quarter of fiscal 2025 was $75.3 million, essentially flat to the prior year first quarter.”
- “Propane volumes… were marginally lower… as… unseasonably warm weather… and a less active crop drying season negatively impacted demand,” partly offset by hurricane-related demand and the Southwest acquisition .
- RNG: “Completed an extended and planned shutdown… for routine maintenance… Since the restart… we have continued to experience enhanced conversion… We… expect to be able to monetize PTCs…”
- Balance sheet & leverage: “We have plenty of liquidity… as RNG assets come online… leverage [should] naturally bring down.”
- Distribution: “Our Board… declared our quarterly distribution of $0.325 per common unit… coverage… 1.87x for the trailing 12 months.”
Q&A Highlights
- Weather/operations and pricing: Management emphasized the platform is “built for this kind of weather,” with field teams actively managing selling prices amid commodity volatility (Belvieu range ~$0.85–$0.90/gal recently) .
- Leverage and PTC monetization: Elevated leverage reflects prior warm season and pre-earnings RNG capex; PTCs are being earned as of Jan 1 and will be monetized to bring in cash, supporting deleveraging as projects come online .
- Capital structure: “Plenty of liquidity” and continued focus on strengthening the balance sheet while investing strategically in growth .
Estimates Context
- We attempted to retrieve S&P Global consensus for Q1 FY2025 EPS and revenue, but the request could not be completed due to an SPGI daily request limit. As a result, consensus comparisons are unavailable for this recap. If you’d like, we can refresh this section once SPGI access resets.
- Without consensus, we cannot characterize beats/misses vs Street; directionally, underlying performance was resilient given weather headwinds, with adjusted EBITDA flat YoY and GAAP EPS down YoY .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Resilient quarter in a warm start to heating season: Adjusted EBITDA held flat YoY; pricing discipline and storm-related demand offset volume softness; underlying gross margin modestly lower ex-MtM .
- Near-term catalysts: January’s widespread cold (post-quarter) should lift Q2 volumes/margins; PTC monetization provides incremental cash flow; new NM/AZ footprint expands growth runway .
- Watch RNG execution: Stanfield is back online with improvements; NY and OH projects targeted for completion toward end of calendar 2025; policy support (PTCs) active from Jan 1 .
- Balance sheet: Leverage at 4.99x remains within covenants; management expects deleveraging as RNG earnings/credits ramp—monitor pace of PTC monetization and unit margins .
- Income profile maintained: $0.325 quarterly distribution affirmed; TTM coverage 1.87x underscores current cash flow support despite weather variability .
- Trading setup: Seasonality and January cold can aid near-term numbers; medium-term hinges on RNG ramp/credit monetization and continued pricing discipline amid commodity volatility .
Additional Relevant Press Releases (Q1 FY2025 timeframe)
- Declared $0.325 quarterly distribution (Jan 23, 2025) .
- Announced multi-year partnership as Official Propane of NASCAR & Speedway Motorsports (Jan 14, 2025) .
- Post-quarter: Unveiled propane-powered track dryer at DAYTONA 500 (Feb 14, 2025) .