SP
SUBURBAN PROPANE PARTNERS LP (SPH)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Strong winter-driven quarter: revenue $587.7M, net income $137.1M, diluted EPS $2.10, and Adjusted EBITDA $175.0M (+19.1% YoY), with propane volumes up 15.5% YoY on sustained colder January–February temperatures .
- Versus Wall Street consensus: revenue beat ($587.7M vs $548.0M*), while EPS missed ($2.10 vs $2.18*) and EBITDA was slightly below ($175.0M vs $180.0M*) — driven by expense increases to meet demand and RNG headwinds; low estimate coverage (1 estimate) *.
- Balance sheet improved: leverage ratio fell to 4.54x; $8.8M raised via ATM used to repay revolver borrowings; $10.1M debt repaid in Q2; quarterly distribution maintained at $0.325 ($1.30 annualized) with 2.17x coverage (TTM) .
- RNG update and regulatory overhang: cold weather impeded Stanfield output, LCFS/D3 RIN pricing remained weak, and the company did not recognize IRA production tax credit income in Q2 pending final rules — a notable change from Q1 expectations; Columbus (OH) and Adirondack (NY) projects progressing toward late-2025/early-2026 operations .
Note: Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Robust demand and execution: “propane volumes for the quarter increased 15.5%... In fact, during the month of January 2025, we delivered the highest propane volumes since 2018,” supported by effective margin management and disciplined expenses .
- EBITDA growth: Adjusted EBITDA rose 19.1% to $175.0M on volume strength and pricing discipline during rising commodity costs .
- Strategic initiatives: Successful integration of the ~$53M Southwest propane acquisition with performance exceeding expectations; ATM program launched to support growth while maintaining balance sheet flexibility .
What Went Wrong
- RNG headwinds: Average daily injection down slightly YoY at Stanfield due to extremely cold ambient temperatures and planned downtime; LCFS/D3 RIN pricing pressure persisted .
- Cost inflation with surge ops: Operating and G&A rose 9.7% YoY to $169.3M due to payroll, benefits, overtime, and variable compensation tied to earnings .
- Regulatory uncertainty: Despite Q1 commentary about PTC monetization starting Jan 1, the company did not recognize PTC income in Q2 pending final IRS rules — introducing near-term RNG cash flow uncertainty .
Financial Results
Headline Financials – sequential trend (oldest → newest)
Year-over-Year comparison
Note: Q2 gross margin is revenues minus cost of products sold; Q2 2024 computed from .
Segment Revenue Breakdown
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “The fiscal 2025 second quarter was an outstanding quarter... propane volumes for the quarter increased 15.5%... highest propane volumes since 2018” — Michael A. Stivala .
- “Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $175 million, an increase of $28 million or 19.1% compared to the prior year second quarter” — Mike Kuglin .
- “Launched an at-the-market... to sell up to $100 million... raised net proceeds of $8.8 million... used to repay outstanding debt” — Michael A. Stivala .
- “Our consolidated leverage ratio... improved to 4.54x compared to 4.99x at the end of the first quarter” — Mike Kuglin .
- “We are substantially insulated from the impact of tariffs... propane prices have come down” — Michael A. Stivala .
Q&A Highlights
- Commodity volatility and sourcing: Management expects more propane trapped domestically, with prices falling from ~$0.90 to ~$0.70/gal; supply planning unchanged ahead of next heating season .
- Propane M&A: Fewer active buyers and more disciplined multiples; SPH positioned to acquire quality assets in attractive markets; pipeline building post-season .
- RNG regulatory and economics: No Q2 PTC recognition due to ambiguity; seeking IRS clarification; expects CARB LCFS amendments to lift credit values; Columbus/Adirondack timing targeted for late-2025/early-2026 .
- Balance sheet priorities: Use excess cash flows and ATM proceeds to strengthen leverage while funding strategic growth, including RNG .
Estimates Context
Note: Low estimate coverage (1 estimate for EPS and revenue). Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Where estimates may need to adjust:
- Revenue upward revisions likely given a sizable beat driven by weather and volume; EPS/EBITDA may see modest trims if RNG credit monetization remains delayed and expense intensity persists into Q3 .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Weather tailwind plus disciplined pricing delivered a high-quality beat on revenue and strong EBITDA growth; diluted EPS missed consensus amid higher variable costs to meet demand .
- Balance sheet trajectory improving (4.54x leverage), supported by ATM proceeds and seasonal cash generation; expect continued debt reduction in shoulder quarters .
- RNG platform execution continues, but near-term earnings leverage is gated by LCFS/RIN pricing and IRA PTC rulemaking; monitor CARB amendments and IRS final rules as catalysts .
- M&A backdrop favorable with fewer competitors and more rational multiples; SPH’s integration track record and footprint expansion support medium-term growth .
- Distribution held at $0.325 with strong 2.17x coverage — reinforcing income appeal while pursuing growth investments .
- Commodity prices trending lower post-quarter may compress unit margins, but could support consumer demand and volumes; company indicates sourcing plan remains steady .
- Watch Q3 commentary for sustainability of demand normalization after a strong winter, RNG project milestones, and any update on PTC monetization timing .
Appendix: Additional Q2 2025 Press Releases
- Quarterly distribution declaration: $0.325 per common unit, payable May 13, 2025 (record date May 6, 2025) .
- Q2 2025 earnings call scheduling notice (May 8, 2025, 9:00 AM ET) .