Q3 2024 Earnings Summary
- SSD is committed to maintaining strong operating margins around 20% EBIT, demonstrating financial discipline and cost management even in challenging market conditions.
- Recent strategic acquisitions, such as Monet DeSauw and QuickFrames USA, expand SSD's offerings in component manufacturing and commercial markets, providing new growth opportunities.
- Anticipated improved margins in Europe due to one-time costs not repeating and efforts on rightsizing their footprint, which should positively impact future profitability.
- Simpson Manufacturing expects lower Q4 sales and operating income due to slowdowns in the Southeast from hurricanes, with customers' facilities significantly impacted, leading to forecasts being "definitely lower than we thought it was going to be".
- Margins in Europe have been declining for 2 to 3 quarters, and significant growth in the European market is not expected until at least 2026, delaying recovery and potentially impacting profitability.
- The company needs to be more selective in investments and is adjusting to a lower level of market activity, which may impact future growth opportunities as they throttle back investments in response to updated views on housing starts.
-
Operating Margin Target
Q: Is 20% operating margin the new floor? How will you achieve it?
A: Management stated that 20% operating margin is their floor, aiming to return to that level next year . They will be more selective with investments in SG&A and cost of goods, focusing on controlling costs while still providing strong customer support. Anything below 20% is unacceptable, and they will work to improve profitability . -
Housing Starts Outlook
Q: What are your expectations for housing starts in 2025?
A: They anticipate 3–4% growth in U.S. housing starts next year, based on customer input and forecasters. In Europe, they expect 1–2% growth, with modest recovery due to lower interest rates . However, they acknowledge uncertainty and note that the second half of the year may be better than the first. -
Gross Margin Expectations
Q: How do you expect gross margins to trend in Q4 and next year?
A: They expect gross margins in Q4 to be flattish to slightly up from last year's 43.9% . Factors include slightly higher factory and tooling costs as a percent of revenue, potential benefits on freight costs, and a good position on material costs. They are comfortable with steel costs and haven't seen significant pricing pressure from competitors . -
Acquisitions Impact
Q: What can you tell us about the recent acquisitions?
A: The acquisitions of Monet DeSauw and QuickFrames add new tools to serve component manufacturers and commercial customers. The combined revenue from these acquisitions is expected to be less than $10 million in Q4. They see these additions as strategic fits that enhance their product offerings. -
Cost Control Measures
Q: How will you manage costs to support margins?
A: Management plans to dial in SG&A investments, being more selective on where they add both in SG&A and cost of goods. They aim to control costs while ensuring they provide great support to customers, which is key to their business model. -
Exposure to True Value Bankruptcy
Q: Are there any risks from the True Value bankruptcy filing?
A: They have sold to True Value in the past but the revenue is not material for Simpson. They are evaluating the situation and the potential buyer, with whom they have a good relationship, and will assess credit decisions accordingly. -
Impact of Hurricanes on Q4
Q: How will the hurricanes affect Q4 sales and operating income?
A: Hurricanes have caused slowdowns in the Southeast, with some customers significantly impacted . They haven't specified the exact impact on guidance, but forecasted Q4 sales in affected areas are definitely lower than expected. -
European Margin Improvement
Q: Do you expect margin improvement in Europe next year?
A: They are working on defensive synergies and rightsizing their footprint in Europe. Some costs incurred this year will not repeat, which should help improve gross margins going forward. -
Facility Expansions
Q: What are the costs associated with facility expansions?
A: They plan to provide more details in their 2025 guidance. The Ohio expansion adds to the existing footprint with no significant OpEx expected. Gallatin will involve moving costs but further granularity will be provided later.
Research analysts covering Simpson Manufacturing Co..