Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

SM

SSR MINING INC. (SSRM)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Strong beat on revenue and adjusted EPS; revenue rose to $405.46M vs S&P Global consensus $351.74M, and adjusted diluted EPS was $0.51 vs $0.23 consensus; GAAP diluted EPS was $0.42 (consensus values marked with asterisks; Values retrieved from S&P Global). Free cash flow was $98.4M, and operating cash flow was $157.8M, underpinned by the first full quarter of CC&V and solid Puna performance .
  • Guidance effectively maintained: company reiterated full-year 2025 consolidated production of 410–480k GEOs and AISC of $2,090–$2,150/oz; Seabee is now targeted to the low end of its 70–80k oz range due to Q2 power-related downtime .
  • CC&V integration tracking ahead on cash generation (≈$85M mine-site FCF since close), with Q2 output of 44,062 oz at AISC $1,339/oz; a technical report based on existing reserves remains on track for 2025 .
  • Çöpler restart remains the key swing factor; reclamation/remediation estimate revised up $12.9M to $312.9M with continued engineering progress, but management still cannot provide a restart timeline; permitted restart throughput would revert to 6,000 tpd under the 2014 EIA .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well
    • CC&V outperformed with 44,062 oz at AISC $1,339/oz and nearly $85M FCF since acquisition; management emphasized a “really good quarter” with significant FCF and strong Americas platform execution .
      Quote: “We had consolidated free cash flow generation of nearly $100,000,000… We had a strong first full quarter from Cripple Creek and Victor…” .
    • Puna delivered another excellent quarter (2.85Moz silver, AISC $12.57/oz) and a mine-life extension plan; 2026 silver production now expected at 7–8Moz, with 2027–2028 averaging ~4Moz .
    • Liquidity strengthened to $912.1M (cash $412.1M; undrawn revolver/accordion $500M), aided by $44.4M in business interruption insurance proceeds .
  • What Went Wrong
    • Seabee production impacted by ~two-week power interruption due to nearby forest fires; Q2 output fell to 10,998 oz and AISC rose to $2,708/oz; full-year now guided to low end of 70–80k oz .
    • Çöpler: while engineering advances continue, remediation/reclamation estimate increased by $12.9M to $312.9M; no ability to estimate restart timing, keeping uncertainty elevated .
    • EBITDA was below S&P Global consensus despite revenue/EPS beats, reflecting operational mix (Seabee downtime, higher royalties at Marigold with strong gold prices) and care & maintenance headwinds at Çöpler discussed across disclosures (EBITDA comparison values marked with asterisks; Values retrieved from S&P Global).

Financial Results

Quarterly trend (oldest → newest)

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($M)$184.84 $316.62 $405.46
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$0.05 $0.28 $0.42
Adjusted Diluted EPS$0.04 $0.29 $0.51
EBITDA Margin %16.50%*34.06%*24.76%*
Net Income Margin %5.24%*18.57%*22.22%*
AISC per GEO ($/oz)$2,116 $1,972 $2,068

Note: Asterisked values retrieved from S&P Global.

Q2 2025 actual vs S&P Global consensus

MetricQ2 2025 ActualQ2 2025 Consensus
Revenue ($M)$405.46 $351.74*
EPS (Primary / Adjusted Diluted) ($)$0.51 $0.23*
EBITDA ($M)100.39*113.63*
EPS Estimates (#)7*
Revenue Estimates (#)3*

Note: Asterisked values retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment breakdown (production and costs)

Segment (units)Q2 2024Q2 2025
Marigold gold produced (oz)25,691 35,906
Marigold cost of sales ($/oz)$1,542 $1,584
Marigold AISC ($/oz)$2,065 $1,977
CC&V gold produced (oz)44,062
CC&V cost of sales ($/oz)N/A$1,116
CC&V AISC ($/oz)N/A$1,339
Seabee gold produced (oz)16,709 10,998
Seabee cost of sales ($/oz)$1,150 $1,785
Seabee AISC ($/oz)$1,626 $2,708
Puna silver produced (Moz)2.73 2.85
Puna cost of sales ($/oz)$16.10 $15.03
Puna AISC ($/oz)$15.19 $12.57

Key KPIs

KPIQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
GEO produced (oz)76,102 103,805 120,191
GEO sold (oz)71,190 104,185 116,736
Operating Cash Flow ($M)$(78.13) $84.81 $157.84
Free Cash Flow ($M)$(116.31) $39.30 $98.39
Cash & Equivalents ($M)$387.88 $319.61 $412.10
Total Liquidity ($M)$887.88 $819.61 $912.10

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Consolidated GEOs (000s)FY2025410–480 410–480 Maintained
Consolidated cost of sales ($/oz)FY2025$1,375–$1,435 $1,375–$1,435 Maintained
Consolidated AISC ($/oz)FY2025$2,090–$2,150 $2,090–$2,150 Maintained
Marigold gold (oz)FY2025160k–190k 160k–190k Maintained
CC&V gold (oz)Feb 28–Dec 31, 202590k–110k 90k–110k Maintained
Seabee gold (oz)FY202570k–80k “Low end” of 70k–80k Lowered to low end (qualitative)
Puna silver (Moz)FY20258.00–8.75 8.00–8.75 Maintained
Çöpler cash care & maintenance ($/qtr)FY2025~$20–$25M ~$20–$25M Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’24 and Q1’25)Current Period (Q2’25)Trend
Çöpler restart/regulatory2021 EIA cancelled; revert to 2014 EIA (6,000 tpd); restart timeline unknown . Q1: still no estimate; continued remediation .Engineering/design for storage and heap leach closure advanced; reclamation/remediation estimate now $312.9M; timing still unknown . Antal reiterates progress but no timeline .Gradual technical progress; timeline uncertainty persists.
CC&V integration/LOMQ1: integration underway; initial guidance disclosed .Strong Q2 outperformance; ~$85M FCF since close; technical report on existing reserves coming in 2025 .Positive; asset emerging as cash engine.
Seabee operations2024 saw prior fire-related suspension; strong Q4 grades . Q1 2025: normal ops, low AISC .Temporary suspension due to power interruption; restart June 13; low end FY output targeted .Near-term headwind; operations resumed.
Puna mine lifeRecord 2024 production .3-year extension announced; 2026 at 7–8Moz, 2027–2028 ~4Moz .Improving medium-term visibility.
Macro/royaltiesHigher royalties at Marigold due to strong gold prices .Cost headwind as gold stays elevated.
Hod Maden2024: continued studies/site prep . Q1: $12.2M spend; advancing toward decision .Q2: $16.2M spend; YTD $29.1M; progressing to construction decision .Advancing toward FID.

Management Commentary

  • Strategic focus and FCF: “It is pleasing to report a really good quarter… We had consolidated free cash flow generation of nearly 100,000,000 reiterating the strength of our Americas platform.”
  • CC&V outlook: “A strong first full quarter from Cripple Creek and Victor… delivered excellent free cash flow… [Technical] report… expected this year.”
  • Çöpler status: “We continue to work… to advance the restart… [but] we are not able to estimate or predict when and under what conditions operations will resume” . In Q&A, Antal declined to provide a timetable and confirmed restart would revert to 6,000 tpd under the 2014 EIA .
  • Seabee disruption: Operations were suspended due to power interruptions from nearby fires and restarted June 13; no site damage; donations made to support affected communities .

Q&A Highlights

  • CC&V performance and guidance: Management said Q2 outperformance was driven by higher residual solution grades from prior stacking; they remain “comfortable with the guidance” and expect normalization in H2 as stacking proceeds .
  • CC&V technical report and growth: The forthcoming report is a baseline on existing reserves; longer-term growth options exist but will take time; Amendment 14 approval is the near-term priority .
  • Çöpler timeline and permitting: No restart timetable provided; upon restart, operations revert to 6,000 tpd under the 2014 EIA, with later work to refresh the EIA for higher throughput .

Estimates Context

  • Beat/miss vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $405.46M vs $351.74M*; EPS (Primary/Adjusted Diluted) $0.51 vs $0.23*; EBITDA $100.39M* vs $113.63M* (revenue and EPS beats; EBITDA miss). Coverage: 7 EPS estimates, 3 revenue estimates.*
    Note: Asterisked values retrieved from S&P Global.

  • Implications: Revenue/EPS beats were powered by CC&V cash generation and Puna costs, partially offset by Seabee downtime and higher royalties at Marigold; the EBITDA shortfall reflects operational mix and expense profile in the quarter .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Clean beat on revenue and adjusted EPS with strong FCF ($98.4M), supported by CC&V contribution and Puna’s low AISC execution .
  • FY25 guidance maintained at the group level; Seabee guided to the low end after Q2 power-related downtime, which should ease in H2 with operations normalized .
  • CC&V is becoming a core free cash flow driver (≈$85M since close); technical report due in 2025 should frame medium-term profile and de-risk the story further .
  • Çöpler remains the key uncertainty; engineering advances and cost refinement to $312.9M are positives, but timing remains unknown; upon restart, throughput reverts to 6,000 tpd (2014 EIA) pending future permitting .
  • Puna life extension adds visibility: 2026 silver output expected 7–8Moz; 2027–2028 ~4Moz, supporting multi-year contribution at improving unit costs .
  • Near-term trading lens: Positive reaction bias on beat/FCF and CC&V print; watch for updates on CC&V technical report, Seabee grade/throughput normalization, and any Çöpler permitting milestones .
  • Estimate revisions: Upward adjustments likely for revenue/EPS on CC&V/Puna strength; EBITDA forecasts may need nuance given cost mix and Seabee’s AISC spike in Q2 (now normalized after restart) .

Notes: Asterisked values in tables are retrieved from S&P Global. All other figures are sourced from the company’s Q2 2025 press release, 8-K, earnings call transcript, and prior-quarter releases as cited.