SG
StepStone Group Inc. (STEP)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 FY2025 delivered record non-GAAP profitability: Adjusted Net Income (ANI) per share rose to $0.68 and Fee-Related Earnings (FRE) hit $94.1M with a 44% FRE margin; results were aided by $15.7M of retroactive fees and strong realized performance fees .
- Against S&P Global consensus, STEP posted a significant beat on revenue ($377.7M vs $229.4M*) and ANI/EPS ($0.68 vs $0.445*), while EBITDA missed materially ($5.2M vs $97M*) due to non-core items and Consolidated Funds effects; management emphasized FRE/ANI as the core profitability lenses .
- Private wealth AUM doubled to >$8B YoY, FEAUM grew ~29% YoY to $121.4B, and gross inflows were $9.9B in the quarter, underpinning fee revenue growth and margin expansion .
- Capital return and structure actions: Board declared a $0.24 base dividend plus $0.40 supplemental (payable 6/30/25) and plans a Q1 FY2026 buy-in of non-controlling interests (~$10M cash and $161M stock; ~3.2M shares) at >15% discount to STEP’s public PE multiple, a positive earnings accretion catalyst .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record non-GAAP profitability: “We generated record earnings this quarter… our fee-related earnings, FRE margin and adjusted net income per share were all at our highest levels ever” .
- Strong fee momentum and mix: Fee revenues rose to $214.7M (+40% YoY), boosted by private wealth offering mix and retroactive fees ($15.7M this quarter vs $5.4M in FQ4’24) .
- Performance fee realization: Gross realized performance fees reached $81.2M; PRE $41.5M—both records, reflecting closings of previously announced deals .
What Went Wrong
- EBITDA miss vs consensus and volatile GAAP optics: S&P Global’s EBITDA actual of ~$5.2M* versus ~$97M* consensus reflects Consolidated Funds and non-core items; management continues to steer investors to FRE/ANI metrics .
- Macro/market volatility: Management flagged rapid shifts in trade policy and widening private-market bid/ask spreads in April/May, tempering realization timing near term .
- Non-controlling interest and comp dynamics: Income attributable to NCI rose to $33M (+$21M YoY) and equity-based compensation will increase by ~$1M in Q1 FY2026, modestly pressuring near-term margins .
Financial Results
Versus Estimates (S&P Global):
- Revenue: $229.4M* consensus vs $377.7M actual — bold beat .
- Primary EPS: $0.445* consensus vs $0.68 actual (ANI per share) — bold beat .
- EBITDA: $97.0M* consensus vs $5.2M* actual — bold miss.
Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Fee Revenue Breakdown (non-GAAP):
Key KPIs:
Asset Class FEAUM ($USD Millions):
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We generated record earnings this quarter… our fee-related earnings, FRE margin and adjusted net income per share were all at our highest levels ever.” — Scott Hart, CEO .
- “Retroactive fees contributed $15.7 million to fee revenues… We earned $80.6 million in adjusted net income for the quarter or $0.68 per share.” — David Park, CFO .
- “Total gross inflows were $9.9 billion… included $1.2 billion of Evergreen subscriptions, our best private wealth quarter ever.” — Scott Hart .
- “If you exclude retroactive fees, our FRE margin was 40% for the quarter and 37% for the trailing 12 months, our highest core margin levels on record.” — Scott Hart .
- “We expect to conduct the second tranche of our buy-in… $10 million of cash and $161 million of equity (~3.2 million shares) effective April 1… at a >15% discount to STEP’s public PE multiple.” — Michael McCabe .
Q&A Highlights
- Margin normalization: CFO detailed one-time advisory fees (~$4M) and a favorable bonus accrual adjustment; core FRE margin would have been ~37% (fair baseline into FY2026) .
- Fundraising pipeline: Management sees healthy RFP activity and new pools of capital (esp. outside U.S.), plus private credit allocations emerging; solid re-up pipeline despite seasonality .
- Fee rate dynamics: Commingled fee rates trending up; ex retroactive fees ~94bps in quarter, LTM low-90s after timing normalization .
- NCI buyout modeling: ~3.2M shares issued; cash ≤20% of consideration; step-down in NCI trajectory expected over several years; low-single-digit incremental impact FY2026 .
- Distribution channels: U.S. wires and RIAs each >1/3 of U.S. distribution; competitive evergreen landscape growing but STEP’s differentiated products and ticker adoption drive best-ever quarters .
Estimates Context
- Revenue: $377.7M actual vs $229.4M* consensus — significant beat driven by fee growth, retroactive fees, and record performance fee realization .
- Primary EPS (ANI/share): $0.68 actual vs $0.445* consensus — significant beat on record FRE and PRE .
- EBITDA: $5.2M* actual vs $97.0M* consensus — miss; EBITDA and GAAP optics impacted by Consolidated Funds and non-core items; management guides investors to FRE/ANI as primary KPIs .
Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- FRE/ANI-driven beat: Focus on FRE margin durability (core ~37%) and mix uplift from private wealth; expect medium-term margin trajectory higher as operating leverage scales .
- Private wealth flywheel: Distribution platforms expanded to ~500 with ~80% ticker execution; sustainable inflows ($1.2B in Q4) should support fee growth and blended fee rate .
- Performance fee harvesting: Net accrued carry is mature (75% >5 years), setting up continued realization potential as macro stabilizes, though near-term timing remains sensitive to market volatility .
- Capital returns/catalysts: $0.40 supplemental dividend and NCI buy-in at >15% discount to public PE multiple are accretive, supporting EPS growth and shareholder returns .
- Estimates likely to move up: Given revenue/ANI beats and FEAUM growth to $121.4B, Street models may raise fee revenues and PRE forecasts; watch for normalization of retro fees .
- Risk monitor: Macro/trade policy volatility and widening private-market spreads can delay realizations; management’s scenario planning and diversified platform mitigate deployment risks .
- Near-term trading lens: Positive sentiment on dividend and record non-GAAP results; expect investors to discount GAAP volatility and focus on FRE/ANI trajectory and private wealth momentum .
Appendix: Additional Relevant Q4 Press Releases
- Largest real estate secondaries fund closed: SREP V final close at $3.77B; >$4.5B program capacity; $1.7B committed across 8 investments .
- Tactical Growth Fund IV: $705M raised; focus on tech/healthcare founder-led growth equity .
- European distribution expansion: Evergreen funds added to Bergos platform; ELTIF approval for private credit in Europe .