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Symbotic Inc. (SYM) Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Revenue rose 26% year-over-year to $592.1M, gross margins improved, and adjusted EBITDA increased to $45.4M; GAAP net loss was $31.9M and Class A EPS was -$0.05 .
  • Management launched a next-generation storage structure expected to temporarily shift deployment schedules, with no impact to the $22.4B backlog; Q4 FY25 guidance set at $590–$610M revenue and $45–$49M adjusted EBITDA .
  • Cash and equivalents declined $177M sequentially to $777.6M and free cash flow was -$153.2M in Q3 due to operating cash flow timing and investment activity .
  • Stock catalysts: further scale benefits and margin expansion from shorter installs, mix shift, and the new storage system; near-term revenue timing reflects schedule adjustments tied to the storage transition .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Year-over-year revenue growth of 26% to $592.1M with adjusted EBITDA rising to $45.4M; CFO: “Revenue grew 26% and gross margins improved once again year-over-year.” .
  • Execution improvements: shorter install-to-acceptance timelines and project mix shifting away from lower-margin systems, alongside accretive contribution from Walmart ASR development work (Q2 remarks establish trajectory) .
  • Strategic product innovation: commercial launch of next-gen storage structure for faster deployments, higher density, improved safety; CEO: “game-changing innovations … next generation storage structure.” .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP net loss widened sequentially to -$31.9M and EPS was -$0.05; operating cash outflows caused cash to fall by $177M quarter-over-quarter .
  • Free cash flow turned negative (-$153.2M) versus Q2 positive FCF, reflecting operating cash timing and increased investment; OpEx remained elevated as growth investments continued .
  • Near-term revenue impact anticipated from schedule shifts to adopt the new storage structure; management guided Q4 revenue roughly flat to slightly up versus Q3 on this transition .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$470.3 $549.7 $592.1
Gross Profit Margin (%)11.7% 19.6% 18.2%
Adjusted Gross Profit Margin (%)13.6% 22.2% 21.5%
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(26.7) $(21.4) $(31.9)
EPS (Class A, Basic & Diluted, $USD)$(0.05) $(0.04) $(0.05)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$2.7 $34.7 $45.4
Segment Revenue ($USD Millions)Q3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Systems$450.6 $513.4 $559.1
Software Maintenance & Support$3.5 $6.7 $8.1
Operation Services$16.2 $29.6 $24.9
Total Revenue$470.3 $549.7 $592.1
KPIsQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Operational Systems (count)2537 42
Systems in Deployment (count)44 46 46
Backlog ($USD Billions)$22.4 $22.7 $22.4
Free Cash Flow ($USD Thousands)$33,241 $249,015 $(153,210)
Cash and Equivalents ($USD Thousands)$870,469 $954,944 $777,576

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($USD Millions)Q3 2025$520–$540 Actual: $592.1 Beat vs guidance
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)Q3 2025$26–$30 Actual: $45.4 Beat vs guidance
Revenue ($USD Millions)Q4 2025N/A$590–$610 New
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)Q4 2025N/A$45–$49 New

Notes: Management highlighted a temporary short-term revenue impact from schedules shifting to accommodate the next-generation storage structure, without affecting backlog .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025)Previous Mentions (Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
AI/Technology initiativesNew CTO; simulation tools; Omni Labs acquisition to accelerate deployment LiDAR/Vision-enabled bots, remote ops, higher-energy battery; reliability and lower operating costs Launch of next-gen storage: higher density, rapid assembly, enhanced safety/fire suppression Broadening tech stack; deployment speed focus
Supply chain/tariffs/macroImmaterial China exposure; pass-through protections; monitoring Mexico/Canada Tariffs primarily Europe; costs pass-through; single-digit % system exposure; revenue up but margin drag Revenue timing shifts due to storage transition; backlog intact; Q4 set with cautious range Managing macro/tariff impacts; prioritizing schedule efficiency
Product performance (BreakPack/APD)APD program with Walmart; development before prototypes; ~400 stores potential post-performance criteria BreakPack second design; ASR accretive margins; APD services small in recurring Continued APD development; prototypes to be classified in systems revenue (Q3 call) Scaling multi-product portfolio
GreenBox JV progressEarly stage, build-outs; limited near-term revenue; management team build-out 3rd site begun; CEO hired; coasts build-out; prospecting continues Ongoing deployment; schedule focus; no Q3-specific expansion disclosed in release Building capacity; accelerating sales efforts
Backlog/Regional trendsBacklog stable at $22.4B; Walmex engagement; international inquiries Backlog grew to $22.7B (ASR dev added); revenue burns offset Backlog remained highly visible at $22.4B, supporting long-term value Stable visibility
Internal controls/R&D executionControl remediation progress; no deficiencies in tests; multi-quarter effort OpEx step-up; SG&A to step down next quarter by ~$4–$5M; margins improving Guidance reflects storage transition; innovation cadence maintained Investing for scalability; cost discipline

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We continue to deliver strong results and drive operational progress … with our next generation storage structure.” .
  • CFO: “Revenue grew 26% and gross margins improved once again year-over-year … we expect a temporary short-term impact on revenue based on schedules shifting to accommodate [the storage structure]. Importantly, the new structure does not affect our backlog and supports our long-term value creation.” .
  • Q2 context on execution: “Installation to acceptance timelines were roughly 2 months shorter … and these systems were 15% larger in size than our historical average for Phase 1 systems. Normalizing for size … improvement … more than 30% better.” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Storage transition and guidance: Management signaled schedule shifts to adopt the new storage structure, setting Q4 revenue at $590–$610M and adjusted EBITDA at $45–$49M, and noted similar schedule impacts may occur in early 2026 while enabling faster scale over time .
  • APD development accounting: Prototype build and development revenue will be classified in the systems line; the program maintains revenue visibility through development phases (Q3 call) .
  • Leadership transition: CFO successor designate Izzy Martins to become CFO effective August 9, underscoring continuity in financial leadership (Q3 call) .
  • Tariffs & margin mechanics (from Q2): Tariff costs largely pass through, increasing revenue but can depress system gross margins; primary exposure from Europe, single-digit percent of a typical system .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for Q3 FY25 and Q4 FY25 EPS, revenue, and EBITDA was unavailable via our data feed; as a result, comparisons to Wall Street consensus cannot be reliably presented. Where estimates are missing, we note they were unavailable from S&P Global at the time of analysis.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Execution is improving with shorter installs and favorable mix, driving adjusted EBITDA growth and sustained adjusted gross margin expansion; watch for continued scale benefits in 2H and FY26 .
  • Near-term revenue timing will reflect adoption of the next-gen storage structure, but backlog and long-term value creation remain intact; Q4 guidance brackets a modest sequential increase vs. Q3 .
  • Cash usage in Q3 and negative FCF reflect timing and investment; liquidity remains strong at $777.6M cash and equivalents after Q3 .
  • Multi-product portfolio progress (core warehouse systems, BreakPack, APD) and GreenBox sites underpin diversified growth vectors across retail, grocery, and 3PLs .
  • Margin drivers: completion of lower-margin legacy projects, ASR development contributions, and software margins trending in the 60s% provide tailwinds; tariffs are pass-through but can dilute system gross margins .
  • Stock setup: narrative shifts toward technology-led deployment speed (new storage), margin resilience, and backlog visibility; investors should focus on cadence of system starts/completions, software revenue growth, and progress on APD prototypes .

References:
Press release and 8-K financials: . Investor presentation KPIs/backlog: . Q2 transcript: . Q1 transcript: . Next-gen storage press release: . IR Q3 official transcript & financial release: .

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