Symbotic Inc. (SYM) Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue rose 26% year-over-year to $592.1M, gross margins improved, and adjusted EBITDA increased to $45.4M; GAAP net loss was $31.9M and Class A EPS was -$0.05 .
- Management launched a next-generation storage structure expected to temporarily shift deployment schedules, with no impact to the $22.4B backlog; Q4 FY25 guidance set at $590–$610M revenue and $45–$49M adjusted EBITDA .
- Cash and equivalents declined $177M sequentially to $777.6M and free cash flow was -$153.2M in Q3 due to operating cash flow timing and investment activity .
- Stock catalysts: further scale benefits and margin expansion from shorter installs, mix shift, and the new storage system; near-term revenue timing reflects schedule adjustments tied to the storage transition .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Year-over-year revenue growth of 26% to $592.1M with adjusted EBITDA rising to $45.4M; CFO: “Revenue grew 26% and gross margins improved once again year-over-year.” .
- Execution improvements: shorter install-to-acceptance timelines and project mix shifting away from lower-margin systems, alongside accretive contribution from Walmart ASR development work (Q2 remarks establish trajectory) .
- Strategic product innovation: commercial launch of next-gen storage structure for faster deployments, higher density, improved safety; CEO: “game-changing innovations … next generation storage structure.” .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP net loss widened sequentially to -$31.9M and EPS was -$0.05; operating cash outflows caused cash to fall by $177M quarter-over-quarter .
- Free cash flow turned negative (-$153.2M) versus Q2 positive FCF, reflecting operating cash timing and increased investment; OpEx remained elevated as growth investments continued .
- Near-term revenue impact anticipated from schedule shifts to adopt the new storage structure; management guided Q4 revenue roughly flat to slightly up versus Q3 on this transition .
Financial Results
Guidance Changes
Notes: Management highlighted a temporary short-term revenue impact from schedules shifting to accommodate the next-generation storage structure, without affecting backlog .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We continue to deliver strong results and drive operational progress … with our next generation storage structure.” .
- CFO: “Revenue grew 26% and gross margins improved once again year-over-year … we expect a temporary short-term impact on revenue based on schedules shifting to accommodate [the storage structure]. Importantly, the new structure does not affect our backlog and supports our long-term value creation.” .
- Q2 context on execution: “Installation to acceptance timelines were roughly 2 months shorter … and these systems were 15% larger in size than our historical average for Phase 1 systems. Normalizing for size … improvement … more than 30% better.” .
Q&A Highlights
- Storage transition and guidance: Management signaled schedule shifts to adopt the new storage structure, setting Q4 revenue at $590–$610M and adjusted EBITDA at $45–$49M, and noted similar schedule impacts may occur in early 2026 while enabling faster scale over time .
- APD development accounting: Prototype build and development revenue will be classified in the systems line; the program maintains revenue visibility through development phases (Q3 call) .
- Leadership transition: CFO successor designate Izzy Martins to become CFO effective August 9, underscoring continuity in financial leadership (Q3 call) .
- Tariffs & margin mechanics (from Q2): Tariff costs largely pass through, increasing revenue but can depress system gross margins; primary exposure from Europe, single-digit percent of a typical system .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus for Q3 FY25 and Q4 FY25 EPS, revenue, and EBITDA was unavailable via our data feed; as a result, comparisons to Wall Street consensus cannot be reliably presented. Where estimates are missing, we note they were unavailable from S&P Global at the time of analysis.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Execution is improving with shorter installs and favorable mix, driving adjusted EBITDA growth and sustained adjusted gross margin expansion; watch for continued scale benefits in 2H and FY26 .
- Near-term revenue timing will reflect adoption of the next-gen storage structure, but backlog and long-term value creation remain intact; Q4 guidance brackets a modest sequential increase vs. Q3 .
- Cash usage in Q3 and negative FCF reflect timing and investment; liquidity remains strong at $777.6M cash and equivalents after Q3 .
- Multi-product portfolio progress (core warehouse systems, BreakPack, APD) and GreenBox sites underpin diversified growth vectors across retail, grocery, and 3PLs .
- Margin drivers: completion of lower-margin legacy projects, ASR development contributions, and software margins trending in the 60s% provide tailwinds; tariffs are pass-through but can dilute system gross margins .
- Stock setup: narrative shifts toward technology-led deployment speed (new storage), margin resilience, and backlog visibility; investors should focus on cadence of system starts/completions, software revenue growth, and progress on APD prototypes .
References:
Press release and 8-K financials: . Investor presentation KPIs/backlog: . Q2 transcript: . Q1 transcript: . Next-gen storage press release: . IR Q3 official transcript & financial release: .