AC
Atlassian Corp (TEAM)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Atlassian delivered Q4 FY25 revenue of $1.384B (+22% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS of $0.98, both beating consensus; Cloud revenue rose 26% YoY, and non-GAAP operating margin was 24% .
- Strong enterprise execution: record number of >$1M ACV deals, RPO reached $3.3B (+38% YoY), and data center-to-cloud migrations accelerated; management cited stable seat expansion and cross-sell momentum .
- Guidance introduced for Q1 FY26 and FY26: total revenue growth ~18% for FY26; Q1 FY26 revenue $1.395–$1.403B; non-GAAP operating margin ~20.5% in Q1 and ~24.0% for FY26 .
- AI is a core tailwind: AI MAUs reached 2.3M (up ~50% QoQ), Teamwork Collection adoption exceeded expectations, and Google Cloud partnership enhances multi-cloud strategy; management emphasized usage-first monetization .
- Catalysts: enterprise “wall-to-wall” consolidations, AI-driven product uptake (Rovo), and FY26 margin discipline; leadership transition (President Anu Bharadwaj) noted but framed as orderly with strong bench .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
-
What Went Well
- Enterprise momentum: record >$1M ACV deals in Q4; migrations up 60% YoY; RPO at $3.3B with 74% to be recognized in next 12 months .
- AI traction: AI MAUs 2.3M; token usage up ~5x QoQ; Confluence users using AI create 15% more pages and make 33% more edits; premium/enterprise editions up ~40% YoY .
- Cloud revenue growth +26% YoY to $927.7M; non-GAAP gross margin 85%; non-GAAP operating margin 24% with disciplined cost management .
-
What Went Wrong
- GAAP profitability remains negative: GAAP operating margin -2% and GAAP diluted EPS -$0.09 due to stock-based compensation and amortization .
- Free cash flow down 13% YoY in Q4 to $360M, driven by prior-year collection dynamics and timing effects from billing terms and linearity .
- Q1 FY26 Data Center growth guide (~8%) steps down from Q4, reflecting seasonally smaller expiration base, one-year term changes, and lapping server-related purchasing .
Financial Results
Segment revenue breakdown
KPIs
Actual vs Consensus (Q4 FY25)
Values with asterisks retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We closed out FY25 delivering over $5.2 billion of revenue, generating over $1.4 billion in free cash flow, and reaching 2.3 million AI monthly active users.” — Mike Cannon‑Brookes, CEO .
- “We’re not seeing any impact [from code generation AI tools]…expansion rates, growth rates, adoption rates of our technical products…remain healthy.” — Mike Cannon‑Brookes .
- “RPO balance increasing to $3.3 billion, up 38% year over year; ~74% recognized in revenue in the next twelve months.” — Joe Binz, CFO .
- “Free cash flow in the quarter was $360M…driven primarily by strong collections in the prior year related to server and support dynamics…we expect FCF margin to track ~500 bps above non‑GAAP operating margin over time.” — Joe Binz .
- “Expanded strategic partnership with Google Cloud…a milestone in multi‑cloud strategy to accelerate cloud transformation and deliver advanced AI solutions.” — Company release .
Q&A Highlights
- AI impact on developer seats: Management reiterated no negative impact; sees broader creation beyond developers and Jira as “center of gravity” for workflows .
- Migrations contribution: FY25 mid-to-high single-digit contribution to Cloud growth; FY26 conservatively mid-single-digit given complexity and hybrid approaches .
- Data Center growth step-down in Q1: seasonally smaller expiration base, one-year term changes, and lapping server EoS benefits .
- Monetization path for Rovo/AI: consumption-based elements exist but guidance assumes nominal near-term; expect monetization via seat expansion and upgrades (premium/enterprise) .
- Margin framework: FY26 non-GAAP operating margin guide 24% with disciplined investment in Enterprise, AI, and System of Work; pathway to >25% by FY27 reaffirmed .
Estimates Context
- Q4 FY25 beats: Revenue $1.384B vs $1.357B consensus; Non-GAAP EPS $0.98 vs $0.855 consensus — both above Wall Street estimates*.
- Estimate breadth: 25 revenue estimates and 28 EPS estimates for Q4 FY25*.
- Implication: Upward bias to near-term Cloud/Marketplace assumptions and non-GAAP margin trajectory, while Data Center outlook should reflect Q1 guide moderation and seasonality .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Clear beat on both revenue and EPS with stronger Cloud (+26% YoY) and healthy non-GAAP margins, reinforcing execution against enterprise and AI priorities .
- Enterprise catalysts (record large deals, RPO strength) and AI usage metrics (2.3M MAUs, 5x token usage QoQ) support durable growth vectors into FY26 .
- Near-term watch points: Q1 FY26 DC growth (~8%) and FCF seasonality/timing effects; expect quarter-to-quarter volatility as GTM evolves .
- Guidance framework remains conservative; FY26 non-GAAP operating margin ~24% with reiterated path to >25% by FY27 suggests ongoing cost discipline amid AI investments .
- Collections (Teamwork/Strategy) and multi-cloud partnerships (Google Cloud) are expanding “wall-to-wall” deployments and cross‑sell/upsell opportunities across technical and business users .
- Upgrade mix to premium/enterprise editions and DC→Cloud migrations should continue to provide ARPU uplift and seat expansion, underpinning mid-20s Cloud growth guide .
- Leadership transition is planned; strong bench and momentum reduce execution risk, but monitor communication around enterprise GTM and AI monetization milestones .